I went with a medium sized play (for me anyway, this is prolly small for most of you) but I'm thinkin this play is pretty fullproof so i might go a bit bigger. lemme know what you guys think
Main Play:
30 to win ~60 on KHAN BY DECISION (+191)
Backed up by:
3.00 to win ~40 on JUDAH by KO between rounds 1 - 6 (+1354)
And
12 to win ~ 29 on Khan by KO between rounds 7 -12 (+245)
I like Judah's restored vigor, and with Whitaker in his corner it can only help. Judah has ALWAYS had the ability to slow down the pace of a fight because his VERY quick hands are an ever-present threat, combine that with Whitaker prolly giving him a more technical game plan, I think we see a fight that likely goes 12 rounds.
I think Judah starts strong and his sharp uppercuts give him a decent shot at an early KO. I disagree with the bookies. The odds favor Judah as the fight goes on, which I just cannot understand. I think that the later the fight goes the worse Judah's chances are.
Khan I think is gonna struggle to get off good 4 and 5 punch combos like his has in the past. Judah is by far the slickest and fastest fighter Khan has fought, and is also a southpaw. However, the chances of a later round KO are always possible in Judah fights.
No matter what the result, I think i covered the 3 most likely outcomes, which is always my goal when I place a wager (Judah by Early/Mid KO, Khan by Late stoppage, and Khan by Decision). And for this fight, it worked out quite well. I can only either lose a few bucks, or make a ~45$ profit.
Thoughts/Criticisms?
Main Play:
30 to win ~60 on KHAN BY DECISION (+191)
Backed up by:
3.00 to win ~40 on JUDAH by KO between rounds 1 - 6 (+1354)
And
12 to win ~ 29 on Khan by KO between rounds 7 -12 (+245)
I like Judah's restored vigor, and with Whitaker in his corner it can only help. Judah has ALWAYS had the ability to slow down the pace of a fight because his VERY quick hands are an ever-present threat, combine that with Whitaker prolly giving him a more technical game plan, I think we see a fight that likely goes 12 rounds.
I think Judah starts strong and his sharp uppercuts give him a decent shot at an early KO. I disagree with the bookies. The odds favor Judah as the fight goes on, which I just cannot understand. I think that the later the fight goes the worse Judah's chances are.
Khan I think is gonna struggle to get off good 4 and 5 punch combos like his has in the past. Judah is by far the slickest and fastest fighter Khan has fought, and is also a southpaw. However, the chances of a later round KO are always possible in Judah fights.
No matter what the result, I think i covered the 3 most likely outcomes, which is always my goal when I place a wager (Judah by Early/Mid KO, Khan by Late stoppage, and Khan by Decision). And for this fight, it worked out quite well. I can only either lose a few bucks, or make a ~45$ profit.
Thoughts/Criticisms?
. No way to predict *how* Khan was gonna win, but of course he was always going to win. Take the guy you know is gonna win straight up, if you think it's too much juice, don't bet it. Or maybe straddle it with Judah by KO - you don't stand to win much money but Judah by decision was always impossible, it's the one outcome you can safely rule out. I didn't bet this one, but wish I'd trusted my instincts more and just paid the juice on Khan. Judah sucks balls.
