UFC on FOX 1 by Uncle Gabe

[FlashinLeather]

I like all of your picks except for Clay. Good luck

Thought the same thing, Bendo looked great against Miller, I'm not sure Clay is a much of a step up if any for him.

[gabe]

Thought the same thing, Bendo looked great against Miller, I'm not sure Clay is a much of a step up if any for him.

I think Guida would beat Miller easier than he did Pettis.

[BIGDAY]

Math isn't your strong suit is it? WTF is a big day?

You guys are cracking me up!!!

Gabe, first off, I have all wagers on a 1-5 Unit basis. I never call them locks and I have less than a hand full of 5 Unit wagers a year on average.

I'm really just an average Joe that MMA is my most profitable sport. When I have a decent lean I share with a few here on the best forum out there.

GL guys.

[gabe]

You guys are cracking me up!!!

Gabe, first off, I have all wagers on a 1-5 Unit basis. I never call them locks and I have less than a hand full of 5 Unit wagers a year on average.

I'm really just an average Joe that MMA is my most profitable sport. When I have a decent lean I share with a few here on the best forum out there.

GL guys.

What I call locks are your equivalent of 5 unit bets. I might start picking based on 1-5 units, too.

I like to make picks on a lot of fights. If I only picked fights I was really confident about, I would almost never lose. For example, all 4 of the fights I was really confident about for UFC 138 won, and the only two I was a little weary about lost. And out of those 4, I would have only bet on 3 of them, because the juice on Etim wouldn't have been worth a big bet. I would have a better record and make more money, but I wouldn't be having as much fun.

I don't have any 5 unit plays for UFC on FOX 1, but I would consider Cain a 4.5 unit play. Garza 3.5, possibly 4 units.

[BIGDAY]

Rock on and good luck.

[gabe]

Adding MATT LUCAS over Aaron Rosa

[NunyaBidness]

Wow good luck Gabe it seems like I got very similar plays. Hopefully it's a good night for you.

That would make me nervous.

[Vaughany]

I think Guida would beat Miller easier than he did Pettis.

[Vitooch]

Jim Miller would tool Guida.

[BIGDAY]

Jim Miller would tool Guida.

[v1y]

Jim Miller would tool Guida.

While I hate to use MMAth this is one of the reasons I have a strong lean on Henderson here. Miller would be -200 against Guida for sure, and Henderson WRECKED him.

[gabe]

Jim Miller would tool Guida.

Jim Miller's nost notable victories are over Gleison Tibau, Charles Oliveira, Mac Danzig, Matt Wiman, and Duane Ludwig.

I can see Guida beating all of those guys. Miller hasn't beaten anyone that would make me think he would tool Clay Guida. I don't even know if he can even land a punch against Guida, considering he's never fought anyone with half the movement Guida possesses. I think out of those guys, Wiman would have the best shot against Guida. Miller isn't gonna catch him like he did Oliveira and Ludwig. His only shot would be to grind out a decision.

Maybe I'm off, but that's how I see it.

[ghost kid]

Jim Miller's nost notable victories are over Gleison Tibau, Charles Oliveira, Mac Danzig, Matt Wiman, and Duane Ludwig. I can see Guida beating all of those guys. Miller hasn't beaten anyone that would make me think he would tool Clay Guida. I don't even know if he can even land a punch against Guida, considering he's never fought anyone with half the movement Guida possesses.

Are you listing those Miller wins as bad wins? Not impressed by that list? Couple really good fighters there.


You don't think he can land A PUNCH against Guida? One punch?

Smoking more than weed there, homeboy.

[gabe]

Are you listing those Miller wins as bad wins? Not impressed by that list? Couple really good fighters there.

Um, no, I'm not. Those are good fighters, all I said is that I don't see any of them beating Clay Guida. I mean, of course I could see them beating Guida, but not easily. I think Guida could beat all those guys. Matt Wiman would probably have the best shot against him.

You don't think he can land A PUNCH against Guida? One punch?

Did I say I don't think he can, or did I say I don't know if he can?

Obviously, he'll be able to hit him, my point implied that you don't know how he will put up with Guida's stand up and movement, since he's never faced anyone similar.

Smoking more than weed there, homeboy.

Yes, but that has nothing to do with why you're misinterpreting and putting words in my mouth.

*edit* my bad, i thought you meant smoking more weed, not more than weed... nope, just Pine OG Kush, my friend! and it is delicious!

[DDT]

Love the picks...thanks

[FightFightFight]

Doing a fantastic job, DDT!

[snapperman2]

I think that JDS will beat Cain. Junior proved he could stop Carwin's takedowns, so he can probably stop Cain's takedowns too. If Cain can't take him down, JDS will win the fight handily with his superior striking.

[gabe]

I think that JDS will beat Cain. Junior proved he could stop Carwin's takedowns, so he can probably stop Cain's takedowns too. If Cain can't take him down, JDS will win the fight handily with his superior striking.

