Tommy Karate CFB 2013/2014

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  • Tommy Karate
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-12-13
    • 13445

    #211
    Thursday 1/2:

    Sugar Bowl:


    (20u) Alabama -13.5/-130 (B1/B2/B7/B9)
    (3u) Over Alabama/Oklahoma 51 (B8)
    Comment
    • Tommy Karate
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-12-13
      • 13445

      #212
      Friday 12.27

      Fight Hunger Bowl:

      (10u) BYU +3.5/-120 (B5/B6)

      Comment
      • Tommy Karate
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-12-13
        • 13445

        #213
        Sat 12.14

        (3u) Over Army/Navy 49

        I just dont understand why the public thinks running in the snow for offenses is difficult. From 55 to 49.
        Comment
        • Tommy Karate
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-12-13
          • 13445

          #214
          Post 200 - Rutgers is a B9 play*
          Post 200 - NC not a B9*
          Comment
          • Tommy Karate
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-12-13
            • 13445

            #215
            .......
            Comment
            • oneguy
              SBR MVP
              • 01-14-13
              • 1063

              #216
              Originally posted by Tommy Karate
              Sat 12.14

              (3u) Over Army/Navy 49

              I just dont understand why the public thinks running in the snow for offenses is difficult. From 55 to 49.
              Because this is a big rivalry game and the last time this game went over 49 pts was back in 2005
              Comment
              • Tommy Karate
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-12-13
                • 13445

                #217
                Originally posted by oneguy
                Because this is a big rivalry game and the last time this game went over 49 pts was back in 2005
                ticket ripped up....
                Comment
                • Tommy Karate
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-12-13
                  • 13445

                  #218
                  Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                  Saturday 12.28

                  Belk Bowl:

                  (10u) North Carolina -150 (B5)

                  New Era Pinstripe Bowl:

                  (5u) Rutgers +15.5
                  Russell Athletic Bowl:

                  (5u) Miami +3.5 (B9)

                  Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl:

                  (7u) Michigan +4 (B2/B4)
                  Comment
                  • Tommy Karate
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-12-13
                    • 13445

                    #219
                    Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                    Monday 12.30

                    National University Holiday Bowl:

                    (5u) Over Arizona St/Texas Tech 69.5 (B10)
                    (15u) Arizona St -13.5/-120 (B2/B5/B9)

                    Music City Bowl:

                    (5u) Ole Miss -150 (B1)
                    added Arizona St...
                    Comment
                    • Tommy Karate
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-12-13
                      • 13445

                      #220
                      Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                      Tuesday 12.31

                      AdvoCare V100 Bowl:

                      (5u) Arizona -7 (B5)
                      Sun Bowl:

                      (2u) UCLA -7
                      Comment
                      • Tommy Karate
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-12-13
                        • 13445

                        #221
                        Sun 1.5

                        GoDaddy Bowl:


                        (5u) Ball St -8.5 (B5/B6)
                        Comment
                        • Tommy Karate
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-12-13
                          • 13445

                          #222
                          Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                          Week 15: 9-6 (+3.4u)
                          ======================

                          YTD: 232-201 (-2.1u)
                          T1: 28-30
                          T2: 11-14
                          T3: 18-8
                          T4: 24-13
                          T5(10u): 3-5

                          Week 16: 0-1 (-3u)
                          =================
                          YTD: 232-202 (-5.4u)
                          T1: 28-30
                          T1: 28-30
                          T2: 11-14

                          T3: 18-8
                          T4: 24-13
                          T5(10u): 3-5

                          *End of Regular Season
                          Comment
                          • BigdaddyQH
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-13-09
                            • 19530

                            #223
                            You are hitting at nearly a 54% clip, yet you are down over 5 units. You give away way too much money via the vig. Examples: Arizona State -13 1/2 -120. BYU +3 1/2. -120. Alabama -13 1/2 -130. That is way too much vig. If you have to give that much vig, you should NOT be wagering on the game to begin with. The books LOVE people who shell out 10% per 1/2 point. It is a losers play. If it were not profitable for the books, they would NOT allow the wager.
                            Comment
                            • Tommy Karate
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-12-13
                              • 13445

