Pags' Plays 11/22

**laxdjock** · 11-21-08, 11:59 AM

The LSU games scares me a bit, as I can see them jumping ahead early and not looking back. I've spent a lot of time breaking down LSU in the past few years, and this year is definitely the hardest to get a handle on. They have team speed and the athletes that few teams can match, which is why I am cautious on this game. If they actually had a QB.....they'd be a powerhouse.

I really like your NCST pick. I've had my eye on that game all week, and I'm not surprised that it is dropping. 10.5 still has value, up to -120 [for spongerat].

No opinion on your other games. BoL.

**1flgator** · 11-21-08, 12:03 PM

i never play on my boys! but they look like a small favorite in the atl, against the pachyderm's from alabama (the great hurmon munsun would say) do you ever make plays on your home boys?

**ZBOIZ** · 11-21-08, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by laxdjock

The LSU games scares me a bit, as I can see them jumping ahead early and not looking back. I've spent a lot of time breaking down LSU in the past few years, and this year is definitely the hardest to get a handle on. They have team speed and the athletes that few teams can match, which is why I am cautious on this game. If they actually had a QB.....they'd be a powerhouse.

I really like your NCST pick. I've had my eye on that game all week, and I'm not surprised that it is dropping. 10.5 still has value, up to -120 [for spongerat].

No opinion on your other games. BoL.

If they had Periloux they'll be in the National Championship hunt

**masr** · 11-21-08, 12:56 PM

You got me pags! ,Im pulling the trigger on AZ...
already on Wf & Ole Miss
Great write ups as usual...always look forward to them,

Good luck this week

**pags11** · 11-21-08, 03:47 PM

cougar bait,

that game should be a hard fought battle, but I'm pleased you now understand my reasoning more with the pick...thank you...GL to you as well...

spongerat,

my recommendation to you if you are going to tail my plays is to make your wagers as soon as you see me post my selections...hope this answers your question...GL this week...

flaghunter,

glad to hear you enjoyed my write-ups...thanks very much for the kind words...BOL to you as well this week...

guru-t,

appreciate your post...thank you, wasn't aware I had been voted as such...glad to hear that you enjoyed the write-ups...GL this week...

taurus,

thanks for all of the feedback and knowledge...glad you enjoyed your morning reading and that my write-ups could be a part of that...GL this week, as always, with the Bull Sheet...

1flgator,

I see this week's matchup for Maryland being a little more difficult...I wouldn't call you crazy if you playd them this week though, but I won't be playing the game...GL this week...

laxdjock,

LSU is definitely a talented team, but this game appears to be more than just that...thanks for your feedback on the games and for the well wishes...BOL to you this week...

zboiz,

you might be right about that, Perriloux is definitely missed...GL this week...

masr,

glad to hear you enjoyed my write-ups...good to hear we will be on some games together...thank you...BOL to you as well...

**icemantbi** · 11-21-08, 03:52 PM

Solid write-ups as always Pags. I absolutely LOVE how NC State is getting double digits here. Way too many points in this one, I see NC State losing by no more than a TD i this one, not to mention I wouldn't be surprised if they won this game straight up this weekend. Also loving Michigan St. getting 2 TD's plus, every since Penn St. lost to Iowa, it's not the same team and an underrated Michigan St. team should hang in this one.

I like the other ones as well, but those two look like your best bets this weekend.

**guru-t** · 11-21-08, 03:52 PM

Not officially voted the best,but definitely the most respected at this point in my opinion from what I've read.

**rossta4i** · 11-21-08, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by pags11

rossta4i,

thank you...I'd prefer you get four or more with Ole Miss, but I wouldn't call you crazy for making the play at the current number...GL with what you decide...

thanks for the info pags

**pags11** · 11-21-08, 05:07 PM

icemantbi,

thanks for your thoughts on the game and well wishes...BOL to you this week...

guru-t,

understood...thank you again though...

**Skanless1** · 11-21-08, 06:45 PM

good write-ups and info again pags! esp. like your NC St and Ole Miss plays...

on the other-hand, though you're definitely more experienced and successful than me in this biz, i'm struggling w/the ariz play...

**Trey333** · 11-21-08, 07:36 PM

Great write ups as always Pags. I was most worried about Ole Miss, but you made some great points here. Also, Nutt's Arkansas teams always gave LSU closer games than were expected just about every year and even pulled off a couple upsets.

BOL this week...

**UndisputedGblr** · 11-21-08, 08:31 PM

Just wanted to thank you for taking the time to post your plays.

