Cougar Bait's College Football Plays 2010

Cougar Bait · 09-06-10, 02:42 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

VT is the play. Ryan Matthews ran for like 300 yards vs BSU last year and Ryan Williams is just as good if not better with a better OLline. Fresno gave up 50 points though, VT will not. 60% of the public on Boise and line goes from VT +2 to -2.

I agree with this analysis SJ, weird line movement, but gonna make V Tech a play if Navy cashes. Good luck tonight boys.

sweetjones55 · 09-06-10, 02:57 PM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

I agree with this analysis SJ, weird line movement, but gonna make V Tech a play if Navy cashes. Good luck tonight boys.

Personally don't think you should just take a team just because another team wins. If VT is worth a play then they are worth a play regardless if you've hit your last 5 or lost you're last 5 games. I don't think the movement is weird. I just think the bigger smart money was pounding on the nice VT moneyline while it was around +115-120 driving the line to -2.5 now.

Cougar Bait · 09-06-10, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Personally don't think you should just take a team just because another team wins. If VT is worth a play then they are worth a play regardless if you've hit your last 5 or lost you're last 5 games. I don't think the movement is weird. I just think the bigger smart money was pounding on the nice VT moneyline while it was around +115-120 driving the line to -2.5 now.

Well everyone has their own way of doing things. I hope Tech wins either way because I am sick of the Boise hype. I don't want to see them win one real game then play a bunch of posers and end up in the BCS Championship game.

OverUnder · 09-06-10, 03:29 PM

Navy is off to a slow start, but they look good on offense. Hopefully they can make this a shootout.

Cougar Bait · 09-06-10, 03:35 PM

Originally posted by OverUnder

Navy is off to a slow start, but they look good on offense. Hopefully they can make this a shootout.

Navy is getting worked over right now.

OverUnder · 09-06-10, 03:37 PM

Gotta score right here

Cougar Bait · 09-06-10, 03:41 PM

Originally posted by OverUnder

Gotta score right here

Boo-yah! Needed that score, these guys can light it up, just hope they can make a few stops, I think Maryland will tire come the second half.

OverUnder · 09-06-10, 04:22 PM

4 red zone visits and 7 points

Cougar Bait · 09-06-10, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by OverUnder

4 red zone visits and 7 points

Yeah I hear ya, missed FG was frustrating, always hate to see easy points missed

OverUnder · 09-06-10, 04:26 PM

Navy will roll in the second half they are more disciplined and Maryland is notoriously bad in the 4th quarter.

OverUnder · 09-06-10, 04:27 PM

Navy -4.5 (-120) for the 2nd half.

Cougar Bait · 09-06-10, 04:35 PM

I am counting on the D to tire as the game progresses, it was part of how I capped this game.

Let's hope you are right O/U

sweetjones55 · 09-06-10, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Well everyone has their own way of doing things. I hope Tech wins either way because I am sick of the Boise hype. I don't want to see them win one real game then play a bunch of posers and end up in the BCS Championship game.

DITTOOOO. I don't think it will happen, that just wouldn't be right.

OverUnder · 09-06-10, 05:00 PM

Last three Navy possessions, fumble on the 2, fumble on the 6, and a fumble on the 1

HoldEmHook!! · 09-06-10, 05:03 PM

Hey Coug, I was in another in game thread.......Navy should be dominating, Dobbs must have a dime on Maryland

NostraDanUS · 09-06-10, 05:07 PM

the 2nd half always belongs to the wishbone.

Cougar Bait · 09-06-10, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

DITTOOOO. I don't think it will happen, that just wouldn't be right.

Originally posted by OverUnder

Last three Navy possessions, fumble on the 2, fumble on the 6, and a fumble on the 1

Yeah, unreal it shouldn't even be a game right now...

Originally posted by HoldEmHook!!

Hey Coug, I was in another in game thread.......Navy should be dominating, Dobbs must have a dime on Maryland

All good, and I hear ya, let's just get this money

Originally posted by NostraDanUS

the 2nd half always belongs to the wishbone.