I would agree that JDS is the superior boxer, but I think Cain can hold his own with him. While JDS has the superior boxing skills, it's Cain who hones the phenomenal kickboxing skills. He can hurt JDS with his kicks, and he wouldn't be afraid to throw 'em, 'cos if JDS catches him and takes him down, then great, he'll out-wrestle him.

Cain is a bigger and better wrestler than Carwin, and I think he would beat Carwin a lot easier than JDS did.

[bogbat]

People are way overstating the gap in their boxing skills. JDS has the better offensive boxing but Cain has much better head movement. Also, lets not compare Cain's wrestling to Carwins. Cain was a div 1 NCAA wrestler and had to compete against superior competition such as Cole Konrad. Cain's has incorporated his wrestling perfectly into MMA and is fluid in setting up his take downs with his strikes. We also know that Cain won't gas like Carwin, and will continue to attempt take downs when given the opportunity the as long as the fight goes.

[gabe]

BIG on DaMarques Johnson!

[gabe]

Since people aren't cool with me posting how my bets went after the event is over, I have decided not to share/post them here anymore, but instead to start keeping them in a wordpad file. So, from now on- I will only give my picks. I won't bother you with things you don't care about, like if I made money or lost money, or who I went with in fights I didn't have picked. Personally, it would interest me if all cappers here posted the way I do; it allows you to see how they think on a fight by fight basis, not just the couple they had picked. But apparently that's just me. I won't be adding my betting results to the end of this thread, nor to any other.

[NunyaBidness]

Wordpad, lol.

If only there were another application that could organize your results into rows and columns, calculate your totals, ROI, etc, automatically.

[NYSportsGuy210]

Three team ML parlay on UFC tonight:

(1) Cain Velasquez
(2) Ben Henderson
(3) DeMarques Johnson

[gabe]

Wordpad, lol.

If only there were another application that could organize your results into rows and columns, calculate your totals, ROI, etc, automatically.

I'm old school.

I picked Mike Pierce for that contest, but I'm taking The Gentleman!

[Educ8d Degener8]

Wordpad, lol.

If only there were another application that could organize your results into rows and columns, calculate your totals, ROI, etc, automatically.

Yeah, one could really accel at betting if only such an application were to exist... someone should suggest the idea to Microsoft.

[Vaughany]

Wordpad, lol.

If only there were another application that could organize your results into rows and columns, calculate your totals, ROI, etc, automatically.

[ANGRYBLACK]

Since people aren't cool with me posting how my bets went after the event is over, I have decided not to share/post them here anymore, but instead to start keeping them in a wordpad file. So, from now on- I will only give my picks. I won't bother you with things you don't care about, like if I made money or lost money, or who I went with in fights I didn't have picked. Personally, it would interest me if all cappers here posted the way I do; it allows you to see how they think on a fight by fight basis, not just the couple they had picked. But apparently that's just me. I won't be adding my betting results to the end of this thread, nor to any other.

http://gabe.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[SATERSTYLE]

http://gabe.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

I don't think you realize... Spreadsheet would expose him

[Vaughany]

Fair play Gabe...u got some decent picks tonight

Guida was never gonna win tho!

[NunyaBidness]

Straight up fade material, homey.

From the contest:

Quote:
Originally Posted by gabe
Cain Velasquez -165
Clay Guida +210
Pablo Garza +240
Ricardo Lamas -140
DaMarques Johnson -255
Norifumi Yamamoto -400
Robert Peralta -125
Alex Caceres +190
Mike Pierce -285
Matt Lucas +130


In what round will the Clay Harvison vs Damarques Johson fight end?
1st

In what round will the Matt Lucas vs Aaron Rosa fight end?
3rd
As promised, my picks are:

Junior Dos Santos +135
Benson Henderson -260
Dustin Poirer -300
Cub Swanson +110
Clay Harvison +205
Darren Uyenoyama +300
Mackens Semerzier -105
Cole Escovedo -240
Paul Bradley +225
Aaron Rosa -160



Your results: -275
Fading you results: +90

FADE FADE FADE FADE

[Vaughany]

Was goin so well with the first four as well!

[SATERSTYLE]

Also it seemed like his favorite and therefore most confident plays were Garza, Guida, and Velasquez. Too bad he said that he isn't going to post his "winnings" after the event. It would have been another Gabe classic to see him magically win $1000 on his winning picks and lose maybe $50 combined on those last three

[bogbat]

Also it seemed like his favorite and therefore most confident plays were Garza, Guida, and Velasquez. Too bad he said that he isn't going to post his "winnings" after the event. It would have been another Gabe classic to see him magically win $1000 on his winning picks and lose maybe $50 combined on those last three

Post up your winnings gabe. We need a good laugh.

[Educ8d Degener8]

Guys, gtf off Gabe. He made a bunch tonite... That's the great part about making remarkably vague and ambiguous bets. Gabe put a billion on JDS by KO when he was walking to the ring...

[NunyaBidness]

This whole thing has made me realize how much of my life I'm wasting. 8-10 hours a week watching tape before the lines open, and all I needed to do was jump on the FADE TRAIN!