Mac's Early Leans - 2021 edition

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-22-21, 01:47 PM

Originally posted by eastvan09

What do you like on this week's card? I had a bunch of shit to deal with this week. Haven't really looked closely at the games yet.

Wassup Van?

I'm leaning the following teams. Really leaning the one's bolded. I'll lock them down in a few hours.

UCF +2
UMass +35.5
Illinois +23
Georgia Tech +7
Louisville -5.5
Pittsburgh -3.5
Navy +28
Tennessee +25
Texas A&M -19.5
Vandy +20.5
Purdue +3.5
UTSA -6
LSU +8
USC +7

**svsooner** · 10-22-21, 01:49 PM

Mac, regarding your UCF pick, do you think Gabriel will play? What's the angle?

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-22-21, 03:23 PM

I pounded Memphis. They have speed and they're much healthier then UCF. Yeah UCF is good at home but 3-0 includes Bethune Cookman D2 team and E Carolina 20-16

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-22-21, 03:31 PM

UConn +15.5 too. How can a team be 0-4 on the road and give away 2 TDs+? Yeah UConn sucks but they've been hanging around recently

**svsooner** · 10-22-21, 04:27 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

I pounded Memphis. They have speed and they're much healthier then UCF. Yeah UCF is good at home but 3-0 includes Bethune Cookman D2 team and E Carolina 20-16

Fred, halftime spread is 0 @ -105 for Memphis. Do you think UCF comes out inspired for the 1st half or will this be an ass-whooping all game long?

**eastvan09** · 10-22-21, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Wassup Van?

I'm leaning the following teams. Really leaning the one's bolded. I'll lock them down in a few hours.

UCF +2
UMass +35.5
Illinois +23
Georgia Tech +7
Louisville -5.5
Pittsburgh -3.5
Navy +28
Tennessee +25
Texas A&M -19.5
Vandy +20.5
Purdue +3.5
UTSA -6
LSU +8
USC +7

It's good man. Best of luck with your card. I am with you on Pitt. I can't jump back on Navy again so soon. Lost on them last week against Memphis.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-22-21, 06:31 PM

Originally posted by svsooner

Fred, halftime spread is 0 @ -105 for Memphis. Do you think UCF comes out inspired for the 1st half or will this be an ass-whooping all game long?

I hedged out when I found out the QB is out for Memphis. This backup has some wheels so I might live bet them if he can move the ball?

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-22-21, 06:34 PM

31 yd line and Memphis fakes the fg to punt it in the end zone

Gains 11 yards?

Any old guys like me remember the angle punt. I used to practice that shit as a kid. Why did they give that up? Anybody could kick it inside the 20 when you're taking the snap inside their 40

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-22-21, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

31 yd line and Memphis fakes the fg to punt it in the end zone

Gains 11 yards?
Any old guys like me remember the angle punt. I used to practice that shit as a kid. Why did they give that up? Anybody could kick it inside the 20 when you're taking the snap inside their 40

These coaches coach like they just got off a late night drunken bender. I really think they would do better having the fans call the plays.

Memphis hasn't gotten off the bus yet. UCF is pretty good at home. All 3 losses were on the road. The bounce house rocks on a Friday night. My brother lives down the street from there. UCF is the largest commuter school in the country. 55k+ There's some beautiful women that go there too. Incredible eye candy.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-22-21, 11:26 PM

Illinois offense is horrible. Poor QB play, zero impact players, average WR's but an okay running game. Going up against a Penn State team that probably has the best defense in the Big10. I really don't see Illini putting up more than 20 points. I don't see a team under line just yet on Heritage but I'll be hammering it because the Illini most likely get shutdown in this game. I'm guessing under 10 points. So I've got to go with PSU game line and the under as they won't be able to score as much by themselves.

92) 336 - College/Football - Penn State Spread -24 -108 for Game
93) 335 - College/Football - Illinois vs Penn State Total UNDER 46 -108 for Game

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-22-21, 11:36 PM

Here's another play that I love. Cuse has been playing everyone close at home. Now they go to Blacksburg. Not an easy place to play. My first thought is that Cuse may get rocked in this one but VaTech's offense is stuck in mud. This looks like a cripple fight. Which team has more crutches? I think Cuse may start slow but eventually keep the game close with their running game.

