my UFC 86 Under card picks and breakdown

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  • MMAJOE
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-08-08
    • 284

    #1
    my UFC 86 Under card picks and breakdown
    Most of time there are some good fights on the undercard ( not shown on PPV )and there seems to be a upset on the undercard . On to the picks.

    Gabriel Gonzaga (-500) vs. Justin McCully (+400)

    This fight is must win for Gonzaga (4-2 in the UFC 8-3 MMA record) he is coming off two tough losses against Werdum that he was winning the fight and gassed out in the 2nd rnd lost TKO, And a tought Title loss to Randy Couture . Both guys are top HW in the world so its nothing to be ashmed of. Before those fights he had a career Fight with Mirco Crocop a top heavyweight he won bye devasating High kick that crumbled Cro cop to the ground as huge underdog .

    Justin Mccully (1-0 in the UFC 8-3-2 MMA record ) Has been a over year layoff . He won his first Fight against Holland kick Boxer Antoni Hardonk . The fight was very boring watching Mccully takedown Hardonk all fight and get the decision . During that fight he hurt his shoulder and had surgery afterwards .He has pretty much no tough competion in his career compared to Gonzaga and is stricly a wrestler and Jujitsu guy.

    Prediction - Way to much chalk on this fight .Gonzaga has all the advantages besides the wrestling . I see Gonzaga trying to KO Mccully on his feet or try to Submit Mccully off his back. Mccully will be looking to take this fight down to the ground asap and try to gnp and lay on him try to score points and win bye decision. I think Gonzaga will be to much strengh and power for Mccully . Gonzaga bye 2nd rnd TKO or sub

    Gonzaga -500 ( no play or small parlay ,way to much chalk for me for a straight bet )

    Jorge Gurgel (+100) vs. Cole Miller (-130)

    This fight is between two grapplers .Jorge Gurgel (3-2 in the UFC 12-3 MMA record) vs Cole Miller ( 2-1 in the UFC 13-3 MMA record . Gurgel has his own scholl trains Jujitsu with Rich Franklin . Cole Miller trains with ATT and his a tall 6ft1 fighter at 155lb .

    Prediction- Both Miller and Gurgel are good on the ground adv gurgel , Miller has the reach and slight stand up adv but Gurgel is more scrappy and willing to take punches to land punches. I see Gurgel pulling this of bye dec . Miller is still very young and dont know if he ready to fight tougher competion yet.This will be a close fight .

    Jorge Gurgel + 100 (small play )( miller in a few parlays)

    Melvin Guillard (-200) vs. Dennis Siver (+160)

    Melvin Guillard (3-3 in the UFC 28-7-2 MMA record ) is trying to get back on the winning track in the UFC ,The once Highly regarded prospect has had some issues in the cage and out of the cage in the last few years .Dennis Silver (1-2 in the UFC 11-5 MMA record ) fights out of Germany .

    Prediction- Melvin Has big KO power on his feet and good wrestling huge 155lb fighter ( ex 170lb fighter ) his big weakness is Jujitsu 6 of his 7 loses have been bye submission. Dennis Siver has 6 wins bye submission but has not fought the same level as fighter as melvin has if melvin fights his fight he will not get submited. I see Guillard getting back on the winning track Winning via KO rnd 1.

    Melvin Guillard -200 ( medium size play here even with the chalk )

    Corey Hill (-215) vs. Justin Buchholz (+175)

    Corey Hill (1-0 in the UFC former 2-0 MMA record ) is former TUF member who stands 6ft 5 at 155lb . he now trains with Pat Miltech .Justin Buchholz is (0-1 in the UFC 7-2 MMA record ) he needs a win bad to stay in the UFC.

    Prediction- Really dont know much about each fighter . I do Know Corey Hill trains super hard and is getting better every day. He has good wrestleing and great striking and great cardio his submission defense isnt that great. Even with Justin Exp i think Hill is going to way to much for him to handle .Corey Hill 2rnd TKO

    Corey Hill -215 ( small play even with the chalk )
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