I think im on to something...

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  • OperatorX
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-09
    • 1516

    #316
    Ahh.. In that case, excellent work JGun
    Comment
    • mcbaseball10
      SBR MVP
      • 02-11-09
      • 2866

      #317
      Southern Methodist -8 (from -6.5)

      Loving this game right now. Just got it at 7 buying the 1/2.
      Comment
      • cakasmaloy
        SBR Sharp
        • 08-18-09
        • 265

        #318
        those are all the correct plays... im not feelin hawaii or usu ... too many points in my opinion for teams that havent blown anyone out all season, but let the system speak for itself
        Comment
        • toadwart71
          SBR Rookie
          • 05-08-08
          • 12

          #319
          I'm on them all and watching with interest. Thanks for posting this thread, many would have kept it to themselves.
          Comment
          • daneblazer
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 09-14-08
            • 27862

            #320
            Originally posted by JGun

            Western Michigan -12 (from -10)
            Utah State -13 (from -10.5)
            Southern Methodist -8 (from -6.5)
            Rice -3 (from -1.5)
            San Diego State -7.5 (from -5)
            Hawaii -20 (from -18)

            Wow...if this is it, this may be the week the system takes it on the chin. I don't know about these. I'd definitely see if these lines hold steady. What has Rice shown to be favored by a fg over anybody? It's like the old mafia technique to to bet the line up only to hammer it down.
            Comment
            • dan626
              SBR Rookie
              • 11-12-09
              • 2

              #321
              Hawaii is the only pick here i'm questioning, but i still locked them down. The system looks interesting and I am gonna give it a try.
              Comment
              • Jowframs
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-10-09
                • 5127

                #322
                Hey cakas...Are Ya tryin This On College Basketball friday???
                Comment
                • cakasmaloy
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 08-18-09
                  • 265

                  #323
                  WMichigan -12 WIN
                  UtahState -13 WIN
                  SMU -8 LOSS
                  Rice -3 WIN
                  SanDiego St -7.5
                  Hawaii -20

                  Two to go...
                  Comment
                  • keyboarding
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-30-09
                    • 6817

                    #324
                    Good luck.
                    Comment
                    • OperatorX
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-21-09
                      • 1516

                      #325
                      this system is looking to have quite a week...
                      Comment
                      • texhooper
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 10001

                        #326
                        i've been using this method to pick most of my games the past few weeks with very good results. i haven't read the thread in awhile so i don't know overall how every single pick has done, but once you get a feel for the good plays it almost feels unbeatable, even with the occasional loss like the one i'm about to experience with san diego state.

                        i'd like to thank cakas for shedding some light on this. utilizing these plays, good rlm plays, and a few of my own plays, i've done a lot better in college football than in the past. i haven't even seen a lot of these teams play and couldn't name a player on most of the teams, but this shit is winning and for now that's all that matters.

                        once basketball season starts to get rolling i'll definitely be looking at the smaller mid-major games a lot more than in the past and see if these same types of rules or guidelines apply with the same type of success. i know tpowell said it helps him in those kinds of games, so i'm looking forward to diving into that as well.

                        i can say that for right now i'm a little worried that it's just too easy to be real, but then i remind myself that most of the world is generally comprised of idiots who can't apply themselves to even the simplest of methods, and then i start to think that maybe it can be this easy. i've even tried to share some of these plays with buddies of mine and they don't seem to care, even if the plays end up winning. a lotta people don't want to bet on these games, which is the brilliance of the whole thing, i guess.

                        anyway, thanks cakas. this has been a major boost for me.

                        anyway, carry on.
                        Comment
                        • cakasmaloy
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-18-09
                          • 265

                          #327
                          3-3 this week if u played all 6 games.

                          Texhooper, ur thoughts identify pretty much my exact thoughts when I first started realizing the potential of this system. It took some real convincing and hard first hand proof to get my buddies to realize that this works. I struggled with myself when I first started using this method but eventually I said "screw it, this really works no matter how easy it may seem, it just works plain and sipmle". I don't have the time or patience to cap one game for hours. With this method I've had perfect weekends this season just selecting a few of these plays in 10-15minutes!
                          And yes, I think u would be happy to know that I applied this method on Friday to NCAAB and went 8-2 picking sides AND totals of 2+ pt shifts of all games, excluding top25(sides). And I know I didn't post the picks or anything but feel free to go back and check out the line movements from friday of the following games:

                          Sides (3-2...excluded top25 teams):
                          Miss -14 W
                          UC-davis -1.5 L
                          StBonaventure PK W
                          Oregon -21.5 W
                          Dartmouth +23 L

                          Totals (perfect 5for5...all games included with 2pt+ movement):
                          AppSt/NC-Wilm U154
                          Greensboro/Duke O134
                          Idaho/Utah O12
                          9.5
                          Gtown/Tulane O124
                          ClvSt/StBon U135.65

