Bet your house on TN....that is all.

**jds07v** · 11-08-09, 07:57 PM

they made the cut for my early leans. you are obviously a fan, student or alum of ole miss, what do you have for us

**olemiss33** · 11-08-09, 08:41 PM

I am 9-3 on Ole miss sides and totals this year. Was 9-1 going into the Auburn game, and got blindsided by how bad we played.

That being said, here is how I see this game playing out.

TN is a very good team on the defensive side of the ball, and they create turnovers. Jevan now leads the country in INT's, and I see Eric Berry making a big play or two on that side of the ball. Ole Miss offensive line will have trouble with TN's front 4, as they have with virtually everyone else's. LK will see that Ole Miss really has one option when throwing the ball if Dex is in the backfield, and will do everything possible to keep Shay from making plays. Dex is a little banged up right now(he didn't play this weekend against NAZ).

I just don't see us being able to put up more than 21 points, and that is on the high side.

On the other side of the ball, the newly accurate Crompton will give Ole Miss some trouble. Teams like Bama and Arkansas don't give Ole Miss too much trouble defensively, because they aren't mobile at all under center. LK has started moving the pocket with Crompton, and will somewhat negage Ole Miss' pass rush, which is the strong point on the defensive side of the ball. I look for this game to finish something like 27-17 in TN favor. I will be playing them on the ML, as well. I will probably parlay them with Auburn, who is getting 4 @ UGA. I figure at both being a shade above +3, I should get somewhere in the +160 range for them. I will also probably throw Bama in there @ around -400, just to get the bump in payout on a 3 teamer.

I certainly hope I am wrong, because if Ole Miss finds a way to win this one, I truly believe they will beat LSU the next weekend, then MSU to run the table. Ole Miss players have some incentive this weekend, with Orgeron on the other sideline. They really despise the guy, and this is a game some of the players have been looking forward to. Im just not sure that is going to be enough to beat a surging TN team, that will have Monte Kiffins defense controlling Jevan, and forcing TO's.

**whatsgood5** · 11-08-09, 08:45 PM

Originally posted by olemiss33

I am 9-3 on Ole miss sides and totals this year. Was 9-1 going into the Auburn game, and got blindsided by how bad we played. That being said, here is how I see this game playing out. TN is a very good team on the defensive side of the ball, and they create turnovers. Jevan now leads the country in INT's, and I see Eric Berry making a big play or two on that side of the ball. Ole Miss offensive line will have trouble with TN's front 4, as they have with virtually everyone else's. LK will see that Ole Miss really has one option when throwing the ball if Dex is in the backfield, and will do everything possible to keep Shay from making plays. Dex is a little banged up right now(he didn't play this weekend against NAZ). I just don't see us being able to put up more than 21 points, and that is on the high side. On the other side of the ball, the newly accurate Crompton will give Ole Miss some trouble. Teams like Bama and Arkansas don't give Ole Miss too much trouble defensively, because they aren't mobile at all under center. LK has started moving the pocket with Crompton, and will somewhat negage Ole Miss' pass rush, which is the strong point on the defensive side of the ball. I look for this game to finish something like 27-17 in TN favor. I will be playing them on the ML, as well. I will probably parlay them with Auburn, who is getting 4 @ UGA. I figure at both being a shade above +3, I should get somewhere in the +160 range for them. I will also probably throw Bama in there @ around -400, just to get the bump in payout on a 3 teamer. I certainly hope I am wrong, because if Ole Miss finds a way to win this one, I truly believe they will beat LSU the next weekend, then MSU to run the table. Ole Miss players have some incentive this weekend, with Orgeron on the other sideline. They really despise the guy, and this is a game some of the players have been looking forward to. Im just not sure that is going to be enough to beat a surging TN team, that will have Monte Kiffins defense controlling Jevan, and forcing TO's.

Thanks for the write-up. Nice to have some info from someone who knows a lot about the team. I'll keep this post in mind when making next weeks picks.

**mmike032** · 11-08-09, 08:48 PM

agree.
I will play the ML also

auburn on the ML as well

**ipickwinners** · 11-08-09, 08:50 PM

what happens if this loses and people actually bet their house? put all the BS aside,.... lets just say this happens...what will you suggest next? tell them to bet their entire shopping cart full of belongings on another game next week? just curious

**olemiss33** · 11-08-09, 09:01 PM

Originally posted by ipickwinners

what happens if this loses and people actually bet their house? put all the BS aside,.... lets just say this happens...what will you suggest next? tell them to bet their entire shopping cart full of belongings on another game next week? just curious

Im going to assume you are joking....if not, you are a moron. If someone bets their house because a guy on a message board says so, they deserve to lose it.

**PAPSMEAR** · 11-08-09, 09:03 PM

if you bet your house and it loses you live on the streets...it's not rocket science

**ipickwinners** · 11-08-09, 09:10 PM

Originally posted by olemiss33

Im going to assume you are joking....if not, you are a moron. If someone bets their house because a guy on a message board says so, they deserve to lose it.

no shit i was joking, nice detective work....but why say 'bet your house on....'??????

**whatsgood5** · 11-08-09, 09:10 PM

Originally posted by PAPSMEAR

if you bet your house and it loses you live on the streets...it's not rocket science

**olemiss33** · 11-08-09, 09:22 PM

Originally posted by ipickwinners

no shit i was joking, nice detective work....but why say 'bet your house on....'??????

Ok....to appease you, "bet alot on TN". Does that make you feel better. The point is to take TN, parlay them, bet the ML, and tease them. Here is a start.

TN +3- with Auburn +4 in a parlay

TN +9- with Auburn +10 in a tease

TN +12-, Auburn, +13, Bama -3- in a 3 team, 9 point tease.

TN and AU in a ML parlay should pay around 6.5 to 1.

Take your choice of these coupled with straight bets.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 11-08-09, 09:45 PM

Are you crazy... I'm not risking betting my house. There's another house in my neighborhood and the property value is sure to go up. Plus I have a great view.