CFB 2013 (and some NFL)

[BiffTFinancial]

What did your model project forvUGA/AU? I like USC for rest of your confidence pts. BOL

I think that game is very high-scoring, into the 70s with a high ceiling. UGA TT worth a look?

[BiffTFinancial]

Wisky is gonna rip IU's off. Something like Badgers 57-26/56-23. Guessing Badgers TT will be around 46'.

[SilverTongueFox]

I think that game is very high-scoring, into the 70s with a high ceiling. UGA TT worth a look?

Guessing Dawgs TT 29.5 but I expect that to go up by the time my local releases TTs. Im already playing +4.5. If I can get UGA TT at 31 or better probably have to play the over TT as well. Absolutely love the Dawgs this weekend!

[SilverTongueFox]

I don't know squat about So Alabama/Navy but for some reason I cant look past Navy -7.5. Any thoughts here?

[BiffTFinancial]

I don't know squat about So Alabama/Navy but for some reason I cant look past Navy -7.5. Any thoughts here?

Not in particular, but i don't normally follow those teams. Phil Steele says Middies by 10. S Alabama has a bunch of close losses and off bye, but doesn't normally face an attack like Navy's. S Alabama allows 4.6 YPC vs a crappy schedule, that can't be good vs Navy

[BiffTFinancial]

Vs comparable schedules, Indiana/Wisky put up similar YPP on offense, but difference in defenses is stark. IU allows 6.2 YPP to Wisky's 4.38. IU allows TD ever 18 offensive plays, UW 1 per 40. IU allows .45 points/play, UW .226

[SilverTongueFox]

Fun parlay w/ good value and a good chance to come through.
UGA ML + USC ML + Texas ML
.5u to win 7.9u

[TC Woods]

Fun parlay w/ good value and a good chance to come through.
UGA ML + USC ML + Texas ML
.5u to win 7.9u

USC = South Carolina or Southern Cal ?

[SilverTongueFox]

USC = South Carolina or Southern Cal ?

So Cal

[SilverTongueFox]

Fun parlay w/ good value and a good chance to come through.
UGA ML + USC ML + Texas ML
.5u to win 7.9u

So far I'm playing these sides:
UGA +4.5
USC +4.5

[BigBoi]

4 totals I'm on
Indy/wisky over 69.5
Auburn/UGA over 63
Troy/ole siss over 68
Texas tech/ Baylor over 85

[SilverTongueFox]

Biff, can the Blue Devils get it done at home vs Canes? Amazing Blue Devils a quiet 7-2 right now and with a win at home on Saturday control their own ACC destiny. With Wake & Carolina on deck could we be talking about a 10-2 Duke team. Obviously they would get destroyed by the Noles in the ACC champ game but what a great job Cutcliffe has done, again. Besides Malzahn you have to consider Cutcliffe for coach of the year. Can they get it done? Dookies +3.5. What do you think?

[SilverTongueFox]

So far I'm playing these sides:
UGA +4.5
USC +4.5

It's doomed. SVP has both UGA & USC in his top 5 picks. Russillo & McShay also picked UGA. It's doomed. Oh well I'm going to let it ride.

[BigBoi]

People are scared off on the Indy/Wisky total because of weather?

[BiffTFinancial]

Lean UW +3 tonight but passing. Glad that long week is over. It's Miller Time.

[BiffTFinancial]

People are scared off on the Indy/Wisky total because of weather?

Looks like near certainty of rain, but not much wind and not particularly cold. I still like Wisky TT over and don't think this weather report changes my mind much. I was never expecting much in the way of passing from Wisconsin, and IU's not a good time of possession team, so if they can't pass, it might give the ball back to Wisconsin quickly. I think Badgers run right over Hoosiers and rain won't slow them down much.

[BiffTFinancial]

Leans
Wisconsin TT over 47'
IU/Wisconsin over 68
OSU/Illinois over 66
OSU TT over 50
ECU TT over 47'
UGA/Auburn over 64
UGA +3
UGA TT over 30'
Cuse/FSU over 57
FSU TT over 46'
Nebraska +6
Northwestern -2'
Houston +17
Colorado St/New Mexico over 65'
USC +4
Arizona State TT over 39'

[BigBoi]

If you get a chance, please run your model for Troy/Ole Siss and Texas Tech/Baylor. Id appreciate it.

[BiffTFinancial]

Weather also an issue at Auburn, ECU, FSU, Illinois. Not surprisingly, weather a non-issue at UNM, ASU.

[BiffTFinancial]

If you get a chance, please run your model for Troy/Ole Siss and Texas Tech/Baylor. Id appreciate it.

