CFB - Week 5

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    CFB - Week 5
    THURSDAY, 9/26
    Iowa State +3 -108 (Heritage)
    Virginia Tech +7.5 -118 (Heritage)


    YTD: 26-31-2, -6.26
  • RavensFan2k3
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-18-12
    • 17378

    #2
    Idk about V Tech...do you think they can win straight up?
    Comment
    • BigBoi
      SBR MVP
      • 04-01-11
      • 1084

      #3
      I like the under in vt/gt. Both teams play good d and tech controls the ball running
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
        Idk about V Tech...do you think they can win straight up?
        I wouldn't touch it SU, but I think buying to 7.5 is worth it. Read BigBoi's post. Total might be too low to bet an Under (totals not out yet), but getting the hook on a TD in an expected low scoring game is nice as long as price is not outrageous.
        Comment
        • bamaatlsu
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-03-09
          • 222

          #5
          Im seeing 42 as the total
          Comment
          • BigBoi
            SBR MVP
            • 04-01-11
            • 1084

            #6
            Word LT. Love the VT bet with the hook.
            Comment
            • Manel88
              SBR High Roller
              • 03-19-12
              • 191

              #7
              LT, you use flat stake in your plays right?

              Is it possible to have your record of totals and handicaps separated?

              Thanks in advance
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Saturday Addition

                THURSDAY, 9/26
                Iowa State +3 -108 (Heritage)
                Virginia Tech +7.5 -118 (Heritage)

                SATURDAY, 9/28
                Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)
                Comment
                • Manel88
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 03-19-12
                  • 191

                  #9
                  Can you please answer my question LT?

                  Thanks
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Manel88
                    Can you please answer my question LT?

                    Thanks
                    I will try and get to it in a bit. Should be relatively painless just 4 weeks in.
                    Comment
                    • Manel88
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 03-19-12
                      • 191

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      I will try and get to it in a bit. Should be relatively painless just 4 weeks in.
                      Yeah thanks,,, and about the flat stake? your bets are of 1u right?
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Manel88
                        Yeah thanks,,, and about the flat stake? your bets are of 1u right?
                        I am really glad I did this, shows me I should stop playing so many Totals.

                        Sides 15-10-1, +4.21
                        Totals 8-18-1. -11.37
                        MLs 3-3, +0.9

                        And yes, grading is on a BASE of 1 unit, so TO WIN 1u if odds are -, RISK 1u if odds are +.
                        Comment
                        • Manel88
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-19-12
                          • 191

                          #13
                          Oh ok..i thought it was 1u bets and not as you said.

                          What advantage do you see in betting that way and not betting 1u per bet no matter the odds are - or +
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Manel88
                            Oh ok..i thought it was 1u bets and not as you said.

                            What advantage do you see in betting that way and not betting 1u per bet no matter the odds are - or +
                            Just for ease of bookkeeping as that is the standard USA way of doing it. In REAL LIFE though, I bet TO WIN 1u, meaning I risk less on underdogs (or all + odds plays for that matter).
                            Comment
                            • Louisvillekid1
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-17-07
                              • 52143

                              #15
                              Good Luck this week LT

                              I give Va Tech very slim chance of winning love, Ga Tech ML

                              Great job getting the key # on Iowa ST

                              Was watching how quickly that went from 4 to 2.5

                              Not sure how tulsa can score, it's going to be an ugly low scoring game
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Another Saturday Addition

                                THURSDAY, 9/26
                                Iowa State +3 -108 (Heritage)
                                Virginia Tech +7.5 -118 (Heritage)

                                SATURDAY, 9/28
                                Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
                                Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  4 Saturday Plays So Far

                                  THURSDAY, 9/26
                                  Iowa State +3 -108 (Heritage)
                                  Virginia Tech +7.5 -118 (Heritage)

                                  SATURDAY, 9/28
                                  Central Florida +7 -118 (Heritage)
                                  Akron +14.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
                                  Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
                                  Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    5th Saturday Addition

                                    THURSDAY, 9/26
                                    Iowa State +3 -108 (Heritage)
                                    Virginia Tech +7.5 -118 (Heritage)

                                    SATURDAY, 9/28
                                    Central Florida +7 -118 (Heritage)
                                    Akron +14.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
                                    Colorado / Oregon State UNDER 60 -110 (Heritage)
                                    Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
                                    Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)
                                    Comment
                                    • Huckleberry Pig
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-07-13
                                      • 2564

                                      #19
                                      good luck LT
                                      Comment
                                      • Manel88
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 03-19-12
                                        • 191

                                        #20
                                        LT, you could also keep putting the record of the handicaps and totals separated, when you iniciate a thread, so you and we could follow you performance better.

                                        What do you say?
                                        Comment
                                        • KnockEmDown
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 08-31-13
                                          • 205

                                          #21
                                          LT,

                                          Been following your threads for a few weeks now and think your game reads are usually spot on. When I saw your picks this week I thought I was reading my own spreadsheet...CFU, Kent St, Akron, and both of tonights plays (which are about to cash-in, Great Call!).