94) 341 - College/Football - Syracuse Spread +3½ -108 for Game
95) 341 - College/Football - Syracuse vs Virginia Tech Total UNDER 46 -108 for Game

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-22-21, 11:50 PM

USC having to play at Kyle field at night. Good luck with that. USCs offense is already shitty. Their defense not very good either. TAM is finally getting quality QB play. This game will not be close. We're looking at a 30+ win here. I'm all over this one.

96) 390 - College/Football - Texas A&M Spread -19½ -108 for Game

**fecgp40** · 10-23-21, 10:09 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

These coaches coach like they just got off a late night drunken bender. I really think they would do better having the fans call the plays.

Memphis hasn't gotten off the bus yet. UCF is pretty good at home. All 3 losses were on the road. The bounce house rocks on a Friday night. My brother lives down the street from there. UCF is the largest commuter school in the country. 55k+ There's some beautiful women that go there too. Incredible eye candy.

I traveled to Orlando many years go when Miami went up there to play. Incredible eye candy is right. I think I left a trail of drool all over campus! LMAO.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 10:33 AM

Originally posted by fecgp40

I traveled to Orlando many years go when Miami went up there to play. Incredible eye candy is right. I think I left a trail of drool all over campus! LMAO.

When I went to UF, we were the #1 party school in the country. The % of beautiful women on campus was very high. Now years later, it is hard as hell to get into UF. They turn away kids with 4.0 GPAs. A lot more beautiful women at FSU and UCF now. UF fans are not nearly as rabid or committed to sports either. They're in their dorm room studying while the game is on. Turrible.

**fecgp40** · 10-23-21, 10:50 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

When I went to UF, we were the #1 party school in the country. The % of beautiful women on campus was very high. Now years later, it is hard as hell to get into UF. They turn away kids with 4.0 GPAs. A lot more beautiful women at FSU and UCF now. UF fans are not nearly as rabid or committed to sports either. They're in their dorm room studying while the game is on. Turrible.

Yes the few times I've been to Gainesville I remember the eye candy being plentiful. Of course, that's true at just about every college in the country now. I was at a bar with a friend of mine last night and another friend walked in with his daughter who cheers in high school. I was looking at her and some other girls there and talked to my buddy about how they all look like they're 12. My God how old am I? LOL.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-23-21, 11:06 AM

Running with you on Penn State. Didn't see anything too exciting early though? Looking to Live bet Michigan game Under & Tex Tech game Over if it looks good

**fecgp40** · 10-23-21, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Running with you on Penn State. Didn't see anything too exciting early though? Looking to Live bet Michigan game Under & Tex Tech game Over if it looks good

The early games are very blah. I played Army, Bowling Green and UMASS.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-23-21, 11:13 AM

Took Michigan/NW Under 49.5

Mich def is actually pretty good this year

Actually hit 3 cfb Unders in a row. Scoring seems slightly down I think?

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-23-21, 11:30 AM

Where did the SBR scoreboard go? It was the best way to track scores and where the ball was etc for live bets. Getting old and don't like change

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-23-21, 12:06 PM

Oklahoma

Yeah they're undefeated and I can't see them losing to Kansas, but they're not that good either. Took a miracle to beat Texas who got crushed by Arkansas

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 12:41 PM

Oklahoma is the worst #3 team in the history of CFB. I don't see how voters can continue to rank this team so high. They are probably around top 30 to be honest.

and WTF is PSU doing? Horrible play calling and the defense totally on it's heels. Just stop the damn run. Load the fukking box.

Man, I'm second guessing my plays so far. Then a lot of plays I should have made.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 12:44 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Where did the SBR scoreboard go? It was the best way to track scores and where the ball was etc for live bets. Getting old and don't like change

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**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 12:47 PM

Navy really fukkked up the last minute of that half. They played fantastic then called some boneheaded calls. Setup for an easy go ahead FG but they try a stupid pass and the QB gets sacked, making an easy FG a very long one. Then it get's blocked and almost taken back for a TD but Cinci ends up getting 3 points with 1 second left. That was bad.

