Tommy Karate CFB 2013/2014

[Tommy Karate]

good bye college football. finish this season out and then no more of this for me...

[Tommy Karate]

Friday 1.3

AT&T Cotton Bowl:

(5u) Missouri -115

(5u) Clemson +3.5/-120
(10u) Over Clemson 69.5
(10u) Oklahoma St -120 (5u net)

[Tommy Karate]

going the other way tomorrow in mizzou/okl st. i had an auto play of taking the sec each game, but after tonights loss it will be 4-3. and thats only b/c i bought the .5 point to get lsu down to 6.5. bottom line, im not beating the bowls with these plays and im just not impressed with missouri's schedule - okl st home game, and RLM so im rolling with the big 12. they are now 3-2 ats this bowl season and playing much better then i anticipated. history says this will blow up in my face, but im going to lose anyway for the season so i really dont care. just want to try and be down only around 30u and then just rely on the NFL to beat "football" for the year. only way i can look at it without putting my head through a wall. im shocked, angry, all of the above that i couldnt beat this sport.

[juanitodelfuego]

Every once in a while you need to analyze the shit out of it, then sit back and ask yourself, "What do I think will happen" Sounds like you are there. Lets roll

going the other way tomorrow in mizzou/okl st. i had an auto play of taking the sec each game, but after tonights loss it will be 4-3. and thats only b/c i bought the .5 point to get lsu down to 6.5. bottom line, im not beating the bowls with these plays and im just not impressed with missouri's schedule - okl st home game, and RLM so im rolling with the big 12. they are now 3-2 ats this bowl season and playing much better then i anticipated. history says this will blow up in my face, but im going to lose anyway for the season so i really dont care. just want to try and be down only around 30u and then just rely on the NFL to beat "football" for the year. only way i can look at it without putting my head through a wall. im shocked, angry, all of the above that i couldnt beat this sport.

[Tommy Karate]

Every once in a while you need to analyze the shit out of it, then sit back and ask yourself, "What do I think will happen" Sounds like you are there. Lets roll

yeah, we'll see juan. hoping for a good night to get back some of yesterday. sucks b/c i won NYE and NYD. Shocked that Bama's defense didnt show up...

[juanitodelfuego]

I have not seen enough of Clemson though to make a good decision.

[juanitodelfuego]

I just stuck with the over in that game.

[StackinGreen]

I'm playing the Okla St/Mizzou over ... not sure what to do on the other game yet

[Night-Tripper]

(5u) Clemson +3.5/-120
(10u) Over Clemson 69.5
(10u) Oklahoma St -120 (5u net)

We'll either sink or swim together...

PS: You oughta switch back to the picture of the hottie with her breasts spilling out of her bra.

[Tommy Karate]

Saturday 1.4

BBVA Compass Bowl:

(10u) Vanderbilt -140 (B1,B9)

(2u) Under Vandy/Houston 53

[Tommy Karate]

Sun 1.5

GoDaddy Bowl:

(5u) Ball St -8.5 (B5/B6)

(4u) Over Ball St/Arkansas St 64.5

[Tommy Karate]

the cliffnoted version of what i wrote earlier....next year i will weight T1 (SEC angle) properly and not equal to some of my other autos. they will be 10x larger at a minimum compared to my other plays. its free money every bowl season....now 6-3 ats (bought iowa down to 6.5 from 7)

[StackinGreen]

It's just college, no jinx. Vandy with a 4th down stop to start the 2H, all they have to do is go 3 and out and punt and this game, if even it gets close, isn't until well into the 4th quarter. Like the stupid fumble last night that opened the floodgates for the Mizzou Okla St over (I was on the lucky side there), it happens again on this side

College is nuts. Houston has also had 3 plays of 60+ yards just this quarter. More college madness.

[Tommy Karate]

It's just college, no jinx. Vandy with a 4th down stop to start the 2H, all they have to do is go 3 and out and punt and this game, if even it gets close, isn't until well into the 4th quarter. Like the stupid fumble last night that opened the floodgates for the Mizzou Okla St over (I was on the lucky side there), it happens again on this side

College is nuts. Houston has also had 3 plays of 60+ yards just this quarter. More college madness.

who you take?

is lang really like 1-13 in bowls? what the hell is he saying on those videos?

[StackinGreen]

I was on Vandy. Houston expended too much energy and when it came down to sealing the deal, nowhere to be found.

It's unreal how bad Lang is. I know you're a skeptic, but he is just brutal. These games are so crazy fading someone like that clown will almost always be profitable, imo

[Tommy Karate]

I was on Vandy. Houston expended too much energy and when it came down to sealing the deal, nowhere to be found.

It's unreal how bad Lang is. I know you're a skeptic, but he is just brutal. These games are so crazy fading someone like that clown will almost always be profitable, imo

where are your NFL plays? cmon, you're slakin stakin

[fly fisher]

Glad u got the big wins in Vandy and SMU. I had the Vandy over so glad it was small for u

[Tommy Karate]

Glad u got the big wins in Vandy and SMU. I had the Vandy over so glad it was small for u

Thanks.....yes, today has been good so far.