                          Obviously the method must be tweaked because we don't have all week to watch lines so I basically have used my judgement to place a cutoff point of what I feel is valuable movement. Sorry to everyone who feels this method is subjective , because right now, at this stage, it is. If someone can use this info and create a better philosophy that doenst include subjectvivity, then by all means please do! Also, for those eager to bash the college bball picks for not having them posted before the games, please save ur energy and checkout the line movemnt first...we all know how this thread initially started with comments from ppl to lazy to checkout the line histry for themselves. Anyways, good luck to everyone. This will most likely be one of my last posts in thbis thread bc I just wanted to use it to identify a method and make sure that everyone understands it and can apply it for themselves. if anyone still has a question of how to apply it feel free to let me know but from the looks of it it seems like most people get it. Good luck!
                          Comment
                          • dvb02
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-30-09
                            • 2941

                            #328
                            I really hope you keep posting the plays. If not, thanks for sharing the information.
                            Comment
                            • texhooper
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-05-09
                              • 10001

                              #329
                              the subjectivity is the key to the whole thing. there are very few, if any, "play every game that falls under these parameters" type methods that produce regular plays and a winning percentage above breakeven. if you play every one of these cakas-style plays, you probably will break even over time, just like if you play every game with rlm. you just have to reach a point where you say, "no i will not play baylor plus anything against texas, i don't care about the reverse line move". or in the case of this system, "no, i will not play arkansas state on the road". you will see how it works eventually. it's honestly been really fun, the part where you start to realize things and learn things and shit.
                              Comment
                              • CLASSIC ROCK
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-23-09
                                • 574

                                #330
                                thanks caka for sharing gonna try this for hoops also,if you don't mind I may ask you some questions when I start doing this for hoops to make sure we are on the same page
                                Comment
                                • dimon
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-14-09
                                  • 1159

                                  #331
                                  does South Caroline -20 and Wash. St -16.5 are the plays today?
                                  Comment
                                  • dvb02
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-30-09
                                    • 2941

                                    #332
                                    Would someone be so kind as to list the plays that would qualify for this week? Thanks
                                    Comment
                                    • cakasmaloy
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 08-18-09
                                      • 265

                                      #333
                                      This is what I have

                                      ECU -11.5
                                      NewMexSt +30.5
                                      Akron +11
                                      Ohio -1
                                      Temple -13
                                      Comment
                                      • btraband
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-05-08
                                        • 514

                                        #334
                                        interesting, thx!
                                        Comment
                                        • danova
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 11-15-09
                                          • 12

                                          #335
                                          Coincidence or not I'm interested.
                                          Comment
                                          • birdman779
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 09-08-09
                                            • 593

                                            #336
                                            try akron,utah st ohio,bc,ole miss,nebraska,msu
                                            Comment
                                            • birdman779
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 09-08-09
                                              • 593

                                              #337
                                              i went 6-0 last week in college taking home over 4,150 dollars or 41 units
                                              Comment
                                              • kherbold
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 11-12-09
                                                • 26

                                                #338
                                                Originally posted by birdman779
                                                i went 6-0 last week in college taking home over 4,150 dollars or 41 units

                                                do you buy points at all?
                                                Comment
                                                • dvb02
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-30-09
                                                  • 2941

                                                  #339
                                                  Thanks Cakas!!! Good Luck this weekend.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hunter8720
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 09-15-09
                                                    • 98

                                                    #340
                                                    the akron game is televised, but that line moved alot, like 3 points and it moved early so i like that play
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hunter8720
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 09-15-09
                                                      • 98

                                                      #341
                                                      caks that temple game is moving the opposite way, shouldnt the play be kent?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JGun
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 10-04-09
                                                        • 145

                                                        #342
                                                        Originally posted by birdman779
                                                        try akron,utah st ohio,bc,ole miss,nebraska,msu
                                                        BCS teams are excluded.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JGun
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-04-09
                                                          • 145

                                                          #343
                                                          Originally posted by hunter8720
                                                          caks that temple game is moving the opposite way, shouldnt the play be kent?
                                                          Did you read the premise of the strategy?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • hunter8720
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 09-15-09
                                                            • 98

                                                            #344
                                                            Originally posted by JGun
                                                            Did you read the premise of the strategy?
                                                            yes i have the temple game opened at -12 now they are -10 so the play should be kent
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hunter8720
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 09-15-09
                                                              • 98

                                                              #345
                                                              like ecu opened opened at -10 now at -12 so ecu is the play where as temple is opposite, have u read the thread?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jonah
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-21-09
                                                                • 4042

                                                                #346
                                                                Just saw this thread for the first time...Have been thinking about this a lot lately...Although I did not discount TV or anything like that...I first noticed this with last year's bowl games...especially the smaller ones in where the lines moved quick and often....Good Luck.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JGun
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 10-04-09
                                                                  • 145

                                                                  #347
                                                                  Originally posted by hunter8720
                                                                  like ecu opened opened at -10 now at -12 so ecu is the play where as temple is opposite, have u read the thread?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • hunter8720
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 09-15-09
                                                                    • 98

                                                                    #348
                                                                    what am i missing?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JGun
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 10-04-09
                                                                      • 145

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Originally posted by hunter8720
                                                                      what am i missing?
                                                                      That emoticon was supposed to symbolize me making a mistake.

                                                                      Here's to Kent St.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • hunter8720
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 09-15-09
                                                                        • 98

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Comment
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