Should I hedge? +13500* ML bet

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  • Mac4Lyfe
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-04-09
    • 48374

    #1
    Should I hedge? +13500* ML bet
    Texas State is up 27-10 on Houston.

    I have $50 on it that pays $6750

    Should I hedge? They look real good and seems to be able to stretch the lead but is it worth nail biting versus taking half the money guaranteed???
  • Mac4Lyfe
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-04-09
    • 48374

    #2
    Texas State 2nd half is +16. I see them covering this too but dam what do I do?
    Comment
    • Mac4Lyfe
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-04-09
      • 48374

      #3
      Line dropped to +15, lol.
      Comment
      • ronzer
        SBR MVP
        • 10-31-10
        • 1580

        #4
        yeah i would
        Comment
        • ronzer
          SBR MVP
          • 10-31-10
          • 1580

          #5
          did you put money on alot of longshots or just texas state?
          Comment
          • ThaTopMoron
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-30-10
            • 27020

            #6
            what do you mean what do you do?

            guarantee PROFIT

            you have a INCREDIBLE ML bet and team is huge underdog and up 17 @ half... you have already WON

            good job
            Comment
            • CapperGuy
              SBR Sharp
              • 03-05-11
              • 492

              #7
              Guaranteed money is always a good thing. But Houston seem lost out there with their new everything. I'd ride it out and get paid
              Comment
              • JT OZ
                SBR MVP
                • 08-16-10
                • 2076

                #8
                Yes
                Comment
                • balls2wall
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-20-09
                  • 2642

                  #9
                  what did you do mac?
                  Comment
                  • Mac4Lyfe
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-04-09
                    • 48374

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ronzer
                    did you put money on alot of longshots or just texas state?
                    Just Texas State and Wyoming(+4000). I really felt good about Texas State and really wanted to bet a few hundred but got scared.

                    I hate to hedge this because Texas State looks the better team by far but anything can happen and why get greedy. I really want to put more money on Texas State but it's only week 1. I have to use discipline and not get emotional.
                    Comment
                    • KushMoney
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-11-11
                      • 658

                      #11
                      How much are you willing to hedge? If you have enough to be up 3k regardless I'd do it
                      Comment
                      • CapperGuy
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 03-05-11
                        • 492

                        #12
                        Pound them! Houston are DONE, really doubt they come back and win.
                        Comment
                        • Mac4Lyfe
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-04-09
                          • 48374

                          #13
                          Originally posted by CapperGuy
                          Guaranteed money is always a good thing. But Houston seem lost out there with their new everything. I'd ride it out and get paid
                          Man I really wanted to ride it out but can't.

                          Dennis Franchione is a good coach and I don't see him losing this lead in the 2nd half. They really want to make a statement being new to FBS and I don't see them letting up but it's bordering on arrogant if someone said they'd give me $3G's guaranteed locked and I tempted fate.

                          I already cashed TS over 12 and the +35.5 is a no brainer.
                          Comment
                          • ShogunRua
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-23-09
                            • 4668

                            #14
                            Hedge it. Don't take the chance of losing it.
                            Comment
                            • tshafer117
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 08-03-11
                              • 731

                              #15
                              Nice bet, I wouldn't hedge that, they look good. And only a 50 dollar bet, but still great pick.
                              Comment
                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-04-09
                                • 48374

                                #16
                                Originally posted by KushMoney
                                How much are you willing to hedge? If you have enough to be up 3k regardless I'd do it
                                I hedged it for $2750 (Cougs -15, +100). The actual payout is $6750. So I'm either up $4G's or $2700. I can live with that.

                                Texas State ain't letting up. I think they drive here and put up another score.
                                Comment
                                • ronzer
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-31-10
                                  • 1580

                                  #17
                                  I havent been watching that game, but if you decide to tough it out im rooting for ya.
                                  Comment
                                  • ShogunRua
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-23-09
                                    • 4668

                                    #18
                                    Possible middle opportunity too. You never know...
                                    Comment
                                    • CapperGuy
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 03-05-11
                                      • 492

                                      #19
                                      Damn I would not have hedged! Houston are literally finished, completely lost out there from what I've seen. Damn I wish I was near the sportsbook I would have went on Texas State second half. Either way Good win!
                                      Comment
                                      • jgray
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-06-09
                                        • 3599

                                        #20
                                        Congrats on the hit. I tailed the side and say thank ya.
                                        Comment
                                        • ronzer
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-31-10
                                          • 1580

                                          #21
                                          nice win either way.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-04-09
                                            • 48374

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ShogunRua
                                            Possible middle opportunity too. You never know...
                                            Yeah, very wishful thinking.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mac4Lyfe
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-04-09
                                              • 48374

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by CapperGuy
                                              Damn I would not have hedged! Houston are literally finished, completely lost out there from what I've seen. Damn I wish I was near the sportsbook I would have went on Texas State second half. Either way Good win!
                                              Texas State went 3 and out on the first possession then Houston get's the ball back and is driving only to throw an interception. This could turn into a crazy half. I really like Texas State but I can at least relax watching this madness. Houston's defense seems to be fired up this half. Who knows what will happen.

                                              I know these announcers flat out suck. They can't get shit right. I thought TS just got a first down but they had to punt. Horrible broadcast.
                                              Comment
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