CFB - Week 5

RavensFan2k3 · 09-23-13, 09:03 AM

Idk about V Tech...do you think they can win straight up?

BigBoi · 09-23-13, 10:40 AM

I like the under in vt/gt. Both teams play good d and tech controls the ball running

LT Profits · 09-23-13, 11:55 AM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Idk about V Tech...do you think they can win straight up?

I wouldn't touch it SU, but I think buying to 7.5 is worth it. Read BigBoi's post.

Total might be too low to bet an Under (totals not out yet), but getting the hook on a TD in an expected low scoring game is nice as long as price is not outrageous.

bamaatlsu · 09-23-13, 02:36 PM

Im seeing 42 as the total

BigBoi · 09-23-13, 02:55 PM

Word LT. Love the VT bet with the hook.

Manel88 · 09-23-13, 07:10 PM

LT, you use flat stake in your plays right?

Is it possible to have your record of totals and handicaps separated?

Thanks in advance

LT Profits · 09-24-13, 01:33 PM

Saturday Addition

THURSDAY, 9/26
Iowa State +3 -108 (Heritage)
Virginia Tech +7.5 -118 (Heritage)

SATURDAY, 9/28
Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)

Manel88 · 09-24-13, 01:38 PM

Can you please answer my question LT?

Thanks

LT Profits · 09-24-13, 01:44 PM

Originally posted by Manel88

Can you please answer my question LT?

Thanks

I will try and get to it in a bit. Should be relatively painless just 4 weeks in.

Manel88 · 09-24-13, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I will try and get to it in a bit. Should be relatively painless just 4 weeks in.

Yeah thanks,,, and about the flat stake? your bets are of 1u right?

LT Profits · 09-24-13, 02:12 PM

Originally posted by Manel88

Yeah thanks,,, and about the flat stake? your bets are of 1u right?

I am really glad I did this, shows me I should stop playing so many Totals.

Sides 15-10-1, +4.21
Totals 8-18-1. -11.37
MLs 3-3, +0.9

And yes, grading is on a BASE of 1 unit, so TO WIN 1u if odds are -, RISK 1u if odds are +.

Manel88 · 09-24-13, 02:22 PM

Oh ok..i thought it was 1u bets and not as you said.

What advantage do you see in betting that way and not betting 1u per bet no matter the odds are - or +

LT Profits · 09-24-13, 02:25 PM

Originally posted by Manel88

Oh ok..i thought it was 1u bets and not as you said.

What advantage do you see in betting that way and not betting 1u per bet no matter the odds are - or +

Just for ease of bookkeeping as that is the standard USA way of doing it. In REAL LIFE though, I bet TO WIN 1u, meaning I risk less on underdogs (or all + odds plays for that matter).

Louisvillekid1 · 09-24-13, 02:37 PM

Good Luck this week LT

I give Va Tech very slim chance of winning love, Ga Tech ML

Great job getting the key # on Iowa ST

Was watching how quickly that went from 4 to 2.5

Not sure how tulsa can score, it's going to be an ugly low scoring game

LT Profits · 09-25-13, 02:01 PM

Another Saturday Addition

THURSDAY, 9/26
Iowa State +3 -108 (Heritage)
Virginia Tech +7.5 -118 (Heritage)

SATURDAY, 9/28
Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)

LT Profits · 09-26-13, 03:48 PM

4 Saturday Plays So Far

THURSDAY, 9/26
Iowa State +3 -108 (Heritage)
Virginia Tech +7.5 -118 (Heritage)

SATURDAY, 9/28
Central Florida +7 -118 (Heritage)
Akron +14.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)

LT Profits · 09-26-13, 04:01 PM

5th Saturday Addition

THURSDAY, 9/26
Iowa State +3 -108 (Heritage)
Virginia Tech +7.5 -118 (Heritage)

SATURDAY, 9/28
Central Florida +7 -118 (Heritage)
Akron +14.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
Colorado / Oregon State UNDER 60 -110 (Heritage)
Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)

Huckleberry Pig · 09-26-13, 04:25 PM

good luck LT

Manel88 · 09-26-13, 04:57 PM

LT, you could also keep putting the record of the handicaps and totals separated, when you iniciate a thread, so you and we could follow you performance better.

What do you say?

