Machine Report: UCLA at Oregon

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  • Machine Choice
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-08
    • 3997

    #1
    Machine Report: UCLA at Oregon
    Machine Plays: 14-6 (70%)
    Current Streak: 3-0 (MNF & NLCS)

    I'm breaking silence to write this game up, because I'm already seeing stupid disinformation in this forum about this game. Oregon is going to absolutely throttle UCLA in primetime in their BCS coming-out party. If you doubt that, then you haven't watched many Oregon home games. These geeks are throwing on the yellow threads and pounding the micro-brews all afternon in prep for this ESPN special.

    Listen, that Texas game was a fluke. Texas gave that game to UCLA, commiting two turnovers inside their own 30 yard line. Texas didn't give a shit about that game, with Oklahoma next up. "Machine, Oregon didn't beat WSU very impressively." That's right, and their starting QB didn't play the entire 2H and their backup FB was in a hospital in a ******* coma. Well the QB Thomas is back now. Expect a Stanford-size beatdown, at least until Oregon pulls Thomas late in the 3Q in order to further rest him for the USC game. At that point, the game will be something like 42-10.

    By Quarter:
    1Q: UCLA gadget play nets FG, Oregon TD, Oregon FG (10-3)
    2Q: UCLA FG, Oregon TD, Oregon defensive TD, Oregon FG (27-6)
    3Q: Oregon TD, Oregon TD, UCLA TD (41-13); Thomas leaves games, enter Costa
    4Q: Oregon TD, UCLA TD in garbage time vs reserves 48-20

    Could a backdoor cover occur? Not likely. Oregon has had two weeks to prepare for UCLA's pathetic pistol offense, which Cal exposed as a fraud. UCLA is rotating QB's due to Prince's health (and absolute ineffectiveness), and Neuhesal had to dismiss two offensive playmakers this week due to infractions. Primary receiver Rosario is banged up and probably won't play. UCLA is distracted and rightfully scared. Roll the cameras.

    OREGON -25
  • ronjon619
    SBR MVP
    • 09-06-09
    • 3675

    #2
    Skippy Neuhesal gets his team fired up for this one and keeps it within the number.
    Comment
    • Machine Choice
      SBR MVP
      • 12-12-08
      • 3997

      #3
      Originally posted by ronjon619
      Skippy Neuhesal gets his team fired up for this one and keeps it within the number.
      Like he did for Cal / Stanford games. Got it.
      Comment
      • jeeves
        Restricted User
        • 09-27-10
        • 146

        #4
        Nice record, sir. Nice write-up, too.

        UCLA has a great run game. I'm sure their gameplan has to include keeping the ball on the ground in an attempt to control the clock and keep the ball out of Thomas' hands. If they can be successful in this, there may not be enough time in the game to cover 24pts.
        Comment
        • redrum
          SBR MVP
          • 02-13-08
          • 1903

          #5
          i like the ducks first half
          Comment
          • ManBearPig
            SBR MVP
            • 12-04-08
            • 2473

            #6
            Originally posted by redrum
            i like the ducks first half
            It's at 14 and that seems almost too low...I think they hit that in the 1Q.
            Comment
            • Machine Choice
              SBR MVP
              • 12-12-08
              • 3997

              #7
              Originally posted by jeeves
              Nice record, sir. Nice write-up, too.

              UCLA has a great run game. I'm sure their gameplan has to include keeping the ball on the ground in an attempt to control the clock and keep the ball out of Thomas' hands. If they can be successful in this, there may not be enough time in the game to cover 24pts.
              Their rushing has been inconsistent. UCLA rushed for a total of 26 yards vs California. 26 yards.

              Now consider that Oregon has had two weeks to game plan, and that they just saw Ohio St last exactly one week at the AP #1. They will be ready for whatever UCLA brings.
              Comment
              • ronjon619
                SBR MVP
                • 09-06-09
                • 3675

                #8
                Originally posted by jeeves
                Nice record, sir. Nice write-up, too.

                UCLA has a great run game. I'm sure their gameplan has to include keeping the ball on the ground in an attempt to control the clock and keep the ball out of Thomas' hands. If they can be successful in this, there may not be enough time in the game to cover 24pts.
                your exactly right. They will try to make that game as ugly as possible. 25 is a huge number for the athletes UCLA has. That pistol offense or whatever Skippy calls it will be dialed down to a heavy dose of running the ball.
                Comment
                • jeeves
                  Restricted User
                  • 09-27-10
                  • 146

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Machine Choice
                  UCLA rushed for a total of 26 yards vs California.
                  I think the Backs ran for maybe 70 yards, but the ridiculous sack yardage subtracted from that. Still, very hard to argue with that performance.

                  And that will be Oregon's goal: stop the run, put points on the board, turn UCLA into a passing team. If they can get to that point the final could be 52-10.

