UFC 135 --- "Lock of the year"

[bogbat]

It will probably win as it should with that kind of juice, but you will lose long term with these kinds of bets unless you have a huge bankroll.

[jacktheknife]

whatever makes your life spent on the internet worthwhile, sweetheart.

Whatever makes forget your life off of the internet New Eatsnub.

[gabe]

It will probably win as it should with that kind of juice, but you will lose long term with these kinds of bets unless you have a huge bankroll.

I don't usually lay juice like this, except for guys like Anderson Silva and Evan Dunham last week-- but I felt great about this fight from the day it was announced, it didn't matter to me what the line was.

[gabe]

Whatever makes forget your life off of the internet New Eatsnub.

You're not a very funny person. Just sayin'.

[urge2kill]

it didn't matter to me what the line was.

You should rethink that.

[gabe]

You should rethink that.

No, I shouldn't. I've learned to trust myself. If I feel it's a lock, the line does not matter. I'm 14-0 with my locks and I only wish I trusted myself the way I do now early on (not just with "locks" but with all my picks)-- I used to be afraid to risk big money, so I would always bet small and win small, and would take no satisfaction from my wins. I've done well since I began trusting myself more, and hopefully will continue to. Agree or disagree, it's working for me.

[gabe]

El Cucuy is coming this Saturday!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Get your bets in!!!!!!!!

[SATERSTYLE]

I think Ferguson takes this but the juice is too much for a guy who has been largely untested. He has yet to fight a true UFC caliber opponent

[gabe]

I think Ferguson takes this but the juice is too much for a guy who has been largely untested. He has yet to fight a true UFC caliber opponent

No, he hasn't. Aaron Riley isn't one, though. Every fight he's had with a true UFC caliber performer, he's lost. He's been beaten by guys Ferguson could easily beat. Yes, Ferguson is untested, but I believe he IS a UFC caliber performer, and after this victory, he will be tested against someone big.

But I agree, the juice is high. I was expecting Ferguson was -200 or -250.

Prediction: Gray Maynard becomes UFC Lightweight Champion. Melvin Guillard beats him for the title. Tony Ferguson wins his way to fighting Melvin Guillard for the title. Ferguson loses.

[NunyaBidness]

No, he hasn't. Aaron Riley isn't one, though. Every fight he's had with a true UFC caliber performer, he's lost. He's been beaten by guys Ferguson could easily beat. Yes, Ferguson is untested, but I believe he IS a UFC caliber performer, and after this victory, he will be tested against someone big.

But I agree, the juice is high. I was expecting Ferguson was -200 or -250.

Prediction: Gray Maynard becomes UFC Lightweight Champion. Melvin Guillard beats him for the title. Tony Ferguson wins his way to fighting Melvin Guillard for the title. Ferguson loses.

So you think Guillard is going to win what? 4 title defenses?

[gabe]

So you think Guillard is going to win what? 4 title defenses?

Depends on who he fights, but I could see him having at least a 50% shot against anybody in the Lightweight division. But yeah- I'm just making a wild prediction.

[NunyaBidness]

Depends on who he fights, but I could see him having at least a 50% shot against anybody in the Lightweight division. But yeah- I'm just making a wild prediction.

I like Guillard too, but the lightweight division is so deep right now it'd be hard to see what ferguson could do that would get him a title shot in the near future.

[gabe]

I like Guillard too, but the lightweight division is so deep right now it'd be hard to see what ferguson could do that would get him a title shot in the near future.

Yeah, who knows, he probably won't even be able to get past his next opponent. Could be a real challenge if he gets Evan Dunham.