Pags Plays 10/20

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  • pags11
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-18-05
    • 12264

    #1
    Pags Plays 10/20
    Fri. 1/2 unit play...

    Connecticut +3

    Sat. plays all for 3 units...

    Indiana +10
    Navy +4
    Virginia +5.5
    Michigan St. +17
    Auburn +11.5
    Miami FL +6.5
    Missouri -4
  • rjt721
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-06-07
    • 7929

    #2
    Looks good. I also played Indiana (got +9. Crazy number .... was hoping for 4), and Mizzou (got -3.5). Leaning to UConn.

    Good luck this week, pags.
    Comment
    • pags11
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-18-05
      • 12264

      #3
      thanks rjt...good to hear we are on Indiana and Missouri together...

      I will be monitoring the Rutgers line this week, if it goes to +4, +4.5 I will most likely make a half unit play...otherwise this is it for me this week...
      Comment
      • imgv94
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-16-05
        • 17192

        #4
        pags= the man.


        Make that money bro.
        Comment
        • pags11
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-05
          • 12264

          #5
          thanks imgv...good talking with you earlier today to get your take on lines and games...GL this week to you bro...
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            pags,

            I like your style (+++++++++).

            I usually just tell people the the "-" key on my keyboard is broken.
            Comment
            • pags11
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-18-05
              • 12264

              #7
              LT profits,

              haha...yep, you're a smart man...GL to you this upcoming week as well...
              Comment
              • hawk 5
                SBR MVP
                • 09-12-06
                • 3982

                #8
                On your coat tail this week pags. GL.
                Comment
                • sirwinzalot
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 06-13-07
                  • 121

                  #9
                  Pags,

                  Good luck, thanks for the sharp information.
                  Comment
                  • DrLuck
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 09-06-07
                    • 64

                    #10
                    Good luck this week pags... where you get your early numbers CRIS?
                    Comment
                    • imgv94
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-16-05
                      • 17192

                      #11
                      Bookmaker
                      Comment
                      • austintx05
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-24-06
                        • 3156

                        #12
                        same difference

                        glpags
                        Comment
                        • Teasem
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 10-04-07
                          • 244

                          #13
                          Looks good Pags, I'm all over

                          Mizzou
                          Virginia
                          UConn
                          &
                          Indiana

                          This week as well, GL..........hopefully a celebration Saturday night (In which I'll be in Lawrence, Kansas)
                          Comment
                          • onlooker
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 36572

                            #14
                            I am with you on Indiana, but against you on Miami. I will be going with Florida State.

                            Good luck this coming week Pags.
                            Comment
                            • pags11
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-18-05
                              • 12264

                              #15
                              hawk,

                              understood brother...

                              sir,

                              appreciate the info. you've given me as well...

                              dr. luck,

                              yeah, I use bookmaker and matchbook as my primary two books...

                              austin,

                              thank you...GL to you as well this week...

                              teasem,

                              have fun in Kansas and GL...

                              onlooker,

                              I'm curious to hear your thoughts on why you will be laying points with FSU here vs. Miami...BOL to you...
                              Comment
                              • onlooker
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-10-05
                                • 36572

                                #16
                                Originally posted by pags11
                                onlooker,

                                I'm curious to hear your thoughts on why you will be laying points with FSU here vs. Miami...BOL to you...
                                I am really going to watch and see what happens with that line. Being a FSU fan, I know how pitiful that team is. Miami is not much better either. So I hope to see a lot of money going on Miami to give me a better line.

                                Plus Miami won't get that comfort of the first half at the Orange Bowl. I think they outscored their opponents 71-0 in the first half there.

                                So lets say its more of a lean at this point.
                                Comment
                                • pags11
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-18-05
                                  • 12264

                                  #17
                                  onlooker,

                                  oh, ok didn't realize you are an FSU fan...
                                  Comment
                                  • onlooker
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-10-05
                                    • 36572

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by pags11
                                    onlooker,

                                    oh, ok didn't realize you are an FSU fan...
                                    You of all people should know I am not a homer bettor.
                                    Comment
                                    • pags11
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-18-05
                                      • 12264

                                      #19
                                      if you say so onlooker...
                                      Comment
                                      • shrax4
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-11-06
                                        • 399

                                        #20
                                        With you on all plays Pags. Here's to repeating last week!
                                        Comment
                                        • pags11
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-18-05
                                          • 12264

                                          #21
                                          shrax,

                                          we'll do our best bud...GL to you this week...
                                          Comment
                                          • cashflow50
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-23-07
                                            • 140

                                            #22
                                            love all them dogs again this week!

                                            I also love that mizzou team coming from behind to give me a back door cover. I love them this week also.

                                            oh by the way..awesome week pags.
                                            Comment
                                            • taurus
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 08-11-05
                                              • 206

                                              #23
                                              PAGS- CONGRATS on a great week just past
                                              I assume you beat the Prick ??
                                              At 6 or whatever, Miami would have a cover on FSU for the past 5 years, maybe longer.
                                              too early for me to know what I'm doing but I'll pay attention to your plays as usual.
                                              Look for write-ups later maybe ??
                                              gl
                                              taurus alias bull
                                              Comment
                                              • pags11
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-18-05
                                                • 12264

                                                #24
                                                cashflow,

                                                thank you sir...good to hear you are on Missouri...

