Pags' Plays 11/15

[pags11]

henry,

I'm seeing 6.5 currently for the game, but do understand your reasoning for wanting to play FSU and don't disagree at all...GL with what you decide...

[Henry]

Paggs,

It was down to - 5.5 at several shops for about a half an hour, and I grabbed it. That number no longer is available. In my opinion I would still take it @ -6 now. The dust is settling down now, and I think it may rise back up to where it opened.

[pags11]

henry,

good to know...was watching film earlier in the day and wasn't around my cpu...agree with your analysis of the game and the potential line movement...BOL tomorrow...

[clowncar]

Impressive writeups pags.

Amazing information and I could not agree more with your ncstate and maryland summaries.

Best of luck this week , my friend.

[MSUSpartan32]

Great write-ups, Pags. Tailing all your picks again this week...

[Rixsaw]

Thanks for the writeup Pag. I was iffy on a couple of your picks. But there is no but or if about it now. Good luck tomorrow Sir. As always, your effort is greatly appreciated.

[pags11]

clowncar,

thank you brother...as always I appreciate and respect your insight greatly...BOL to you this week...

msuspartan32,

glad to hear we will be together on these games this weekend...BOL to you tomorrow...

rixsaw,

thanks for your feedback and now solidified confidence in my handicapping ability...I also appreciate you recognizing my hard work...GL to you this week...

[Boy Jeenyus]

Good luck this week Pags. Like the Navy pick. Revenge doesn't mean much unless the team playing with revenge has the means to go out and get it.

I'm thinking NC St might just be a doggie with a little bite too.

[pags11]

boy jeenyus,

thank you...I appreciate your insight and well wishes...GL to you as well...

[Henry]

You Are,

A true gentelman!!

[Henry]

Is You Is Or Is You Aint?

Paggs,

Ohio State is a gift @ -9. I nailed that puppy!

Also Miss. ST + 22 (Why would Bama play the whole game?) got that one too!


Thanks Amigo

[pags11]

henry,

thanks...not sure that I would consider Ohio St. a gift but I definitely wouldn't play against them this week...GL with that one...

[Henry]

Perception!!

henry,

thanks...not sure that I would consider Ohio St. a gift but I definitely wouldn't play against them this week...GL with that one...

The public perception is that the Juice is the cat's meow. Bronco's exposed this team last week. I'm not one that believes that OS is anything special, but they are certainly better than a 9 point favorite. I think Ohio St. Romps in this one.

The fighting Illini is not the same team as last year. I apologize for treading in your thread. No malice intended!

[pags11]

henry,

I agree with all of those statements bud...just tough laying close to double digits in conference in the Big 10, as a lot of things have to go right in order for you to cover...it did definitely appear to me last week that Tressel was running up the score for style points in the BCS, so at least you have that going for you should they be in that position again this week...

[Henry]

henry,

I agree with all of those statements bud...just tough laying close to double digits in conference in the Big 10, as a lot of things have to go right in order for you to cover...it did definitely appear to me last week that Tressel was running up the score for style points in the BCS, so at least you have that going for you should they be in that position again this week...

Paggs,

As you know I fully respect your opinion. Having said that Zookie's boys are on a road to nowhere. As you mentioned Tressel will definetly be using this game for "style points", which makes the case for pilling it on.

At any rate your not on this game, and I love your picks this week. So wish me luck, cause I bet it!!

[pags11]

henry,

GL with that one

[spongerat]

pags how come you aren't on tulsa 1H or Kentucky -3.5? those both seem like very solid plays i'm surprised more poeple aren't on them

[pags11]

spongerat,

I think the Tulsa vs. Houston game is going to be a great game to watch, but not necessarily to bet...I have no opinion on the Kentucky game although I do like the way Cobb played last week...hope this helps you...GL with what you decide...

