Xelances picks

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  • xelance
    SBR MVP
    • 11-25-10
    • 1750

    #1
    Xelances picks
    First time caller, long time listener here it goes!
    from the top to the bottom of the card!

    Silva wins by ko/tko +105 2 units to win 2.1 units
    Silva wins by decision +350 1 unit to win 3.5 units
    Griffin wins by decision +210 1 unit to win 2.1 units
    Franklin -155 3.1 units to win 2 units
    Franklin/Griffin to go to decision -160 4.8 units to win 3 units
    Bader +280 2 units to win 5.6 units
    Banuelos +295 1 unit to win 2.95 units
    Banuelos/ Torres to go over 2.5 rounds +105 1 unit to win 1.05 units
    Kelly +220 1 unit to win 2.20 units
    Taylor -185 3.7 units to win 2 units
    Romero +110 1 unit to win 1.1 units
    Kingsbury (hedge) -120 1.2 units to win 1 unit

    PROPS

    Fight of the night:

    Griffin/ Franklin +375 1 unit to win 3.75 units
    Kelly/ Cerrone +600 1 unit to win 6 units

    KO of the night:

    Belfort +800 1 unit to win 8 units
    Silva +450 1 unit to win 4.5 units

    Submission of the night: None hit

    Torres +500 1 unit to win 5 units
    Griffin +1500 1 unit to win 15 units
    Rocha +750 1 unit to win 7.5 units


    All plays were from Bookmaker some bad lines, but I will be joining 5dimes soon.

    Best of luck to everyone, tonight is going to be amazing!

    I also added sub of the night Torres+ 500 1 unit to win 5 units
    Jones/ Bader goes over 9 minutes -115 1.15 units to win 1 unit
    Griffin LIVE bet -165 in the second round 3.30 units to win 2 units
  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #2
    Gd stuff Xelance...GL tonight
    Comment
    • Eccocide
      SBR MVP
      • 01-12-09
      • 2126

      #3
      GL man!
      Comment
      • The HOFF
        SBR MVP
        • 07-02-08
        • 4847

        #4
        Good bets on the Griffin/Franklin fight. Only way Forrest wins is a DEC.
        Comment
        • snake11eyes
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 07-28-10
          • 618

          #5
          First person I've seen betting Taylor besides for myself. I think that's the easiest fight to pick on the entire card. We shall see gl tonight.
          Comment
          • xelance
            SBR MVP
            • 11-25-10
            • 1750

            #6
            thanks all for your input! After tailing many of your picks and doing my own research, I hope I am on the winning side of this card! Best of luck to everyone here
            Comment
            • xelance
              SBR MVP
              • 11-25-10
              • 1750

              #7
              overall my night was pretty dang good! 8- 6 on regular plays AND hit FOTN/ KO of the night awards for a total gain of 11.92 Units

              I didnt hit any sub of the night picks..so that cost me a few units. Next time, I wont go so big on props.

              Not too shabby for my first try at a full card
              Comment
              • xelance
                SBR MVP
                • 11-25-10
                • 1750

                #8
                couldnt wait.....10 units on Shogun Rua +155 to win 15.5 units

                As much as I like Jones, I do not think he is ready for this fight. He will be the champion in the near future, but not in the first shot...Shogun via TKO in round 2 is what I see. Love the odds right now so Im going to jump on it.
                Comment
                • xelance
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-25-10
                  • 1750

                  #9
                  added for UFC 127:

                  CB Dollaway +175 1 unit to win 1.75 units
                  CB Dollaway +170 3 units to win 5.1 units
                  Condit -185 10 units to win 5.41 units
                  Rivera +275 1 unit to win 2.75 units


                  glad I got Condit at -185 yesterday, it went up to -205 today!
                  Comment
                  • xelance
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-25-10
                    • 1750

                    #10
                    added 1 more Rua play +175 5 units to win 8.75 units, hoping for a risk free arb
                    Comment
                    • xelance
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-25-10
                      • 1750