OU receivers can't get open. Williams has all day and can't find anyone down the field.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-23-21, 01:21 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Navy really fukkked up the last minute of that half. They played fantastic then called some boneheaded calls. Setup for an easy go ahead FG but they try a stupid pass and the QB gets sacked, making an easy FG a very long one. Then it get's blocked and almost taken back for a TD but Cinci ends up getting 3 points with 1 second left. That was bad.

OU receivers can't get open. Williams has all day and can't find anyone down the field.

UC was really better last year. Idk how many guys they returned but they must have lost some key guys

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-23-21, 01:27 PM

God damn its hard to win Unders in cfb. Northwestern gets a big redzone stop and holds Mich to 3 for 10-0 late 2H. Then a white boy takes it 75 for NW when they had like 50 total yards? Then 3Q teams trade punts and I'm feeling good. Mich blocks a punt and scores few plays later.

Even the good cfb defenses give up random huge plays and teams can't even get a punt off etc when you need it

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 01:58 PM

yeah, it's crazy that no one plays defense anymore. Michigan scoring at will now.

Then cuse/Vatech game, they keep scoring every possession too. Then I usually get fukked when a game goes to overtime too.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 02:00 PM

PSU playcalling is questionable today. It really looks Franklin is point shaving. This is one of the least innovative calls I've ever seen in a football game. Clifford really sucks.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 02:09 PM

Here's the game that the public finally realizes that Clemson is shitty. I think Pitt hits them early and often. I like Pitt to lay the wood and not stop. I've also taken an alternative line to double up my bet. 344 - College/Football - Pittsburgh Spread -10 +187 for Game

97) 344 - College/Football - Pittsburgh Spread -2½ -110 for 1st Half
98) 344 - College/Football - Pittsburgh Spread -3½ -108 for Game

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 02:18 PM

The Grove is rocking right now. It is jam packed like I've never seen. Folks have been flying in by private plane all morning. LSU is a good team. i can see them staying close but I really think OM jumps on them early. The over is 77 and I still think it hits but can't really put a lot of money on that shit. Give me OM first quarter and first half. Got to buy the hook for the first quarter.

99) 396 - College/Football - Mississippi Spread -5½ -110 for 1st Half
100) 396 - College/Football - Mississippi Spread -3 -123 for 1st Quarter

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-23-21, 02:19 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

The Grove is rocking right now. It is jam packed like I've never seen. Folks have been flying in by private plane all morning. LSU is a good team. i can see them staying close but I really think OM jumps on them early. The over is 77 and I still think it hits but can't really put a lot of money on that shit. Give me OM first quarter and first half. Got to buy the hook for the first quarter.

99) 396 - College/Football - Mississippi Spread -5½ -110 for 1st Half
100) 396 - College/Football - Mississippi Spread -3 -123 for 1st Quarter

Like it. I'm on OM. Cashing my Mich Under!! Like Ok St to win outright but took +7

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 02:29 PM

One more play.. Rice is pretty awful. UAB is not.
101) 386 - College/Football - UAB Spread -14 -105 for 1st Half

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 02:31 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Like it. I'm on OM. Cashing my Mich Under!! Like Ok St to win outright but took +7

Okie State line is so smelly, fishy. Small play on them but I expect a lot of drama.

Of course PSU/Ill game goes to overtime to possibly kill the a great Under.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 02:56 PM

Crazy overtime game in Happy Valley. 4th OT and the under is still in play.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-23-21, 03:02 PM

Fukk, bad defense OM showing up again.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-23-21, 03:06 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

PSU playcalling is questionable today. It really looks Franklin is point shaving. This is one of the least innovative calls I've ever seen in a football game. Clifford really sucks.

I've never seen Franklin so vanilla? 0-3 on 2 pt conversions in OT

1st play was Philly special but Clifford dropped it. Ill RB dropped his chance

Brandon Peters on for Illini. Hyped up kid from INdy went to Michigan, but he sucks. Just missed easy 2 pointer in the flat. PS will win eventually