Johnson-Benavidez - Fight won't go 5 round distance +200

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  • bogbat
    SBR MVP
    • 03-21-10
    • 1843

    #1
    Johnson-Benavidez - Fight won't go 5 round distance +200
    Demetrious Johnson vs Joseph Benavidez - 5 rounds - UFC 152 propositions
    Sat 9/22 1103 Johnson/Benavidez goes 5 round distance -280
    10:30PM 1104 Fight won't go 5 round distance +200
    I think if Benavidez can secure top position he has a very good chance of finishing Johnson.

    Benavidez inside distance will be even better value. What do you guys think?
  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #2
    Benavidez inside rather than fight not distance
    Comment
    • Grabaka
      SBR MVP
      • 02-19-11
      • 3216

      #3
      Benavidez ITD was sitting at +282 on 5Dimes. I took 50 bucks but now they no longer offer them.
      Comment
      • DirtyX
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 06-05-11
        • 686

        #4
        I honestly think you would be better off just betting on Benavidez staight up at -280. It's the same odds as the fight going to distance, and I think it's a better play. At + 200 for ITD, I see value in it, but both dudes are extremely tuff, and neither one has ever been finished in the octagon. I am on Benavidez at anything -300 and below, but that's just me.. GL
        Comment
        • bogbat
          SBR MVP
          • 03-21-10
          • 1843

          #5
          Originally posted by DirtyX
          I honestly think you would be better off just betting on Benavidez staight up at -280. It's the same odds as the fight going to distance, and I think it's a better play. At + 200 for ITD, I see value in it, but both dudes are extremely tuff, and neither one has ever been finished in the octagon. I am on Benavidez at anything -300 and below, but that's just me.. GL
          I'm hesitant to risk Benavidez at those odds because of the chance of it going to decision and Johnson taking it. Moreover, I don't trust the judges whatsoever at this weight class.

          I'll probably end up waiting for more props on 5dimes.
          Comment
          • gabe
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-12-11
            • 7405

            #6
            This fight went from being a 5 rounder to being a 3 rounder... Preferred it as a 5 rounder.
            Comment
            • illmatick
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-05-09
              • 5456

              #7
              Say what?

              you've blown out your CB receptor.
              Comment
              • Vitooch
                SBR MVP
                • 09-26-11
                • 3470

                #8
                Originally posted by gabe
                This fight went from being a 5 rounder to being a 3 rounder... Preferred it as a 5 rounder.
                Still a title fight
                Comment
                • gabe
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-12-11
                  • 7405

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Vitooch
                  Still a title fight
                  yeah, just realized that n came here to correct myself

                  my bad
                  Comment
                  • DirtyX
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 06-05-11
                    • 686

                    #10
                    Originally posted by gabe
                    yeah, just realized that n came here to correct myself

                    my bad

                    So wait, is this or isn't it a five rounder... I'm confused now...
                    Comment
                    • Vaughany
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 03-07-10
                      • 45563

                      #11
                      Still a title fight so 5 rounds
                      Comment
                      • The HOFF
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-02-08
                        • 4847

                        #12
                        Benavidez ITD. McCall was able to mount Johnson late in their first fight. I think Benavidez has a great chance of finishing this fight in the championship rounds.
                        Comment
                        • Kaladarus
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-11-09
                          • 1876

                          #13
                          I think the fight goes the distance quite often here. I agree that taking Benavidez inside the distance is much better since it is very unlikely Johnson will finish.
                          Comment
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