Football Winners - turning 25,000 into 100,000

ghetto1 · 10-19-09, 03:40 PM

sorry posted twice....

Superman455 · 10-19-09, 05:36 PM

Josh..I agree with you. I have Denver +3.5. GL

BigdaddyQH · 10-19-09, 06:03 PM

When are you going to update your results? Arn't you the person who make a huge wager on a hockey game and lost it? If I recall, it was something like 6K on a team that eventually lost to the Pens in a shoot out. You took the ML. I can try to find the post. It may not have been in here, but I remember it distinctly.

BigdaddyQH · 10-19-09, 06:07 PM

I found the wager. My error. It was for 2 grand, and you are showing it. I apologise.

endorphin · 10-19-09, 06:58 PM

Gotta go with the bolts this time. They are very determined right now. The coach is in the hot seat. Going against a division rival, Philip Rivers and co. will lay everything on the line tonight.

Ca$hfloW · 10-19-09, 08:47 PM

I took denver as well 5-0 team + points is a very good bet that is not near all the information i looked at but denver is THAT good.. people need to start respecting

endorphin · 10-19-09, 09:08 PM

I'm telling you all, Darren Sproles is the best Running Back in NFL. Yes, better than Adrian Peterson, or Marion Barber, or even the older and slower teammate LT. That guy is so damn quick, like Leandro Barbosa of Phoenix Suns.

Ca$hfloW · 10-19-09, 09:17 PM

im tailing your 2nd half pick BOL to both of us and everyone else

tango · 10-19-09, 09:50 PM

Thanks for the picks. Following you on Denver +3.5 for the game and for +2.5 for the half.

Where are you getting the +100 for the half time bet?

suicidekings · 10-20-09, 02:59 AM

Originally posted by josh hamilton

*My three week goal was 15,000$. I was 25$ under it, which isn't bad. With 10 weeks left I am in a very good position as of now.*

Nicely done. I'm sure I'm just one of many that are cheering you on. Good luck this week

Superman455 · 10-20-09, 09:17 AM

Good Work Josh...Thanks for all your picks and insights in the games. Look forward to seeing what you have in store for the rest of the week. Gl on meeting your goal.

Superman455 · 10-20-09, 04:25 PM

I know it is early but who you like in the Arkansas / Ole Miss Game. I got the line early and got Ark + 5. I have seen them both play a couple of time this year. I think Arkansas wins here out right. Ole Miss O line is shaky at best. Every time Snead has faced an SEC defense he has look horrible, gets happy feet in the pocket and make many mistakes. Arkansas has improved over the past few weeks and beat an overrated, but undefeated Auburn team, then played Flordia very tough. Myabe I have missed something here and I just see the Hogs being the better all around team.

BigdaddyQH · 10-21-09, 11:29 AM

And just where did you place this 6 point teaser for 3300? What book? I want to see there limits. And how come you will not wager with me? Could the answer possibly be that you do not have any amount of money near what you claim to have? Someone asked you why you were chased out of other forums. You denied being banned. Care to explain?

You also claim to wager at Pinnacle. Are you trying to tell us that you wager at Pinnacle, a book that does not accept U.S. wagers? What next? Are you going to tell us that you are a Canadian? You have a lot of explaining to do. I can easily find out everything about you, from your real name to your gaming habits, so why don't you be honest with us. I have called you out time and time again to wager with me, but you refuse. Well, I am calling you out again. Pick your teams and your lines. The lines had better be legit or else. I will fade teams that I do not agree with you. Pick your price. Now again, Put up or Shut up. Either you have it, or you don't.

spongerat · 10-21-09, 12:59 PM

i think its a bit excessive to post the entire record and explanations and stuff. Its just too much junk in each post and it seems a bit insecure to have to say its not your full bankroll and that your record includes dog losses. Cause really, who cares? you're playing for money, not respect from a bunch of online idiots.

