Texas A&M vs Baylor OVER 75

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  • csknight3
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-19-10
    • 629

    #1
    Texas A&M vs Baylor OVER 75
    I know this number looks high but it looks so good. Both these teams have pretty awful defenses and stout offenses. Im not going to say its a lock or anything because we all know what usually happens with those posts. If TCU vs Baylor was 50-48, I could see this score being outrageous.

    Any thoughts or concerns I should know about this one?
    I might just wait for team over/unders and see what looks better.
  • dume walker
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-08-10
    • 971

    #2
    I played the over on Baylor's last 2 games. They've gone over on every game they've completed this year. Also most of their opponents scored their most points of the season against Baylor. But here's what made me decide to take a pass on this one. I read where A&M's Sherman is looking to have his team run more and pass less. Be less of a shoot-out aerial show. He initiated this new approach last week against TT. Ran something like 46 running plays to only 16 passing plays.

    My feeling on why he's doing this is that his O was scoring so fast, it forced his D to spend much more time on the field. And as was glaringly evident in the 2 previous games against Okie State and Arkansas, A&M would run up big first half leads only to have their D wear out in the 2nd half and give the leads back to their opponent. It almost happened again against TT. A&M won by just 4 and did not cover.

    So my guess is they're going to try to slow things down against Baylor. And this made me decided not to go with the over on this game.
    Comment
    • jgray
      SBR MVP
      • 09-06-09
      • 3599

      #3
      Originally posted by dume walker
      I played the over on Baylor's last 2 games. They've gone over on every game they've completed this year. Also most of their opponents scored their most points of the season against Baylor. But here's what made me decide to take a pass on this one. I read where A&M's Sherman is looking to have his team run more and pass less. Be less of a shoot-out aerial show. He initiated this new approach last week against TT. Ran something like running 46 plays to only 16 passing plays. My feeling on why he's doing this is that his O was scoring so fast, it forced his D to spend much more time on the field. And as was glaringly evident in the 2 previous games against Okie State and Arkansas, A&M would run up big first half leads only to have their D wear out in the 2nd half and give the leads back to their opponent. It almost happened again against TT. A&M won by just 4 and did not cover. So my guess is they're going to try to slow things down against Baylor. And this made me decided not to go with the over on this game.
      This is exactly the type of info we should be sharing more on these boards.

      Well done.

      That said, if he's down, he's going to have to throw regardless. Doesn't matter what he wants to do.
      Comment
      • dume walker
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 04-08-10
        • 971

        #4
        One more thing, despite Sherman slowing down the game, the 45-40 A&M/TT score still went well over the total of 71. Might end up being the same at Baylor. A decision you'll need to make.
        Comment
        • ShamsWoof10
          SBR MVP
          • 11-15-06
          • 4827

          #5
          That's a lot of points but I would rather be on the over in this then the under that's for sure..

          Comment
          • jakeloftin2186
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-06-11
            • 595

            #6
            pick the over if u have any since and if you want to make big money parlay it with OSU/Texas over
            Comment
            • travismcilrath
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-20-07
              • 536

              #7
              i think it will go under
              Comment
              • AceKingHigh
                SBR MVP
                • 10-23-09
                • 3888

                #8
                Over over over over let's go baylor!!!
                Comment
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