Mac's Early Leans - 2021 edition

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  • fecgp40
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-01-11
    • 5750

    #491
    Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
    Here's another game I like. Kentucky is a tough grind you out team against a MST team that is bit more finesse. I don't think MST is going to do much on the ground and UK will turn them into straight up passing. Close game with UK getting points. I'll take it.
    112) 185 - College/Football - Kentucky Spread +1½ -108 for Game
    Interesting take Mac. I was leaning MSST. Not that I'm big on historical trends, but Kentucky usually struggles in Starkville. Tough environment to play in. This just feels like a game Miss St finds a way to win for some reason. Or so my gut says.
    Comment
    • fecgp40
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-01-11
      • 5750

      #492
      Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
      I rather be lucky than good...
      All day every day!!!
      Comment
      • Mac4Lyfe
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-04-09
        • 48366

        #493
        Florida State... FUKKK You. They try some stupid shit at the end and Clemson scores a last second scoop to cover the spread. Unfukkingreal.
        Comment
        • Mac4Lyfe
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-04-09
          • 48366

          #494
          I just lost a grand on FSU. They were covering the entire game and did that stupid shit at the end of the game. That was one of the worst bad beats of my life. That and Wisconsin sitting on the ball so I lose by 1/2 a point is really a kick in the nuts.
          Comment
          • fecgp40
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-01-11
            • 5750

            #495
            Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
            I just lost a grand on FSU. They were covering the entire game and did that stupid shit at the end of the game. That was one of the worst bad beats of my life. That and Wisconsin sitting on the ball so I lose by 1/2 a point is really a kick in the nuts.
            That was one of the worst lateral plays I've ever seen. Sorry Mac. I know how it feels. I can't tell you how many of those I've been on the wrong end of.
            Comment
            • Mac4Lyfe
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-04-09
              • 48366

              #496
              Originally posted by fecgp40
              That was one of the worst lateral plays I've ever seen. Sorry Mac. I know how it feels. I can't tell you how many of those I've been on the wrong end of.
              That and Wisconsin really killed me today. I'm pretty stunned right now on that one.
              Comment
              • Mac4Lyfe
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-04-09
                • 48366

                #497
                I also wanted to hammer Houston today but got scared. Time to regroup.
                Comment
                • Mac4Lyfe
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-04-09
                  • 48366

                  #498
                  Originally posted by fecgp40
                  Interesting take Mac. I was leaning MSST. Not that I'm big on historical trends, but Kentucky usually struggles in Starkville. Tough environment to play in. This just feels like a game Miss St finds a way to win for some reason. Or so my gut says.
                  Yeah, I thought they would overcome Starkville. They did turn them into a passing team but they couldn't cover anyone and 4 turnovers will get you beat anywhere. That game really sucked. The entire day really sucked. I just lost a live bet on Auburn and about to lose one on OSU. I can't get right today.
                  Comment
                  • Mac4Lyfe
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-04-09
                    • 48366

                    #499
                    Damn, last Saturday was my worst day of CFB. Unreal bad beats.

                    104) 117 - College/Football - Iowa Spread +3 -108 for Game
                    105) 117 - College/Football - Iowa vs Wisconsin Total OVER 36 -108 for Game
                    106) 123 - College/Football - Michigan Spread -4 -108 for Game

                    107) 137 - College/Football - Miami Florida Spread +10 -108 for Game
                    108) 146 - College/Football - Georgia Tech Spread -2½ -115 for 1st Half
                    110) 147 - College/Football - Florida State Spread +9 -108 for Game

                    111) 197 - College/Football - Georgia Spread -14 -108 for Game
                    112) 185 - College/Football - Kentucky Spread +1½ -108 for Game

                    Fukkk 2-6 on the day. Unreal bad beats in the Michigan up 16 in the 3rd quarter, Wisconsin Over and the final play in Florida State game. I also lost some horrible LIVE bets that cost me some loot. I lost at least 2 dimes last Saturday. Dammit.


