gabe picks UFC 135

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  • gabe
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-12-11
    • 7405

    #1
    gabe picks UFC 135
    Mixed Martial Arts - UFC 135 Matchup - Eddie Yagin -145

    Yagin is going to knock Junior out within two rounds. He will catch him. If not, then he will certainly win the decision. This is a solid play. Had a good line on Ken Stone last week we cashed in on, have another opportunity here this week. Yagin is definetly the better striker. I don't think Junior will be able to take him to the floor, as Yagin has spectacular TDD. Junior likes to stand and box, which is where Yagin will capitalize, very likely in the first ten minutes. Possibly within five. He is only -145 because he is unknown. This line is a STEAL.


    Mixed Martial Arts - UFC 135 Matchup - Nick Ring +130

    I think I'm the only person here who thinks Nick Ring is going to take this. I really am not sure how. I could see Tim Boetsch winning this fifty different ways, but I can't really see how Nick Ring will-- I just feel he is going to. It could be with a knock out. With a decision... But most likely with a submission. I expect him to come out quick and put on a kickboxing clinic. Hopefully, Boetsch will tire out in round three, and Nick will put him away. At +130, though, there really isn't much value in Nick Ring. I expected him to be a +200 favorite. Wouldn't be surprised if he opened at +250. I like him to win this fight, and am personally betting on him. I don't love the line, though, so it's far from a steal. This is a fight we should be staying away from, but I've been feeling positive about Nick. I feel like the UFC is throwing him to the wolves in this fight, and he will overcome, 'cos he's a bad fuhgin' wolf, himself.


    Mixed Martial Arts - UFC 135 Matchup - Josh Koscheck -500

    Lock. First Round KO. I could see it in Matt Hughes' eyes, he knows he is done. This is a safe bet.


    Mixed Martial Arts - UFC 135 Matchup - Tony Ferguson -305

    I put this bet in days ago, so the line has gone up. My book has him at -360. He's my main lock tonight. I could safely put locks on everyone besides Nick Ring. Ferguson has dropped to 155 for this fight, he is a big 155. Riley used to fight at 170, so it's not like he's a small 155, either. Tony is on his way up. I see him climbing the ranks in the UFC, starting with this fight. He is the better striker and better wrestler. He wins by knock out within the distance.


    I am still contemplating Diaz/Gomi--

    I can't see Rampage winning, but I might put something small on him. Then maybe include Jones in a parlay.
    Last edited by gabe; 09-24-11, 12:32 AM.
  • SportsPedagogy
    SBR MVP
    • 02-13-11
    • 3691

    #2
    Good luck bro, are you in Denver for the weigh ins ?
    Comment
    • illmatick
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-05-09
      • 5456

      #3
      Ferguson getting boxed up and choked out in the second round. LOCK
      Comment
      • gabe
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-12-11
        • 7405

        #4
        Originally posted by SportsPedagogy
        Good luck bro, are you in Denver for the weigh ins ?

        Thanks. Nope.
        Comment
        • gabe
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-12-11
          • 7405

          #5
          Originally posted by illmatick
          Ferguson getting boxed up and choked out in the second round. LOCK
          Don't joke about that.
          Comment
          • illmatick
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-05-09
            • 5456

            #6
            no joke, That's what my hard earned money is on.
            Comment
            • gabe
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-12-11
              • 7405

              #7
              Originally posted by illmatick
              no joke, That's what my hard earned money is on.
              You're actually betting on Aaron Riley? To knock out Tony Ferguson? You could have found a better way to give money away.

              Aaron Riley wasn't able to beat guys I could see Ferguson beating rather easily.
              Comment
              • NunyaBidness
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-26-09
                • 9345

                #8
                I don't know if anyone can know enough about Ferguson to justify laying -300 on him.
                Comment
                • cheeese
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-22-11
                  • 784

                  #9
                  I would have to agree with that. He is not fighting Bruce Leroy. If he doesn't finish Riley then you are going to have to fade the judges scoring 3 rounds of kickboxing.
                  Comment
                  • MMAbetMASTA
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-24-11
                    • 1931

                    #10
                    Originally posted by gabe
                    You're actually betting on Aaron Riley? To knock out Tony Ferguson? You could have found a better way to give money away.

