Tommy Karate CFB 2013/2014

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  • Tommy Karate
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-12-13
    • 13445

    #386
    good bye college football. finish this season out and then no more of this for me...
    Comment
    • Tommy Karate
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-12-13
      • 13445

      #387
      Originally posted by Tommy Karate
      Friday 1.3

      AT&T Cotton Bowl:

      (5u) Missouri -115
      (5u) Clemson +3.5/-120
      (10u) Over Clemson 69.5
      (10u) Oklahoma St -120 (5u net)
      Comment
      • Tommy Karate
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-12-13
        • 13445

        #388
        going the other way tomorrow in mizzou/okl st. i had an auto play of taking the sec each game, but after tonights loss it will be 4-3. and thats only b/c i bought the .5 point to get lsu down to 6.5. bottom line, im not beating the bowls with these plays and im just not impressed with missouri's schedule - okl st home game, and RLM so im rolling with the big 12. they are now 3-2 ats this bowl season and playing much better then i anticipated. history says this will blow up in my face, but im going to lose anyway for the season so i really dont care. just want to try and be down only around 30u and then just rely on the NFL to beat "football" for the year. only way i can look at it without putting my head through a wall. im shocked, angry, all of the above that i couldnt beat this sport.
        Comment
        • juanitodelfuego
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-12-09
          • 514

          #389
          Every once in a while you need to analyze the shit out of it, then sit back and ask yourself, "What do I think will happen" Sounds like you are there. Lets roll
          Originally posted by Tommy Karate
          going the other way tomorrow in mizzou/okl st. i had an auto play of taking the sec each game, but after tonights loss it will be 4-3. and thats only b/c i bought the .5 point to get lsu down to 6.5. bottom line, im not beating the bowls with these plays and im just not impressed with missouri's schedule - okl st home game, and RLM so im rolling with the big 12. they are now 3-2 ats this bowl season and playing much better then i anticipated. history says this will blow up in my face, but im going to lose anyway for the season so i really dont care. just want to try and be down only around 30u and then just rely on the NFL to beat "football" for the year. only way i can look at it without putting my head through a wall. im shocked, angry, all of the above that i couldnt beat this sport.
          Comment
          • Tommy Karate
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-12-13
            • 13445

            #390
            Originally posted by juanitodelfuego
            Every once in a while you need to analyze the shit out of it, then sit back and ask yourself, "What do I think will happen" Sounds like you are there. Lets roll
            yeah, we'll see juan. hoping for a good night to get back some of yesterday. sucks b/c i won NYE and NYD. Shocked that Bama's defense didnt show up...
            Comment
            • juanitodelfuego
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-12-09
              • 514

              #391
              I have not seen enough of Clemson though to make a good decision.
              Comment
              • juanitodelfuego
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-12-09
                • 514

                #392
                I just stuck with the over in that game.
                Comment
                • StackinGreen
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-09-10
                  • 12140

                  #393
                  I'm playing the Okla St/Mizzou over ... not sure what to do on the other game yet
                  Comment
                  • Night-Tripper
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-14-09
                    • 3205

                    #394
                    Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                    (5u) Clemson +3.5/-120
                    (10u) Over Clemson 69.5
                    (10u) Oklahoma St -120 (5u net)
                    We'll either sink or swim together...

                    PS: You oughta switch back to the picture of the hottie with her breasts spilling out of her bra.
                    Comment
                    • Tommy Karate
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-12-13
                      • 13445

                      #395
                      Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                      Saturday 1.4

                      BBVA Compass Bowl:

                      (10u) Vanderbilt -140 (B1,B9)
                      (2u) Under Vandy/Houston 53
                      Comment
                      • Tommy Karate
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-12-13
                        • 13445

                        #396
                        Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                        Sun 1.5

                        GoDaddy Bowl:


                        (5u) Ball St -8.5 (B5/B6)
                        (4u) Over Ball St/Arkansas St 64.5
                        Comment
                        • Tommy Karate
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-12-13
                          • 13445

                          #397
                          the cliffnoted version of what i wrote earlier....next year i will weight T1 (SEC angle) properly and not equal to some of my other autos. they will be 10x larger at a minimum compared to my other plays. its free money every bowl season....now 6-3 ats (bought iowa down to 6.5 from 7)
                          Comment
                          • StackinGreen
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-09-10
                            • 12140

