Futterwacken After Every Touchdown w/ the Hatter 2012!!!!!

[Maddhatter]

damn. got greedy and pushed too hard... those bears can't play defense!
back to the grind! good luck tomorrow, 'hatter! let's stack 'em and cash 'em.

6 more seconds left on the clock on that back door cover. Got screwed for sure. GL tomorrow bro!

[Maddhatter]

Fri 9/21

Baylor -7 -115 4u L
Baylor 2H ML -190 5u W

1-1 +0.40 Units for the day. 1-0 5u Plays.


NCAAF: 51-39, +83.15 Units. 56.8% (8-9 5u, 22-15 10u Plays)
NFL: 15-11, +42.55 Units. 57.7% (2-1 5u, 5-1 10u Plays)
NCAAF/NFL: 66-50, +125.70 Units. 57.0% (10-10 5u, 27-16 10u Plays)

MLB: 437-420, +117.95 Units, 51.0% (101-110-5 5u, 184-158-6 10u Plays)

[Maddhatter]

Fri 9/21

Baylor -7 -115 4u



Sat 9/22

Miss -19 -105 3u
Miami Ohio -25 -105 3u
CMU/Iowa U49 -105 5u
Ohio St -36.5 -105 5u
Wisconsin -18 -105 10u
Bowling Green +17.5 -105 5u
TCU -18 -105 20u
Army +7 -105 4u
Georgia Tech -14 -105 20u
Penn St -7 -105 5u
Rice +3 -105 3u
Kansas +9 -105 4u
Colorado +20 -105 4u
Idaho -2.5 -105 5u
Alabama -49.5 -105 10u
W Kentucky -3 -115 20u
Louisville -13 -115 10u
Troy -2 -105 10u
S Alabama +34 -105 10u
LSU -20.5 -105 20u
Colorado St +13 -105 5u
Colorado St/Utah St U53 -105 10u
Notre Dame -5 -105 3u
Vanderbilt +15.5 -105 3u
Oklahoma -14 -115 10u
Minnesota +1 -105 3u
New Mexico St -6.5 -105 4u
Florida St -115 10u
Illinois -3 -105 4u
Fresno St +7 -115 5u
San Jose St +3 -105 10u
Air Force -10 -115 3u
Arizona +21.5 -105 3u
Hawaii +8 -105 5u

Should be....

Florida St -14 -115 10u

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Clemson/Florida St U56 -105 5u

[KANSAS24]

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

W Kentucky 2H +1 -110 20u
LSU 2H -8 -110 20u

[Wesley]

LSU is total crap today, what a joke

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

LA Tech/Illinois 2H O28.5 -110 5u

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Clemson/Florida St 2H U27.5 -110 5u

[Maddhatter]

LSU is total crap today, what a joke

Defensively they are doing the right things but just can't move the ball consistently on offense.

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Arizona St 2H -3 -110 4u

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Nevada/Hawaii 2H U31.5 -110 5u

[Kodytena22]

Cashed it today
Asu
Utah st under
Western Kentucky
Wyoming
Good start to the weekend ! Any nfl insight? Leaning bengals +3 and eagles
Thanks

[Maddhatter]

Sat 9/22

Miss -19 -105 3u W
Miami Ohio -25 -105 3u L
CMU/Iowa U49 -105 5u L
Ohio St -36.5 -105 5u L
Wisconsin -18 -105 10u L
Bowling Green +17.5 -105 5u L
TCU -18 -105 20u W
Army +7 -105 4u L
Georgia Tech -14 -105 20u L
Penn St -7 -105 5u W
Rice +3 -105 3u E
Kansas +9 -105 4u W
Colorado +20 -105 4u W
Idaho -2.5 -105 5u L
Alabama -49.5 -105 10u L
W Kentucky -3 -115 20u W
Louisville -13 -115 10u L
Troy -2 -105 10u W
S Alabama +34 -105 10u W
LSU -20.5 -105 20u L
Colorado St +13 -105 5u W
Colorado St/Utah St U53 -105 10u W
Notre Dame -5 -105 3u W
Vanderbilt +15.5 -105 3u L
Oklahoma -14 -115 10u L
Minnesota +1 -105 3u W
New Mexico St -6.5 -105 4u L
Florida St -14 -115 10u L
Clemson/Florida St U56 -105 5u L
Illinois -3 -105 4u L
Fresno St +7 -115 5u W
San Jose St +3 -105 10u W
Air Force -10 -115 3u L
Arizona +21.5 -105 3u L
Hawaii +8 -105 5u L
W Kentucky 2H +1 -110 20u W
LSU 2H -8 -110 20u L
LA Tech/Illinois 2H O28.5 -110 5u W
Clemson/Florida St 2H U27.5 -110 5u L
Arizona St 2H -3 -110 4u W
Nevada/Hawaii 2H U31.5 -110 5u L

