Smiffs Season Thread NCAAF/NFL

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  • J_smiff
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-06-12
    • 643

    #1
    Smiffs Season Thread NCAAF/NFL
    It's about that time fellas. Had my most profitable year of my gambling career last year, finished up 27 units in NCAAF/NFL and then cleaned up NCAAB/NBA with a 45 unit profit. Lets keep it rollin' in 13/14!

    I've got one play locked in so far for Thursday.

    1.5 unit Fresno State -10. Not much to say about this matchup that hasn't already been touched on, but this Rutgers secondary is a mess. Ian Thomas (a WR convert) and Gareef Glashen will each be making their first career starts of their college careers at each corner position. Look for the high power Fresno St. offense led by Derek Carr to be clicking on all cylinders throughout this one. Carr has a legitimate chance of going in the first round of this years draft, and he has all of his weapons back. Combine the obvious mismatch here with Rutgers' porous offense (101st in total offense/98th scoring offense) and I think this one should be well in hand by the final whistle.

    Good luck to all, weekend plays coming soon.
  • J_smiff
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-06-12
    • 643

    #2
    Locked in one more play for tonight:

    1 unit South Carolina/North Carolina 1H Under 29.5
    Comment
    • J_smiff
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-06-12
      • 643

      #3
      One more play for the night.

      1 unit Bowling Green -3 (-120)
      Comment
      • J_smiff
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-06-12
        • 643

        #4
        Always good to start the season off with a positive day.

        2-1 +.5 units
        Comment
        • J_smiff
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-06-12
          • 643

          #5
          One play tonight.

          SMU/T. Tech Over 60 1x
          Comment
          • J_smiff
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-06-12
            • 643

            #6
            Live action on MSU/WMU under 36 1x
            Comment
            • J_smiff
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-06-12
              • 643

              #7
              Tough backdoor TD to bust the MSU/WMU over. Back at it tomorrow, locking in one play I love early, researching and narrowing down a few of my leans.

              Northwestern -5.5 2x

              I really am loving this spot for the Wildcats. Cal has a ton of turnover on the offensive side of the ball. New coach, new true freshman starting QB, 3 starting o-lineman graduations, top playmaking receiver Keenan Allen moving on to the NFL. Just not the type of squad you want to throw out there in the opener against a tough, disciplined Northwestern team.

              Cal's defense should be much improved this year, but that doesn't change the fact that they were the 70th ranked rush defense in the country last season. A significant blow for the Bears in this one also, is the loss of leading tackler and defensive captain Nick Forbes, who is listed as doubtful. Key defensive contributors Avery Sebastian and Brenden Scarlett also carry lingering injuries into this one. Also keep in mind that the Bears fell 31-24 and were gashed for 227 rushing yards by Nevada in the opener of 2012. Nevada runs a very similar zone read offense that Northwestern will be bringing to Berkeley tomorrow night.

              Might add another unit to this one by kickoff tomorrow.

              EDIT: Adding Northwestern 1st Half -2.5 1x
              Comment
              • J_smiff
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-06-12
                • 643

                #8
                Purdue +10.5 1x
                Comment
                • J_smiff
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-06-12
                  • 643

                  #9
                  Final plays of the night

                  Alabama -21 1x
                  Kentucky -4.5 1x
                  Washington -4 2x
                  Toledo +23 .5x
                  (only .5 because I missed the +24)

                  Parlay

                  Georgia -2.5/UGA-Clemson Under 71 1x to win 2.5
                  Comment
                  • J_smiff
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-06-12
                    • 643

                    #10
                    Florida -10 2nd Half (-120) 1.5x
                    Comment
                    • J_smiff
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-06-12
                      • 643

                      #11
                      Alabama 1H -12.5 1x
                      Comment
                      • J_smiff
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-06-12
                        • 643

                        #12
                        Live:

                        NW/Cal Under 69.5 1x
                        Comment
                        • J_smiff
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-06-12
                          • 643

                          #13
                          9-6 straight
                          0-1 parlay

                          +2.5 units


                          Kicking myself for a couple stupid panic live plays this week. Could've been damn near perfect if I had just let it all ride. Oh well, can't complain about being positive for the first 3 days. Probably will skip the games tomorrow, unless something in the Louisville game jumps out at me before kickoff.
                          Comment
                          • J_smiff
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-06-12
                            • 643

                            #14
                            Louisville TT Over 21 1st Half 1x
                            &
                            Louisville TT Over 39.5 1x
                            Comment
                            • J_smiff
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-06-12
                              • 643

                              #15
                              Colorado State 1st Half -.5 1x
                              Comment
                              • J_smiff
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-06-12
                                • 643

