Machine Choice: WVU at Syracuse

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  • Machine Choice
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-08
    • 3997

    #1
    Machine Choice: WVU at Syracuse
    MACHINE CHOICE FOOTBALL: 23-11 (68%)

    Well, Syracuse should actually be 2-4, since they should have lost the Wake Forest game (Syracuse needed OT after Wake QB destroyed them all game before getting injured). And of course they beat Toledo on the classic extra point mis-call. So ask yourself: what would this line be if Syracuse had lost those two games?

    Tonight's game: both teams off the bye, WVU in a revenge spot and getting more comfortable by the week with the new coaching change. Bill Stewart's departure has radically made WVU a better team, and they will victimize Syracuse's horrendous pass defense. Despite having a bad game agaist SU last year, overall Geno Smith is not prone to the turnover (40 TDs, only 10 picks the last 2 years!). That's not good for 'Cuse because turnovers are the only way this game stays close. On offense, Syracuse is very vanilla and presents nothing WVU hasn't seen already on better teams (LSU, Maryland, UCONN). WVU has the 10-ranked pass defense in the nation...again, not good for 'Cuse because they are going to have to throw the ball to keep up with Geno Smith and the evil wizard Holgorsen's aerial assault.

    Syracuse won last year on the strength of a fantastic defense. That team is history. This game is a mismatch and I damn near hung the combo lock on this one (4-0 on those plays this year). Syracuse is only 4-6 ATS in their Dome this year and last, while WVU is 4-2 ATS on the road in the same span.

    Syracuse is about to get handled, don't be on the wrong side.

    Score model:
    West Virginia 39
    Syracuse 21

    WEST VIRGINIA -14
  • CTOWNsCAPPIN
    SBR MVP
    • 02-11-11
    • 3079

    #2
    Good Luck **......I'm with you on this one. Also like Louisville......
    Comment
    • PAULYPOKER
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-06-08
      • 36581

      #3
      Tuff break on you streak breaker last night who woulda thought that fiasco would happen...

      So what now, do you cash your streak $ and start over or what?

      Good luck tonight.........
      Comment
      • Machine Choice
        SBR MVP
        • 12-12-08
        • 3997

        #4
        Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
        Tuff break on you streak breaker last night who woulda thought that fiasco would happen...

        So what now, do you cash your streak $ and start over or what?

        Good luck tonight.........
        I pulled out $1,300, which is not even half of the streak money. Then divided my remaining bankroll by 11, and here we go again.
        Comment
        • PAULYPOKER
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-06-08
          • 36581

          #5
          Got ya THX..........
          Comment
          • SugarDaddy
            SBR Hustler
            • 10-07-11
            • 61

            #6
            Great Job Machine, I agree totally on this one. Been eying it since it came out. Glad to see your new streak starts on this one!
            Comment
            • pasta
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-05-11
              • 139

              #7
              Rutgers vs Louisville

              Hey, Machine

              What's your take on this game, Rutgers vs Louisville?
              Comment
              • Giant Rebels
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-09-10
                • 289

                #8
                Thanks, I wasnt familiar with these teams so this definitely puts me on WV.
                Comment
                • AceKingHigh
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-23-09
                  • 3888

                  #9
                  Thanks, going to stick with you again good luck! yesterday was a bad luck
                  Comment
                  • Machine Choice
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-12-08
                    • 3997

                    #10
                    Originally posted by pasta
                    Hey, Machine

                    What's your take on this game, Rutgers vs Louisville?

                    No opinion. Too many QB changes throughout the year for both teams.
                    Comment
                    • riffraff24
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-20-11
                      • 7234

                      #11
                      Love this pick. Bodog currently has WVU -14 for -115. Does anyone see that juice coming down a little or you think I should lock it in now?
                      Comment
                      • hubie69
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-16-10
                        • 7329

                        #12
                        Originally posted by riffraff24
                        Love this pick. Bodog currently has WVU -14 for -115. Does anyone see that juice coming down a little or you think I should lock it in now?
                        Its at 14.5 -105 right now on bodog. You can take the 1/2 point to -120 if you wish
                        Comment
                        • nomar122977
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-25-11
                          • 9496

                          #13
                          i too love wv and over58
                          also love rutgers and over 40.
                          Comment
                          • riffraff24
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-20-11
                            • 7234

                            #14
                            Machine - Your predicted score totals 60 which is what it's currently at on Bodog. Do you have a lean towards over or under on this one?
                            Comment
                            • onetrickpony
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-23-10
                              • 9434

                              #15
                              tough luck last night man

                              -16 spread and ml was only -800 made me question it but its fuking uab, fuking uab

                              it happens pal
                              Comment
                              • ddavidson1173
                                Restricted User
                                • 10-18-11
                                • 14

