UFC on FUEL TV 3

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  • THE_LOCKSMITH
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-25-08
    • 7237

    #1
    UFC on FUEL TV 3
    Date: May 15, 2012

    MAIN CARD (FUEL TV)
    • Dustin Poirier vs. Chan Sung Jung
    • Jorge Lopez vs. Amir Sadollah
    • Donald Cerrone vs. Jeremy Stephens
    • Jeff Hougland vs. Yves Jabouin
    • Fabio Maldonado vs. Igor Pokrajac
    • Tom Lawlor vs. Jason MacDonald


    PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook)*
    • Marcus LeVesseur vs. Cody McKenzie
    • Brad Tavares vs. Dongi Yang
    • T.J. Grant vs. Carlo Prater
    • Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Kamal Shalorus
    • Jeff Curran vs. Johnny Eduardo
    • Francisco Rivera vs. Alex Soto


  • THE_LOCKSMITH
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-25-08
    • 7237

    #2
    money coming in on Sadollah
    Comment
    • Libert1ne
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-15-12
      • 253

      #3
      There's a play on the undercard I'm looking at going big on but I'm keeping it on the DL until lines are released.

      As for the main card so far, Cerrone is a good bet at those odds, and so is Sadollah IMO.

      Probably go with Jung for the main event at those odds
      Comment
      • getlucky2win
        SBR MVP
        • 01-14-12
        • 1119

        #4
        im leanin towards cerrone also. u think the line will move much either way?
        Comment
        • Vitooch
          SBR MVP
          • 09-26-11
          • 3470

          #5
          If Jorge Lopez's line moves, which I think will happen, I may make a small dog play on him.
          Comment
          • illmatick
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-05-09
            • 5456

            #6
            yeah, Lopez jumping +180 would probably be a small bet for me.
            Comment
            • Vitooch
              SBR MVP
              • 09-26-11
              • 3470

              #7
              Am I the only one who thought Lopez looked solid against Edwards?
              Comment
              • Vitooch
                SBR MVP
                • 09-26-11
                • 3470

                #8
                Hm...maybe not solid. Decent? Ok? Average?

                Well his standup was solid. Takedown defense....not so much
                Comment
                • Libert1ne
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 02-15-12
                  • 253

                  #9
                  Originally posted by getlucky2win
                  im leanin towards cerrone also. u think the line will move much either way?
                  My guess is Cerrone will finish at -300 or worse.
                  Comment
                  • Vaughany
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 03-07-10
                    • 45563

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Libert1ne
                    There's a play on the undercard I'm looking at going big on but I'm keeping it on the DL until lines are released.

                    As for the main card so far, Cerrone is a good bet at those odds, and so is Sadollah IMO.

                    Probably go with Jung for the main event at those odds
                    Me 2
                    Comment
                    • Vaughany
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 03-07-10
                      • 45563

                      #11
                      Originally posted by illmatick
                      yeah, Lopez jumping +180 would probably be a small bet for me.
                      yeee buddy
                      Comment
                      • illmatick
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 5456

                        #12
                        Usual suspects, Francisco Rivera and Dos anjos on the undercard.
                        Comment
                        • illmatick
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-05-09
                          • 5456

                          #13
                          Cody McKenzie up in Lodi now? LOL.
                          Comment
                          • Vaughany
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 03-07-10
                            • 45563

                            #14
                            Originally posted by illmatick
                            Usual suspects, Francisco Rivera and Dos anjos on the undercard.
                            Comment
                            • Beelzebubzy
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-06-11
                              • 6995

                              #15
                              I played Sadollah - UFC poster boy, fights in VA, should be a set up for him by Joe Silva. 1 Takedown and he could finish it
                              Comment
                              • THE_LOCKSMITH
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-25-08
                                • 7237

                                #16
                                two days till the show, still only odds for 3 fights out
                                Comment
                                • Educ8d Degener8
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-12-10
                                  • 3177

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by illmatick
                                  Usual suspects, Francisco Rivera and Dos anjos on the undercard.
                                  With ya buddy... Have got my phone alert set...
                                  Comment
                                  • Vitooch
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-26-11
                                    • 3470

                                    #18
                                    Took Poirier by submission at +350...

                                    In a 5 round fight, I think Poirier finds a way to finish this. He's not particularly heavy handed, and seems to set up his submission game very well with good GnP and top control.
                                    Comment
                                    • Beelzebubzy
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 06-06-11
                                      • 6995

                                      #19
                                      Donald by sub at 275
                                      Comment
                                      • Wanna Bet On It?
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-17-11
                                        • 1032

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Vitooch
                                        Took Poirier by submission at +350...

