Bellator 67

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  • PunisherIND
    SBR MVP
    • 02-24-11
    • 4983

    #1
    Bellator 67


    i know we're all preoccupied with the UFC event, but i figured i'd start a thread for Bellator.

    I was able to get Saunders at -190; would probably play him up to -250 or so.

    Also parlayed Saunders/Chandler/Grabowski -- don't see any losing, but the price on Chandler and Grabowski is too steep for SU play.
  • NunyaBidness
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-26-09
    • 9345

    #2
    I was surprised to see Ryan Ford open as a dog. I'm more surprised that he's still a dog.

    Got Saunders at -165. At +250 I'd play Baker for sure.
    Comment
    • NunyaBidness
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 07-26-09
      • 9345

      #3
      Oh and what happened to the Amoussou-Rickels fight?
      Comment
      • Vaughany
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 03-07-10
        • 45563

        #4
        Originally posted by NunyaBidness
        Oh and what happened to the Amoussou-Rickels fight?
        Moved to May18th i think
        Comment
        • Beelzebubzy
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-06-11
          • 6995

          #5
          I played Saunders small, but I am going to free roll baker
          Comment
          • NunyaBidness
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-26-09
            • 9345

            #6
            Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
            I played Saunders small, but I am going to free roll baker
            Can't blame you on that. It's an interesting spot, he obviously responded poorly to the weight cut, and frequently people have improvements their second time, but its still sort of the same weight cut.

            Also, this is the first time I can think of Saunders is facing someone with his height and reach matched.
            Comment
            • PunisherIND
              SBR MVP
              • 02-24-11
              • 4983

              #7
              Originally posted by NunyaBidness
              Can't blame you on that. It's an interesting spot, he obviously responded poorly to the weight cut, and frequently people have improvements their second time, but its still sort of the same weight cut.

              Also, this is the first time I can think of Saunders is facing someone with his height and reach matched.
              swick was probably close in height/reach.... and that didn't end up well for saunders.
              Comment
              • MMAbetMASTA
                SBR MVP
                • 05-24-11
                • 1931

                #8
                Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                I was surprised to see Ryan Ford open as a dog. I'm more surprised that he's still a dog.

                Got Saunders at -165. At +250 I'd play Baker for sure.
                Agree, value is on baker if the odds get to the +250 range... However, I think I am saving my chips for ufc, I can't call any of these bellator fights with any sort of confidence.
                Comment
                • Vaughany
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 03-07-10
                  • 45563

                  #9
                  yeah Saunders is very flakey, never know what to expect from him. I always remember tht Swick fight cos I bet on Saunders and thought he'd run through Swick! Obviously he didnt, then Swick proceeded to look terrible in his future fights
                  Comment
                  • Beelzebubzy
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-06-11
                    • 6995

                    #10
                    is Mike Swick ever going to fight again?
                    Comment
                    • Vaughany
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 03-07-10
                      • 45563

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                      is Mike Swick ever going to fight again?
                      Doubt it, he's busy setting up his gym in Thailand with Huerta at moment
                      Comment
                      • PunisherIND
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-24-11
                        • 4983

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Vaughany
                        yeah Saunders is very flakey, never know what to expect from him. I always remember tht Swick fight cos I bet on Saunders and thought he'd run through Swick! Obviously he didnt, then Swick proceeded to look terrible in his future fights
                        lol. same here bro.
                        Comment
                        • Beelzebubzy
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-06-11
                          • 6995

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Vaughany
                          Doubt it, he's busy setting up his gym in Thailand with Huerta at moment
                          Haha I read that as he is settling in Thailand with Huerta.
                          Comment
                          • Vaughany
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 03-07-10
                            • 45563

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                            Haha I read that as he is settling in Thailand with Huerta.
                            ha well he is kinda!
                            Comment
                            • sirchadwick1
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-02-10
                              • 1375

                              #15
                              Wow Chandler/Gono does not go 5 rd distance at -280. I'm all over that shiz!


                              Chandler is either getting the TKO or sub within 2.
                              Comment
                              • Mercersux
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-03-12
                                • 1521

                                #16
                                How can there be a prop for chandler/gono for 5 rounds when its not a title fight??? I checked 5D and they have it up as well. Don't make sense.
                                Comment
                                • PunisherIND
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-24-11
                                  • 4983

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Mercersux
                                  How can there be a prop for chandler/gono for 5 rounds when its not a title fight??? I checked 5D and they have it up as well. Don't make sense.
                                  Wouldn't be the first time they got the number of rounds wrong! That line has had movement too. I wonder if they will honor.
                                  Comment
                                  • Vitooch
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-26-11
                                    • 3470

                                    #18
                                    I love Baker at anything over +200. In what I consider a pretty evenly matched fight, I like Baker's more grappling oriented style.

                                    I dont see Saunders finishing Baker. I could see this fight ending in a close decision with Baker edging it with a few late takedowns. Dont let one underwhelming performance fool you. Saunders is not nearly as superior to Baker as the odds inidicate.
                                    Comment
                                    • Imsmarterthanu
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-02-12
                                      • 1878

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                                      I was surprised to see Ryan Ford open as a dog. I'm more surprised that he's still a dog.