                    Aaron Riley wasn't able to beat guys I could see Ferguson beating rather easily.
                    I'm not touching ferg cause of the high juice, but I really can't see riley winning this one. Tferg is better everywhere this fight goes, and better by a lot. I got first round stoppage via tony. However, if you see something in riley the odds are nice and he has a puncher's chance.
                    Comment
                    • gabe
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-12-11
                      • 7405

                      #11
                      el cucuy is coming this saturday!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! that's all you need to know.
                      Comment
                      • illmatick
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 5456

                        #12
                        Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA
                        I'm not touching ferg cause of the high juice, but I really can't see riley winning this one. Tferg is better everywhere this fight goes, and better by a lot. I got first round stoppage via tony. However, if you see something in riley the odds are nice and he has a puncher's chance.

                        I'll give you the wrestling edge but I'm not seeing the rest. We'll see.
                        Comment
                        • gabe
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-12-11
                          • 7405

                          #13
                          Originally posted by illmatick
                          I'll give you the wrestling edge but I'm not seeing the rest. We'll see.
                          You don't see that he's a much superior boxer? And that his defense is great?
                          Comment
                          • gabe
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-12-11
                            • 7405

                            #14
                            Curious if anybody if following me on anything, especially the Yagin fight?
                            Comment
                            • illmatick
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-05-09
                              • 5456

                              #15
                              Originally posted by gabe
                              Curious if anybody if following me on anything, especially the Yagin fight?
                              2 scoops of ovaltine and about 12oz's of Noxitropin.
                              Comment
                              • NunyaBidness
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-26-09
                                • 9345

                                #16
                                Originally posted by gabe
                                Curious if anybody if following me on anything, especially the Yagin fight?
                                I'm fading you. Does that count?
                                Comment
                                • Chairib
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-08-10
                                  • 917

                                  #17
                                  Comment
                                  • gabe
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-12-11
                                    • 7405

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                                    I'm fading you. Does that count?
                                    You fading me? That's better. I don't like you, I would prefer you lose.
                                    Comment
                                    • gabe
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-12-11
                                      • 7405

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Chairib
                                      there is no "your mothers a wh0re" smiley. =/
                                      Comment
                                      • gabe
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-12-11
                                        • 7405

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by illmatick
                                        2 scoops of ovaltine and about 12oz's of Noxitropin.
                                        more online-nerd humor?
                                        Comment
                                        • gabe
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-12-11
                                          • 7405

                                          #21
                                          Damn, it's so easy to have haters on the internet. You'd think with a record like mine, I'd have some respect. Not many decent guys on this forum, gotta say.

                                          I've been doing really well with UFC, so I came here to share my picks and help out... But you're not good people and I'm not really enjoying sharing anything with you, 'cos all I get in return is a bunch of sh!t, so this will likely be my last time.
                                          Last edited by gabe; 09-24-11, 01:40 AM.
                                          Comment
                                          • NunyaBidness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 07-26-09
                                            • 9345

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by gabe
                                            Damn, it's so easy to have haters on the internet. You'd think with a record like mine, I'd have some respect. Not many decent guys on this forum, gotta say.

                                            I've been doing really well with UFC, so I came here to share my picks and help out... But you're not good people and I'm not really enjoying sharing anything with you, 'cos all I get in return is a bunch of sh!t, so this will likely be my last time.
                                            You keep saying that, but then you keep posting.

                                            Also, isn't your record a bit like Rickson Gracie's 500-0?
                                            Comment
                                            • ghost kid
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 09-23-08
                                              • 280

                                              #23
                                              Not really concerned with your record. But EXTREMELY concerned with your post fight analysis of Koch-Brookins. Really showed a lack of knowledge - tough to trust any future MMA opinions after reading that rubbish.
                                              Comment
                                              • gabe
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-12-11
                                                • 7405

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by ghost kid
                                                Not really concerned with your record. But EXTREMELY concerned with your post fight analysis of Koch-Brookins. Really showed a lack of knowledge - tough to trust any future MMA opinions after reading that rubbish.
                                                Showed a lack of knowledge? Knowledge of what? I saw Brookins be the better of the two guys that sucked. If you saw it different, I'm happy for you.