[Tommy Karate]

Monday 1.6

(5u) Over FSU/Auburn 67

[Tommy Karate]

Monday 1.6

(5u) Over FSU/Auburn 67

(10u) Auburn +11.5/-130

[RollinDo]

(10u) Auburn +11.5/-130

I like it TK!
I'm going with Auburn at -11. You pretty confident in this play?
I haven't seen FSU all season...puts me at a disadvantage. Auburn has done well vs spread and I like their offense.

[RollinDo]

Vandy and UCF were about the only good picks I made in bowl games...rough, really rough.
NFL seems easier to bet on.

[Tommy Karate]

Vandy and UCF were about the only good picks I made in bowl games...rough, really rough.
NFL seems easier to bet on.

yeah, bowl season was rough for me as well...hopefully end on a high note

[Night-Tripper]

yeah, bowl season was rough for me as well...hopefully end on a high note

X2. My worst Bowl Season since '06.

[Tommy Karate]

X2. My worst Bowl Season since '06.

movements not scaring you? why is pinnacle at 11.5 and bovada at 9 with the public about 50/50 on the spread.....weird.

[Night-Tripper]

movements not scaring you? why is pinnacle at 11.5 and bovada at 9 with the public about 50/50 on the spread.....weird.

Nah...

[StackinGreen]

Good luck Tommy, i'm on the under 68

Your boy Lang gave you a present, he's on FSU -10 haha

[Tommy Karate]

Good luck Tommy, i'm on the under 68

Your boy Lang gave you a present, he's on FSU -10 haha

beauty

[No coincidences]

Good luck Tommy, i'm on the under 68

Your boy Lang gave you a present, he's on FSU -10 haha

Wish I would've seen that. f\*\*k.

[Night-Tripper]

movements not scaring you? why is pinnacle at 11.5 and bovada at 9 with the public about 50/50 on the spread.....weird.

Nah...

Now that I have some free time, I'll explain my answer. While I do pay attention to line movement, I've stopped book comparisons. I used to compare line movement at three different books, but finally decided to only watch BookMaker. My reasoning is this: BookMaker/BetCRIS have the highest limits, so it stands to reason that it'll take more to move their lines than it will 5Dimes, Pinnacle and the rest. While Pinnacle has the *name* recognition among line watchers, I've watched it, 5Dimes and the rest twitch their asses off while BookMaker's line will stay steady as a rock.

Anyway, that's my reasoning and why what everyone else was doing didn't bother me.

PS: At the moment, my +3000 future is looking like it has a chance.

[No coincidences]

Now that I have some free time, I'll explain my answer. While I do pay attention to line movement, I've stopped book comparisons. I used to compare line movement at three different books, but finally decided to only watch BookMaker. My reasoning is this: BookMaker/BetCRIS have the highest limits, so it stands to reason that it'll take more to move their lines than it will 5Dimes, Pinnacle and the rest. While Pinnacle has the *name* recognition among line watchers, I've watched it, 5Dimes and the rest twitch their asses off while BookMaker's line will stay steady as a rock.

Anyway, that's my reasoning and why what everyone else was doing didn't bother me.

PS: At the moment, my +3000 future is looking like it has a chance.

Well Bookmaker closed at 11.5, which is still nuts to me. To go past both -10 and -11 and then see this happen on the field is just amazing.

[Night-Tripper]

Well Bookmaker closed at 11.5, which is still nuts to me. To go past both -10 and -11 and then see this happen on the field is just amazing.

Missed it... didn't have a clue. I stopped watching the line movement this afternoon, because I was locked in and happy with my selections. I would imagine that the folks at BookMaker are pulling for me to hit my +3000 futures wager.

Sometimes smart money ain't that smart...

[Tommy Karate]

Now that I have some free time, I'll explain my answer. While I do pay attention to line movement, I've stopped book comparisons. I used to compare line movement at three different books, but finally decided to only watch BookMaker. My reasoning is this: BookMaker/BetCRIS have the highest limits, so it stands to reason that it'll take more to move their lines than it will 5Dimes, Pinnacle and the rest. While Pinnacle has the *name* recognition among line watchers, I've watched it, 5Dimes and the rest twitch their asses off while BookMaker's line will stay steady as a rock.

Anyway, that's my reasoning and why what everyone else was doing didn't bother me.

PS: At the moment, my +3000 future is looking like it has a chance.

i used to use BM when i looked closely at opening lines, but now i basically look at Pinnacle for several of my college auto plays.

[Tommy Karate]

Well Bookmaker closed at 11.5, which is still nuts to me. To go past both -10 and -11 and then see this happen on the field is just amazing.

maybe a headfake by billy....

[No coincidences]

maybe a headfake by billy....

Maybe, but I sure didn't see any late buy-back that would've indicated he (or some other whale) unloaded on Auburn before kickoff....