Tommy Karate CFB 2013/2014

[Tommy Karate]

Thursday 1/2:

Sugar Bowl:

(20u) Alabama -13.5/-130 (B1/B2/B7/B9)
(3u) Over Alabama/Oklahoma 51 (B8)

[Tommy Karate]

Friday 12.27

Fight Hunger Bowl:

(10u) BYU +3.5/-120 (B5/B6)

[Tommy Karate]

Sat 12.14

(3u) Over Army/Navy 49

I just dont understand why the public thinks running in the snow for offenses is difficult. From 55 to 49.

[Tommy Karate]

Post 200 - Rutgers is a B9 play*
Post 200 - NC not a B9*

[Tommy Karate]

.......

[oneguy]

Sat 12.14

(3u) Over Army/Navy 49

I just dont understand why the public thinks running in the snow for offenses is difficult. From 55 to 49.

Because this is a big rivalry game and the last time this game went over 49 pts was back in 2005

[Tommy Karate]

Because this is a big rivalry game and the last time this game went over 49 pts was back in 2005

ticket ripped up....

[Tommy Karate]

Saturday 12.28

Belk Bowl:

(10u) North Carolina -150 (B5)

New Era Pinstripe Bowl:

(5u) Rutgers +15.5

Russell Athletic Bowl:

(5u) Miami +3.5 (B9)

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl:

(7u) Michigan +4 (B2/B4)

[Tommy Karate]

Monday 12.30

National University Holiday Bowl:

(5u) Over Arizona St/Texas Tech 69.5 (B10)
(15u) Arizona St -13.5/-120 (B2/B5/B9)

Music City Bowl:

(5u) Ole Miss -150 (B1)

added Arizona St...

[Tommy Karate]

Tuesday 12.31

AdvoCare V100 Bowl:

(5u) Arizona -7 (B5)

Sun Bowl:

(2u) UCLA -7

[Tommy Karate]

Sun 1.5

GoDaddy Bowl:

(5u) Ball St -8.5 (B5/B6)

[Tommy Karate]

Week 15: 9-6 (+3.4u)
======================
YTD: 232-201 (-2.1u)
T1: 28-30
T2: 11-14
T3: 18-8
T4: 24-13
T5(10u): 3-5

Week 16: 0-1 (-3u)
=================
YTD: 232-202 (-5.4u)T1: 28-30
T1: 28-30
T2: 11-14
T3: 18-8
T4: 24-13
T5(10u): 3-5

*End of Regular Season

[BigdaddyQH]

You are hitting at nearly a 54% clip, yet you are down over 5 units. You give away way too much money via the vig. Examples: Arizona State -13 1/2 -120. BYU +3 1/2. -120. Alabama -13 1/2 -130. That is way too much vig. If you have to give that much vig, you should NOT be wagering on the game to begin with. The books LOVE people who shell out 10% per 1/2 point. It is a losers play. If it were not profitable for the books, they would NOT allow the wager.

[Tommy Karate]

You are hitting at nearly a 54% clip, yet you are down over 5 units. You give away way too much money via the vig. Examples: Arizona State -13 1/2 -120. BYU +3 1/2. -120. Alabama -13 1/2 -130. That is way too much vig. If you have to give that much vig, you should NOT be wagering on the game to begin with. The books LOVE people who shell out 10% per 1/2 point. It is a losers play. If it were not profitable for the books, they would NOT allow the wager.

i have not bought points at all this season, so the 54% and being down 5u have nothing to do with each other. my larger 5-10u plays were under 50% and thats why im at -5u heading into the bowls.

i am only buying points in certain spots here in the bowl games since i am going so heavy on these games. ive gotten a 3rd book who now allows me to buy points. my other 2 locals dont offer this, but its nice to have for these larger plays in football where key #'s like 3, 7, 10 etc are so important.

but i agree with you, and never buy points during the regular season. all my plays are typically at -110.

stop paying attention to win/loss %'s....the sooner you realize this has little to do with long term profits, the better off you'll be. i didnt even realize i was 54% until you just told me.

[Tommy Karate]

Monday 12.30

National University Holiday Bowl:
(15u) Arizona St -13.5/-120 (B2/B5/B9)
(5u) Over Arizona St/Texas Tech 69.5 (B10)

Music City Bowl:

(5u) Ole Miss -150 (B1)

added Arizona St...