KnockEmDown · 09-26-13, 09:40 PM

LT,

Been following your threads for a few weeks now and think your game reads are usually spot on. When I saw your picks this week I thought I was reading my own spreadsheet...CFU, Kent St, Akron, and both of tonights plays (which are about to cash-in, Great Call!).

Anyway, any thoughts on the Toledo/Ball St game? Ball St has been one of my money makers this year, but I'm leaning on Toledo. Maybe I'm over thinking that Toledo's defense will be good enough to get pressure and control the tempo.

Thanks and keep posting winners

9ersPride · 09-26-13, 10:10 PM

What about tomorrows games LT?

peterrr · 09-26-13, 10:10 PM

Good call for tonight's game LT!

LT Profits · 09-26-13, 11:10 PM

Originally posted by KnockEmDown

LT,

Been following your threads for a few weeks now and think your game reads are usually spot on. When I saw your picks this week I thought I was reading my own spreadsheet...CFU, Kent St, Akron, and both of tonights plays (which are about to cash-in, Great Call!).

Anyway, any thoughts on the Toledo/Ball St game? Ball St has been one of my money makers this year, but I'm leaning on Toledo. Maybe I'm over thinking that Toledo's defense will be good enough to get pressure and control the tempo.

Thanks and keep posting winners

No official play (yet) but I think Toledo wins outright. They should be able to run all day with Fluellen against that Ball State run defense allowing over 200 per game on the ground.

LT Profits · 09-27-13, 04:11 PM

Originally posted by 9ersPride

What about tomorrows games LT?

Passing totally on Friday. Looks like I may end up with like 15 plays on Saturday though.

LT Profits · 09-27-13, 05:43 PM

2 Saturday Additions

SATURDAY, 9/28
Central Florida +7 -118 (Heritage)
South Alabama +17 -110 (5 Dimes)
Akron +14.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
Colorado / Oregon State UNDER 60 -110 (Heritage)
Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)
USC / Arizona State UNDER 49.5 -110 (Bookmaker)

YTD: 28-31-2, -4.26

LT Profits · 09-27-13, 09:26 PM

9 Saturday Plays So Far

SATURDAY, 9/28
Central Florida +7 -118 (Heritage)
South Alabama +17 -110 (5 Dimes)
Akron +14.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
Colorado / Oregon State UNDER 60 -110 (Heritage)
Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)
Kentucky +12 -108 (Heritage)
UAB +20 -107 (5 Dimes)
USC / Arizona State UNDER 49.5 -110 (Bookmaker)

dirtycash66 · 09-27-13, 09:45 PM

Out of these 9, which one is your strongest play?

LT Profits · 09-28-13, 09:37 AM

Ended up with 18 plays. Enjoy.

LT Profits · 09-28-13, 09:37 AM

CFB 18-Pack

SATURDAY, 9/28
Miami-Ohio / Illinois UNDER 50.5 -103 (5 Dimes)
Miami FL / South Florida UNDER 48 -110 (Bookmaker)
Central Florida +7 -118 (Heritage)
South Alabama +17 -110 (5 Dimes)
Navy / Western Kentucky UNDER 60.5 -105 (5 Dimes)
Akron +14.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
Colorado / Oregon State UNDER 60 -110 (Heritage)
Buffalo +102 ML (5 Dimes)
Wake Forest / Clemson UNDER 58 -103 (5 Dimes)
Boston College +23.5 -105 (5 Dimes)
Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
Mississippi +14 -105 (DSI)
Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)
Kentucky +12 -108 (Heritage)
UAB +20 -107 (5 Dimes)
Wisconsin +7 -113 (Heritage)
Stanford / Washington State UNDER 47 -110 (Bookmaker)
USC / Arizona State UNDER 49.5 -110 (Bookmaker)

Saturday CFB Card Complete

hustlehard617 · 09-28-13, 09:39 AM

LT how much do you like Texas San Antonio

dirtycash66 · 09-28-13, 09:45 AM

Miami-Ohio / Illinois 50.5 is that over or under?

LT Profits · 09-28-13, 10:13 AM

Originally posted by dirtycash66

Miami-Ohio / Illinois 50.5 is that over or under?

Under, thanks

LT Profits · 09-28-13, 10:14 AM

Originally posted by hustlehard617

LT how much do you like Texas San Antonio

Enough to bet them.

I think they win the game, but was happy to get a +3 at the time I did. Highly doubt you find one now.

hustlehard617 · 09-28-13, 10:30 AM

Did you see that line move LT UTSA now favored