line movement has been huge this week and have always factored...i think it's a must when capping games.
As of right now
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testertipsSBR MVP
- 11-06-09
- 1468
#36Comment -
Pickma$terSBR High Roller
- 11-15-10
- 240
#37how did Toledo work out for you? It moved 3.5 whole points but they lost the game. Temple moved from 3.5 to 4 today they lost also....like I said there are several reasons why lines move but dont put all your eggs in 1 basket as you will be burnt. Their is nothing wrong with using line movement in your capping but to just pick a game from just off of line movement is a blind bet. I suggest to only account for line movement for about 10-15% of your capping. Figure out why the line is moving to one direction is the smart way to cap.Comment -
YOUNGBUCKSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-16-10
- 6510
#38Ohio lostComment -
testertipsSBR MVP
- 11-06-09
- 1468
#39how did Toledo work out for you? It moved 3.5 whole points but they lost the game. Temple moved from 3.5 to 4 today they lost also....like I said there are several reasons why lines move but dont put all your eggs in 1 basket as you will be burnt. Their is nothing wrong with using line movement in your capping but to just pick a game from just off of line movement is a blind bet. I suggest to only account for line movement for about 10-15% of your capping. Figure out why the line is moving to one direction is the smart way to cap.Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#42how did Toledo work out for you? It moved 3.5 whole points but they lost the game. Temple moved from 3.5 to 4 today they lost also....like I said there are several reasons why lines move but dont put all your eggs in 1 basket as you will be burnt. Their is nothing wrong with using line movement in your capping but to just pick a game from just off of line movement is a blind bet. I suggest to only account for line movement for about 10-15% of your capping. Figure out why the line is moving to one direction is the smart way to cap.Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#43how did Toledo work out for you? It moved 3.5 whole points but they lost the game. Temple moved from 3.5 to 4 today they lost also....like I said there are several reasons why lines move but dont put all your eggs in 1 basket as you will be burnt. Their is nothing wrong with using line movement in your capping but to just pick a game from just off of line movement is a blind bet. I suggest to only account for line movement for about 10-15% of your capping. Figure out why the line is moving to one direction is the smart way to cap.
Like I said, we'll see where this line goes from here. FSU is obviously going to be a "bailout play" in the public's eyes. They may end up covering, but to lay two touchdowns on the road like this in a weeknight game isn't something that's going to put you in the black long-term.
Can we just keep the conversation in this thread about the game and not turn it into a bunch of mini pissing contests?Comment -
NYSportsGuy210SBR Posting Legend
- 11-07-09
- 11347
#44Temple moved to 4 late but it also opened at 4.5. It's not just about where the line moves late, but where it lands vs. where it started. Plus, following the line movement on a public play like Toledo is never advised. Sharp money may be moving it with public money, but it's likely insignificant.
Like I said, we'll see where this line goes from here. FSU is obviously going to be a "bailout play" in the public's eyes. They may end up covering, but to lay two touchdowns on the road like this in a weeknight game isn't something that's going to put you in the black long-term.
Can we just keep the conversation in this thread about the game and not turn it into a bunch of mini pissing contests?Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#46
They may end up covering because, unlike most of the fools on this site, I don't like making any play sound like it's "guaranteed" or a "lock." It still has to be played by the guys on the field. You make this play and it hits more often than not, though. That's all I can say.Comment -
No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
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Betn247SBR Wise Guy
- 12-24-10
- 622
#48Temple moved to 4 late but it also opened at 4.5. It's not just about where the line moves late, but where it lands vs. where it started. Plus, following the line movement on a public play like Toledo is never advised. Sharp money may be moving it with public money, but it's likely insignificant. Like I said, we'll see where this line goes from here. FSU is obviously going to be a "bailout play" in the public's eyes. They may end up covering, but to lay two touchdowns on the road like this in a weeknight game isn't something that's going to put you in the black long-term. Can we just keep the conversation in this thread about the game and not turn it into a bunch of mini pissing contests?Comment -
ebbearsfb1SBR Posting Legend
- 12-07-08
- 18815
#49Pick master where is your season thread? You said your here to help, so why not make a thread and help everyone out?Comment
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