College Football Chalk Parlay on GUARANTEED Wins

BookieOweMe · 09-21-10, 11:24 AM

nvm i can

PAYTON20 · 09-22-10, 03:24 PM

Here is one I just threw together for this week's games. Input and suggestions always appreciated. Still in the working stages. Let's build another winner

303 TCU* -900 vs SMU
310 Michigan* -3500 vs Bowling Green
322 Florida State* -950 vs Wake Forest
326 Connecticut* -1165 vs Buffalo U
332 Missouri* -1165 vs Miami Ohio
350 Texas* -700 vs UCLA
355 USC* -1550 vs Washington State
358 Kansas* -1600 vs New Mexico State

This one would pay 0.92 for every $1 bet. Close enough to even for me

PAYTON20 · 09-22-10, 03:50 PM

Originally posted by PAYTON20

303 TCU* -900 vs SMU
310 Michigan* -3500 vs Bowling Green
322 Florida State* -950 vs Wake Forest
326 Connecticut* -1165 vs Buffalo U
332 Missouri* -1165 vs Miami Ohio
350 Texas* -700 vs UCLA
355 USC* -1550 vs Washington State
358 Kansas* -1600 vs New Mexico State

The only game here I am not too sure about is Connecticut- don't know much about them or Buffalo. You can drop Connecticut out of this parlay and add in Iowa -4500 vs Ball State and get a 0.81 payout for every $1

TheTonik · 09-22-10, 04:24 PM

What do you think of adding Houston U and Indiana to the mix?

venture · 09-22-10, 04:32 PM

What about florida -550?

PAYTON20 · 09-22-10, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by TheTonik

What do you think of adding Houston U and Indiana to the mix?

Don't know much about Indiana but I do know Akron is pretty horrible. Indiana seems safe to me.
Houston looks alright, but the fact that they got smacked around by UCLA last week doesn't sit well with me. Do you have any information on the status of Keenum's injury?

Originally posted by venture

What about florida -550?

Florida looks like a strong play here. They should win. Kentucky isn't exactly a bad team though, and that has kind of been my formula for these picks in a sense. Seriously considering adding Florida here now that you bring it up, that one I didn't see at first

PAYTON20 · 09-22-10, 06:30 PM

Here's another one I made with Florida included:

303 TCU* -1000 vs SMU
310 Michigan* -3500 vs Bowling Green
322 Florida State* -950 vs Wake Forest
332 Missouri* -1165 vs Miami Ohio
350 Texas* -700 vs UCLA
355 USC* -1550 vs Washington State
360 Florida* -580 vs Kentucky

$100.00 would pay $93.68

EasyHustlin · 09-22-10, 06:41 PM

No way I'm laying -1600 on KANSAS... have you seen that team play? They have the potential to get blown out on any given night. Good luck my friend, I'm with you on the rest.

PAYTON20 · 09-22-10, 06:45 PM

Originally posted by EasyHustlin

No way I'm laying -1600 on KANSAS... have you seen that team play? They have the potential to get blown out on any given night. Good luck my friend, I'm with you on the rest.

Good call my friend. Did you notice the parlay I posted just above your post- Kansas is not included in that one. I just kind of threw them in because they were a big favorite, but after looking it over a second time I had some doubts.

Really appreciate the contribution

dog24 · 09-22-10, 06:47 PM

Like you said, Kentucky may be too good of a team to be an automatic loss team.

agharah1 · 09-22-10, 09:28 PM

With their defense, Michigan is a threat to lose ANY game, even vs. Purdue, Illinois, and yes Bowling Green.

Tien · 09-22-10, 09:47 PM

this week's parlay doesn't look as good as the previous 2 weeks :-/

PAYTON20 · 09-22-10, 10:51 PM

Originally posted by Tien

this week's parlay doesn't look as good as the previous 2 weeks :-/

Well there has only been 1 previous week. And I agree...but at the same time, this parlay is NOT final. I am still open to ideas and tweaking the picks. How do you propose to make it stronger, if you have any ideas?

Open to suggestions as open conversation about these games really helps me finalize my picks

BookieOweMe · 09-22-10, 11:13 PM

thanks

drfunkmaster · 09-22-10, 11:19 PM

take green bay MNF...

Tien · 09-22-10, 11:38 PM

Originally posted by PAYTON20

Well there has only been 1 previous week. And I agree...but at the same time, this parlay is NOT final. I am still open to ideas and tweaking the picks. How do you propose to make it stronger, if you have any ideas?