                            #398
                            It's just college, no jinx. Vandy with a 4th down stop to start the 2H, all they have to do is go 3 and out and punt and this game, if even it gets close, isn't until well into the 4th quarter. Like the stupid fumble last night that opened the floodgates for the Mizzou Okla St over (I was on the lucky side there), it happens again on this side

                            College is nuts. Houston has also had 3 plays of 60+ yards just this quarter. More college madness.
                            Comment
                            • Tommy Karate
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-12-13
                              • 13445

                              #399
                              Originally posted by StackinGreen
                              It's just college, no jinx. Vandy with a 4th down stop to start the 2H, all they have to do is go 3 and out and punt and this game, if even it gets close, isn't until well into the 4th quarter. Like the stupid fumble last night that opened the floodgates for the Mizzou Okla St over (I was on the lucky side there), it happens again on this side

                              College is nuts. Houston has also had 3 plays of 60+ yards just this quarter. More college madness.
                              who you take?

                              is lang really like 1-13 in bowls? what the hell is he saying on those videos?
                              Comment
                              • StackinGreen
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-09-10
                                • 12140

                                #400
                                I was on Vandy. Houston expended too much energy and when it came down to sealing the deal, nowhere to be found.

                                It's unreal how bad Lang is. I know you're a skeptic, but he is just brutal. These games are so crazy fading someone like that clown will almost always be profitable, imo
                                Comment
                                • Tommy Karate
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-12-13
                                  • 13445

                                  #401
                                  Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                  I was on Vandy. Houston expended too much energy and when it came down to sealing the deal, nowhere to be found.

                                  It's unreal how bad Lang is. I know you're a skeptic, but he is just brutal. These games are so crazy fading someone like that clown will almost always be profitable, imo
                                  where are your NFL plays? cmon, you're slakin stakin
                                  Comment
                                  • fly fisher
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-25-10
                                    • 2587

                                    #402
                                    Glad u got the big wins in Vandy and SMU. I had the Vandy over so glad it was small for u
                                    Comment
                                    • Tommy Karate
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-12-13
                                      • 13445

                                      #403
                                      Originally posted by fly fisher
                                      Glad u got the big wins in Vandy and SMU. I had the Vandy over so glad it was small for u
                                      Thanks.....yes, today has been good so far.
                                      Comment
                                      • Tommy Karate
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-12-13
                                        • 13445

                                        #404
                                        Monday 1.6

                                        (5u) Over FSU/Auburn 67
                                        Comment
                                        • Tommy Karate
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-12-13
                                          • 13445

                                          #405
                                          Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                          Monday 1.6

                                          (5u) Over FSU/Auburn 67
                                          (10u) Auburn +11.5/-130
                                          Comment
                                          • RollinDo
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-04-13
                                            • 13322

                                            #406
                                            Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                            (10u) Auburn +11.5/-130
                                            I like it TK!
                                            I'm going with Auburn at -11. You pretty confident in this play?
                                            I haven't seen FSU all season...puts me at a disadvantage. Auburn has done well vs spread and I like their offense.
                                            Comment
                                            • RollinDo
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-04-13
                                              • 13322

                                              #407
                                              Vandy and UCF were about the only good picks I made in bowl games...rough, really rough.
                                              NFL seems easier to bet on.
                                              Comment
                                              • Tommy Karate
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-12-13
                                                • 13445

                                                #408
                                                Originally posted by RollinDo
                                                Vandy and UCF were about the only good picks I made in bowl games...rough, really rough.
                                                NFL seems easier to bet on.
                                                yeah, bowl season was rough for me as well...hopefully end on a high note
                                                Comment
                                                • Night-Tripper
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-14-09
                                                  • 3205

                                                  #409
                                                  Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                  yeah, bowl season was rough for me as well...hopefully end on a high note
                                                  X2. My worst Bowl Season since '06.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Tommy Karate
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-12-13
                                                    • 13445

                                                    #410
                                                    Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                    X2. My worst Bowl Season since '06.
                                                    movements not scaring you? why is pinnacle at 11.5 and bovada at 9 with the public about 50/50 on the spread.....weird.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Night-Tripper
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-14-09
                                                      • 3205

