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This week:
10* Ball State/Toledo UNDER 71 WIN
10* Bowling Green +2 WIN
10* FSU/Va. Tech UNDER 50 PUSH
10* Syracuse +2 WIN
10* Colorado +28.5 WIN
5* Hawaii +28 LOSS
10* Massachusetts +14.5 WIN
10* Wake Forest +8.5 LOSS
20* Arizona State + 9 LOSS
10* Oklahoma - 21 LOSS
20* Texas A&M +13.5 WIN
Week 11: 6-4-1 +20.50 units
Season:
20* 5-10 -118.6 units
10* 21-23-2 -16.5 units
5* 14-10 -13.5 units
3* 0-4-1 -12 units
1* 0-1 -1 units
Season Totals: 40-48-3 -161.6 unitsComment -
Alex, I agree with the win loss count you have but you might want to recheck your units. With 10% juice they don't add up. 5* 14-10= -13.5 units? (14 wins X5= +70 / 10 losses X5.5= -55 net = +15). Am I missing something? Don't get me wrong, I as well as others I'm sure, appreciate your keeping up on the thread record. I just don't know that your'e units are correct.Comment -
10* graded play on Colorado State as they take on Boise State set to start at 3:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that CSU will lose this game by 24 or fewer points. Although CSU does not possess a strong passing defense, Boise State has not done well in exploiting these weaker defensive units. Boise State is an imperfect 0-6 ATS in home games when facing poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse over the last two seasons; 1-9 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons. CSU has had issues at QB due to several injuries to three QB on the roster. For this game, Conner Smith will be making the start, McPeek is listed as questionable, and Grayson is more than likely not going to see any action given the significant shoulder injury suffered last week. Conner Smith is a solid QB and has completed 57 of 89 pass attempts for 715 yards and three TDs. This will mark his fifth straight game and an opportunity to solidify himself as the QB of the future being that he is just a freshman. Take Colorado State.
Colorado State +28 1/2
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5* graded play on the Minnesota Gophers as they take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers set to start at 3:30 PM ET. This is a game where despite the spread, Nebraska could get caught basking in their big win last week against Penn State. Many of you saw that game, also, know that arguably PSU was screwed badly by a TD that was not called a TD even after clear video evidence showed the ball had completely penetrated the goal line before the fumble occurred. So, this game was far closer than the final 32-23 score indicates. Moreover, Nebraska has not down all that well against strong rushing attacks like the Gophers possess. The Cornhuskers are just 12-26 ATS when they have allowed 150 to 200 yards rushing since 1992. The simulator shows a high probability that Minnesota will lose this game by fewer than 17 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-8 ATS for 78% winners since 2002. Play against home favorites after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games and is a top-level team winning >= 80% of their games and is now playing a marginal winning team posting a win percentage between 51% to 60% on the season. Take the Gophers.
Take Minnesota for a 5* graded play +21 -110
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20* Wake Forest + 24 over Notre Dame - on eof the numerous reasons I love Wake in this game is the fact that ND is just 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games when facing mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game since 1992. 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points since 1992. WF is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.Comment -
Wake Forest. wow whst was I thinking. geez. sometimes, u just have to laugh at yourself and move on.Comment -
Yesterday:
10* Colorado State +28.5 WIN
5* Minnesota +21 LOSS
20* Wake Forest +24 LOSS
Week 12: 1-2 -17.5 units
Season:
20* 5-11 -140.6 units
10* 22-23-2 -32.5 units
5* 14-12 +4 units
3* 0-3-1 -9 units
1* 0-1 -1 unit
Total: 41-50-3 -179.1 unitsComment -
I've been a laughing hyena lately. enjoy the holiday.Comment -
10* Temple +7 1/2 over Syracuse.
10* graded play on Temple as they take on Syracuse set to start at 11:00 AM, Friday, November 23. The simulator shows a high probability that Temple will lose this game by fewer than six points. Temple is playing their last game of the season at home and will put up another strong performance. Last week, they scored 63 points and rushed for 532 yards against Army and that positive momentum will carry over to this game. Syracuse is scoring well having put up 45 against Louisville and then 31 against Missouri last week. However, they are 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. The sim projects that Temple will gain between 300 and 350 offensive yards. In past games where the Syracuse defense allowed this range of offensive production, they are 0-4 ATS this season, 0-10 ATS the past three seasons, and 14-30 ATS since 1992. Take Temple and consider adding a 1.5* amount using the money line.Comment -
Hey John, any leans today? Notre Dame? Clemson?Comment -
Week 13
10* Temple +7.5 LOSS
Week 13: 0-1 -11 units
Season:
20* 5-11 -140.6 units
10* 22-24-2 -43.5 units
5* 14-12 +4 units
3* 0-3-1 -9 units
1* 0-1 -1 unit
Totals: 41-51-3 -190.1 unitsComment -
5* Unit play on UCLA + 8 1/2 over Stanford in the Pac-12 Championship.Comment -
10* Georgia Tech +14 over FSU
10* OVER Georgia-Alabama 50 points.Comment -
This week:
5* UCLA +8.5 WIN
10* Georgia Tech +14 WIN
10* Alabama/Georgia OVER 50 WIN
This Week: 3-0 +25 units
20* 5-11 -140.6 units
10* 24-24-2 -23.5 units
5* 15-12 +9 units
3* 0-3-1 -9 units
1* 0-1 -1 unit
Season: 44-51-3 -165.1 unitsComment -
10* play on Bowling Green +7 1/2 over San Diego State.