                    Season Totals
                    56-52-3, 20-23 on Bolded Plays
                    Comment
                    • Mac4Lyfe
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-04-09
                      • 48366

                      #500
                      Damn, I missed another play that lost last Saturday. This was indicative of my last Saturday. Cuse was shut out for the first half. They then went on to blowout BC. Of course I bet the first half. Unfukkingreal.

                      109) 128 - College/Football - Syracuse Spread -3 -118 for 1st Half

                      Season Totals
                      56-53-3, 20-23 on Bolded Plays
                      Comment
                      • Mac4Lyfe
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-04-09
                        • 48366

                        #501
                        Here we go. Turnaround Saturday...


                        Duke is the worst team in the ACC. Pitt coming off a bad lost, should be extremely focused to take care of business even on the road. Hopefully they cover this line by halftime.

                        110) 321 - College/Football - Pittsburgh Spread -21 -108 for Game


                        This is a tough one. All the data points to GT covering in this game BUT I like what I'm seeing out of Miami and the freshman QB. They have the better defense too. GT is up and down, schizo. I'm playing the contrarian.

                        111) 326 - College/Football - Miami Florida Spread -6½ -105 for 1st Half
                        112) 326 - College/Football - Miami Florida Spread -10 -108 for Game


                        I've been backing UGA every week and they have paid off. This might be the week they start slow especially after the emotional game vs UF. Missouri sucks but something about that team is quirky for opposing teams. UGA doesn't give up TDs but I think Mizzou will find some stupid way to score.


                        113) 369 - College/Football - Missouri Team Total OVER 9½ -105 for Game
                        114) 369 - College/Football - Missouri Spread +25½ -115 for 1st Half


                        This is another tough game to cap only because OM has a lot of injuries, especially on offense. I'm talking 6 or 7 guys on offense might not play including the QB Corral. But, this is a game Kiffin must win with Hugh Freeze coming in town. I think the big lights and sounds of Stark Vegas is too much for Liberty and eventually OM will do enough on defense to cover. I kinda like the over but not enough to bet it.


                        115) 356 - College/Football - Mississippi Spread -8½ -108 for Game


                        This OSU game seems like a deadbolt lock. These are the type of games OSU just seems to dominate. I know NB hasn't lost a game by more than single digits. I know they are the best 3 win team in CFB. I know Martinez is a dual threat QB and OSU hasn't faced one since Oregon BUT OSU is a lot better team than the beginning of the season.

                        116) 373 - College/Football - Ohio State Spread -14 -108 for Game
                        Comment
                        • fecgp40
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-01-11
                          • 5750

                          #502
                          BOL with your plays Mac. Hope you turn it around today. I had a terrible Saturday last weekend as well. As a Miami fan, I have a feeling they cover today too, but I still don't really trust them even though Van Dyke has shown he is the man under center. Liberty/OM game is in Oxford, not Stark-Vegas.
                          Comment
                          • Mac4Lyfe
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-04-09
                            • 48366

                            #503
                            Dirty line alert. Wrong team favored here? Arky favored in this one? I'm not buying it. Will Rogers has this defense cranked. MSU has grown up the last few weeks.

                            117) 375 - College/Football - Mississippi State Spread +4 -108 for Game
                            Comment
                            • Mac4Lyfe
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-04-09
                              • 48366

                              #504
                              Originally posted by fecgp40
                              BOL with your plays Mac. Hope you turn it around today. I had a terrible Saturday last weekend as well. As a Miami fan, I have a feeling they cover today too, but I still don't really trust them even though Van Dyke has shown he is the man under center. Liberty/OM game is in Oxford, not Stark-Vegas.
                              A lot of people fading the Canes this week. I'm not sure why I said Starkville. I was looking at MSU and went brain dead, especially since MSU is on the road this week. Thanks.
                              Comment
                              • Fred The Hammer
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-13-13
                                • 11572

                                #505
                                Fla State was sick. Most of my buddies lost on that bs too.


                                Tough early card? I sort of like Ohio State too, but they really struggled vs one of the weaker Penn State squads. Martinez will end up tilting the game in the Buckeyes favor but will they cover? Illini played better D on PS then the Buckeyes. Thats scary to me.

