UFC Fight Night 25

The HOFF · 07-20-11, 07:14 PM

Jake Ellenberger +170
Jake Shields -230

Anyone else like Ellenberger at those odds? He has good power, gnp, and avoided subs by Rocha.

snake11eyes · 07-20-11, 07:19 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Jake Ellenberger +170
Jake Shields -230

Anyone else like Ellenberger at those odds? He has good power, gnp, and avoided subs by Rocha.

Sure do. I'll take a shot on Ellenberger. Never really that impressed with Shields. First glance I also like Dunham and Johnson. Brookins and Koch should be an awesome fight.

v1y · 07-20-11, 07:27 PM

i'll definitely be putting a tiny bit on ellenberger.

The HOFF · 07-25-11, 06:22 PM

After signing a multi-fight deal with the UFC this past month, Lance Benoist is scheduled to fight Matt Riddle at "UFC Fight Night 25: Battle on the Bayou."

UFC officials today announced the bout, though its placement on the event's fight card was not made official.

THE_LOCKSMITH · 09-12-11, 11:20 AM

full card odds should be out any day now

The HOFF · 09-13-11, 07:13 PM

Couple out on Bookmaker.

Dongi Yang +140
Court McGee -170

Jonathon Brookins +135
Erich Koch -165

Liking Yang and Koch there.

terpkeg · 09-13-11, 08:02 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Couple out on Bookmaker.

Dongi Yang +140
Court McGee -170

Jonathon Brookins +135
Erich Koch -165

Liking Yang and Koch there.

Leaning same way myself, just pulled the trigger on Koch at -185 a little premature for my liking because I fear this will be on the move. Maybe up to -240. It's my own fault for not being ready to pounce on lines. Wanted to look into Brookins move down to 145 some more. I don't think it is going to be that beneficial here. If anything may hurt the stamina that seemed to be a strength of his. Don't think the wrestling is strong enough to control Koch.

v1y · 09-13-11, 10:38 PM

i changed my mind, shields has the value now lol.

also brookins/koch should be even odds. i'll take brookins for sure. also i think mcgee should be a bigger favourite.

gabe · 09-14-11, 01:35 AM

where'd you get those lines? i can't find 'em anywhere. looking for the dunham/bailey fight line.

Vaughany · 09-14-11, 01:53 AM

Originally posted by gabe

where'd you get those lines? i can't find 'em anywhere. looking for the dunham/bailey fight line.

Bookmaker. Undercard aren't out yet

v1y · 09-14-11, 06:29 AM

Originally posted by gabe

where'd you get those lines? i can't find 'em anywhere. looking for the dunham/bailey fight line.

yeah pretty much everyone is hoping to get dunham at -400 lol.

Semt3x · 09-14-11, 07:30 AM

Just at first glance
I'm liking Dunham, Johnson, Rocha, Ellenberger

Vaughany · 09-14-11, 08:13 AM

Originally posted by Semt3x

Just at first glance
I'm liking Dunham, Johnson, Rocha, Ellenberger

Johnson?

bjpenn85 · 09-14-11, 09:09 AM

i cant find any johnson. second time someone mention a johnson....there is no johnson

Vaughany · 09-14-11, 09:21 AM

ha Damarques pulled out of the Harvison fight

gabe · 09-14-11, 12:48 PM

Originally posted by v1y

yeah pretty much everyone is hoping to get dunham at -400 lol.

lol i was hoping for -200

THE_LOCKSMITH · 09-14-11, 01:41 PM

BIGDAY · 09-14-11, 02:01 PM

Mcgee should be able to take down Yang at will imo.

sirchadwick1 · 09-14-11, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by BIGDAY

Mcgee should be able to take down Yang at will imo.

Agreed. I really like McGee here, especially at -150 which is where he stands now at 5-dimes.

Spaceman Spiff · 09-14-11, 04:22 PM

Anyone see Brookins having a chance at Koch?

Vaughany · 09-14-11, 04:29 PM

Originally posted by Spaceman Spiff

Anyone see Brookins having a chance at Koch?