                              #224
                              Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                              You are hitting at nearly a 54% clip, yet you are down over 5 units. You give away way too much money via the vig. Examples: Arizona State -13 1/2 -120. BYU +3 1/2. -120. Alabama -13 1/2 -130. That is way too much vig. If you have to give that much vig, you should NOT be wagering on the game to begin with. The books LOVE people who shell out 10% per 1/2 point. It is a losers play. If it were not profitable for the books, they would NOT allow the wager.
                              i have not bought points at all this season, so the 54% and being down 5u have nothing to do with each other. my larger 5-10u plays were under 50% and thats why im at -5u heading into the bowls.

                              i am only buying points in certain spots here in the bowl games since i am going so heavy on these games. ive gotten a 3rd book who now allows me to buy points. my other 2 locals dont offer this, but its nice to have for these larger plays in football where key #'s like 3, 7, 10 etc are so important.

                              but i agree with you, and never buy points during the regular season. all my plays are typically at -110.

                              stop paying attention to win/loss %'s....the sooner you realize this has little to do with long term profits, the better off you'll be. i didnt even realize i was 54% until you just told me.
                              Comment
                              • Tommy Karate
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-12-13
                                • 13445

                                #225
                                Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                Monday 12.30

                                National University Holiday Bowl:
                                (15u) Arizona St -13.5/-120 (B2/B5/B9)
                                (5u) Over Arizona St/Texas Tech 69.5 (B10)

                                Music City Bowl:

                                (5u) Ole Miss -150 (B1)
                                Originally posted by Tommy Karate

                                added Arizona St...
                                (10u) Texas +14.5/-120 (B5/B9)
                                Comment
                                • Tommy Karate
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-12-13
                                  • 13445

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                  Tuesday 12.24

                                  Sheraton Hawaii Bowl:


                                  (10u) Oregon St -150 (B5, B6)
                                  (2u) Over Oregon St/Boise St 64.5
                                  Comment
                                  • Tommy Karate
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-12-13
                                    • 13445

                                    #227
                                    Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                    Friday 12.27

                                    Fight Hunger Bowl:

                                    (10u) BYU +3.5/-120 (B5/B6)

                                    Military Bowl:

                                    (3u) Over Marshall/Maryland 61
                                    Comment
                                    • Tommy Karate
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-12-13
                                      • 13445

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                      Tuesday 12.31

                                      AdvoCare V100 Bowl:

                                      (5u) Arizona -7 (B5)
                                      Originally posted by Tommy Karate

                                      Sun Bowl:
                                      (2u) UCLA -7
                                      (2u) Over Arizona/BC 57
                                      Comment
                                      • Tommy Karate
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-12-13
                                        • 13445

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by Tommy Karate

                                        Outback Bowl:

                                        (5u) Georgia -6.5/-120 (B1)

                                        -Typo here as i obviously meant LSU

                                        -Baylor is a B7
                                        Comment
                                        • Tommy Karate
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-12-13
                                          • 13445

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                          Saturday 12.21

                                          Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl:


                                          (3u) Over USC/Fresno St 62
                                          Originally posted by Tommy Karate

                                          Gildan New Mexico Bowl:

                                          (5u) Colorado St +4.5 (B9)
                                          New Orleans Bowl:

                                          (2u) Tulane -1.5
                                          Comment
                                          • Tommy Karate
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-12-13
                                            • 13445

                                            #231
                                            Friday 1.3

                                            AT&T Cotton Bowl:

                                            (5u) Missouri -115 (B1/B2)
                                            Comment
                                            • Tommy Karate
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-12-13
                                              • 13445

                                              #232
                                              Saturday 1.4

                                              BBVA Compass Bowl:

                                              (10u) Vanderbilt -140 (B1,B9)
                                              Comment
                                              • Simon Gruber
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-02-13
                                                • 2342

                                                #233
                                                Good Luck TK. Will be following your thread throughout the bowl season and tailing some. You usually end up ahead.
                                                Comment
                                                • Tommy Karate
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-12-13
                                                  • 13445