10* UNDER Cincinnati 62 points.
BOL.. Bowl Game of the Year fast approaching. A play I have won FOUR straight years, I actually hate the propagada associated with Games of the Year... it gets undisciplined bettors to wager far more than they can afford to lose. I hope that if there is ONE thing all fo you take away from my various threads, is that this is to be fun, not a path to financial wealth, and that I am not an ATM machine. You must have the extra cabbage to make these plays and be willing to accept the fact that you may lose that extra cabbage.. When you become angry or even too eurphoric while betting you may be negatively effecting your life and the ones around you.. Gambling is very dangerous. perhaps more dangerous than over drinking or any other addiction.Comment -
-165 units!?!? Yikes.Comment -
December 27
10* Bowling Green +7.5 LOSS
10* Cincinnati/Duke UNDER 62 LOSS
Dec 27: 0-2 -22 units
Season: 44-53-3 -187.1 unitsComment -
what ever happen to JR posting on here? Man this really sucks!Comment -
20* graded play on TCU as they take on Michigan State in the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl set to start at 10:15 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-2 record for 93% winners since 1992. Play on neutral field favorites vs. the money line off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival with the game being played on a Saturday. Moreover, MSU is just 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game since 1992. Rice is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off 3 or more consecutive unders since 1992; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992. Take the Horned Frogs.Comment -
I'll have some NFL up later today on that specific thread.Comment -
December 29
20* TCU -2 LOSS
Dec 29: 0-1 -22 units
Season: 44-54-3 -209.1 unitsComment -
Happy New Year!
10* graded play on the Stanford Cardinal as they take on Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl set to start at 5:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Stanford will win this game by seven or more points. Sim also shows that Stanford will gain between 200 and 250 net passing yards. In past games, they are 4-0 ATS this season, 11-0 ATS the past three seasons when they have gained this range of net passing yards. Stanford is projected to gain 350 to 400 total offensive yards. In past games, Wisconsin is 0-2 ATS this season and 1-5 ATS the past three seasons when they have allowed 350 to 400 yards. Stanford is off a close win over UCLA in the PAC-12 Championship game. Stanford is a solid 16-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons; 11-2 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons; 9-1 ATS in road games off 3 straight wins against conference rivals since 1992. Cardinal is also a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games when facing strong offensive teams averaging >=5.9 yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Take Stanford.Comment -
January 1
10* Stanford -4 WIN
Season: 45-54-3 -199.1 unitsComment -
I really like the OVER in this game. I think the public is enamored with the respective defenses and has not accounted for the fact that each offense can move the ball. One of these teams also may get out to a 14 point lead and when that happens the fact that there is no tomorrow sets in and the 14 point lead turns into a 27 point lead and then the scoreboard churns....
So, I want to thank everyone for another great season here on the CFB thread. I certainly wish it would have been a banner profit year like in 2011-2012. I am now entering my 19th year of sports handicapping and everyone on the face of the planet has a few losing seasons. With that said I am very excited about tnext season already as I have NEVER had back-to back losing years.Comment -
10* OVER BCS Championship game 40 -110
I also like playing a 10* OVER 20 -110
Prop bet: Cooper over 74 1/2 receiving yards -115
score in the first 7 minutes -110Comment -
January 7
10* Alabama/ND OVER 40 WIN
10* Alabama/ND OVER 20-- 1st half WIN
1* A. Cooper OVER 74.5 receiving yards WIN
1* Score in first 7 minutes WIN
Jan 7: 4-0 +22 units
Totals:
20* 5-12 -162.6 units
10* 27-26-2 -15.5 units
5* 15-12 +9 units
3* 0-3-1 -9 units
1* 2-1 +1 unit
Season: 49-54-3 -177.1 unitsComment
