SMU/Nevada IN GAME DISCUSSION

**Mac4Lyfe** · 12-23-09, 11:32 PM

Frosh - I'm already locked and loaded on Nevada. I can't go against Kapernick and Limpincocks...

**jgray** · 12-23-09, 11:33 PM

Originally posted by Frosh

Ok, we already cashed on the Utes. Let's get to talking about tomorrow. I have an early lean on SMU +the points. Thoughts?

Line has been moving against you since it opened. My question is will it continue because, right now, I'm leaning Nevada.

**LT Profits** · 12-23-09, 11:38 PM

I am already on SMU +14.

I still like them at the current +12.5, although I would feel a lot better with a 13.

**antifoil** · 12-23-09, 11:38 PM

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http://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/Global/story.asp?S=11724644

From espn:

But, SMU's assignment has changed dramatically. Nevada will play without its two star running backs. Team rushing leader Vai Taua (1,345 yards) has been ruled academically ineligible and Luke Lippincott (1,034) is out with a toe injury. That leaves the nation's No. 1 ground game (362.3 yards a game) with just one-third of its rushing prowess in quarterback Colin Kaepernick (1,160).

**Night-Tripper** · 12-23-09, 11:41 PM

Originally posted by Frosh

Ok, we already cashed on the Utes. Let's get to talking about tomorrow. I have an early lean on SMU +the points. Thoughts?

I'm not leaning... I'm on Nevada @ -12.5 for 3-units. I also have them in a 3-team/10-point teaser:
Nevada -3
PittU +7.5
Chargers +13

**Night-Tripper** · 12-23-09, 11:42 PM

Originally posted by antifoil

http://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/Global/...asp?S=11724644

From espn:

But, SMU's assignment has changed dramatically. Nevada will play without its two star running backs. Team rushing leader Vai Taua (1,345 yards) has been ruled academically ineligible and Luke Lippincott (1,034) is out with a toe injury. That leaves the nation's No. 1 ground game (362.3 yards a game) with just one-third of its rushing prowess in quarterback Colin Kaepernick (1,160).

Very old news... that's why the line is only 12.5 -> 13.

**Frosh** · 12-23-09, 11:48 PM

SMU doesn't have do deal with Taua or Lippincott. Do not get me confused, I think Nevada will win this game, but not in blowout fashion. I think SMU will be ready to play this game and come out trying to prove something. Also have this going my way-SMU 6-1 ATS as underdogs this season.

**1st and Ten** · 12-23-09, 11:50 PM

Like Nevada in this spot....for points

**Night-Tripper** · 12-23-09, 11:53 PM

Originally posted by Frosh

SMU doesn't have do deal with Taua or Lippincott. Do not get me confused, I think Nevada will win this game, but not in blowout fashion. I think SMU will be ready to play this game and come out trying to prove something. Also have this going my way-SMU 6-1 ATS as underdogs this season.

Nevada is 6-2 ATS as favorites...

**fishmonger** · 12-23-09, 11:54 PM

I'm thinking .............

Under is the play. Nevada without their 2 star rbs will change the offense for nevada. Colin is a good passer because of the run game, without them who knows? Just hope smu doesn't put up too many points. But I also got smu +14.5 early. But don't like them as 12.5 dogs.

**kidcd** · 12-24-09, 12:01 AM

SMU plus the points

**clarkd32** · 12-24-09, 12:06 AM

smu and over.... been looking forward to this game but too bad the 2 rb's are out for nevada...

**Frosh** · 12-24-09, 12:12 AM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Nevada is 6-2 ATS as favorites...

Well played sir. This is shaping up to be a no play for me, but we'll see.

**Night-Tripper** · 12-24-09, 12:20 AM

Originally posted by Frosh

Well played sir. This is shaping up to be a no play for me, but we'll see.

Thanks. Actually, I like my play on Nevada more because of the suspensions/injuries. The QB is the one who makes the Wolfpack machine go... the RB's can be plugged in... it's the system they have that's important.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 12-24-09, 12:36 AM

^^^I agree Night Tripper. Other guys are biting at the bit to step up and this is their chance. The only thing scares me about Nevada is their secondary is absolutely horrible. This will be a shootout but I'm hoping SMU turns the ball over a bunch.

