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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    As of right now
    The Greek has Florida State at -14 with every other book I can find at -14.5 or more. BC ML there is also just +425 -- about 60 cents cheaper than most books.

    I'm not guaranteeing anything folks, but when this happens, you pay attention. At the very least, I'd lock up BC at +14.5 now. It's already down two full points since open. This is a play that wins long term.
  • Ralphie1412
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-08
    • 13963

    #2
    Florida has started to wake up. They have covered the last 3 double digit spreads. With Miami coming up I will pass on them. But my math shows a BC blowout.
    "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
    Goat Milk
    Comment
    • Betn247
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-24-10
      • 622

      #3
      Originally posted by No coincidences
      The Greek has Florida State at -14 with every other book I can find at -14.5 or more. BC ML there is also just +425 -- about 60 cents cheaper than most books. I'm not guaranteeing anything folks, but when this happens, you pay attention. At the very least, I'd lock up BC at +14.5 now. It's already down two full points since open. This is a play that wins long term.
      Couldnt disagree more.......BC may only score 10-14 point in this game and FSU has been crushing the acc competition over is the play at 45 and teased with -7
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by Ralphie1412
        Florida has started to wake up. They have covered the last 3 double digit spreads. With Miami coming up I will pass on them. But my math shows a BC blowout.
        Books could very well be blowing smoke right now Ralphie. We'll see where late money goes. I'm just saying you don't see this very often.
        Comment
        • Pickma$ter
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-15-10
          • 240

          #5
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          Books could very well be blowing smoke right now Ralphie. We'll see where late money goes. I'm just saying you don't see this very often.
          Learn how to cap a game and stop trying to figure out line movement as I have been behind the scenes at books and you could never figure out the exact reason for it by just watching the line move on your computer. lots of books will do it to just intise bettors to bet....like you just did lol
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by Pickma$ter
            Learn how to cap a game and stop trying to figure out line movement as I have been behind the scenes at books and you could never figure out the exact reason for it.
            You're right: I'm really struggling with my posted plays, which -- hate to break it to you -- is about 60-70% line movement based.

            I know how to "cap a game" chief. LM is part of it.
            Comment
            • DerekMadden
              SBR MVP
              • 01-14-11
              • 1361

              #7
              Originally posted by Pickma$ter
              Learn how to cap a game and stop trying to figure out line movement as I have been behind the scenes at books and you could never figure out the exact reason for it.
              this is an interesting statement...

              you realize NC is +31units this year right?
              he knows his stuff
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Originally posted by Pickma$ter
                lots of books will do it to just intise bettors to bet....like you just did lol
                Hence the "as of right now."
                Comment
                • Pickma$ter
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-15-10
                  • 240

                  #9
                  Originally posted by DerekMadden
                  this is an interesting statement... you realize NC is +31units this year right? he knows his stuff
                  I could care less what he is up or down but there is alot of things that can move a line and its not always a sure bet
                  Comment
                  • DerekMadden
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-14-11
                    • 1361

                    #10
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    I'm not guaranteeing anything folks, but when this happens, you pay attention....

                    he advised to lock it up because that is what the smart thing to do with his experience..
                    never called it a sure bet bud..
                    Comment
                    • Pickma$ter
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-15-10
                      • 240

                      #11
                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                      You're right: I'm really struggling with my posted plays, which -- hate to break it to you -- is about 60-70% line movement based. I know how to "cap a game" chief. LM is part of it.
                      Congrats but its not bright to suggest others to bet baised off of that the Greek is now .5 point lower then the rest of the books.
                      Comment
                      • Pickma$ter
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-15-10
                        • 240

                        #12
                        Nothing smart about it bro.
                        Comment
                        • sandman0713
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-10-11
                          • 2036

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Pickma$ter
                          Congrats but its not bright to suggest others to bet baised off of that the Greek is now .5 point lower then the rest of the books.
                          dude you couldn't even pick your own ass. i don't think anyone here is really interested in anything you have to say.
                          Comment
                          • og4667
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-17-09
                            • 2438

