Machine Choice and the Heaven's Gate Bankroll System

[Machine Choice]

10/29/11...cont

Sothern Cal +7.5

$220 to win $200

The worst beat of all time in 3OT, bullshit refs covering for Stanford. **** my life

Football: 27-19 (59%)
Current streak: 0-2

Starting Bankroll: $1,350
Current Bankroll: $2,200

[Machine Choice]

10/29/11...cont

SD State -19

$200 to win $182

Football: 27-20 (57%)
Current streak: 0-3

Starting Bankroll: $1,350
Current Bankroll: $2,000

[riffraff24]

A lot of heart breakers lately ugh!

[riffraff24]

^ btw thats not a crack on you Machine. Just the outcome of the games!

[Optional]

Don't worry, it was all my fault. Jumped on the Miami F lock, then chased on next two.

I'll go away and let you all go back to winning now.

[Machine Choice]

10/29/11

Final Play: Arizona +4 (-120)

$181 to win $151

LOSS

Football: 27-21 (56%)
Current streak: 0-4

Starting Bankroll: $1,350
Current Bankroll: $1,819

[EasyPicks]

NFL today will bring $$$$$

GL Machine

[ajee622]

wow machine....you'll get back on track. i was going to see who you are picking today, but i'll flip coins today i guess.

side note: i went with washington last night and also took the usc over. hit them both. missed a 7 game parlay by one game

you always get these runs of highs/lows. you'll get back on track

[riffraff24]

Any picks today?

[Machine Choice]

Any picks today?

I'm taking today off completely. And probably tomorrow too. I want to re-evaluate how my models are set up. I'm trying to determine if it is a quantitative issue (i.e. my variables are either wrong outright or simply weighted wrong) or whether it is a qualitative issue (i.e. not spending enough time looking at personnel issues, matchups, team motivation, schedule positioning, etc). It's probably both.

One thing i do know is that last night I tried to ram through three plays at the last second and did not do due justice to handicapping those games properly and my bankroll paid the price. When I say one play per day, I need to truly mean ONE PLAY per day. A single play properly handicapped takes a minimum of two hours in my opinion. Unfortunately, due to grad school I can't spend the time I need to get everything in order and it frustrates me.

Bottom line, when I get my ducks in line I'll be back.

[Machine Choice]

Also I'm killing my Twitter account. I never felt good about it, and it has brought bad luck. Or bad karma. Either one.

Today it dies.

[cant call it]

The worst beat of all time in 3OT, bullshit refs covering for Stanford. **** my life Football: 27-19 (59%) Current streak: 0-2 Starting Bankroll: $1,350 Current Bankroll: $2,200

we both got fukked here I had stanford -9

[cant call it]

GL next week machine

[Ab34]

New here gonna bring you your best week yet machine

[TomJSports]

Good luck, mate. It's obvious you're a cerebral capper, and you have to (and do) put both the quantitative and qualitative work into each play. You'll be fine, as I'm sure you're well aware.

American football still scares the hell out of me, even though I root for the hometown Iggles.

[ajee622]

took KC tonight +2 first half and then KC +2.5 .................. money baby

[Machine Choice]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-betting/1364151-i-wonder-if-san-diego-even-cares-about-game.html

WINNER

Football: 28-21 (57%)
Current streak: 1-0

Starting Bankroll: $1,350
Current Bankroll: $1,995

[riffraff24]

Good shit Machine!!

[Machine Choice]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-betting/1365633-i-tried-talk-myself-out-toledo-but-i-cant-find-way.html

LOSS

Football: 28-22 (56%)
Current streak: 0-1

Starting Bankroll: $1,350
Current Bankroll: $1,828

[ouman101]

Are you playing anything tonight?

[Ab34]

anything thursday night machiene?

[lesterdymond]

Don't sweat it Machine..

The MAC is twisted.

Your bailout Sunday play on the Saints recently, led me to a payout. Keep grindin homie!

[Machine Choice]

Temple -3.5

LOSS

Football: 28-23 (55%)
Current streak: 0-2

Starting Bankroll: $1,350
Current Bankroll: $1,662

[Mikail]

Tough night with Temple. Just a game. Keep grinding Machine choice. I have a feeling the next picks gonna be a winner.