                                          Anyway, any thoughts on the Toledo/Ball St game? Ball St has been one of my money makers this year, but I'm leaning on Toledo. Maybe I'm over thinking that Toledo's defense will be good enough to get pressure and control the tempo.

                                          Thanks and keep posting winners
                                          Comment
                                          • 9ersPride
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 08-21-13
                                            • 186

                                            #22
                                            What about tomorrows games LT?
                                            Comment
                                            • peterrr
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 11-03-11
                                              • 56

                                              #23
                                              Good call for tonight's game LT!
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by KnockEmDown
                                                LT,

                                                Been following your threads for a few weeks now and think your game reads are usually spot on. When I saw your picks this week I thought I was reading my own spreadsheet...CFU, Kent St, Akron, and both of tonights plays (which are about to cash-in, Great Call!).

                                                Anyway, any thoughts on the Toledo/Ball St game? Ball St has been one of my money makers this year, but I'm leaning on Toledo. Maybe I'm over thinking that Toledo's defense will be good enough to get pressure and control the tempo.

                                                Thanks and keep posting winners
                                                No official play (yet) but I think Toledo wins outright. They should be able to run all day with Fluellen against that Ball State run defense allowing over 200 per game on the ground.
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by 9ersPride
                                                  What about tomorrows games LT?
                                                  Passing totally on Friday. Looks like I may end up with like 15 plays on Saturday though.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    2 Saturday Additions

                                                    SATURDAY, 9/28
                                                    Central Florida +7 -118 (Heritage)
                                                    South Alabama +17 -110 (5 Dimes)
                                                    Akron +14.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
                                                    Colorado / Oregon State UNDER 60 -110 (Heritage)
                                                    Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
                                                    Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)
                                                    USC / Arizona State UNDER 49.5 -110 (Bookmaker)


                                                    YTD: 28-31-2, -4.26
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      9 Saturday Plays So Far

                                                      SATURDAY, 9/28
                                                      Central Florida +7 -118 (Heritage)
                                                      South Alabama +17 -110 (5 Dimes)
                                                      Akron +14.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
                                                      Colorado / Oregon State UNDER 60 -110 (Heritage)
                                                      Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
                                                      Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)
                                                      Kentucky +12 -108 (Heritage)
                                                      UAB +20 -107 (5 Dimes)
                                                      USC / Arizona State UNDER 49.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dirtycash66
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-13-12
                                                        • 2958

                                                        #28
                                                        Out of these 9, which one is your strongest play?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #29
                                                          Ended up with 18 plays. Enjoy.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #30
                                                            CFB 18-Pack

                                                            SATURDAY, 9/28
                                                            Miami-Ohio / Illinois UNDER 50.5 -103 (5 Dimes)
                                                            Miami FL / South Florida UNDER 48 -110 (Bookmaker)
                                                            Central Florida +7 -118 (Heritage)
                                                            South Alabama +17 -110 (5 Dimes)
                                                            Navy / Western Kentucky UNDER 60.5 -105 (5 Dimes)
                                                            Akron +14.5 -110 (5 Dimes)
                                                            Colorado / Oregon State UNDER 60 -110 (Heritage)
                                                            Buffalo +102 ML (5 Dimes)
                                                            Wake Forest / Clemson UNDER 58 -103 (5 Dimes)
                                                            Boston College +23.5 -105 (5 Dimes)
                                                            Texas-San Antonio +3 -113 (Heritage)
                                                            Mississippi +14 -105 (DSI)
                                                            Kent State +120 ML (Heritage)
                                                            Kentucky +12 -108 (Heritage)
                                                            UAB +20 -107 (5 Dimes)
                                                            Wisconsin +7 -113 (Heritage)
                                                            Stanford / Washington State UNDER 47 -110 (Bookmaker)
                                                            USC / Arizona State UNDER 49.5 -110 (Bookmaker)


                                                            Saturday CFB Card Complete
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hustlehard617
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-05-12
                                                              • 574

                                                              #31
                                                              LT how much do you like Texas San Antonio
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dirtycash66
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-13-12
                                                                • 2958

                                                                #32
                                                                Miami-Ohio / Illinois 50.5 is that over or under?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LT Profits
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                                  • 90963

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by dirtycash66
                                                                  Miami-Ohio / Illinois 50.5 is that over or under?
                                                                  Under, thanks
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • LT Profits
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                                    • 90963

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by hustlehard617
                                                                    LT how much do you like Texas San Antonio
                                                                    Enough to bet them. I think they win the game, but was happy to get a +3 at the time I did. Highly doubt you find one now.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hustlehard617
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-05-12
                                                                      • 574

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Did you see that line move LT UTSA now favored
                                                                      Comment
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