Pags' Plays 10/4

[TodaysAction]

toby,

I understand...thanks for your insight...

usckingsfan,

it worked last week and I don't want to screw anything up at this point...I'm very superstitious...thanks for your understanding...

todaysaction,

early in the week when some of my matchbook offers were matched I wasn't around my cpu...I then had my buddy log into SBR for me and he posted my plays: "Play #1" and instead of using a + and - sign, he put "plus" and "minus"...while I appreciated him doing it for me to get the plays out to everyone, I went back and changed the reading to make it uniform with how I like to present it...I'm sure those that saw the play posted initially can tell you the team, point spread and juice didn't change...thanks man...

kalum,

I'm not a big trend guy, and I can tell you that this Arizona team is unlike any Stoops has ever had...also, Washington is a really bad team and now just lost their all-everything player...this is a very bad spot for them this week and their coach is sure to be fired at the end of the year, everyone knows it too...I have a slight lean to UConn at +7.5 or more and no opinion for or against your other four plays...GL...

masr,

thank you...glad we will be on those two games together...GL bud...

pags,

Thanks for the clarity. Wasn't trying to suggest things weren't on the up & up. I've had to use the edit function as well but the majority of the time it's within a minute or two of the original post because of typo's and/or formatting. Again, thanks for the clarity and hope you have a successful week.

[Always Somethin']

Great write up Pags, only against you on ISU especially with KU getting Dexton Fields and Kendrick Harper back. Reesing getting his reception leader from last season back and their D getting a senior CB back should be a big difference. Either way BOL on all your picks.

[Boy Jeenyus]

white_tiger,

I can appreciate your opinion, but remember T. Boone Pickens is sitting watching those games...do you really think the guy doesn't have any action on the games? and do you really think Gundy isn't aware of that?...not to mention OSU has one of the most explosive, balanced offensive attacks in the nation...

I think that kind of rationale is very innovative. It's kind of "out there" but still seems very solid. Don't limit your analysis to rushing, passing, and defensive statistics, but consider who doesn't want to piss off the guy throwing around the cash. That has to be a major motivator on the OSU sideline.

Another thing going in the Vandy game: They have a receiver, George Smith who will be playing for the first time this season. He is their top returning receiver from last year. His availability might give the Vandy passing attack a boost.

I hope you sweep. I posted a large card earlier this week and we concided on a couple. We'll be on the same side with Vandy & Iowa. See you at the cashier's window.

[Jacey]

Great analysis, good luck pags

[bosterosoy]

I really enjoy reading your analysis. With you on all your picks, except for Iowa bc line went down to +7.5


As always, BOL.

[GoSooners]

Pags...Good luck buddy...There is one game that I might be talking to you later about. I'll call you later.

[manofmyth]

Great write ups Pags.......and it's amazing that people don't understand that Malzon is what made Arkansas's offense great in McFad's freshman year. been following Vandy and I think they get the outright W this week. Wash has their starting QB, RB, and WR all possibly out this week, Mike Stoops will unleash his D on the poor Wash O. Tomorrow looks good for you Pags, wish u the best of luck!!

And no play on Fresno St? Pat Hill is looking for payback when Hawaii put up almost 70+ @ Fresno in 2006.

[TPowell]

Pags what do you think about Marshall tonight? I've got them with 3.5 and Cincy is down to their third string QB on the road on a WEEKDAY.

[ChArRiT]

Hey Pags,

what do you think of the line movements of:

iowa +6
penn st. -13.5
vandy +3
arizona -23.5
okla st -26.5


Thanks a lot Pags, I would really appreciate your comments!!
I REALLY need winners, I am way down in $$$ So please if you could PM me with something, it would be very nice!!

Thanks again!

[daneblazer]

gl this week pags.

[Mr Handicapable]

Hey Pags,

I was just wondering why you don't play totals? Just a personal preference? I've had pretty good luck so far this year playing team totals...even though they're at the -115 to -125 range! See if any of these 3 team totals look difficult to you!

Texas Tech Over 36.5 @ KS State
Rice Over 31.5 @ Tulsa
Indiana Over 24.5 @ Minnesota

Thanks for your feedback...GL this weekend!!

[letsgoflyers]

pags,texas tech,bc,tulsa look good fresno st is a lock.

[ZBOIZ]

Pags!! How do you feel about the Florida vs. Arkansas game?

[bERDS dINI]

pags how do you feel about arizona currently at -22.5?