                                Is Corral going to play? I'd take OM easy if thats the case. Time to watch SEC pregame

                                GL Today Bro!!! I've cooled off, but did hit $500 on TNF. I had Taylor Over 103.5 total yards and he went out late 2Q with 102. They were up 28-10 at half and I was convinced I was beat, but they put him back in thank God!!!
                                Comment
                                • fecgp40
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-01-11
                                  • 5750

                                  #506
                                  I'm with you on Pitt, MAC. Let's go team Pickett!!
                                  Comment
                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-13-13
                                    • 11572

                                    #507
                                    Corral is playing. Took Game Prop MGM OM ML/Over 57.5 (-135)


                                    Yeah OM is banged up, but Liberty lost to La Monroe for Gods sake. Only worry is Corral trying to run over dudes and getting KO'd. Needs to play smart and limit hits
                                    Comment
                                    • Fred The Hammer
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-13-13
                                      • 11572

                                      #508
                                      OM 5 sacks already. They're gonna beat Liberty 51-7 or something
                                      Comment
                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-13-13
                                        • 11572

                                        #509
                                        Wake +120 in a few parlays. Be nice if they held on.

                                        These f college kickers are killing me though? Lost big on Purdue Over last week. P kicker missed 36 & 39. Either one puts me Over. OM kicker just missed 41 yarder. Need some help
                                        Comment
                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-04-09
                                          • 48366

                                          #510
                                          Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                          Corral is playing. Took Game Prop MGM OM ML/Over 57.5 (-135)
                                          Yeah OM is banged up, but Liberty lost to La Monroe for Gods sake. Only worry is Corral trying to run over dudes and getting KO'd. Needs to play smart and limit hits
                                          This 2nd half by Ole Miss is just sickening. It's like Kiffin has a bet on Liberty. The back door is wide open to get fukked in this one.

                                          Ohio state playing like shit. Miami turning the ball over on dumb shit. Just sickening right now.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-04-09
                                            • 48366

                                            #511
                                            Originally posted by fecgp40
                                            I'm with you on Pitt, MAC. Let's go team Pickett!!
                                            Even Pitt is playing like shit. I can't catch a break.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mac4Lyfe
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-04-09
                                              • 48366

                                              #512
                                              Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                              Wake +120 in a few parlays. Be nice if they held on.

                                              These f college kickers are killing me though? Lost big on Purdue Over last week. P kicker missed 36 & 39. Either one puts me Over. OM kicker just missed 41 yarder. Need some help
                                              I'm so tired of college kickers. Mizzou kicker has fukked me on the team over with the misses. Also OM, which will probably come back to haunt us here down the stretch. You have one fukking job. Do your damn job.

                                              IF OSUs not going to cover, they might as well lose the fukking game.
                                              Comment
                                              • fecgp40
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-01-11
                                                • 5750

                                                #513
                                                Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                Even Pitt is playing like shit. I can't catch a break.
                                                Yeah. Pitt is probably my fault. I played then so that put the mush on it. Miami just fumbling the ball all over the place. They should be up by 10+.
                                                Comment
                                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-04-09
                                                  • 48366

                                                  #514
                                                  Throwing darts and daggers now. ND is playing great football but Navy seems to play up against better competition. I think ND wins (although I'm putting a bit on the Navy ML) I don't see Kelly running the score up against a service academy.

                                                  118) 379 - College/Football - Navy Spread +21 -108 for Game
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                    • 48366

                                                    #515
                                                    Originally posted by fecgp40
                                                    Yeah. Pitt is probably my fault. I played then so that put the mush on it. Miami just fumbling the ball all over the place. They should be up by 10+.
                                                    I've lost count how many times Miami has turned the ball over. It's like they're headed into the end zone and then they just give the ball to GT. I'm still shaking my head that they didn't cover that first half. Miami has reverted back to their lack of discipline. GT is just waiting for them to do dumb shit.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Fred The Hammer
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-13-13
                                                      • 11572

                                                      #516
                                                      OM covered atleast. That would've bet sick too. Kiffin is the last guy to coast on 24-0 halftime usually


                                                      I have OM -8.5 on 2 parlays. Pounding Penn St Maryland Over 55.5. Tua can hit some crazy deep balls and makes shit happen plus their Dline is swiss cheese. Thinking PS wants payback after getting smoked by the Terps in Happy Valley last year.