                                                      #411
                                                      Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                      movements not scaring you? why is pinnacle at 11.5 and bovada at 9 with the public about 50/50 on the spread.....weird.
                                                      Nah...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • StackinGreen
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-09-10
                                                        • 12140

                                                        #412
                                                        Good luck Tommy, i'm on the under 68

                                                        Your boy Lang gave you a present, he's on FSU -10 haha
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Tommy Karate
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-12-13
                                                          • 13445

                                                          #413
                                                          Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                          Good luck Tommy, i'm on the under 68

                                                          Your boy Lang gave you a present, he's on FSU -10 haha
                                                          beauty
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #414
                                                            Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                            Good luck Tommy, i'm on the under 68

                                                            Your boy Lang gave you a present, he's on FSU -10 haha
                                                            Wish I would've seen that. f\*\*k.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Night-Tripper
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-14-09
                                                              • 3205

                                                              #415
                                                              Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                              movements not scaring you? why is pinnacle at 11.5 and bovada at 9 with the public about 50/50 on the spread.....weird.
                                                              Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                              Nah...
                                                              Now that I have some free time, I'll explain my answer. While I do pay attention to line movement, I've stopped book comparisons. I used to compare line movement at three different books, but finally decided to only watch BookMaker. My reasoning is this: BookMaker/BetCRIS have the highest limits, so it stands to reason that it'll take more to move their lines than it will 5Dimes, Pinnacle and the rest. While Pinnacle has the *name* recognition among line watchers, I've watched it, 5Dimes and the rest twitch their asses off while BookMaker's line will stay steady as a rock.

                                                              Anyway, that's my reasoning and why what everyone else was doing didn't bother me.

                                                              PS: At the moment, my +3000 future is looking like it has a chance.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #416
                                                                Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                                Now that I have some free time, I'll explain my answer. While I do pay attention to line movement, I've stopped book comparisons. I used to compare line movement at three different books, but finally decided to only watch BookMaker. My reasoning is this: BookMaker/BetCRIS have the highest limits, so it stands to reason that it'll take more to move their lines than it will 5Dimes, Pinnacle and the rest. While Pinnacle has the *name* recognition among line watchers, I've watched it, 5Dimes and the rest twitch their asses off while BookMaker's line will stay steady as a rock.

                                                                Anyway, that's my reasoning and why what everyone else was doing didn't bother me.

                                                                PS: At the moment, my +3000 future is looking like it has a chance.
                                                                Well Bookmaker closed at 11.5, which is still nuts to me. To go past both -10 and -11 and then see this happen on the field is just amazing.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Night-Tripper
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-14-09
                                                                  • 3205

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                  Well Bookmaker closed at 11.5, which is still nuts to me. To go past both -10 and -11 and then see this happen on the field is just amazing.
                                                                  Missed it... didn't have a clue. I stopped watching the line movement this afternoon, because I was locked in and happy with my selections. I would imagine that the folks at BookMaker are pulling for me to hit my +3000 futures wager.

                                                                  Sometimes smart money ain't that smart...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Tommy Karate
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-12-13
                                                                    • 13445

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                                                    Now that I have some free time, I'll explain my answer. While I do pay attention to line movement, I've stopped book comparisons. I used to compare line movement at three different books, but finally decided to only watch BookMaker. My reasoning is this: BookMaker/BetCRIS have the highest limits, so it stands to reason that it'll take more to move their lines than it will 5Dimes, Pinnacle and the rest. While Pinnacle has the *name* recognition among line watchers, I've watched it, 5Dimes and the rest twitch their asses off while BookMaker's line will stay steady as a rock.

                                                                    Anyway, that's my reasoning and why what everyone else was doing didn't bother me.

                                                                    PS: At the moment, my +3000 future is looking like it has a chance.
                                                                    i used to use BM when i looked closely at opening lines, but now i basically look at Pinnacle for several of my college auto plays.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tommy Karate
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-12-13
                                                                      • 13445

                                                                      #419
                                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                      Well Bookmaker closed at 11.5, which is still nuts to me. To go past both -10 and -11 and then see this happen on the field is just amazing.
                                                                      maybe a headfake by billy....
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • No coincidences
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                                        • 76300

                                                                        #420
                                                                        Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                                        maybe a headfake by billy....
                                                                        Maybe, but I sure didn't see any late buy-back that would've indicated he (or some other whale) unloaded on Auburn before kickoff....
                                                                        Comment
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