That's how I capped it, but all these mistakes have really blown a hole in my theory...could be close

OverUnder · 09-06-10, 06:13 PM

Between this game and the LSU game I feel like quitting

Cougar Bait · 09-06-10, 06:16 PM

Originally posted by OverUnder

Between this game and the LSU game I feel like quitting

The thing is this one we capped right, it's just the final doesn't reflect it. You're gonna have games like this all year. 3 fumbles inside the 10? No way to cap that. Navy did everything you thought they were gonna do except capitalize on those drives. If they do, it's not even close.

Chuck Sims · 09-06-10, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by OverUnder

Navy -4.5 (-120) for the 2nd half.

Matchbook had Navy -4.5 +101.

Cougar Bait · 09-06-10, 06:37 PM

Adding:

Vriginia Tech ML +105 (1 to win 1.05)

Cougar Bait · 09-06-10, 10:59 PM

Bad day today 0-2

4-4 on the year -.36 units YTD

On to next week, and I should really stick to my idea of not playing games that are questionable. Got hooked into wanting action tonight. Still, could be worse I guess. But I let a profit on the week slip by because of an inability to tame my need for action.

OverUnder · 09-06-10, 11:26 PM

2-6-1 for the first week down 11 units. Well, at least its a long season Cougar I liked my picks this weekend just had some bad breaks.

Cougar Bait · 09-06-10, 11:30 PM

O/U you are a good capper and will bounce back

GiveMeaBJ · 09-06-10, 11:37 PM

Tough day today Cougar bounce back next week.

OverUnder · 09-06-10, 11:38 PM

Got any week 2 leans yet? I like:

Miss St. +2
S. Carolina -2.5
Army -2.5
FLA -16.5
Vandy +10.5
Oklahoma -9.5
Notre Dame -4
Ohio State -9.5
Tennessee +13

OverUnder · 09-06-10, 11:38 PM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

O/U you are a good capper and will bounce back

Cougar Bait · 09-07-10, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by OverUnder

Got any week 2 leans yet? I like: Miss St. +2 S. Carolina -2.5 Army -2.5 FLA -16.5 Vandy +10.5 Oklahoma -9.5 Notre Dame -4 Ohio State -9.5 Tennessee +13

I am all over a bunch of bad teams this week. No idea why.

Central Michigan +8
Marshall +13.5
ECU -12
Idaho +29
Louisiana Tech +19.5
Buffalo +16.5
Central Florida -3

Just at a first glance. I will be playing some of these, just have to narrow it down. It usually changes quite a bit by the end of the week. We'll see.

paste_me · 09-07-10, 06:19 PM

Originally posted by OverUnder

Got any week 2 leans yet? I like:

Miss St. +2
S. Carolina -2.5
Army -2.5
FLA -16.5
Vandy +10.5
Oklahoma -9.5
Notre Dame -4
Ohio State -9.5
Tennessee +13

wow, i was leaning totally on the opposite side of most of those plays

Cougar Bait · 09-07-10, 09:40 PM

Originally posted by paste_me

wow, i was leaning totally on the opposite side of most of those plays

I have been mulling over a play on Michigan but can't pull the trigger. I think I will pass on most of the big games this week.

OverUnder · 09-08-10, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by paste_me

wow, i was leaning totally on the opposite side of most of those plays

I was 2-6-1 last week so do not take my word for it lol

OverUnder · 09-08-10, 12:36 AM

Like UCF Cougar, like them alot.

Cougar Bait · 09-08-10, 06:41 PM

For Thursday:

Central Michigan +7.5 -107 (1 to win .93)
Mississippi State +2.5 -105 (1 to win .95)

PsychicSports · 09-09-10, 09:16 AM

Best of luck CB! Got ya 14 points. hopefully I can remember to keep getting on here. lol. Sorry bro.

OverUnder · 09-09-10, 10:13 AM

On Mississippi State as well