FishFace5 · 10-21-09, 02:22 PM

keep up your hard work josh. I've been trolling this forum and others for years to mix and match my info and picks with others. I never post my picks or info. I've chosen to make a comment here because Mr. Chicago just really gets under my skin. You sir post annoying pointless comments in several cappers threads for no reason at all. You never post your own picks or reasoning or anything productive really. U just make random comments bout how good you are, how smart you are and how great your "crew" is. You sir are a HATER. It's annoying. Stop it.

og4667 · 10-21-09, 03:19 PM

Jham, just keep winning!

SportsbookExpert · 10-21-09, 03:27 PM

Good Luck Josh we are all rooting for you.

-The Sportsbook Experts

X-Rated · 10-21-09, 03:52 PM

Good luck Josh.

Superman455 · 10-21-09, 04:55 PM

GL Josh..I am on the same side with you on the game tonight and also have the over.

On a side note...I am tired of all the bashing that goes on this site. The last time I checked no one is holding a gun to there heads to follow your picks or even read your post for that matter. I just seems that when anyone makes a post or give "THERE" insight to a game the wolves are waiting to jump on it, no matter if it be, line, money waged, time of post and so on. I thought the main goal of this sight was to post insight to games in order to give everyone an edge on the books. It you appear to me that if the "WOLVES" less time trolling through the posts to bash and such and more time capping games and doign research they would be making more money...but wait

...isnt that why we are here..to make money

....novel idea i know..anyway I look foward to your picks for the week and each week. I know I have made more than I have lost tailing you and at end of the day that is my goal to MAKE MONEY. It doesnt matter how much you bet or not, we are here to make money. Just my two cents and I am sure "THEY" will bash on me for this..but so what....GL

Dexter · 10-21-09, 08:18 PM

oh my god - big daddy.....are you that miserable in real life? every thread i open you have a war going. cheer up guy

cgars1 · 10-21-09, 08:42 PM

stay off the carbs big daddio!!!!

Chaseblack · 10-22-09, 03:10 PM

Come on JH...tell me you are on FSU and I can smile!!!

TGoat · 10-23-09, 06:37 AM

Originally posted by josh hamilton

I have decided I am just going to lower the amount of money on bets Monday-Friday until things are different.

DAYS LIKE THIS ARE VERY HARD TO DEAL WITH .. but I know this weekend will be great and this is still books money so I am not stressed. Thanks to all good comments though.

Two things:

1. The day of the week is meaningless noise. Anybody who is good enough to say I do better on Sunday's than Thursday's is chasing rainbows. A game is a game, and what possible difference could it make what day of the week it's played on.

2. Anytime you lose it is your money--no one elses. To say "it's the books money" suggests that it's OK to lose because you were ahead to begin with. What if you were behind and then took a bad loss? Who's money is it then?

If you're going to lower your bet size, perhaps you should do it because of over diversification--not because of a certain day of the week. On the weekends you play primarily football--pro and college. During the week you play football, baseball and hockey--maybe therein lies your problem--if you even have one.

What would you say if you did well on the next two weekdays but had a bad weekend? If you're a solid hockey, baseball, pro and college football handicapper then stick to what your are doing and take the good with the bad. If on the other hand, one or possibly two areas are much stronger than the others, then it might be a good idea to drop the bad and stay with the good. Otherwise, just keep on doing what you're doing.

But lowering your bet size during a bad run is never a bad idea. You could employ a partial Kelly (I use a 1/4 Kelly) to determine bet size. When winning, your bet size will increase, and when losing it will decrease.

Day of the week shouldn't even be a factor.

FishFace5 · 10-23-09, 08:28 AM

Gotta disagree goat. These weekday games get so much action because they're played during the week. Last nite might be a bad example but Tulsa vs UTEP or Rutgers vs. Army, get no action on a Saturday but everyone bets the game just because its on TV and it's the only game on. Maybe a better qualifier for a smaller wager would be "would i bet this game if it was on Saturday?" Another college capper I follow on this forum applies a smaller wager on all weekday plays and for the most part I do the same. These weekday games tend to be a lil crazy. Betting NHL is a totally different story. I don't follow so I don't bet. I would assume JH does.

og4667 · 10-23-09, 11:14 AM

The past two NCAAF games this week are games that I would not have bet on during the weekend, but since it was the only game on and I spent some time trying to handicap the games I was lucky enough to go 1-1. I was on NC last night and Utep the night before. I think the weekday games often have the sharpest lines and are hard to handicap, there is for sure an advantage to having more games to choose from on the weekend. NC sure did shit the bed last night, anyway I really like your michigan st. pick this weekend, go get em.