[spongerat]

i just keep saying how Houston has shown consistently to be a second half team and tulsa will outscore them easily in the first half, its a matter of if they catch up to win the game but definately tulsa in the first half.

why dont you play totals, just not your style of capping i guess?

[spongerat]

while i'm at it, and we're both the only ones up... do you specialize in a certain league? i notice all of your plays come from the same group of teams

[pags11]

spongerat,

well, I usually don't make a whole lot of plays in the MAC or Sun Belt...so I follow all of the other conferences very carefully...I'm pretty selective when it comes to play CUSA, WAC and Pac 10 interconference games, although I do tend to play teams from these conferences in non-conference games...also fairly selective when it comes to Big 10 and MWC interconference games but I do play games from those two more often than the previously three mentioned conferences...leaves me making most of my plays in the Big 12, ACC, Big East, ACC and SEC...hope this helps...

[Henry]

henry,

GL with that one

Paggs,

Do you mind if I put my plays in your thread. I'm not into " Look at me"?

[pags11]

henry,

if you don't mind, I'd rather you didn't...I'm pretty superstitious about my thread and don't want to make changes this late in the season...you should start your own thread though, I'll make sure to check it out...thanks for asking before you posted them though...

[spongerat]

thats kinda funny, i'm superstitious about gameday too. if my dog watches a play, the team i'm rooting for ends up throwing an interception or fumbling, its happened all 3 times she wandered in! my dog is not allowed in the tv room now...

[pags11]

spongerat,

that's pretty funny stuff, but we have to do what we have to do right?...

[Cougar Bait]

I've worn a retro Chicago Bears sweater for the last 2 weeks. It's worked, and I really don't care how stupid I look anymore. Cash flow over style points. You understand, right?

[spongerat]

i mean professional atheletes do crazy things in the name of superstition, so why shouldn't we? we should start a separate thread to see what crazy things poeple do. assuming we're not alone...


pags what else is part of your superstitions?

[pags11]

cougar bait,

I totally understand...game day routines are part of getting comfortable...

[Henry]

henry,

if you don't mind, I'd rather you didn't...I'm pretty superstitious about my thread and don't want to make changes this late in the season...you should start your own thread though, I'll make sure to check it out...thanks for asking before you posted them though...

I fully understand!!

Thank you!!

[bautmike]

Bauts Plays - Hot Stuff

Another Weekend of Winning last week but not that hot. We finished in the plus for College and NFL kicked on Sunday. I expect an huge Saturday to get back on track. Thanks again Pags for letting me Piggy Back your Forum!

LINES ARE FROM BODOG!

Illinois +9½
Texas -14 (biggest play of the day)
North Carolina State +3½
Maryland +3
BYU vs. Air Force Over 51
Tulsa -4
Oklahoma State -18
Florida State -6
Utah -30
Western Michican -15

3 Team 6 point Teaser!
Wisconsin -8
Nevada Reno -8.5
Missouri -21

[icemantbi]

I'm on the money train again this week Pags. Really like all your plays. I feel Rutgers has a great shot at pulling off the upset and taking this one SU. The Navy play makes me a bit nervous, but I'm getting 4.5 right now with them and I cannot trust Notre Dame at all this year anyways. Air Force is another strong play I agree with today, BYU doesn't travel well, 0-4 ATS this year.

Another game I like today is Indiana +35, after Penn St. loss to Iowa last week, which dashed their hopes of playing for a National Championship. 35 points is alot to cover for a team that lost a ton of momentum last week.

[spongerat]

why does baut get to post his plays in here? doesn't that ruin pags superstitious luck? oh well, good luck all

[gm_mets85]

What is Pag's record for the year?

[onlooker]

What is Pag's record for the year?

47-33, +45.0 units on the season...

[Flaghunter]

Perfect

PLAY NUMBER FIVE:

Rutgers +7.5 (-102) for 1.5 units

Awesome call here!! Picked up some choice spending money. Pag's I will be watching you for some more excellent advice.