[pags11]

bearmz,

I always appreciate you stopping by, you are a quality handicapper...glad we are on those games together...

usckingsfan,

that sounds like a plan my friend!...

todaysaction,

appreciate it...just wanted you to have the details...

always somethin',

those are good points that you bring up...being healthy, though, and being up to game speed are not necessarily the same...at any rate, we will just have to see how that game unfolds tomorrow...

boy jeenyus,

yeah, there are always all kinds of angles with these games...thanks for mentioning that about George Smith for Vandy as I didn't touch upon that in my write-up...I appreciate your support...

jacey,

thank you bud...

bosterosoy,

thanks very much...good to hear we will be on those games together...

go sooners,

I'm honored to have you in my thread as you are one of the best cappers around...I've enjoyed working with you thus far this season and look forward to working with you more...

manofmyth,

excellent points about Malzon and Arizona...I agree...Fresno St. made my list of the final ten, but didn't end up making it onto my card...

tpowell,

sorry I didn't get to this sooner...I didn't really have an opinion on the game tonight...I really like Brian Kelly but his team's issues at QB concerned me...also, Marshall burned me last week, and I'm especially frustrated with their QB play, although they are usually a pretty strong home team...

charrit,

I wish I had an answer for you on what to do with these games as the lines stand now...Iall I can say is try to check in on my thread earlier in the week as I'm releasing my plays...

danelbazer,

thank you sir...

mr. handicapable,

to be very honest with you, I'm not a very good totals player...haven't played a total for about ten years actually...I just try to stick with what I know...

letsgoflyers,



zboiz,

no opinion on the Florida vs. Arkansas game...

berds dini,

I feel like 21 is a key number in that game...I'm not sure I like it quite as much over that...still worthy of some consideration though...

[icemantbi]

Once again, love the writeups. Here's to another great weekend!

[SportNut]

Hey Pags, what you think of Cal -9.5 versus Az St.? Cal is way better than AZ st.

[ChArRiT]

What do you think about Georgia Tech -13.5, michigan -6 and purdue +13.5??
Thanks pags

[sicky123]

Good luck tomorrow pags.

[clowncar]

Todd Graham wants to run up the score in this game.

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/news/story?id=3129832

[Jimmydafreak]

BOL tomorrow Pags!!! I think you've got a GREAT card!!!

FREAK OUT!!!

[BizzaroMeIsRich]

My Plays

I tend to get seduced by the power teams, (a la Oklahoma last week) took PSU -12 today

Also Like UCONN +7.5 and Vandy +3.5 (love those extra .5 points)

ND -6.5
Illinois +2 (should have just taken ML)
OSU -1
USC -16

[Wildcat]

Go Cats!!!!!!!

Never seen so much chalk from you before pags. Makes me feel like we're in for a good weekend. I'm a little disappointed I don't get to see Locker play in person, that kid is a great athlete. All the better as Arizona wins 45-13.

You to the game? See you There!!! I am not one bit upset that Locker isn't playing, should make for a pretty lopsided AZ win

[Miser]

OK Pags for grins I'm risking 8 bucks to win 100 on a parley on your first 4 picks. You better not let me down! hehe

[chinodeft26]

pags, been watching this thread all year and quite frankly you are the . on the ok st and penn st game with you.

also, iceman you have the best avatar on sbr.

gl this weekend

[tobycsh39]

We could be in for a long day on this Iowa game brother. Two wasted opportunities already

[DrLuck]

gl pags

[PerfecTrader]

True to form Pag's. Penn St and Iowa done deals, great capping

[shrax4]

Penn St W
Iowa W
Iowa St Don't blow it!

Great start to the day pags.

[icemantbi]

Great start pags!

I hope Iowa St. doesn't **** us over now.

[tobycsh39]

Nice start so far man, thanks for putting me on Penn St and Iowa!

[onthewhat]

Great start Pags!

[Miser]

Pags you da man, I've won my first 3 of my 4 team parley!, tonight Vany better win:

WON: 385 Oklahoma -24½ (-110) (NCAA FB) Score: 49-17
338 Vanderbilt +4 (EV) (NCAA FB)
WON: 319 Penn State -13½ (-110) (NCAA FB) Score: 20-6
WON: 334 Iowa State +11 (-110) (NCAA FB) Score: 33-35

If they don't win I'll expect you to pay up, I take paypal!

[diehardfan]

You da man Pags! You da man!

[masr]

Good work pags....days looking good