                            #14
                            maybe you could take Florida st -15 on the weekend but this is a thursday night game with a different stigma. BC or nothing...don't lay 14 pts on the road during a weeknight game unless its Boise/LSU/Bama/Oklahoma st.
                            Comment
                            • Pickma$ter
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-15-10
                              • 240

                              #15
                              Originally posted by sandman0713
                              dude you couldn't even pick your own ass. i don't think anyone here is really interested in anything you have to say.
                              LMAO you have to be the worst capper of all...all 3 of you clowns are fade material.
                              Comment
                              • DerekMadden
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-14-11
                                • 1361

                                #16
                                this guy is becoming a troll..

                                mods... take care of this moron
                                Comment
                                • Hall2Collie
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-03-11
                                  • 462

                                  #17
                                  You won't convince people with these threads NC

                                  Tuesday Night - TOLDEO IS A LOCK!!! VEGAS HAS THIS LINE WRONG BY LIKE TWO TOUCHDOWNS!!!

                                  Wednesday Night - BET ON TEMPLE!!! YOU WILL EASILY MAKE THAT TOLEDO MONEY BACK!!! VEGAS HAS ****** THIS LINE UP!!!

                                  I'm guessing we will see threads tomorrow that claim the line should really be Florida St -45.

                                  ps. You like Colorado on Friday too? Loving both plays personally.
                                  Comment
                                  • Pickma$ter
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-15-10
                                    • 240

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by hall2collie
                                    you won't convince people with these threads nc tuesday night - toldeo is a lock!!! Vegas has this line wrong by like two touchdowns!!! Wednesday night - bet on temple!!! You will easily make that toledo money back!!! Vegas has ****** this line up!!! I'm guessing we will see threads tomorrow that claim the line should really be florida st -45. Ps. You like colorado on friday too? Loving both plays personally.
                                    lmao
                                    Comment
                                    • sandman0713
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-10-11
                                      • 2036

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Pickma$ter
                                      LMAO you have to be the worst capper of all...all 3 of you clowns are fade material.

                                      been fading me you would be around 40% and down 35 units. if that is fade material then fade away.
                                      Comment
                                      • Pickma$ter
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-15-10
                                        • 240

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by DerekMadden
                                        this guy is becoming a troll.. mods... take care of this moron
                                        What are you NC's "computer guard"? Bud grow up a learn how to handle it.
                                        Comment
                                        • DerekMadden
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-14-11
                                          • 1361

                                          #21
                                          Comment
                                          • Pickma$ter
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 11-15-10
                                            • 240

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by sandman0713
                                            been fading me you would be around 40% and down 35 units. if that is fade material then fade away.
                                            Im going to tell you like I see it "guy" there is very few sharp players in the fourm and your not one of them. Being up 31+ units may be good to you but that would be about 1 week for me.
                                            Comment
                                            • DerekMadden
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-14-11
                                              • 1361

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Pickma$ter
                                              Im going to tell you like I see it "guy" there is very few sharp players in the fourm and your not one of them. Being up 31+ units may be good to you but that would be about 1 week for me.
                                              Comment
                                              • sandman0713
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-10-11
                                                • 2036

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Pickma$ter
                                                Im going to tell you like I see it "guy" there is very few sharp players in the fourm and your not one of them. Being up 31+ units may be good to you but that would be about 1 week for me.


                                                no man...that is just on my POSTED picks. on my unposted plays i am up like 8,000 units bro.
                                                Comment
                                                • Pickma$ter
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 11-15-10
                                                  • 240

                                                  #25
                                                  LMAO only if you really knew the knowledge & connections I have.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Pickma$ter
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-15-10
                                                    • 240

                                                    #26
                                                    Congrats on your winky winnings I wont play any game for less then 2 dimes. Not trying to brag here but you needed to put in your place. You can verify this at the LV Hilton ask for Jeff as he always takes my bets. He can also verify they will refuse my bets alot due to my history of winning. Im limited on the amount I can wager about 2 out of every 5 bets.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sandman0713
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-10-11
                                                      • 2036

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Pickma$ter
                                                      LMAO only if you really knew the knowledge & connections I have.