Open to suggestions as open conversation about these games really helps me finalize my picks

i see,
i think these parlays have better chance of hitting than the spread too

this is my first year betting on NCAAF, and i started trying to parlay week 2 and 3 and they were good.
Texas A&M almost killed me last week

I like your picks above. I think Oklahoma @-475 vs Cincin is better than Florida vs Kentucky. Kentucky hasn't played against a good team but they looked good the first 2 games. Cincy is horrible as we can see how they played the first 2 games. They cannot rush or pass at all. They only good at getting free points...when other team lets them ;D

agharah1 · 09-22-10, 11:39 PM

I also wouldn't take Mizzou after mediocre performances vs. Illinois and San Diego State. Miami University might not be the MAC bottom feeder they were last year.

TwiistedDragon · 09-23-10, 01:20 AM

I would add Nevada to that list, i think that is an easy win.

drfunkmaster · 09-23-10, 01:48 AM

Originally posted by TwiistedDragon

I would add Nevada to that list, i think that is an easy win.

i agree with that one as well.. take the huge ml and nevada for a good payout

sweethook · 09-23-10, 02:33 AM

its a lot to lay , gl.

Julian9 · 09-23-10, 04:38 AM

add the ravens at home vs the browns.. they have to win that game and they know it after last weeks loss to cinci

Citizen619 · 09-23-10, 05:23 AM

Awesome thread!
USC scares me because they are notorious for losing at least 1 pac10 game to a horrible team
they do have a new coach and offensive coordinator playing with a sanctioned and arguably diminished team
They also still have an unproven head coach

Florida looked good to me. They have pretty much monopolized the attention for football in the state of Florida, so they will always be loaded with talent. Plus they have a "real" quarterback now so they might catch a groove on offense and destroy a few teams

Florida's schedule is set up for National Championship run. Play Alabama on the road and then sit back and let the SEC come to them. This is a huge game to build confidence and a send off to Alabama - I doubt they will be looking past Kentucky but I do think they will focus on being sharp.

Plus Kentucky has a first year coach opening SEC play in the swamp at night against Meyer (looking for his 100th win as a head coach - players get into this kinda stuff, so would a campus for a night sec game)

Citizen619 · 09-23-10, 05:35 AM

delete

Jimmy Proffett · 09-23-10, 05:59 AM

This thread actually won me some SBR points last week, I put together my own moneyline parlay that paid 230 points on a 400 point wager (just used SBR points). This week I think I'm going to use some NFL teams in the one I'm cooking up; New England and Baltimore are both in "must win" mode and @ home. So far I've got this:

Baltimore: -525
New England: -900
UTEP: -450
Texas: -725

Risking 100 SBR points to win 83.90 SBR points

Prob gonna add 2 more heavy chalks to get it closer to even payout. Also prob gonna wager more than a hundy on it.

BOL TO ALL!

PAYTON20 · 09-24-10, 11:16 AM

I do not feel comfortable with Florida. They are out.

Nevada looks like a good bet but that would be better suited straight up, or in a 2 or 3 team parlay

I have tweaked my parlay and I'm starting to feel a little better about it. Let me know what you guys think.

303 TCU* -900 vs SMU
322 Florida State* -1000 vs Wake Forest
339 Oklahoma* -475 vs Cincinnati U
350 Texas* -650 vs UCLA
355 USC* -1500 vs Washington State
387 Oregon* -450 vs Arizona State

This parlay pays better than even. Pays $122 for every $100 bet

sooner13 · 09-24-10, 11:31 AM

Looks good! I would say you could confidently add AF-525 and PennSt. -550 and have yourself a real nice payout. Goodluck this weekend!

PAYTON20 · 09-24-10, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by sweethook

its a lot to lay , gl.

That's the whole point of the parlay- to make it so you have a close to even payout.
The latest one I came up with pays +122, so that's not exactly laying a ton of chalk or risking a ton to win a little.

It definitely would be if they were straight up bets, but I'd never bet those big MLs SU

ACCBlitz · 09-24-10, 12:41 PM

Went 2-0 on some 'just for fun' parlays last weekend.....few more for shits and giggles

Moneyline like you're looking for:
Pays 3.50:1
Football NCAA - TCU Horned Frogs -1000 for Game
Football NCAA - Purdue Boilermakers -450 for Game
Football NCAA - Penn State Nittany Lions -550 for Game
Football NCAA - Connecticut Huskies -1400 for Game
Football NCAA - Missouri Tigers -1200 for Game
Football NCAA - Air Force Falcons -500 for Game
Football NCAA - Oklahoma Sooners -475 for Game
Football NCAA - Boise State Broncos -900 for Game
Football NCAA - Texas Longhorns -650 for Game
Football NCAA - USC Trojans -1800 for Game
Football NCAA - Kansas Jayhawks -1800 for Game
Football NCAA - Florida Gators -600 for Game