**Boddhissatva** · 12-24-09, 12:37 AM

What's up with the RB's? Why are they out?

**mncosoldier** · 12-24-09, 12:41 AM

NO play

**Seattle Slew** · 12-24-09, 12:41 AM

One is hurt, the other suspended. I like SMU plus the 12.5 for a small play just for action.

Originally posted by Boddhissatva

What's up with the RB's? Why are they out?

**Mac4Lyfe** · 12-24-09, 12:45 AM

The Samoan guy didn't go to class and the other guy has a limpingcock...

**Night-Tripper** · 12-24-09, 12:54 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

^^^I agree Night Tripper. Other guys are biting at the bit to step up and this is their chance. The only thing scares me about Nevada is their secondary is absolutely horrible. This will be a shootout but I'm hoping SMU turns the ball over a bunch.

Yeah, their secondary is terrible and they're going to be without their starting safety (Williams), because he's been suspended.
http://www.rgj.com/section/blogs16?p...entId=blogDest
However, I caught quite a few of Bo Levi Mitchell's games when he played for Katy and his prowess as a passer leaves a lot to be desired.

**paste_me** · 12-24-09, 01:15 AM

I think SMU will do very well tomorrow night! i'm going to throw a small amount of money on em'

**roflc0pter** · 12-24-09, 01:19 AM

SMU and the points

**oakas** · 12-24-09, 01:23 AM

I don't know if you guys have seen qb Kaepernick play, but the guy is pretty good.

**Boddhissatva** · 12-24-09, 01:40 AM

any discussion regarding the 72.5 over?

**oakas** · 12-24-09, 01:56 AM

Originally posted by Boddhissatva

any discussion regarding the 72.5 over?

That is alot of points, but all 5 bowl games so far have been over.

**fixxer** · 12-24-09, 04:31 AM

+13 is the bet for me

**Masu485** · 12-24-09, 04:31 AM

this game is killing me. at first glance, i wanted to unload on nevada (even with the 2 rbs out). i just know nevada will win this, even looking at the line movement makes me feel that nevada will win and cover. i just know it. but my fukking system tells me to take smu! and im a disciplined system bettor so im gonna have to fukking play smu! fukkin sucks.

here's how i see it though.

SMU:

-Won't have to deal with two crucial RBs
-Coach Jones is coming home and will have numerous fans there
-He knows the Nevada strategy
-SMU is pumped for this game and will try to win the entire game

Nevada:

-Has to deal with SMU..
SMU fukking sucks! If the Lions have a good year next season and go to the Super Bowl, would you bet on them? Same deal here.

**LLXC** · 12-24-09, 05:56 AM

SMU

**bigcat1** · 12-24-09, 08:11 AM

i believe all bowl games have went to the dogs (midd st, wyoming, utah, and byu,) with the exception of rutgers, i am 3-2 on the bowls, i have played Nevada -12.5, but now really having doubts, i believe smu will cover, my advice take the points, the total seems high, i may take the under to try to balance my loss, hind sight twenty twenty, so to do over take smu +12.5

**Ace_of_Spades** · 12-24-09, 08:12 AM

SMU & Under

**floridagolfer** · 12-24-09, 08:22 AM

One of the things we've seen with the bowls that have been played so far are teams that really don't care about playing in their respective games (Oregon State, Cal), so maybe a question to ask is, Will Nevada be sufficiently motivated with no fan support there? I read a newspaper article yesterday that quoted someone from Nevada, who said the school sold about 100 tickets to the game.

I don't know how good the Nevada coach is at getting his team ready to go.

**Glitch** · 12-24-09, 08:24 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

The Samoan guy didn't go to class and the other guy has a limpingcock...

lol

**ehp6737** · 12-24-09, 08:25 AM

SMU ML.....the tempo of this game will be much slower than people think...Nevada is explosive, but 1 dimensional....when they face a capable team that has time to prepare for that dimension........upset

**pico** · 12-24-09, 08:29 AM

who is more motivated? SMU has teh edge here

seems like a shitty bowl for neveda