Odds for Penn vs. Condit?

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  • Jordan23
    SBR MVP
    • 04-26-10
    • 1227

    #1
    Odds for Penn vs. Condit?
    Man I figured these odds would be out by now... what the hell? Are the bookies having this much trouble determining a favorite?

    Any guesses?

    Condit -120

    Discuss!

  • Wrecked
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-31-11
    • 887

    #2
    Condit -120 sounds perfect to me.
    I personally think Condit wins this.
    Comment
    • capone1899
      SBR MVP
      • 06-16-11
      • 1054

      #3
      Penn -175 , his name alone should inflate the opening line
      Comment
      • Jordan23
        SBR MVP
        • 04-26-10
        • 1227

        #4
        Originally posted by capone1899
        Penn -175 , his name alone should inflate the opening line
        No way in hell Penn opens up at -175 I see them maybe be evens or Penn a slight slight favorite but I'd pound the hell out of Condit as an underdog.
        Comment
        • jin2daj
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-01-09
          • 816

          #5
          Originally posted by Jordan23
          No way in hell Penn opens up at -175 I see them maybe be evens or Penn a slight slight favorite but I'd pound the hell out of Condit as an underdog.
          wow really? i was gonna go with penn. though the condition that penn shows up to fight is always a wild card i guess.

          but he drew with fitch.... not to go with mmath but i feel like fitch would grind condit out easy.
          Comment
          • Nick The Greek
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-31-09
            • 189

            #6
            I see Penn opening as a small favorite, no higher than -130.
            Comment
            • Beelzebubzy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-06-11
              • 6995

              #7
              Penn via wrestling
              Comment
              • NickBaragona
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-29-09
                • 555

                #8
                Yeah, Penn's wrestling against Fitch definitely surprised and impressed me. That will be something to take into consideration when betting on this fight.
                Comment
                • Chairib
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-08-10
                  • 917

                  #9
                  Wrestling?
                  Comment
                  • GunShard
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-05-10
                    • 10031

                    #10
                    I say Condit -180
                    Comment
                    • jspectyper
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-25-09
                      • 1842

                      #11
                      Condits got a lot of momentum going into this. Hard to say who will win, slight edge to Penn. Gonna be a great fight.
                      Comment
                      • Vrakas
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-27-10
                        • 627

                        #12
                        penn is looking on finally improving his skills by adding wrestling.this will be a very close fight.
                        Comment
                        • MMAbetMASTA
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-24-11
                          • 1931

                          #13
                          Condit -130 at opening, then people slam BJ and condit drops to even. Come fight night I am guessing condit will be around -*140 or higher.

                          One thing I know is that I prob won't play this one... I AM SO STOKED FOR THIS FIGHT I'M JUST GONNA KICK BACK AND WATCH THE BIG SHOW HAHAAA!!!'

                          This really is one of the best match ups ever imo...! I like condit by late stoppage but I'm heavily biased
                          Comment
                          • shady610
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-12-06
                            • 1570

                            #14
                            Condit -120
                            Penn + 115

                            Penn has a name that carries a lot of weight but his record doesn't.

                            1 win in 14 months and he hasn't won 3 in a row in years doesn't warrant anything better
                            Comment
                            • Vaughany
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 03-07-10
                              • 45563

                              #15
                              Didnt Penn come out as dog against Matt Hughes
                              Comment
                              • bjpenn85
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-17-11
                                • 5059

                                #16
                                yep, i remember the closing line was around +160, i dont remember the opening though
                                Comment
                                • PunisherIND
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-24-11
                                  • 4983

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Vaughany
                                  Didnt Penn come out as dog against Matt Hughes
                                  yes he did. BJ opened around +135.
                                  Comment
                                  • brooks85
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-05-09
                                    • 44709

                                    #18
                                    I like penn in this fight. Barring any cardio problems I like penn to win a decision with possibility of sub.
                                    Comment
                                    • thesox0311
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-23-10
                                      • 365

                                      #19
                                      Im thinking condit opens up at around -135 or so....if Penn opens as a favorite everyone would pound Condit
                                      Comment
                                      • Wrecked
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 05-31-11
                                        • 887