[skers11]

im killing my twitter account cuz i suck at handicappin

[Machine Choice]

Bad stretches come and go, just like douchebags on a forum.

Bankroll management endures.

[skers11]

if u follow machine heres what u do

look up games that the public is hammering and games that have most action on them

followw the pub and this dude

[Machine Choice]

Skers: Learn how to manage your money and then you won't be so angry.

[skers11]

hey... i wasnt the dumb shit that said baylor would be shut out by tcu

u seriously still have followers???

u was on temple and toledo

just stop posting, take ur square shit outta here

[skers11]

[QUOTE=Machine Choice;12180919]Skers: Learn how to manag
where u at square mother fukker????

[Machine Choice]

hey... i wasnt the dumb shit that said baylor would be shut out by tcu

u seriously still have followers???

u was on temple and toledo

just stop posting, take ur square shit outta here

You have me confused with someone else about Baylor vs TCU. Show me the post where I even mention that game.

[skers11]

Bad stretches come and go, just like douchebags on a forum.

Bankroll management endures.

i said that baylor would beat tcu and u said rg3 would get shut

just go and save urself the embarassment

[Machine Choice]

i said that baylor would beat tcu and u said rg3 would get shut

just go and save urself the embarassment

I have no idea what you are talking about. Are you sure you are in the right thread?

[skers11]

Machine Report: TCU at Baylor
September 2, 2011 8:45 AM by Machine Choice - 0 Comments

Machine Plays: 1-0

Last night the season got started with a miraculous comeback and cover. If you gave up on it, don't do that again. Crazy shit happens every week. And now we move on...

The line is TCU-3.5 and TCU won last year at home 45-10. Shifting that home field advantage to Baylor, we get a re-calibrated score of 42-13. So if you're backing Baylor at +3.5, you believe that Baylor has closed a 25-point gap in talent and ability in the span of one year. Now I am going to explain why that is not the case.

BU...... QB Robert Griffin started last year's game as a three-year starter and yet was still only able to go 16-of-28 passing for 164 yards and ran 14 times for only 21 yards. He was sacked 3 times. His victimizers are back for TCU: all-American cadidate Tank Carder at LB, and leading tackler Tanner Brock. Although TCU only returns five on defense, their LB unit is ranked sixth in the country in pre-season polls and they are starting only one freshman on defense, and he projects to be a super-stud (SS Sam Carter). In other words, TCU will not have a drop-off in defense. Gary Patterson doesn't let that happen. In 2009 TCU returned only FOUR starters on defense and yet they allowed only 12.8 ppg! Added to this is the fact that Baylor lost their all-Big 12 RB Jay Finley.

On offense, sure, TCU's Dalton is gone, but it wasn't Dalton who ripped Baylor to pieces last year to the tune of 292 yards rushing! It was TCU's Ed Wesley and Matthew Tucker, and they are both back. And now Baylor has lost their 5 leading tacklers from LY! And they have a new defensive coordinator, first year transitions are usually bad. Ed Wesley is going to absolutely vaporize Baylor's defense. The new TCU QB Pachall is going to have to simply snap, turn, and hand...and then go have a beer.

These schools are only 90 miles apart, so this isn't much of a "road game" for TCU, and I expect them to bring the house since they are now officially on their way to BCS status (Big East next year) and do not want to look like the Conf USA team that they used to be. Patterson has recruited an empire at TCU and that will be in full effect tonight. Could Baylor cover? I think Griffin will connect with his talented receiving corps on some long passes, but ultimately TCU will rush the ball enough to keep him on the sidelines. In 2007 these teams met with TCU returning only 4 starters on offense. The result: a 27-0 win for TCU in Baylor's house. That's Gary Patterson's coaching in action. You don't change that year to year. That stays.

TCU -3.5
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Machine Report: TCU at BaylorMachine Report: SMU at Texas A&MMachine Report: Missouri at Ariz StateMachine Report: Miami at MaryandMachine Report: The Holy WarMachine Report: New Orleans at Green BayMachine Report: Oakland at DenverMachine Report: LSU at Miss State
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[skers11]

from ur posts