17-23-1 -46.50 Units for the day. 4-8 5u, 10-11 10u Plays. Brutal day. GT is a team that I always seem to over-estimate and they always let me down (last year). Banging my head on LSU and Bama plays. $$ call on Colorado St and the under. Should've stuck to my guns and had both as 20u plays as I originally intended.


NCAAF: 68-62, +36.65 Units. 52.3% (12-17 5u, 32-26 10u Plays)
NFL: 15-11, +42.55 Units. 57.7% (2-1 5u, 5-1 10u Plays)
NCAAF/NFL: 83-73, +79.20 Units. 53.2% (14-18 5u, 37-27 10u Plays)

MLB: 437-420, +117.95 Units, 51.0% (101-110-5 5u, 184-158-6 10u Plays)

[Maddhatter]

Cashed it today
Asu
Utah st under
Western Kentucky
Wyoming
Good start to the weekend ! Any nfl insight? Leaning bengals +3 and eagles
Thanks

GJ bud! Yeah I like both your leans. Plays coming up shortly for NFL.

[Maddhatter]

Sun 9/23

Chicago -7 -105 3u
Cincinnati +3 -105 4u
Cleveland +3 -105 10u
KC/NO O53 -105 5u
Indianapolis -3 -105 20u
Philadelphia -3 -105 10u
San Diego -3 -105 5u
Houston/Denver U44.5 -105 3u
Denver +2 -105 4u

[bane]

Tailing your 10/20's for NFL. My first time betting NFL.

GT (sigh). Was lucky it was an early game. Able to place late bets on UNLV and Oregon to salvage the night. Realize that's a no-no but I'm a noob, I had my eye on those spreads anyway, and ... it worked out this once.
Trailed W Kentucky too - great call. Thanks.

[bmansell33]

Gl today hatter is card complete

[Maddhatter]

Mon 9/24

Seattle +3.5 -115 5u

[Kodytena22]

Early leans
Asu +2
Florida St -15.5
Lousville -11
Western Kentucky. Pikem
Clemson -10
Tcu-10.5

What you think?

[Kodytena22]

Tcu-17.5*

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Seattle 2H ML +165 2u
GB/Sea 2H U21 -110 3u

[Maddhatter]

Early leans
Asu +2
Florida St -15.5
Lousville -11
Western Kentucky. Pikem
Clemson -10
Tcu-10.5

What you think?

Will check those out soon as I can. Hopefully I'll get a chance to look over some games today.

Tailing your 10/20's for NFL. My first time betting NFL.

GT (sigh). Was lucky it was an early game. Able to place late bets on UNLV and Oregon to salvage the night. Realize that's a no-no but I'm a noob, I had my eye on those spreads anyway, and ... it worked out this once.
Trailed W Kentucky too - great call. Thanks.

The weekend was rough for me. I hope to turn things around this week. GL bud!

[bane]

No worries! Appreciate the picks. Ended the week up & picked up a bit extra on tennis & soccer.
Here's to a better week!

[Maddhatter]

Sun 9/23

Chicago -7 -105 3u W
Cincinnati +3 -105 4u W
Cleveland +3 -105 10u L
KC/NO O53 -105 5u L
Indianapolis -3 -105 20u L
Philadelphia -3 -105 10u L
San Diego -3 -105 5u L
Houston/Denver U44.5 -105 3u L
Denver +2 -105 4u L

2-7 -52.85 Units for the day. 0-2 5u, 0-4 10u Plays. Had to drink a few to ease the pain.