Others I'm doing:
Pays 18:1
Football NCAA - Florida State Seminoles -11 -110 for Game
Football NCAA - Air Force Falcons -5 -110 for Game
Football NCAA - Penn State Nittany Lions -4 -110 for Game
Football NCAA - Oklahoma Sooners -5½ -110 for Game
Football NCAA - Boise State Broncos -8½ -110 for Game
Football NCAA - Alabama Crimson Tide +1 -115 for Game
Football NCAA - Florida Gators -4½ -110 for Game
Football NCAA - North Carolina Tar Heels +5½ -110 for Game
Football NCAA - Oregon Ducks -3½ -110 for Game
Football NCAA - Texas Longhorns -8 -110 for Game
Football NCAA - NC State Wolfpack +17 -110 for Game
Football NCAA - TCU Horned Frogs -10 -110 for Game
Football NCAA - Florida Atlantic Owls -2 -110 for Game
Football NCAA - Virginia Tech Hokies +4 -110 for Game

Pays .90:1 (-110)
Football NCAA - Virginia Tech Hokies +3 -110 for Game
Football NCAA - USC Trojans -15½ -110 for Game
Football NCAA - South Florida Bulls -20 -110 for Game

linedrivr · 09-24-10, 01:00 PM

If ML parlays are your thing. here is a 13 teamer to ponder over. I posted a 9 teamer last Saturday in iifold's thread that was a winner.

lay 500 to win 1015

TCU
USC TROJANS
MICHIGAN
IOWA
TENNESSEE
UCONN
TEXAS
FL ATLANTIC
BOISE
UTAH
S FLORIDA
KANSAS
HOUSTON COUGARS

cant call it · 09-24-10, 01:07 PM

good job, and bol

drfunkmaster · 09-24-10, 01:25 PM

Originally posted by linedrivr

If ML parlays are your thing. here is a 13 teamer to ponder over. I posted a 9 teamer last Saturday in iifold's thread that was a winner. lay 500 to win 1015 TCU USC TROJANS MICHIGAN IOWA TENNESSEE UCONN TEXAS FL ATLANTIC BOISE UTAH S FLORIDA KANSAS HOUSTON COUGARS

Didn't houstan lose.

ahhlenn · 09-24-10, 01:42 PM

Originally posted by PAYTON20

I do not feel comfortable with Florida. They are out.

Nevada looks like a good bet but that would be better suited straight up, or in a 2 or 3 team parlay

I have tweaked my parlay and I'm starting to feel a little better about it. Let me know what you guys think.

303 TCU* -900 vs SMU
322 Florida State* -1000 vs Wake Forest
339 Oklahoma* -475 vs Cincinnati U
350 Texas* -650 vs UCLA
355 USC* -1500 vs Washington State
387 Oregon* -450 vs Arizona State

This parlay pays better than even. Pays $122 for every $100 bet

i'm not sure if anyone suggested this, but i kinda like Boise this week. it's their first home game for the season and they are on a good start with the away games. maybe substitute Boise with the weakest link in the parlay? or make Boise an addition? let me know what you think. BOL!

ufcmma36 · 09-24-10, 01:50 PM

I would add boise

PAYTON20 · 09-24-10, 02:26 PM

My final parlay is going to be the one below. I do like Boise St to win, but I think the juice is a bit high and Oregon St is a strong team. So I stuck with this one. Good luck to everyone this weekend, hope we can make this 2 for 2!

Originally posted by PAYTON20

303 TCU* -900 vs SMU
322 Florida State* -1000 vs Wake Forest
339 Oklahoma* -475 vs Cincinnati U
350 Texas* -650 vs UCLA
355 USC* -1500 vs Washington State
387 Oregon* -450 vs Arizona State

This parlay pays better than even. Pays $122 for every $100 bet

Annnd I would like to thank everyone who contributed in the thread this week.

PAYTON20 · 09-24-10, 05:32 PM

Here is a second one that I did for less money. But it pays more... 2.47 to 1

9 Team Parlay

303 TCU -900* vs SMU
318 Penn State -550* vs Temple
322 Florida State -1000* vs Wake Forest
333 Air Force -525* vs Wyoming
339 Oklahoma -475* vs Cincinnati U
344 Boise State -900* vs Oregon State
350 Texas -650* vs UCLA
355 USC -1500* vs Washington State
387 Oregon -450* vs Arizona State