                                #16
                                Live play: Colorado -7 1x

                                Colorado States D is fukking trash. Might even be worse than Kentucky's.
                                Comment
                                • J_smiff
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-06-12
                                  • 643

                                  #17
                                  If I can get any live lines under the -7 I'm jumping all over it.
                                  Comment
                                  • J_smiff
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-06-12
                                    • 643

                                    #18
                                    ​Colorado -3 1x (-120)
                                    Comment
                                    • J_smiff
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-06-12
                                      • 643

                                      #19
                                      13-7 straight
                                      0-1 parlay

                                      +5 units

                                      Locked two in early for next weekend:

                                      Wyoming -24 2x
                                      Texas -7 2x
                                      Comment
                                      • J_smiff
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-06-12
                                        • 643

                                        #20
                                        Other early leans:

                                        Cincinnati -10
                                        UNLV +12
                                        Indiana -12.5
                                        Wash. St. +16.5
                                        Michigan -3.5
                                        Comment
                                        • J_smiff
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-06-12
                                          • 643

                                          #21
                                          Wyoming -25 2x

                                          Line is an absolute fukking joke. Get on this before its in the 30s.

                                          Total of 5 units on Wyoming
                                          -25 2x
                                          -24 3x
                                          Comment
                                          • J_smiff
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-06-12
                                            • 643

                                            #22
                                            Idaho is the worst FBS team in the country Wyoming has a high powered offense that will score at will on the Vandals. They just put up 34 on Nebraska...they could put up 80 on Idaho if they want to.

                                            Lol I can't believe this line....
                                            Comment
                                            • KnockEmDown
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 08-31-13
                                              • 205

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by J_smiff
                                              Idaho is the worst FBS team in the country Wyoming has a high powered offense that will score at will on the Vandals. They just put up 34 on Nebraska...they could put up 80 on Idaho if they want to.

                                              Lol I can't believe this line....

                                              I'm with you all the way on the Cowboys. Brett Smith is healthy this year and the JC transfers have filled in nicely. Dave Christensen can finally run his offense. Not only were they passing with good efficiency but they also stayed balanced with the spread zone read running plays. Not sure why the defensive front laid an egg to start the 2nd half giving up all those 10 yard runs, but Idaho's O-line is nowhere near the size or strength that of Nebraska's. I'm laying 2 units at -25 (5dimes).

                                              GL and Go Pokes!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • J_smiff
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-06-12
                                                • 643

                                                #24
                                                Pitt/FSU 1H Under 24 1x
                                                Comment
                                                • J_smiff
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-06-12
                                                  • 643

                                                  #25
                                                  ​Florida State 1H -6 1x
                                                  Pitt TT U 18.5 1x
                                                  Comment
                                                  • J_smiff
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-06-12
                                                    • 643

                                                    #26
                                                    15-8 straight
                                                    0-1 parlay

                                                    +6 units
                                                    Comment
                                                    • J_smiff
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-06-12
                                                      • 643

                                                      #27
                                                      Early NFL pick

                                                      ​Bucs -3 1x
                                                      Comment
                                                      • J_smiff
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-06-12
                                                        • 643

                                                        #28
                                                        ​Arizona State -35 2x
                                                        Comment
                                                        • J_smiff
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-06-12
                                                          • 643

                                                          #29
                                                          Forgot to post but I got one more unit in on Arizona State on 5dimes at 34.5.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • J_smiff
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-06-12
                                                            • 643

                                                            #30
                                                            UNLV +11 1x
                                                            Indiana/Navy Over 67 1x

                                                            Bengals +3 1x
                                                            Comment
                                                            • J_smiff
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-06-12
                                                              • 643

                                                              #31
                                                              UCF 1H -14 2x
                                                              Comment
                                                              • J_smiff
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-06-12
                                                                • 643

                                                                #32
                                                                16-8 straight up
                                                                0-1 parlay

                                                                +9 units
                                                                Comment
                                                                • J_smiff
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-06-12
                                                                  • 643

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Duke-Memphis Over 53.5 1x
                                                                  North Carolina -17 2x
                                                                  Oklahoma State -26 1x


                                                                  Lotta chalk this week but fukk it. Couple of dogs I'm taking a second look at are:

                                                                  Arkansas State +10.5
                                                                  Wake +3
                                                                  SJSU +25
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • J_smiff
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-06-12
                                                                    • 643

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Indiana State +17 1x
                                                                    Indiana State +625 .5x to win 3.2
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • J_smiff
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-06-12
                                                                      • 643

                                                                      #35
                                                                      17-8 straight up
                                                                      0-1 parlay

                                                                      +11 units
                                                                      Comment
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