                  As you said, alot depends what Bruins team shows up
                  Comment
                  • jrgarza88
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-26-10
                    • 221

                    #10
                    I have soured on Oregon, ever since I lost big money when they couldn't cover -13 against Arizona St., -25.5 is way too high no way i'm picking Oregon in this spot I can already see the direction this game is going
                    Comment
                    • gogogo
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 09-03-10
                      • 29

                      #11
                      good luck everyone tomorow
                      Comment
                      • jeeves
                        Restricted User
                        • 09-27-10
                        • 146

                        #12
                        ...But your record speaks for itself
                        Comment
                        • udlock4life
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 10-08-10
                          • 212

                          #13
                          bol tomorrow
                          Comment
                          • sportfan
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-22-09
                            • 10111

                            #14
                            UCLA + 25 , a backdoor cover perhaps
                            Comment
                            • Joe_Shabadoo
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-17-09
                              • 607

                              #15
                              I think the under in the 1st-half is the best way to go here; there have been 17 total points scored in the 1st-half of their match-ups in '08/'09.

                              After that, yeah, I think Oregon would probably go into crush-kill-destroy mode, but -- until then.....UCLA will try to keep this game as close as possible with clock killing.
                              Comment
                              • JayTrotter
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 03-27-10
                                • 320

                                #16
                                I should thank you for the Titans the other day..

                                Looks like that colts pick got you ready to rumble again.. keep it up!
                                Comment
                                • jagaf22
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-22-08
                                  • 2932

                                  #17
                                  Think I'll stay away from this one.
                                  Comment
                                  • hawkeye76
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 10-05-10
                                    • 15

                                    #18
                                    Nice writeup. BOL.
                                    Comment
                                    • gmoney45
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-09-09
                                      • 312

                                      #19
                                      GL Machine
                                      Comment
                                      • DangerousOne
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 10-30-08
                                        • 249

                                        #20
                                        I Think you're on the $$$ here machine. With a gimpy Prince, injured Rosario, (doubtful) and suspended Smith & Pressley ,(Out) you gotta think UCLA will struggle to get out of single digits. When we wake up on Friday we might look back at this game and say I can't believe the spread was only 25, GL ALL!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • TheCommish
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-23-09
                                          • 1013

                                          #21
                                          I really like Oregon today also.
                                          Comment
                                          • the h man
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 10-14-10
                                            • 145

                                            #22
                                            What do you guys think about Oregan -6.5 for the 1st quarter? or the 3rd quarter?
                                            Comment
                                            • Balco10
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-11-10
                                              • 5478

                                              #23
                                              I got killed on the Rangers and Phils last night and chasing big time on the Ducks 24.5 today and over 60.5 .
                                              Comment
                                              • brewcrew2k
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-26-10
                                                • 1158

                                                #24
                                                Always good write ups Machine!!
                                                Comment
                                                • zanman822
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 06-18-10
                                                  • 322

                                                  #25
                                                  Wellunder is also the play vegas is begging you to take the over in this game no movement at all on the total with a ton of people on the over.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Balco10
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-11-10
                                                    • 5478

                                                    #26
                                                    What do you mean?????????? It went from 60.5 to 62 at some books.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Balco10
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-11-10
                                                      • 5478

                                                      #27
                                                      Oregon is good for 60 themselves.....
                                                      Comment
                                                      • khaden
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-19-09
                                                        • 1864

                                                        #28
                                                        GL ** I agree 100%. I think this will be a slaughter from start to finish. I'm playing Oregon for the game, 1st half, 1stQ, 2ndQ , and 3rdQ
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PhilliesPhan
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-06-10
                                                          • 153

                                                          #29
                                                          UCLA has issues and Oregon doesnt play down to opponents at home ... Off a bye with so much speculation with 1 loss teams on who would make the national championship game, i just dont see the Ducks winning by any less than 28
                                                          Comment
                                                          • diggalee
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 10-12-10
                                                            • 19

                                                            #30
                                                            Like I said earlier Oregon comes out on fire, stacks the box, and forces ucla to throw (pick 6's). Go ducks.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Night-Tripper
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-14-09
                                                              • 3205

                                                              #31
                                                              Both teams had a bye last week...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • aznjeff07
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-22-09
                                                                • 1295

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                                Both teams had a bye last week...
                                                                Did not know ucla had a bye. thx
                                                                Comment
                                                                • FeelinJuiced
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 09-16-09
                                                                  • 314

                                                                  #33
                                                                  UCLA is one-dimensional. Oregon knows what's coming... Run. UCLAs QB is most likely out of this game with a knee injury so that just makes their passing situation worse. They already average 95 yards passing a game.

                                                                  UCLA has a great rushing game... At home. On the road they are averaging 161 yards, good but not great. Oregon is averaging 428 yards rushing at home. Don't see how you don't go with Oregon here. BOL to everyone.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • GoCougs!
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-11-10
                                                                    • 970

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Good luck to all whichever way you go.
                                                                    I think Oregon wins by 4 TD's.
                                                                    Speed kills and UCLA doesn't have enough to keep up w/ Oregon.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • fults400
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 08-03-10
                                                                      • 140

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I love oregon -6.5 first quarter. I think they come out firing and cover easy
                                                                      Comment
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