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by PunisherIND

                                        yes he did. BJ opened around +135.
                                        wish I could go back and jump all over that one.
                                        Comment
                                        • jin2daj
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-01-09
                                          • 816

                                          #21
                                          war penn! better wrestling and a better jits.
                                          Comment
                                          • bonestock
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-25-11
                                            • 246

                                            #22
                                            Condit is more dynamic but Penn has betting boxing, better jits, better wrestling.
                                            Comment
                                            • Educ8d Degener8
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-12-10
                                              • 3177

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Chairib
                                              Wrestling?
                                              Penn took Fitch down in round 1 and round 2 in their UFC 127 bout... surprised a lot of people. Can't recall if they were single leg or double leg (er, whatever), but BJ outwrestled Fitch in those first two rounds.
                                              Comment
                                              • stefan084
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-21-09
                                                • 1490

                                                #24
                                                just watched Condit vs MacDonald again on Spike--Rory pretty much landed any punch that was straight down the middle and took Condit down at will. BJ doesn't have Rory's reach though. Watching this fight makes me think BJ will have a significant speed advantage. Rory caught Carlos throughout the fight with boxing that isn't at BJ's level. I think the strength factor will be a wash since Condit isn't extremely strong for a welterweight. The deciding factor for me will be the length of Condit. Also Condit sometimes throws some lazy kicks that can be caught for a takedown if BJ decides he's going to start wrestling as in his last fight. Actually Condit is getting crushed here in rd 2 also..how does he win this?In the 3rd it looks like Rory is toying with him.Ahhh....cardio...Rory looks gassed now,..Rory fadding fast..that could be a big factor against BJ. Anyway obviously I'm a biased observer because I'm a Penn fan but those are some thoughts on the fight. Not betting it but it should be fun to watch
                                                Comment
                                                • Jordan23
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-26-10
                                                  • 1227

                                                  #25
                                                  The more and more I break it down the more I like this fight for Penn.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vaughany
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                    • 45563

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by brooks85
                                                    I like penn in this fight. Barring any cardio problems I like penn to win a decision with possibility of sub.
                                                    I agree, could see Penn choking him out late on. Hard to call though, huge COndit fan but Im not sure if he has the right style to beat Penn. He doesnt have the wrestling to grind on Penn and bully him like GSP did, and he doenst have the high volume-low risk elusive boxing that Edgar used. So he basically counting on knocking Penn out which as we know is gonna be difficult with Penn's granite chin.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • GunShard
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-05-10
                                                      • 10031

                                                      #27
                                                      This fight is close to a coin toss.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Straight Cash
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-20-09
                                                        • 2202

                                                        #28
                                                        Penn is going to be a solid play if he's a dog.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vrakas
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 02-27-10
                                                          • 627

                                                          #29
                                                          could be fight of the year
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Jordan23
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-26-10
                                                            • 1227

                                                            #30
                                                            Could be fight of the decade....................LMAO
                                                            Comment
                                                            • NutsINyoMOUTH
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 07-23-11
                                                              • 122

                                                              #31
                                                              You guys are all delusional...bj penn is gonna molest condit...this is such a mismatch it's not even funny.

                                                              With the exception of gsp, who can take down fitch? Um, apparently bj penn...bj is gonna take all your money and you don't even see it coming.

                                                              You think condit is good because he beat some asian can with 0 stand-up? If you think about it objectively you will realize penn is a huge lock
                                                              Comment
                                                              • freelee
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 02-02-10
                                                                • 751

                                                                #32
                                                                should be an exciting fight i doubt it goes to the judges
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Fiasco01
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 325

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I am curious about Penn's stand-up against Condit...Condit seems to be okay trading blows but part of me thinks Penn will be much more accurate than Condit's previous opponents. I want Condit to win but I wouldn't be surprised to see Penn take it.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • omalley21
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                                    • 908

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Ya I think its a bad matchup for Carlos. Especially if BJ takes him down like he did to fitch. Penn should win the first 2 rounds.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • FightFightFight
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 03-21-11
                                                                      • 594

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Condit has the best sweeps in the business. May be the difference especially against a smaller opponent.
                                                                      Comment
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