                                #16
                                Bodog is worthless

                                Originally posted by riffraff24
                                Love this pick. Bodog currently has WVU -14 for -115. Does anyone see that juice coming down a little or you think I should lock it in now?
                                Why bother? Late lines and juice is usually -120. Bonuses look nice (in the past any way) but the extra juice wipes that out quick. I use bookmaker and may look for additional books if I can start cleaning up like machine does.
                                Comment
                                • jaeguyoon
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-27-11
                                  • 992

                                  #17
                                  locked in wv. Now I'm sitting here pondering about the rutgers game. probably should just lay off that game.
                                  Comment
                                  • riffraff24
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-20-11
                                    • 7234

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jaeguyoon
                                    locked in wv. Now I'm sitting here pondering about the rutgers game. probably should just lay off that game.
                                    I was gonna lay off but ended up goin small on the under 42 GL bud
                                    Comment
                                    • ExperienceWins
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-23-11
                                      • 1972

                                      #19
                                      Rutgers was a 2 point dog this morning and less than 10 hours later they are favored by 1. I locked Rutgers in at 8am this morning and my guy had it at +2.5 and I bought it to 3. Loving RU +3 and WVU -13.5.
                                      Comment
                                      • jaeguyoon
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-27-11
                                        • 992

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by riffraff24
                                        I was gonna lay off but ended up goin small on the under 42 GL bud
                                        yea if I do end up betting that game I think it'd be the under 42. BOL to you man!
                                        Comment
                                        • broadway6
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-14-09
                                          • 13337

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by onetrickpony
                                          tough luck last night man

                                          -16 spread and ml was only -800 made me question it but its fuking uab, fuking uab

                                          it happens pal


                                          west va is -585 on the ml tonight -14 spread
                                          Comment
                                          • DennisT
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-11-09
                                            • 2024

                                            #22
                                            Machine, The first play I took of yours was Ark. St. -3 1/2 WINNER!

                                            With you on West Va -14. Lets cash!
                                            Comment
                                            • artist
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-30-09
                                              • 673

                                              #23
                                              Uab was a good pick last night ats wise but central Florida losing su haha I didn't see that coming.. But forget about last night and move on, my dude machine it was bank bank bank on Tuesday let's cash Friday!

                                              I hate playing during week days but imma go with you on this one wv-15 small play expecting to Bank!
                                              Comment
                                              • CADILLACII
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 10-18-11
                                                • 37

                                                #24
                                                thinking wv -13.5.... Expect wv to come out fast any thoughts on the 1st half -7.5??
                                                Comment
                                                • CBASS
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-22-10
                                                  • 2613

                                                  #25
                                                  I like it Machine. BOL to us
                                                  Comment
                                                  • artist
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-30-09
                                                    • 673

                                                    #26
                                                    GL to you this has become a no play for me, my friend told me that Syracuse games gotta becareful... I just seem that Toledo video weird call
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Albinorhino
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 10-10-08
                                                      • 95

                                                      #27
                                                      Booked WV-14 , and on teaser -6 1/2 with your Jets call on Monday night. I live in the Cuse and I dont think they have a chance. Thanks **.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • thebestthereis
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-01-09
                                                        • 11459

                                                        #28
                                                        Public all over the cuse, love it and pound it.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • texhooper
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-05-09
                                                          • 10001

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by CADILLACII
                                                          thinking wv -13.5.... Expect wv to come out fast any thoughts on the 1st half -7.5??
                                                          i think wvu distances themselves in the second half, personally. if nothing else cuse will be giving a huge effort in this one early, seeing as how they aren't making it into featured matchups very often anymore. and with this being at home on a friday night espn game... i don't think it will be enough in the second half though.

                                                          that's purely speculation though, i don't have anything to back it up other than a hunch.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ralphie Halves
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-13-09
                                                            • 4507

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by CADILLACII
                                                            thinking wv -13.5.... Expect wv to come out fast any thoughts on the 1st half -7.5??
                                                            IIRC West Virginia has been disasterous ATS 1st half this year. Awesome in the 2nd half.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nomar122977
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-25-11
                                                              • 9496

                                                              #31
                                                              geno is gonna put up serious numbers tonight
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ddavidson1173
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 10-18-11
                                                                • 14

                                                                #32
                                                                WTF with these cheap shots by Syracuse? That OOB shot had two freaking refs standing there with their thumbs up their asses.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • numismatist
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-02-11
                                                                  • 2192

                                                                  #33
                                                                  WVU coach is a retard who disappoints me tonight too. Shake it off Machine.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cuse528
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 08-17-11
                                                                    • 31

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Cuse!!!! Machine's the man but I couldn't pull the trigger against my team...trust me I'm just as shocked as everyone else right now.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ddavidson1173
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 10-18-11
                                                                      • 14

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Sucks, but that was a straight up ass whipping.
                                                                      Comment
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