Overeem/Sefo u1.5 -205 2.05u/1u Bookmaker
Am i being taken for a ride here? Its almost a gaurantee that Overeem will come out balls to the wall. He has power but he also doesnt like to take punishment. To my knowledge (some of his fights were untimed/or not reported in fight finder) he has gone past the 7:30 mark TWICE in 50 fights. If he does what is smart and can get this fight to the ground (no gaurantees there) he should be able to tko or sumbit Sefo in first. Kevin Jordan had Sefo in a crucifix and mount in the first round of there fight for over 2 minutes. Overeem will finish from that positition. Chances are they cannot stand and bang for a round and a half either. If fight leaves first, Overeem probably gasses out and gets TKO'd early 2nd.
Question is: Why is this not north of -400?
Gian Villante over Chad Griggs (i advocated -170 in Strikeforce thread when available, but would play at -255 currently) 5dimes
Strikeforce clearly thinks highly of Villante as they usually take young prospects up the Challengers ranks. Villante is a top prospect. He passed on NFL football for an MMA career. Most ROC champions go on to bigger things. He seemed very relaxed at the weigh ins and his small HW size should not be an issue here since he is about same size as Griggs. Griggs had been beating up on cans until Lashley, he got takedowns with is before gassing out bad. I think Villante can tag Griggs on feet and get takedowns as he pleases. He gets stop mid to late first imo.
Silva +350 Bodog/Fedor -335 5dimes
*If dont have 5dimes, I would be playing Silva +350 .28u/1u
I think most guys here play at both of these books if you have not been banned or limited by Bodog. If you have the roll, can get a decent (depending your ave bet size) free play on Silva. Fedor is on the down side of his career imo. His general inactivity the last few years, while good for wear and tear, is concerning. He has lost Sambo fights and is coming of the Werdum fight as we all know. If Silva can get top control he can damage Fedor imo. Obviously he has to avoid the overhand right. I think his best chance is actually not to stay at a distance and use his reach, but to smother Fedor against cage and try to drag him down to ground. Silva cut to get the 265 and may have over 40 lbs advantage. Yes, this has not mattered in the past to Fedor, but time is not on his side. Plus, factor in potential for Fedor breaking his hand. Silva free play is better than Fedor free play because of size imo.
Am i being taken for a ride here? Its almost a gaurantee that Overeem will come out balls to the wall. He has power but he also doesnt like to take punishment. To my knowledge (some of his fights were untimed/or not reported in fight finder) he has gone past the 7:30 mark TWICE in 50 fights. If he does what is smart and can get this fight to the ground (no gaurantees there) he should be able to tko or sumbit Sefo in first. Kevin Jordan had Sefo in a crucifix and mount in the first round of there fight for over 2 minutes. Overeem will finish from that positition. Chances are they cannot stand and bang for a round and a half either. If fight leaves first, Overeem probably gasses out and gets TKO'd early 2nd.
Question is: Why is this not north of -400?
Gian Villante over Chad Griggs (i advocated -170 in Strikeforce thread when available, but would play at -255 currently) 5dimes
Strikeforce clearly thinks highly of Villante as they usually take young prospects up the Challengers ranks. Villante is a top prospect. He passed on NFL football for an MMA career. Most ROC champions go on to bigger things. He seemed very relaxed at the weigh ins and his small HW size should not be an issue here since he is about same size as Griggs. Griggs had been beating up on cans until Lashley, he got takedowns with is before gassing out bad. I think Villante can tag Griggs on feet and get takedowns as he pleases. He gets stop mid to late first imo.
Silva +350 Bodog/Fedor -335 5dimes
*If dont have 5dimes, I would be playing Silva +350 .28u/1u
I think most guys here play at both of these books if you have not been banned or limited by Bodog. If you have the roll, can get a decent (depending your ave bet size) free play on Silva. Fedor is on the down side of his career imo. His general inactivity the last few years, while good for wear and tear, is concerning. He has lost Sambo fights and is coming of the Werdum fight as we all know. If Silva can get top control he can damage Fedor imo. Obviously he has to avoid the overhand right. I think his best chance is actually not to stay at a distance and use his reach, but to smother Fedor against cage and try to drag him down to ground. Silva cut to get the 265 and may have over 40 lbs advantage. Yes, this has not mattered in the past to Fedor, but time is not on his side. Plus, factor in potential for Fedor breaking his hand. Silva free play is better than Fedor free play because of size imo.