                      #11
                      Strikeforce 2/12 card plays:

                      Overeem -135 vs Rafo 4.05 units to win 3 units
                      Arlovski +105 vs Khari 2 units to win 2.1 units
                      Del Rosario -170 3.4 units to win 2 units


                      Also added Jones -185 29.25 units to win 15.81 units (hoping to get a nice arb with this one)
                      Comment
                      • xelance
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-25-10
                        • 1750

                        #12
                        added to strikeforce card: Arlovski +105 vs Khari 3 (added 1 more) units to win 3.15 units
                        Fedor vs Silva -185 completes 1 full round 9.25 units to win 5 units
                        Fedor vs Silva -110 over 1.5 rounds 4.4 units to win 4 units


                        Thats all folks!
                        Comment
                        • xelance
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-25-10
                          • 1750

                          #13
                          Originally posted by xelance
                          added to strikeforce card: Arlovski +105 vs Khari 3 (added 1 more) units to win 3.15 units
                          Fedor vs Silva -185 completes 1 full round 9.25 units to win 5 units
                          Fedor vs Silva -110 over 1.5 rounds 4.4 units to win 4 units


                          Thats all folks!
                          it wasnt all folks...of course haha. I added Silva to win inside decision +700 1 unit to win 7 units, Fedor by decision +275 1 unit to win 2.75 units and 1 unit Arlovski/ Khari +130 over 1.5 rounds...Silva turned out to be a great bet.

                          Results: 5-3 +16.0 units on the night, really solid night for me
                          Comment
                          • xelance
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-25-10
                            • 1750

                            #14
                            really dont like the upcoming UFC card...with that being said, I still had to make a few plays.

                            Rivera +275 1 unit to win 2.75 units (meh, I did this one about a month ago..basically a throwaway bet)
                            Rivera vs Bisping under 2.5 rounds -140 2.8 units to win 2 units
                            Reinhardt +215 3 units to win 6.45 units


                            thats all folks..maybe I will add a fight of the night play on Siver vs Sotiropoulos, but we will see
                            Comment
                            • xelance
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-25-10
                              • 1750

                              #15
                              well, maybe thats not all lol

                              Reinhardt/Zhang over 1 round +200 5 units to win 10 units
                              Bisping wins inside distance +160 5 units to win 8 units

                              that should be all basically I am just wagering on Rivera vs Bisping not going the distance and Reinhardt/ Zhang
                              Comment
                              • xelance
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-25-10
                                • 1750

                                #16
                                added: Zhang +700 1 unit to win 7 units quickest submission prop (hedger)
                                Siver vs Soti fight of the night +400 2 units to win 8 units

                                that is officially all
                                Comment
                                • sirchadwick1
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-02-10
                                  • 1375

                                  #17
                                  I wish I had waited on Bis inside the distance instead of going in on Rivera at +300. I'm having a bad feeling about Rivera getting TKO'd in this one now all of the sudden.

                                  Love the Zhang/Reinhardt over 1 rd prop at +200. I know they're history points to them finishing fights early (or losing early)... but I think they will be a little more hesitant/cautious at the big show and make it through 1 rd. Value there.

                                  Soti should win, but I couldn't help but bet on Siver at +300. He got up to +315 at one point.
                                  Comment
                                  • xelance
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-25-10
                                    • 1750

                                    #18
                                    no doubt, I think Soti will win, but Siver will keep it a good fight and definitely could pull out a victory..I love this one for fight of the night honors Rivera isnt a bad bet at those odds, I believe they have Rivera winning inside the distance at +345 on bodog, which is a decent value play. I do think Bisping takes this rather easily though..best of luck to you!Thanks for the comments!
                                    Comment
                                    • xelance
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-25-10
                                      • 1750

                                      #19
                                      crappy night records wise, Ill have to check the totals because of dumb bets I added on...bad night
                                      Comment
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