                                      Got Saunders at -165. At +250 I'd play Baker for sure.
                                      Saunders will win

                                      Originally posted by sirchadwick1
                                      Wow Chandler/Gono does not go 5 rd distance at -280. I'm all over that shiz!


                                      Chandler is either getting the TKO or sub within 2.
                                      You're underestimating Gono, he's a tough dude I don't think Chandler is KO'ing him or Subbing him

                                      If anything it's going to go to a decision with chandler winning or a come from behind submission win from gono

                                      Anyways i have Gono just for the fact that he's been in there with the best in the world and Chandler isn't going to surprise him with his skill set
                                      Comment
                                      • Vaughany
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 03-07-10
                                        • 45563

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by sirchadwick1
                                        Wow Chandler/Gono does not go 5 rd distance at -280. I'm all over that shiz!


                                        Chandler is either getting the TKO or sub within 2.
                                        I got the opener at -185. But just realised it probably isnt 5 rounds!
                                        Comment
                                        • Loggan
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 04-09-12
                                          • 23

                                          #21
                                          Huckaba just opened +365 at pinnacle, had to hit 2u on that.
                                          Comment
                                          • sirchadwick1
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-02-10
                                            • 1375

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Vaughany
                                            I got the opener at -185. But just realised it probably isnt 5 rounds!
                                            Ah, crap another one of those too good to be true lines that screws everyone. I'm going to contact 5d now to see if they will cancel. Probably won't.

                                            3 rounds is a different story... but I still think Chandler finishes. I know Gono is tough and rarely gets finished, but he's way past his prime and Chandler is on the rise... I think at this point in their careers Gono is completely outmatched and it will show. The matchup makes no sense to me at all.
                                            Comment
                                            • Vaughany
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 03-07-10
                                              • 45563

                                              #23
                                              They cancelled all other ones like this. I had a play on Poirier/KZ going distance when they had it at three rounds and was voided
                                              Comment
                                              • Imsmarterthanu
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-02-12
                                                • 1878

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Loggan
                                                Huckaba just opened +365 at pinnacle, had to hit 2u on that.
                                                Yea but the guy is going up against is a well rounded beast
                                                Comment
                                                • sirchadwick1
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-02-10
                                                  • 1375

                                                  #25
                                                  5d has been good to me... easy enough.

                                                  Please wait for a site operator to respond.
                                                  You are now chatting with 'Alicia'
                                                  Alicia: Hello. How may I assist you today?
                                                  sirchadwick1: Hi, I placed a bet yesterday on Bellator - Chandler/Gono fight will not go distance at -280. This fight is listed as 5 rounds.
                                                  sirchadwick1: However, that is wrong... it is actually a 3 round fight.
                                                  Alicia: Can you please confirm your account number and password?
                                                  sirchadwick1: Can you please cancel my bet?
                                                  sirchadwick1: ******
                                                  Alicia: and whats the ticket number?
                                                  sirchadwick1: let me look it up
                                                  sirchadwick1: **********
                                                  Alicia: Just a moment please
                                                  sirchadwick1: sure
                                                  Alicia: wagering told me the wager is voided now sir
                                                  Alicia: Is there anything else I can assist you with?
                                                  sirchadwick1: thank you
                                                  sirchadwick1: perfect, that's all today
                                                  Alicia: You're welcome
                                                  Alicia: Have a great day!

                                                  They did pull the line... will be interesting to see what it comes back up at.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sirchadwick1
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-02-10
                                                    • 1375

                                                    #26
                                                    Prop is back up on Chandler Gono

                                                    -145 does not go distance
                                                    +105 goes distance

                                                    I'm on the under.... again at that price.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pew Pew
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-21-10
                                                      • 2267

                                                      #27
                                                      Saunders was at -270 last night. Now he's -180???
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sirchadwick1
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-02-10
                                                        • 1375

                                                        #28
                                                        That line looks more accurate on Saunders/Baker to me. No way I'd pay -270 for Saunders against him.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vitooch
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-26-11
                                                          • 3470

                                                          #29
                                                          I think the opening lines had Saunders trenendously overvalued and Baker quite the opposite. This fight will be a close one
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sztukmistrz
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 11-05-11
                                                            • 10

                                                            #30
                                                            Grabowski - Huckaba
                                                            under 1.5
                                                            -125 5dimes
                                                            5/10

                                                            Grabowski in good shape.
                                                            Huckaba is old man without cardio and rarely fights longer than 1 round.
                                                            Pole submit him in the first, second round.
                                                            Or Huckaba hit him in the first.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Libert1ne
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 02-15-12
                                                              • 253

                                                              #31
                                                              I'm on Ryan Ford and Baker. GL boys
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Libert1ne
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 02-15-12
                                                                • 253

                                                                #32
                                                                Let's cash doggies!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Libert1ne
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 02-15-12
                                                                  • 253

                                                                  #33
                                                                  And that's why you don't become a -200 favourite beating cans in brazil folks...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Libert1ne
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 02-15-12
                                                                    • 253

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Now even if baker loses I'll be profitable, but I think he's got a legit chance of controlling the fight with rasslin and his physicality en route to a UD
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Educ8d Degener8
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-12-10
                                                                      • 3177

                                                                      #35
                                                                      It's getting tough to not put at least a lil something on Gono at +800... Yeah, Gono is pretty shot, but wtf, this isn't overeem vs some can in Dream...
                                                                      Comment
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