                                                taurus,

                                                thanks bud...yeah, I finally did beat the prick, lol...I think Miami's the play here...GL to you as well this week...
                                                Comment
                                                • bigboydan
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                  • 55420

                                                  #25
                                                  I'm with you on your Auburn play this week Pags.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • imastud2
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 08-31-06
                                                    • 22

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pags11
                                                    Fri. 1/2 unit play...

                                                    Connecticut +3

                                                    Sat. plays all for 3 units...

                                                    Indiana +10
                                                    Navy +4
                                                    Virginia +5.5
                                                    Michigan St. +17
                                                    Auburn +11.5
                                                    Miami FL +6.5
                                                    Missouri -4
                                                    Pags....I obviously respect your plays as you are definitely one of the better cappers I've had a chance to follow. However I would like your explanation on Miami. I realize FSU is pretty limited offensively but have looked a little better w/ Lee. I mean Miami has shown absolutely noithing. Are you getting the feeling that they'll rise up in this rivalry where FSU just won't have any answers. Keep up the good posting.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • imastud2
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 08-31-06
                                                      • 22

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by pags11
                                                      Fri. 1/2 unit play...

                                                      Connecticut +3

                                                      Sat. plays all for 3 units...

                                                      Indiana +10
                                                      Navy +4
                                                      Virginia +5.5
                                                      Michigan St. +17
                                                      Auburn +11.5
                                                      Miami FL +6.5
                                                      Missouri -4
                                                      After digging in alittle more......I'm now seeing how u could consider U of Miami.
                                                      *FSU is 6-15 ATS the last 21
                                                      *FSU is 4-10 the last 14 at Home
                                                      * The underdogs ar 8-10 in this series

                                                      This gives good credance to Miami.....I just haven't seen Miami really play. I do know they won't quite under Shannon where the sure quite under coker.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • idontlikerocks
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-09-07
                                                        • 571

                                                        #28
                                                        if i liked uconn against louisville i would wait for the line to move up a bit. the uconn defense hasn't been tested by a real quarterback this year. i expect that line to go to 3 1/2 before friday, and 4 1/2 on friday
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pags11
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-18-05
                                                          • 12264

                                                          #29
                                                          dan,

                                                          good to hear we are on Auburn together...

                                                          imastud,

                                                          thanks for the kind words...sounds like you have started to answer your own question...I'll have more for you on this game in my write-up on Thu...

                                                          idont,

                                                          you may be right regarding the Connecticut line, but one of the things I've learned in all my years of handicapping is to play games at a line that you think that makes for a good play...by waiting you leave things up to chance, you may get a better line in this one but you also may not...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • goodfella
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 10-14-07
                                                            • 13

                                                            #30
                                                            i bet on bodog, they arent showing the odds yet. where do you guys place your bets?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Cougar Bait
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-04-07
                                                              • 18282

                                                              #31
                                                              I bet the good ol' fashioned way. I know a guy who knows a guy. I like the Missouri, Auburn, and Indiana plays. Connecticut might suprise, but I think I'll pass on this one. Pags, any thoughts on Thursday night's game? I was leaning Rutgers since it seems that's the way things are going this year with the unbeatens.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Teasem
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 10-04-07
                                                                • 244

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by goodfella
                                                                i bet on bodog, they arent showing the odds yet. where do you guys place your bets?

                                                                Bookmaker for your openers

                                                                Bodog will put lines up today
                                                                Comment
                                                                • goodfella
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 10-14-07
                                                                  • 13

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Teasem
                                                                  Bookmaker for your openers

                                                                  Bodog will put lines up today
                                                                  thanx teasem
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cashflow50
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 01-23-07
                                                                    • 140

                                                                    #34
                                                                    do you see value on rutgers +3? line looks off to me. should be at least 6 to throw us off or at pick (more realistic). whats your thoughts?

                                                                    Originally posted by pags11
                                                                    thanks rjt...good to hear we are on Indiana and Missouri together...

                                                                    I will be monitoring the Rutgers line this week, if it goes to +4, +4.5 I will most likely make a half unit play...otherwise this is it for me this week...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The Nit
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 04-17-07
                                                                      • 23

                                                                      #35
                                                                      PSU fan checking in-

                                                                      Gun to my head, I take Indiana in this game but I don't really like the side. Note that PSU has historically had very little problem with Indiana (they're never lost to them since they joined the Big Ten). And that includes the really down years earlier this decade.

                                                                      PSU the last couple of years has been a Jekyll/Hyde team at home vs. on the road. Great team to fade on the road. Losing Austin Scott has been a blessing for this team as it's given Evan Royster the opportunity to see some touches. PSU's offensive line is playing much better.

                                                                      This looks like it could be a sandwich game between Wisky and OSU but PSU cannot afford to take any games lightly with 2 losses already.

                                                                      Barring multiple (3+) turnovers, they have no chance of losing this game outright. Their defense is just too good.

                                                                      The problem is that other than the last week, they've coughed up the ball 3 or more times a game so if they revert back to previous weeks, it should be a close one.
                                                                      Comment
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