One question though...I'm going to play a 13point teaser and I was wondering if you would pick Oklahoma or Texas Tech?

Thanks in advance.

**pags11** · 11-21-08, 09:26 PM

skanless1,

glad you enjoyed the write-ups...thank you...glad we will be on a couple together...I can understand your concerns with that game, all I can tell you is I see what I see in that one...GL with what you decide...

trey333,

good to hear you enjoyed the write-ups...you make some good points...thank you...BOL to you as well...

undisputedgblr,

thanks for recognizing my efforts...I can't ever recommend playing teasers so I'm sorry that I won't be able to help you with that...GL with what you decide to do...

**mmike032** · 11-21-08, 09:30 PM

Originally posted by ZBOIZ

If they had Periloux they'll be in the National Championship hunt

lets not kid ourselves now. be realistic
if they had a D1 calibre QB they would be better and a contender for SEC but national title is a little far fetched.

**laxdjock** · 11-21-08, 09:33 PM

The problem with LSU (outside of not having a QB) is that they get a heck of a pass rush, but they are weaker in the middle [intermediate passing] and take too many chances on defense.

**pags11** · 11-21-08, 09:50 PM

mmike032,

good points...

laxdjock,

to be honest with you I haven't seen the same pass rush of late that they had at the beginning of the year...

**Gundog** · 11-21-08, 09:54 PM

Thanks Pags11
You provide alot of very useful information.
Good Luck

**pags11** · 11-21-08, 10:36 PM

gundog,

appreciate that very much...GL to you this week...

**pags11** · 11-21-08, 10:55 PM

gundog,

appreciate that very much...GL to you this week...

**SoonerGreg** · 11-21-08, 11:27 PM

Pags,
With ya on everything but Wake. If I bet that game I kinda like the BC side, but it's a no play for me as of now. GL and let's cash again! I threw you a shout out in my write-ups. You are the man!

**laxdjock** · 11-21-08, 11:41 PM

Originally posted by pags11

laxdjock,

to be honest with you I haven't seen the same pass rush of late that they had at the beginning of the year...

True, not lately. What is frustrating is that they have shown no consistency.

**pags11** · 11-21-08, 11:50 PM

soonergreg,

I understand your hesitation in playing that game...thank you for the recognition and well wishes...BOL to you this weekend...

laxdjock,

that is definitely what I'm seeing as well...

**jackpot269** · 11-22-08, 01:37 AM

Pags, good luck this week sir & thanks for sharing your insight not only this week but every week!! I like all your plays this week !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

**pags11** · 11-22-08, 02:40 AM

jackpot269,

thank you very much for recognizing my efforts and for the well wishes...glad will be on so many of these games together...BOL to you as well this week...

**DrLuck** · 11-22-08, 08:21 AM

Hope you have another profitable week pags...GL

**Crispybear** · 11-22-08, 01:00 PM

NC St is up 10-0 early 2nd quarter. Go Wolfpack!

**tbond10** · 11-22-08, 01:14 PM

Originally posted by Crispybear

NC St is up 10-0 early 2nd quarter. Go Wolfpack!

10-3 now and NC St missed a fg.. Solid start though and good to see nc st moving the ball well, at least it appears that way on the gamecenter I'm watching

Good Luck everyone and thanks Pags as always... guess I was wrong about the public jumping on LSU and moving the line back up. I jumped in for 1 unit at 3.5 after i missed the higher lines and got scared of the continued drop

**icemantbi** · 11-22-08, 02:38 PM

24-10 NC State late in the 3rd!

Fantastic call Pags! Great start to the day!

**tbond10** · 11-22-08, 02:39 PM

31-10 NC State... Money Line would've been money... Nice Pick Pags! .... nice tail tbond10

**Cougar Bait** · 11-22-08, 02:52 PM

Great job on the NC State play Pags. I'll say it again, if you're playing Maryland or NC State, I'm following regardless of the line.

**daneblazer** · 11-22-08, 03:09 PM

nc state is playing better than any other team in the acc right now. If they beat Miami, I don't see how Russell Wilson isn't 1st team ACC Qb.

**j0esilly** · 11-22-08, 03:11 PM

hey Pags...

any idea why the wf line is now bc -2?

**Flaghunter** · 11-22-08, 03:14 PM

pags another Great call on NC St!! up 6 units.

**skieracer** · 11-22-08, 03:51 PM

yikes that penn state is starting to scare me

**namkailyn** · 11-22-08, 04:02 PM

pags,

what do u thick about Fl St. and Fl Intl.? I'm feeling kinda good.