(10u) Texas +14.5/-120 (B5/B9)

[Tommy Karate]

Tuesday 12.24

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl:

(10u) Oregon St -150 (B5, B6)

(2u) Over Oregon St/Boise St 64.5

[Tommy Karate]

Friday 12.27

Fight Hunger Bowl:

(10u) BYU +3.5/-120 (B5/B6)

Military Bowl:

(3u) Over Marshall/Maryland 61

[Tommy Karate]

Tuesday 12.31

AdvoCare V100 Bowl:

(5u) Arizona -7 (B5)

Sun Bowl:
(2u) UCLA -7

(2u) Over Arizona/BC 57

[Tommy Karate]

Outback Bowl:

(5u) Georgia -6.5/-120 (B1)

-Typo here as i obviously meant LSU

-Baylor is a B7

[Tommy Karate]

Saturday 12.21

Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl:

(3u) Over USC/Fresno St 62

Gildan New Mexico Bowl:

(5u) Colorado St +4.5 (B9)

New Orleans Bowl:

(2u) Tulane -1.5

[Tommy Karate]

Friday 1.3

AT&T Cotton Bowl:

(5u) Missouri -115 (B1/B2)

[Tommy Karate]

Saturday 1.4

BBVA Compass Bowl:

(10u) Vanderbilt -140 (B1,B9)

[Simon Gruber]

Good Luck TK. Will be following your thread throughout the bowl season and tailing some. You usually end up ahead.

[Tommy Karate]

Good Luck TK. Will be following your thread throughout the bowl season and tailing some. You usually end up ahead.

Thx Simon....fyi will also be on fresno for 10u today (waiting for line to rise) and likely buffalo for 2u. GL bud...

[Tommy Karate]

Las Vegas Bowl:

(10u) Fresno St +5 (B5,B6)

Idaho Potato Bowl:

(2u) Buffalo -110

[Tommy Karate]

guess all the SD St knew what they were doing. i got excited when i saw the flipped favorite angle come into play. on to the New Orleans Bowl

[Tommy Karate]

Week 16: 0-1 (-3u)
=================
YTD: 232-202 (-5.4u)
T1: 28-30
T1: 28-30
T2: 11-14
T3: 18-8
T4: 24-13
T5(10u): 3-5

*End of Regular Season

Bowl Season Week: 2-3 (-7.4u)
B5: 0-1
B6: 0-1
B9: 3-2
========================
YTD: 234-205 (-12.8u)
B5: 0-1
B6: 0-1
B9: 3-2

[Tommy Karate]

nice comeback...

too bad they talked up this kicker so much...

[ram1502]

nice comeback...

too bad they talked up this kicker so much...

I was thinking the same thing as they were doing it. "Tulane has a good kicker" would have sufficed just fine. Only these broke di$k ratchet announcers can jinx one of the best kickers in the country on a fairly routine fg. Shitty break, especially for me after losing teaser earlier with wazzu at a pk. Screw the NBA, Bowl season is where amazing happens...

[Tommy Karate]

Monday 12.23

Beef O' Brady's Bowl:

(3u) Over E. Carolina/Ohio 61.5

(2u) Over E. Carolina 61.5 (5u total)
(2u) Ohio +14.5

[Tommy Karate]

that was quite amazing...

and the best is ohio is running the clock out.

[Tommy Karate]

20-17 Ohio with 9 minutes left. +14.5? pff....no problem:

TD @ 9:45Vintavious Cooper runs for 31 yards (Warren Harvey kick is good).
Drive: 5 plays, 71 yards in 01:23.TD @ 7:29Shane Carden catches a 14 yard pass from Cam Worthy (Warren Harvey kick is good).
Drive: 6 plays, 48 yards in 01:36.TD @ 1:55Vintavious Cooper runs for 22 yards (Warren Harvey kick Failed).
Drive: 3 plays, 9 yards in 01:05.

but the best is, the over doesnt get there.

i guess this was my give back from the N. Illinois and Over miracle win i had on 11/14 vs Ball St. Such a joke....

[BigdaddyQH]

I really enjoy reading your posts, but you know as well as I do that you will never win if you play every game, no matter what type of unit strategy you use. Why would you take Fresno State at such a big play when everyone knew that if USC showed up to play, Fresno State had no chance at all? Just wondering.

[Tommy Karate]

removing bs

[Tommy Karate]

why would they have 1 game this afternoon and nothing tonight? horrible scheduling during the most wonderful time of the year.