NCAAF: 68-62, +36.65 Units. 52.3% (12-17 5u, 32-26 10u Plays)
NFL: 17-18, -10.30 Units. 48.6% (2-3 5u, 5-5 10u Plays)
NCAAF/NFL: 85-80, +26.35 Units. 51.5% (14-20 5u, 37-31 10u Plays)

MLB: 437-420, +117.95 Units, 51.0% (101-110-5 5u, 184-158-6 10u Plays)



Mon 9/24

Seattle +3.5 -115 5u W
Seattle 2H ML +165 2u L
GB/Sea 2H U21 -110 3u W

2-1 +6.00 Units for the day. 1-0 5u Plays.


NCAAF: 68-62, +36.65 Units. 52.3% (12-17 5u, 32-26 10u Plays)
NFL: 19-19, -4.30 Units. 50.0% (3-3 5u, 5-5 10u Plays)
NCAAF/NFL: 87-81, +32.35 Units. 51.8% (15-20 5u, 37-31 10u Plays)

MLB: 437-420, +117.95 Units, 51.0% (101-110-5 5u, 184-158-6 10u Plays)

[Greg2011]

Maddhatter u making a play on Thursday college game

[Maddhatter]

Greg, more than likely I will have a small play. Will finish capping it when wife/kids r in bed.

[Greg2011]

Thanks not trying to rush you its just that don't bet online I go to a actual sportbook near my house and I like to compare my picks to some people on the sbr forums thanks again

[Maddhatter]

Thurs 9/27

Stan/Wash U48 -115 10u
Washington +7 -115 3u


Stanford originally had been the obvious choice but I can see Nunes throwing 2-3 INTs before this one is over. Washington is ranked 83rd in rush defense. Washington first played LSU and they rushed for 242 yds and pounded Washington in the 2H. SDSt rushed for 199 yds. Washington couldn't contain SDSt's QB Katz and he ran for 77 yds on them to go along w/ their RB's 86. Finally, Portland St rushed for 83 yds. Stanford is #1 in rush defense but all 3 teams they have played are primarily passing teams. USC is 42nd in passing, 64th rushing, Duke is 17th passing and 107th rushing and SJSt is 20th and 91st rushing. USC's run game is just not where it should be for a team of their calliber/past history. Stanford exposed them and forced Barkley into uncomfortable situations. Don't get me wrong. Washington will still have a hard time running the ball. Hoping the punters will get a workout on Thurs.

Look for Sarkisian to stop the interior running game of Stanford. They will have the additional help of a returning LB injured in the preseason returning this week along w/ a converted safety as a LB to shore up the run defense. They want to put the ball in Nunes' hands. Nunes is no Andrew Luck.

Price should be able to get some decent passes to Williams and Jenkins their TE. Jenkins is a beast of a TE w/ good hands. I expect one or the other to have at least one receiving TD, if not 2. Price is a veteran QB and I expect him to have a few mistakes w/ this aggressive defense but hopefully not more than 1 INT. If Stanford has success running the ball for 5-6 yds/carry then Washington will be in for a long game. Otherwise, expect it to be close. I expect Washington to give a little here and there but for the most part make some key stops in the run game and force Nunes to throw on 3rd down. His 53% completion rate and 33% INT:TD ratio will be put to the test. Washington's O line problems are a concern but so will be Nunes first road game of the season. I'm expecting a low scoring affair to go against the grain of their recent past match-ups. Like any game, field position will be key. If it goes as expected, Stanford will win 20-16. If its a blow-out, 35-6. Hoping either way it stays under the total. Possibly may add 1H under when the line comes out. BoL everyone!

[blackeyeshamus]

Excellent write up, 'hatter!
I'm on Stanford already by a TD @ even money for 1u,
but your play on the total is sharp, and I may follow.
Best of luck going into a new college football weekend.
Thanks for your consistently awesome work. Good luck!

[Maddhatter]

Excellent write up, 'hatter!
I'm on Stanford already by a TD @ even money for 1u,
but your play on the total is sharp, and I may follow.
Best of luck going into a new college football weekend.
Thanks for your consistently awesome work. Good luck!

Thanks BES! Perhaps we both will come out ahead tonight. Either way, BoL this weekend sir.