Sure thing. Should be able to do that shortly.

[SilverTongueFox]

It's doomed. SVP has both UGA & USC in his top 5 picks. Russillo & McShay also picked UGA. It's doomed. Oh well I'm going to let it ride.

Got some good news tonight. Holtz picked Auburn which holds more weight and cancels everything else out.

[BiffTFinancial]

If you get a chance, please run your model for Troy/Ole Siss and Texas Tech/Baylor. Id appreciate it.

I have around 73-75 for Troy/Ole Miss, 85-87 for TT/Baylor.

[BiffTFinancial]

Got some good news tonight. Holtz picked Auburn which holds more weight and cancels everything else out.

Lou Holtz just said "Bishop Stankey" twice.

[Smutbucket]

Lou Holtz just said "Bishop Stankey" twice.

haha I just start laughing when I hear him talk, I don't even try to understand it anymore......but definitely great fade material

[BiffTFinancial]

Biff, can the Blue Devils get it done at home vs Canes? Amazing Blue Devils a quiet 7-2 right now and with a win at home on Saturday control their own ACC destiny. With Wake & Carolina on deck could we be talking about a 10-2 Duke team. Obviously they would get destroyed by the Noles in the ACC champ game but what a great job Cutcliffe has done, again. Besides Malzahn you have to consider Cutcliffe for coach of the year. Can they get it done? Dookies +3.5. What do you think?

Not sure if i like it enough to bet it at moment, but lean Duke. Cutcliffe is an outstanding coach.

[BiffTFinancial]

Weather also an issue at Auburn, ECU, FSU, Illinois. Not surprisingly, weather a non-issue at UNM, ASU.

After additional research:

Weather a major issue for OSU/Illinois, IU/Wisky. Both expected to have rain and wind gusts 25+ mph.

Weather not a big concern for UGA/Auburn.

[BigBoi]

I still like wisky over

[blumpkin]

biff what do you have as a total for oregonst/asu?

[BiffTFinancial]

I still like wisky over

Yeah, i still like Wisky TT over. Less crazy about game over because of wind, but never needed Wisky to pass for TT over anyway. If anything, with their big play running attack and IU's inability to tackle, wet field might simply put the Hoosiers on skates and hurt IU defense more than it hinders Badger offense.

[BiffTFinancial]

Biff, can the Blue Devils get it done at home vs Canes? Amazing Blue Devils a quiet 7-2 right now and with a win at home on Saturday control their own ACC destiny. With Wake & Carolina on deck could we be talking about a 10-2 Duke team. Obviously they would get destroyed by the Noles in the ACC champ game but what a great job Cutcliffe has done, again. Besides Malzahn you have to consider Cutcliffe for coach of the year. Can they get it done? Dookies +3.5. What do you think?

I think something like Duke outright, 26-24/30-27. Also like under 62/U TT under 32'

[BiffTFinancial]

biff what do you have as a total for oregonst/asu?

I have that game getting to 80+. It's one of my favorite overs this weekend, just like ASU TT over 39' better than game over 64'. I think that ASU has a decent chance to hang 50.

[ZINISTER]

I was liking OSU/Ill under. Not so sure Meyer will continue to wreck the opposition in the Big Ten. Not that they can't, just think he comes out early gets the stomp on and pulls back and rides Carlos Hyde for the easy win. He is having trouble with the second team running the score up on the horrible competition they have faced. Illinois defense might be a step up from what they have faced in the last few. GL fellas let's hit some pay dirt!!

[SilverTongueFox]

Biff, what are your thoughts on Cincy/Rutgers? A lot of +1.5/+2 out there yet Pinny has this one as a pick'em. Besides Dawgs, Trojans, maybe Blue Devils & Longhorns, not finding much that I like. I know you really like Badgers & Cornhuskers today.

[SilverTongueFox]

Fun parlay w/ good value and a good chance to come through.
UGA ML + USC ML + Texas ML
.5u to win 7.9u

So far I'm playing these sides:
UGA +4.5
USC +4.5

Adding:
UGA over 31 TT

I like a lot of unders today: Miami/Duke under 62; Purdue/Penn St under 46; Akron/ UMass under 47; and UAB/ECU under 67

[BiffTFinancial]

CFB Week Twelve
2* Wisconsin TT over 47'
2* East Carolina TT over 47'
2* Duke +4 (-104)
2* Georgia +3' (-113)
2* Florida St TT over 47' (-115)
2* Colorado St/New Mexico over 66 (-102)
2* Arizona St TT over 39'