                                                      That was a crazy one at the casino last year. Maryland was up 14 and got a pick in PS territory and I got +7.5 live. Soon as the ticket came out of the kiosk I had +28.5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fecgp40
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-01-11
                                                        • 5750

                                                        #517
                                                        Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                        I've lost count how many times Miami has turned the ball over. It's like they're headed into the end zone and then they just give the ball to GT. I'm still shaking my head that they didn't cover that first half. Miami has reverted back to their lack of discipline. GT is just waiting for them to do dumb shit.
                                                        Pretty much the case MAC. Van Dyke balling out but he can't do it all. GT has 14 points directly off Miami turnovers including a scoop and score.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-04-09
                                                          • 48366

                                                          #518
                                                          This Auburn/TAM game should be a great watch. Both teams are playing well going into this contest. I'm riding TAM strictly because of home field advantage. Kyle Field is an incredible place to play. That place is going to be hopping. Beautiful day with awesome weather and the yell leaders are going to create a few false starts by Auburn. I like TAM to carry a lead the entire game.


                                                          119) 396 - College/Football - Texas A&M Spread -3 -110 for 1st Half



                                                          Mizzou on the goal line. I need them to score a TD here with 15 seconds left. UGAs defense does not want them scoring a TD. Nail biter here.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-04-09
                                                            • 48366

                                                            #519
                                                            Crowd is up on their feet cheering like heck in a 43-6 UGA game. They don't want Mizzou to score here.

                                                            Mizzou QB had a wide open receiver and he can't make the throw. Unfukkingreal. Another fukking loss.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Mac4Lyfe
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-04-09
                                                              • 48366

                                                              #520
                                                              Originally posted by fecgp40
                                                              Yeah. Pitt is probably my fault. I played then so that put the mush on it. Miami just fumbling the ball all over the place. They should be up by 10+.
                                                              I'm thinking I need to sacrifice a chicken or goat right now. I'm losing in WTF ways the last 2 weeks now. It's like I'm on the right side but the wrong outcomes.
                                                              Frustrating.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-04-09
                                                                • 48366

                                                                #521
                                                                Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                                OM covered atleast. That would've bet sick too. Kiffin is the last guy to coast on 24-0 halftime usually

                                                                I have OM -8.5 on 2 parlays. Pounding Penn St Maryland Over 55.5. Tua can hit some crazy deep balls and makes shit happen plus their Dline is swiss cheese. Thinking PS wants payback after getting smoked by the Terps in Happy Valley last year.
                                                                That was a crazy one at the casino last year. Maryland was up 14 and got a pick in PS territory and I got +7.5 live. Soon as the ticket came out of the kiosk I had +28.5
                                                                Damn, that's nice. I rarely get luck like that. I really want to pound PSU but it feels like another game that will screw me in the end.
                                                                OM game was too close for comfort. Thankfully your parlays are still alive.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • fecgp40
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-01-11
                                                                  • 5750

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                                  I'm thinking I need to sacrifice a chicken or goat right now. I'm losing in WTF ways the last 2 weeks now. It's like I'm on the right side but the wrong outcomes.
                                                                  Frustrating.
                                                                  Stay the course. The ship will right itself.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • fecgp40
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-01-11
                                                                    • 5750

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Pitt covers. There you go.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                                      • 48366

                                                                      #524
                                                                      Originally posted by fecgp40
                                                                      Pretty much the case MAC. Van Dyke balling out but he can't do it all. GT has 14 points directly off Miami turnovers including a scoop and score.
                                                                      and they score 2 more points off of a 100 yard 2 point conversion fail by Miami. You can't cap this ineptitude.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-04-09
                                                                        • 48366

                                                                        #525
                                                                        Originally posted by fecgp40
                                                                        Pitt covers. There you go.
                                                                        That game felt like a loss. Haha. Pitt just let Duke stick around the spread.
                                                                        Comment
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