BigdaddyQH · 10-23-09, 11:27 AM

This is the whole idea of having weekday games. You guys just have to wager on them. That is what Vegas calls "meat". You just can not stay away from these games. T-goat is absolutely correct. When we play our futures, do you think that we give a crap about what day the game is on? And we play a hell of a lot more money than any single person in here. We just take what looks like a winning wager. No one cares about what day the game is on. If you are so weak that you have to have a play on every weekday game, that is on you. That is what pays for all of those neon lights and pretty cocktail servers in Vegas. Now there are certain cases where you can get screwed on a weekday game because the line can be easily manipulated by wiseguys or a book, but that can be accomplished just as easily on a Saturday. Just look at Florida-LSU. Who made all the money in that game? The wiseguys who manipulated the line and ended up with a middle, just like we, and a few others in here, did. If you have to play every wekday game just because it is on T.V, you have a serious problem.

BigdaddyQH · 10-23-09, 11:31 AM

Josh, you neve give a reason for your wagers. Why the big wager on Michigan State, when all signs point to a MSU loss? Is there anything that sticks out to you in this game, or are you just guessing?

hornet0202 · 10-23-09, 03:37 PM

I am passing on the MSU game, as it seems that everytime I bet against Iowa, I lose. Good luck on your card tomorrow though.

nobs · 10-26-09, 03:11 PM

good luck and nice weekend. I dont really like seeing someone tease totals as that tease to under 43 1/2 doesnt help much, but you have sure been doing better than I have, so good luck tonight.

BigdaddyQH · 10-26-09, 06:12 PM

Josh, you never told me why you toolMichigan State, which was a losing wager as I told you it would be. I post all of my plays on my spreadsheet. I am now 14-5-2, a record that you could never come close to acheiveing. You also never answered my question about wagering at Pinnacle, which you hinted that you do. You also refuse to wager against me, which is smart on your part, but makes you look bad in here. Time to answer up boy. Forget about the Michigan State game. You lost that. But do you wager at Pinnacle, and do you have enough balls to wager against me? I doubt that you wager at Pinnacle, but will know for sure in a week or two. I know you do not have the cajones to wager against me.

dimon · 10-26-09, 09:26 PM

don't worry man, the dude just needs attention...1 pick was deleted so it most likely was loss...then his last picks Miami open at -7 he posted 6.5, Va. Tech open at -16.5, he had it at -13.5...so right decision just ignore the f*u*c*k*er

...not a good MNF 4 you looks like

Superman455 · 10-27-09, 02:58 PM

You right Josh he is a joke. He just trolls around blasting other people picks and posts. I have yet to see any of his picks. Just keep up the good work and look forward to you picks this week. Tough one on the Skins last night.

benbolinas · 10-27-09, 04:40 PM

josh who is ur pick 2nite? ecu or memphis

Superman455 · 10-27-09, 06:13 PM

Where is Josh..curious to see what side he is taking tonight

mebaran · 10-27-09, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

Josh, you never told me why you toolMichigan State, which was a losing wager as I told you it would be. I post all of my plays on my spreadsheet. I am now 14-5-2, a record that you could never come close to acheiveing. You also never answered my question about wagering at Pinnacle, which you hinted that you do. You also refuse to wager against me, which is smart on your part, but makes you look bad in here. Time to answer up boy. Forget about the Michigan State game. You lost that. But do you wager at Pinnacle, and do you have enough balls to wager against me? I doubt that you wager at Pinnacle, but will know for sure in a week or two. I know you do not have the cajones to wager against me.

Just checked out your 14-5-2 record on your spreadsheet. When in the world did you get those lines? -13.5 on V. Tech? Are you seriously claiming you got that at the Hilton? Because that is bogus. The opening line was -13.5 and you're saying you grabbed it then? Impossible.