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by Simon Gruber
                                                  Good Luck TK. Will be following your thread throughout the bowl season and tailing some. You usually end up ahead.
                                                  Thx Simon....fyi will also be on fresno for 10u today (waiting for line to rise) and likely buffalo for 2u. GL bud...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Tommy Karate
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-12-13
                                                    • 13445

                                                    #235
                                                    Las Vegas Bowl:

                                                    (10u) Fresno St +5 (B5,B6)

                                                    Idaho Potato Bowl:

                                                    (2u) Buffalo -110
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Tommy Karate
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-12-13
                                                      • 13445

                                                      #236
                                                      guess all the SD St knew what they were doing. i got excited when i saw the flipped favorite angle come into play. on to the New Orleans Bowl
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tommy Karate
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-12-13
                                                        • 13445

                                                        #237
                                                        Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                        Week 16: 0-1 (-3u)
                                                        =================
                                                        YTD: 232-202 (-5.4u)
                                                        T1: 28-30
                                                        T1: 28-30
                                                        T2: 11-14

                                                        T3: 18-8
                                                        T4: 24-13
                                                        T5(10u): 3-5

                                                        *End of Regular Season
                                                        Bowl Season Week: 2-3 (-7.4u)
                                                        B5: 0-1
                                                        B6: 0-1

                                                        B9: 3-2
                                                        ========================
                                                        YTD: 234-205 (-12.8u)
                                                        B5: 0-1
                                                        B6: 0-1

                                                        B9: 3-2
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Tommy Karate
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-12-13
                                                          • 13445

                                                          #238
                                                          nice comeback...

                                                          too bad they talked up this kicker so much...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ram1502
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-26-08
                                                            • 822

                                                            #239
                                                            Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                            nice comeback...

                                                            too bad they talked up this kicker so much...
                                                            I was thinking the same thing as they were doing it. "Tulane has a good kicker" would have sufficed just fine. Only these broke di$k ratchet announcers can jinx one of the best kickers in the country on a fairly routine fg. Shitty break, especially for me after losing teaser earlier with wazzu at a pk. Screw the NBA, Bowl season is where amazing happens...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Tommy Karate
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-12-13
                                                              • 13445

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                              Monday 12.23

                                                              Beef O' Brady's Bowl:


                                                              (3u) Over E. Carolina/Ohio 61.5
                                                              (2u) Over E. Carolina 61.5 (5u total)
                                                              (2u) Ohio +14.5
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tommy Karate
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-12-13
                                                                • 13445

                                                                #241
                                                                that was quite amazing...

                                                                and the best is ohio is running the clock out.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Tommy Karate
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-12-13
                                                                  • 13445

                                                                  #242
                                                                  20-17 Ohio with 9 minutes left. +14.5? pff....no problem:

                                                                  TD @ 9:45Vintavious Cooper runs for 31 yards (Warren Harvey kick is good).
                                                                  Drive: 5 plays, 71 yards in 01:23.TD @ 7:29Shane Carden catches a 14 yard pass from Cam Worthy (Warren Harvey kick is good).
                                                                  Drive: 6 plays, 48 yards in 01:36.TD @ 1:55Vintavious Cooper runs for 22 yards (Warren Harvey kick Failed).
                                                                  Drive: 3 plays, 9 yards in 01:05.

                                                                  but the best is, the over doesnt get there.

                                                                  i guess this was my give back from the N. Illinois and Over miracle win i had on 11/14 vs Ball St. Such a joke....
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BigdaddyQH
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 07-13-09
                                                                    • 19530

                                                                    #243
                                                                    I really enjoy reading your posts, but you know as well as I do that you will never win if you play every game, no matter what type of unit strategy you use. Why would you take Fresno State at such a big play when everyone knew that if USC showed up to play, Fresno State had no chance at all? Just wondering.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tommy Karate
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-12-13
                                                                      • 13445

                                                                      #244
                                                                      removing bs
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Tommy Karate
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-12-13
                                                                        • 13445

                                                                        #245
                                                                        why would they have 1 game this afternoon and nothing tonight? horrible scheduling during the most wonderful time of the year.
                                                                        Comment
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