Certainly better than the +175 odds that he was at on 5dimes/sportbet. Unsurprisingly this is down to +155 now. Koch may well go in to this overly-confident after his two KO of the Nights and be to desperate to get the one punch KO. He certainly can do it as Brookins defence is mediocre, but Brookins has a solid chin, great cardio and is quick.

rocky mattioli · 09-14-11, 04:39 PM

agreed...mcghee all the way...very favorable line,imo...

MMAbetMASTA · 09-14-11, 06:45 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Certainly better than the +175 odds that he was at on 5dimes/sportbet. Unsurprisingly this is down to +155 now. Koch may well go in to this overly-confident after his two KO of the Nights and be to desperate to get the one punch KO. He certainly can do it as Brookins defence is mediocre, but Brookins has a solid chin, great cardio and is quick.

Yea I agree.... I pick koch, but those odds are too pricey for him and I see small upset value on brookins. However, I'll say that the mendes / koch fight tells a lot... koch had great scrambling ability and was able to get up to his feet multiple times when taken down, and stuffed some too... I have a hard time seeing brookins as a better wrestler than mendes, but you never know. Brookins has a lot of heart and goes for it, relentless cardio and great transistions, which are hard to bet against. If his defense was bettter on the feet as some other poster said, I'd likely lean toward brookins. However, I think koch is the real deal and his tdd/defensive grappling seems quite good, he's also solid with submisssions too.. certainly over valued tho as people are saying.

I'm liking court for sure. Liking ellenberger and lopez too (curious what his odds might be against edwards..). If evan is under -270 I kinda like it, but I expect him to be high as V1y said and I'm not paying that juice.

Also for you guys liking rocha, you care to break that down? I see the big picture, but I'm curious why you guys really like him or what your breakdown is... From what I know I like him too in this one (as cody is all over the place and we know his big asset, and rocha should obviously be better rolling around), but I'm wondering the details of your reasoning... cheers and GL!

ghost kid · 09-14-11, 06:52 PM

blah

not a thrilling card

leaving Spike with a wimper....few more events to go....

Semt3x · 09-14-11, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

ha Damarques pulled out of the Harvison fight

Yeah i just noticed that hah the OP got me confused

gabe · 09-14-11, 07:55 PM

I think it's a great card. Don't like Dunham at -400, though. Shouldn't be lower than -350.

ghost kid · 09-14-11, 08:10 PM

Originally posted by gabe

I think it's a great card. Don't like Dunham at -400, though. Shouldn't be lower than -350.

Then bet the other side.

gabe · 09-14-11, 10:29 PM

Originally posted by ghost kid

Then bet the other side.

No, Dunham is my biggest lock on this card, the juice is just higher than I expected. Especially since he's fighting a bigger dude.

Grabaka · 09-14-11, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by gabe

No, Dunham is my biggest lock on this card, the juice is just higher than I expected. Especially since he's fighting a bigger dude.

Gabe....are you the gabe i know?

NunyaBidness · 09-14-11, 11:50 PM

Originally posted by ghost kid

Then bet the other side.

Just because you think someone is overpriced means you should automatically bet the other side, there is vig. That's why you can't fade every bad capper and expect to win.

ghost kid · 09-15-11, 12:53 AM

Originally posted by NunyaBidness

Just because you think someone is overpriced means you should automatically bet the other side, there is vig. That's why you can't fade every bad capper and expect to win.

Thanks for the gambling lesson. Clearly my first post was a bit misunderstood. Sarcasm guys. Sarcasm.

My point was Dunham is priced right. Nevermind. Good grief.

NunyaBidness · 09-15-11, 01:38 AM

Originally posted by ghost kid

Thanks for the gambling lesson. Clearly my first post was a bit misunderstood. Sarcasm guys. Sarcasm.

My point was Dunham is priced right. Nevermind. Good grief.

Your welcome. You could use an English lesson as well.

gabe · 09-15-11, 03:17 AM

Originally posted by Grabaka

Gabe....are you the gabe i know?

don't think so.

spargament · 09-15-11, 05:45 AM

I hate Shields but you guys are nuts if you think he won't clown Ellenberger.