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Stan/Wash 1H U24 -110 10u

[Maddhatter]

Not saying you are right or wrong but when a line sticks at just above a crucial # like 21.5... it usually is there for a reason. I don't follow line movement much so perhaps I'm looking at this totally wrong and this reason is totally irrelevant.

Also, consider this... knowing how well both these offenses are, Chip Kelly will keep his starters in til almost the end of the game. I highly doubt he'll step off the gas throughout the whole game. At 21+ vs a TTech or Ark St is one thing but vs Arizona, it'll be a different game plan. Most of the 1st 3 games played, Oregon starters took a breather in the 4th Q or even in the whole 2H.

Both teams will score, I don't doubt that w/ how high this total is set at. Both offenses will go no huddle and fast paced. How gased will both defenses be in the 4th Q? Oregon regularly rotates 2nd string defensive players during normal play and also their backups get more playing time w/ the starter's taking a breather late in games. Arizona's defense hasn't had that luxury (backup defensive front 6 = 10 tackles vs Oregon's 2nd string front 7 = 46). Oregon will have the personnel to deal w/ the pace. Will Arizona?

I still believe Arizona +21.5 is a good play but for myself I am staying away from this one. GL GatorFan. Hope this covers for you.

Posted this in another thread last week and I am still dumbfounded at why I didn't play Oregon (played Arizona small) or at least listened to myself when I said "I am staying away from this one".

Small loss but idiotic when I think about it. LOL. At the least, I should've played Oregon 2H based on what I wrote. Attempting to learn from my mistakes so I can limit them in the future. Especially when I do the rare write-ups.

[Maddhatter]

Marshall is #1 in passing also 1-2-1 ATS. Marshall is also #1 in the nation w/ plays of 10 yds or more (88). Flip side, Purdue, coming off their bye week, I think is a team that most are underestimating this year. So far they are 3-0 ATS vs E Ky, ND, and E Mich. They are really good defensively as the ND game showed. All 3 phases of their defense are solid. 25th in rush D and 27th vs the pass, 17th total defense. Conversely, they are 31st in total offense, 28th in rush and 50th in passing. Marshall is 112th vs the run and 97th vs the pass vs teams like Rice, Ohio, W Caro, and W Virg. Their last game had been a double OT vs Rice. No significant injuries for both teams other than a DB for Marshall who didn't play vs Rice.

Purdue could easily dominate this game just by how physical they will be on offense and with a couple pro prospects on their defensive front 4. Look for Kawann Short, pre-sesason All-American by SI, to come up with a few sacks and harass Cato in the backfield....

Coach Holliday, “We can do a lot of things with our offense that we don’t need to block the front guys as long. We have some things in our offense now that can allow Cato to get the ball out of his hands quick. We have the ability to run the ball if they give it to us. We have the screen game to where we don’t have to block those guys as long. That’s a good thing because they are really good. I’ve watched our offensive line and they’ve gotten better. At some point we have to be able to block them and we will.”

This will be a good test for both teams. W Virg is prone to have holes in their defense against the pass and Marshall had been able to score but still lost by 35. I expect Marshall to have a harder time scoring vs Purdue on the road and I'm curious to see how well Purdue handles Marshall's passing attack. They did go toe to toe w/ a very good ND team (Purdue had 5 sacks vs ND). Purdue should be able to sustain decent scoring drives all night long.

"The Boilermakers have been taking care of business when it matters most. Purdue is a perfect 13 for 13 when penetrating the opposition's red zone (12 touchdowns, one field goal), are converting third downs on 60 percent of its tries and are flawless on fourth down conversion by going 4 for 4 through three games. The Boilermakers are one of 11 Football Bowl Subdivison teams to be perfect inside the red zone, are fourth nationally on third downs and one of 10 teams perfect on fourth down."

"The Boilermakers have out-scored their opposition 26-0 in the first quarter this season. Purdue has limited opponents to merely 46 yards rushing, 140 yards passing and eight first downs in the first quarter through three games."

Going w/ Purdue 1H to start strong and stun Marshall at home. Marshall may still backdoor this game for you and we both may come out ahead. I'm going with the better defense here. BOL this weekend.

Taken from another thread this week.... http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...ense-17-a.html

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Stan/Wash 2H U23 -110 5u