                                                Brookins did zero in that fight, but Koch did less than zero. In all other fights I've seen where one fighter just sits and lays an egg on the other fighter, that boring fighter ends up winning. In this case, boring Brookins lost, which I didn't get, so I expressed my feelings about it. I have feelings about a fight so that means I can't continue to make good picks? Are you shitting me?

                                                And I'm not trying out as an ESPN analyst, I'm picking fights, so I don't know wtf you're talking about.
                                                Last edited by gabe; 09-24-11, 03:57 AM.
                                                Comment
                                                • gabe
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-12-11
                                                  • 7405

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                                                  You keep saying that, but then you keep posting.

                                                  Also, isn't your record a bit like Rickson Gracie's 500-0?
                                                  I already told you I don't like you. You are a stupid person. I only said I was gonna leave after the first thread I posted, then was asked to stay. Once. One time doesn't qualify as "keep saying" and I was asked to stay so it's not like I went back on my word. You're an idiot.

                                                  My record is 49-12, since UFC 126, and 7-3 since being on this forum. Now, blow me.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • gabe
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-12-11
                                                    • 7405

                                                    #26
                                                    I think I'm done here. I was hoping there would be guys here I would get along and possible be friends with. Wanted this to be a place I came to talk with buds, not argue with miserable pricks.

                                                    Keep in touch with me via twitter, if you care.

                                                    Comment
                                                    • illmatick
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-05-09
                                                      • 5456

                                                      #27
                                                      Bookmarked!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cheeese
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-22-11
                                                        • 784

                                                        #28
                                                        Don't be like that Gabe
                                                        Comment
                                                        • homosayswhat
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 06-11-11
                                                          • 1009

                                                          #29
                                                          You want friends but all you do is bash. So not sure if you understand how to go about the art of making them

                                                          BOL to ya...and word of advise...never play -500...a bit much no...hahahaha

                                                          But come on an enourage rather than bash all day...and just maybe folks will enjoy you being around...

                                                          BOL to ya
                                                          Hope you win today
                                                          PEACE
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Chairib
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 03-08-10
                                                            • 917

                                                            #30
                                                            Gabe you seem like a good guy. Don't let these other bullies get you down buddy.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • FlashinLeather
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-04-11
                                                              • 573

                                                              #31
                                                              Not a fan of props? Seems like you have a lot of stock in KO's and early why not bet inside the distance on the Yagin and Kos fights?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • gabe
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-12-11
                                                                • 7405

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by homosayswhat
                                                                You want friends but all you do is bash. So not sure if you understand how to go about the art of making them

                                                                BOL to ya...and word of advise...never play -500...a bit much no...hahahaha

                                                                But come on an enourage rather than bash all day...and just maybe folks will enjoy you being around...

                                                                BOL to ya
                                                                Hope you win today
                                                                PEACE
                                                                never bashed ya, just said you shouldn't call every play an easy play. some of them you have to like more than others, and the ones you like best should only be the easy ones.

                                                                thanks.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gabe
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-12-11
                                                                  • 7405

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by FlashinLeather
                                                                  Not a fan of props? Seems like you have a lot of stock in KO's and early why not bet inside the distance on the Yagin and Kos fights?
                                                                  I wish, man, but my current bookie doesn't offer prop bets. I'm gonna be making a parlay or two.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • gabe
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-12-11
                                                                    • 7405

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Shit, they aren't letting me parlay this week either after I hit my 6 teamer last week... Think I need a new bookie.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Educ8d Degener8
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-12-10
                                                                      • 3177

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by gabe
                                                                      Shit, they aren't letting me parlay this week either after I hit my 6 teamer last week... Think I need a new bookie.
                                                                      Dude, sign up at 5dimes already...
                                                                      Comment
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