I really hate the Morales-Maidana fight. Its a mismatch on so many levels. Morales is so far past it, and has fought sparingly over the last few years.
I think Maidana walks through him EARLY. Fighters who are legit shot become very slow starters and become very susceptible to being ran over early or being caught cold.
Not to mention Maidana is BY FAR The best fighter Morales has every fought above 135, and by far the biggest and strongest above 130.
I like Maidana by KO within 6 rounds. To strong and to much pressure. Morales will box nicely for a round or two but once bombs start landing it won't be long. I wish Morales the best, I love the guy, but its a terrible fight for a guy so far past it.
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I also really like Katsidis over Guerrero. I have a feeling that He will be maybe as much as a +200 dog, which is great.
Katsidis has an OVERWHELMING experience advantage, having been in rough learning experience fights with the BEST lightweights of his time (Casamayor, Juan Diaz, and JMM) and some very solid contenders like Kevin Mitchell, Escobedo, and Amonsot.
He's LOST to the best fighters he's fought like Casa and Diaz and JMM, but he has proven he is right under that elite level by POUNDING some very good contenders.
Meanwhile Guerrero just recently stepped up and fought a pretty worn down Casamayor and looked mediocre.
Guerrero I've thought always had some sort of special potential, but as far as I'm concerned he is a bit of wasted talent.
Every time a fighter has applied pressure he has gotten flustered. I look back to that fight against Yordan where he essentially quit once he got hard hit a few times and got cut.
Katsidis is going to BRING it with hard sharp punches to the body and head. You have to be MENTALLY and physically prepared for a way when you get in the ring with Katsidis, and I don't know if Guerrero will ever be mentally ready for this kind of a fight.
Guerrero will win the early rounds easily as he is the classier, technically better fighter who throws sharp straight punches. But I fully expect Guerrero to fold in on himself once Katsidis starts landing his combinations and that left hook he has improved on. The quicker Guerrero gets cut the sooner he collapses.
I like Katsidis in the later rounds or by close but clear decision.
I think Maidana walks through him EARLY. Fighters who are legit shot become very slow starters and become very susceptible to being ran over early or being caught cold.
Not to mention Maidana is BY FAR The best fighter Morales has every fought above 135, and by far the biggest and strongest above 130.
I like Maidana by KO within 6 rounds. To strong and to much pressure. Morales will box nicely for a round or two but once bombs start landing it won't be long. I wish Morales the best, I love the guy, but its a terrible fight for a guy so far past it.
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I also really like Katsidis over Guerrero. I have a feeling that He will be maybe as much as a +200 dog, which is great.
Katsidis has an OVERWHELMING experience advantage, having been in rough learning experience fights with the BEST lightweights of his time (Casamayor, Juan Diaz, and JMM) and some very solid contenders like Kevin Mitchell, Escobedo, and Amonsot.
He's LOST to the best fighters he's fought like Casa and Diaz and JMM, but he has proven he is right under that elite level by POUNDING some very good contenders.
Meanwhile Guerrero just recently stepped up and fought a pretty worn down Casamayor and looked mediocre.
Guerrero I've thought always had some sort of special potential, but as far as I'm concerned he is a bit of wasted talent.
Every time a fighter has applied pressure he has gotten flustered. I look back to that fight against Yordan where he essentially quit once he got hard hit a few times and got cut.
Katsidis is going to BRING it with hard sharp punches to the body and head. You have to be MENTALLY and physically prepared for a way when you get in the ring with Katsidis, and I don't know if Guerrero will ever be mentally ready for this kind of a fight.
Guerrero will win the early rounds easily as he is the classier, technically better fighter who throws sharp straight punches. But I fully expect Guerrero to fold in on himself once Katsidis starts landing his combinations and that left hook he has improved on. The quicker Guerrero gets cut the sooner he collapses.
I like Katsidis in the later rounds or by close but clear decision.