                                        In a 5 round fight, I think Poirier finds a way to finish this. He's not particularly heavy handed, and seems to set up his submission game very well with good GnP and top control.
                                        It's definitely possible.

                                        Poirier subbed a BJJ BB in Ronnie Lis in under one minute in his fifth pro fight. Lis pulled the old Brazilian tap and protested the stoppage afterwards. Check out the new documentary Fightville if you want to catch up on all of Dustin's fights before the WEC/UFC and just a solid MMA documentary in general.
                                        Comment
                                        • Vaughany
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 03-07-10
                                          • 45563

                                          #21
                                          Full odds out... Gonna be pissed if a couple of these lines get hammered and I miss them...should of sorted out my BM account

                                          Comment
                                          • NunyaBidness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 07-26-09
                                            • 9345

                                            #22
                                            I think maybe Kalikas took this week off? Valuetown.
                                            Comment
                                            • gabe
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-12-11
                                              • 7405

                                              #23
                                              I expected McKenzie to be a dog...
                                              Comment
                                              • NunyaBidness
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-26-09
                                                • 9345

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by gabe
                                                I expected McKenzie to be a dog...
                                                Yep, Expected -140/+110

                                                There's a spot I like even more, though.
                                                Comment
                                                • Vaughany
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                  • 45563

                                                  #25
                                                  Hougland's odds are ridicularse
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vaughany
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                    • 45563

                                                    #26
                                                    All the ones I thought would get hammered already have...gonna be depressed at this point!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Beelzebubzy
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-06-11
                                                      • 6995

                                                      #27
                                                      Played Lav, Rivera, and Hougland

                                                      going to play Lawlor by KO or in round 1 as Jason is over the hill
                                                      Wanted RDA at -180 and Grant at much better but not touching him at that.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Wanna Bet On It?
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-17-11
                                                        • 1032

                                                        #28
                                                        Maxed out Hougland & RDA.

                                                        Hit Levesseur moderately.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Educ8d Degener8
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-12-10
                                                          • 3177

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                                                          I think maybe Kalikas took this week off? Valuetown.
                                                          Maybe they dropped soft lines as an apology for smashing most bettors on last weeks event...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Beelzebubzy
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-06-11
                                                            • 6995

                                                            #30
                                                            RDA is worth it at -235?

                                                            What if Kamal decides to grapple hump for three rounds? Also, RDA could quit ala the Guida fight. But I do fade Kamal generally and do bet on RDA quite consistently
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Vitooch
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-26-11
                                                              • 3470

                                                              #31
                                                              I don't have Bookmaker, but prob would have taken Lawlor at -160. Igor at +140 is good value also.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vitooch
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-26-11
                                                                • 3470

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                                RDA is worth it at -235?

                                                                What if Kamal decides to grapple hump for three rounds? Also, RDA could quit ala the Guida fight. But I do fade Kamal generally and do bet on RDA quite consistently
                                                                Yea my initial thought was RDA, but Kamal at +175 looks appealing. We will see where that line moves.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vaughany
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                                  • 45563

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Vitooch
                                                                  I don't have Bookmaker, but prob would have taken Lawlor at -160. Igor at +140 is good value also.
                                                                  Yep, would max the **** out of Lawlor up to -225 I reckon. Only way Jason MacDonald wins is by sub IMO. May still do a big play on Lawlor hedged with Athlete by sub. Pokrajac is moving in to value territory I agree.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vaughany
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                                    • 45563

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Wanna Bet On It?
                                                                    Maxed out Hougland & RDA.

                                                                    Hit Levesseur moderately.
                                                                    Nice. Im gutted I couldt catch tht Hougland line
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Educ8d Degener8
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-12-10
                                                                      • 3177

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                                      RDA is worth it at -235?

                                                                      What if Kamal decides to grapple hump for three rounds? Also, RDA could quit ala the Guida fight. But I do fade Kamal generally and do bet on RDA quite consistently
                                                                      I was hoping for better on RDA and by the time it opens at dimes... who knows. But back on topic - when was the last time Kamal grapple humped?! ;p To be fair to RDA, his jaw was broke when he quit. That wasn't quite BJ Penn sitting on the stool level quitting there...
                                                                      Comment
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