                                                      yeah i am sure you could tell me all about them man. goodnight tho man...time for bed. waste of time to argue all night with someone of your knowledge and connections.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mr. Doughnut
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-16-11
                                                        • 690

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Pickma$ter
                                                        Congrats on your winky winnings I wont play any game for less then 2 dimes. Not trying to brag here but you needed to put in your place. You can verify this at the LV Hilton ask for Jeff as he always takes my bets. He can also verify they will refuse my bets alot do to my history of winning. Im limited on the amount I can wager about 2 out of every 5 bets.
                                                        So you want everyone to believe you are the messiah...but you don't know the difference between "do" and "due"? Please keep posting, it's nice to get a chuckle every once in a while.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Pickma$ter
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 11-15-10
                                                          • 240

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Mr. Doughnut
                                                          So you want everyone to believe you are the messiah...but you don't know the difference between "do" and "due"? Please keep posting, it's nice to get a chuckle every once in a while.
                                                          I would fade my english lol. But I dont need you to believe anything I already laid it out their boss.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Pickma$ter
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 11-15-10
                                                            • 240

                                                            #30
                                                            My biggest advantage I have is I have access to few power rankings that VERY few people have access to. These are offical line makers rankings not you random BS internet crap. Im on here trying to help others...and this is the part of the season where the lines are the "Sharpest" and when the "squares" get beat. Let me tell you that one of the lines that had the most "inflation" in it this week was the Hawaii game.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigDofBA
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-30-09
                                                              • 19313

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Pickma$ter
                                                              I would fade my english lol. But I dont need you to believe anything I already laid it out their boss.
                                                              You can't spell "there" correctly either. LMAO.

                                                              Quit being a liar. If you're not smart enough to spell simple words in the context they are used, how in the hell
                                                              would you have a good enough job that allows you to bet 2k a game????

                                                              Ask for Jeff??? Am I supposed to say, "Hey Jeff, do you know a guy with the screen name of pickmaster?"

                                                              LOL. I love when people try to prove themself online.

                                                              Carry one.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • alexn
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 11-06-10
                                                                • 258

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                You're right: I'm really struggling with my posted plays, which -- hate to break it to you -- is about 60-70% line movement based.

                                                                I know how to "cap a game" chief. LM is part of it.
                                                                Agreed NC. I always cap a game before looking at the line movement, but use LM to factor in the strength of a play. If I cap a game that has 75%+ of the public on the opposing side, then its a very stong play for me.

                                                                Unfortunately I capped this game at 34-14 FSU so I have a small square play for tomorrow.

                                                                BOL NC
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Pickma$ter
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 11-15-10
                                                                  • 240

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                                  You can't spell "there" correctly either. LMAO. Quit being a liar. If you're not smart enough to spell simple words in the context they are used, how in the hell would you have a good enough job that allows you to bet 2k a game???? Ask for Jeff??? Am I supposed to say, "Hey Jeff, do you know a guy with the screen name of pickmaster?" LOL. I love when people try to prove themself online. Carry one.
                                                                  Sure he will, last week I had a $3900 ticket lifted off of me. That will jog his memory
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Pickma$ter
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-15-10
                                                                    • 240

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                                    You can't spell "there" correctly either. LMAO. Quit being a liar. If you're not smart enough to spell simple words in the context they are used, how in the hell would you have a good enough job that allows you to bet 2k a game???? Ask for Jeff??? Am I supposed to say, "Hey Jeff, do you know a guy with the screen name of pickmaster?" LOL. I love when people try to prove themself online. Carry one.
                                                                    Hell you can ask Mark to he is the one in charge. He has to approve every bet I make.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Pickma$ter
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 11-15-10
                                                                      • 240

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Look guys like I said Im here to help others thats what I do. I'm blessed with the info and my contacts that I have. Since members on here seem very quick to judge before verifing what im saying I will let things be. But as soon as you confrim what im saying is true the laugh will be on you.
                                                                      Comment
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