Fitch is waaaaay bigger than Penn and likes to implement a strategy of clinching, takedowns, and positional control. Also, Penn always gasses when he's involved in tough grappling. Fitch will be significantly stronger and can control him. Certainly he's no GSP, but he's good enough to win a 3 round decision. Fitch should be closer to -250 IMO.
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i think bj wins round 1 guaranteed and more than likely fitch wins round 3.
the -160 reflects the chance that bj puts fitch away in round 1, or that he wins rounds 2.
also the betting public loves bj so im sure the lines skewered a little from that too.Comment -
I think that last line by jin2daj is dead on. BJ is the public darling, I think we are getting a bargain because of that and him smashing Hughes.Comment -
To borrow a Sherdog term, BJ has maybe the most nuthuggers of any fighter.Comment -
Looks like the line is going in Fitch's direction so if you can get -170 you better take it now before it goes up..Comment -
There is a big risk to Fitch here because he won't be able to finish Penn. His only option is to win by decision but Penn can win this fight in any fashion. Should be interesting. I think the line is correct.Comment -
Yeah for me if Fitch does win it is by decision more than 75% of the time so makes sense to me to play him by decision at Evens or better if you're gonna play him at all.Comment
