MMA/BOXing jan

[ddream1]

ufc 149(jul 21)
adding to prior bet
m.bisping -300 0.50*/$50

ufc 148(jul 7)
u.faber +140 0.75*/$75
cung le +300 0.25*/$25

[ddream1]

how u feel about pacman fight?

i see PAC winning this fight but i do think bradley gives him a tough fight or challenge, sorta like how cotto did to MAY.....bradley will push, he is tough and solid chin, size willn't be the factor here, if might be his counter punching that gives PAC some ouble, stanima equal.......i see it going the distance.

[ddream1]

ytd: 59W-57L +3.41*/+$341.50
mma + box

not the greatest of years to date

mma
ufc tuf(jun 1)
j.ellenberger -215 1*/$100
j.brookins +165 0.25*/$25
a.iquinta -250 3*/$300
j.proctor -270 0.75*/$75
saunders +245 0.25*/$25
s.sicillia -155 0.50*/$50
p.schilling +105 0.25*/$25

[ddream1]

ufc fx3(jun 8)
e.silva -165 0.50*/$50

box(jun 9)
m.pac & t.bradley go the distance -150 0.85*/$85
t.bradley +360 0.20*/$20
t.bradley +608 0.10*/$10 via decision
***i see no reason why bradley doesn't go the distance here. he is physically strong and has decent size despite the weight class jump, he has a solid chin, good speed and excellent stanmia and counter punching, which always seems to slow pac-man down and give his opponent some rounds. i do think pac takes a grind approach here and fights smart. i cannot see the game plan being a knock out approach nor do i see it being a highly aggressive fight. i think they know its going be fought in the trenches and in close. pac knows he is getting hit harder and quicker than marquez so i fully expect a lot of body punches and clinching after a few poweless 1-2 combos to jump in

[Beelzebubzy]

Why no Pac by decision?

[ddream1]

i think it goes the distance so i made sure that was higher than bradley, i just think bradley has value, i really think pac loses a few rounds just by nature + i think bradley can steal a few so i went with bradley, i do however think pac probably wins. im excited, i really like the match up

[ddream1]

ufc fx3 adding(jun8)
e.wineland +190 0.25*/$25

[ddream1]

ufc fx3
adding
e.silva -165 0.25*/$25(already on him for $50)
j.salas +155 0.25*/$25
h.martinez -155 0.50*/$50
m.pierce -250 0.50*/$50

[ddream1]

adding
h.martinez -155 1*/$100

[ddream1]

ufc fx3
adding
j.papazian -135 0.50*/$50
buying back with rocha, still think he loses here but i over capped i believe on the long layoff for rocha
rocha +205 0.25*/$25

[99Boxster]

Who do you like in the Mighty Mouse vs. Uncle Creepy fight?

[ddream1]

sry box just saw this.....i would've said DJ, we had him last time out and i thought he won...i stayed away this time becasue i did like what i saw from creepy last fight, and i didn't think DJ would rock him again, so i would said DJ buy a uncle creepy moustace hair

[BeardedTaco]

Hey DD,

Just starting to look at UFC/Boxing market for the first time. Do you recommend wagering your plays or any good handicapper's plays as soon as possible? I really have no clue how much the lines typically move and how efficient the market is.

[ddream1]

Hey DD,

Just starting to look at UFC/Boxing market for the first time. Do you recommend wagering your plays or any good handicapper's plays as soon as possible? I really have no clue how much the lines typically move and how efficient the market is.

taco, i would say 1st really go through some of the cappers threads and get a really good idea of there style of picking fights, there bankroll management, past results and overall knowledge. almost every capper here approaches the fight game differently. some great long-term successful guys in here, most important thing is also knowing how they become successful with there money, are they high volume players, are they +dog pickers or live bet makers, do they post day of event or after weigh-ins, or do they post picks randomly, how many picks and how much do they average.....for examples, u must decide ur comfort level both with money, volume of picks and the odds.

i focus on fav's and wrestlers most often, as the mma scene is changing im beginning to notice the "super" fighter...guys like rory macdonald who have no real backgorund in one area but excells in all, the fighters are all coming up well rounded now and the good wrestlers seem to eventually abandon there roots to become strikers with the goal to be "well rounded"

also i parlay, make sure ur book allows that and make sure u understand parlaying is a tool used often in mma, some would disagree and there points are welltaken but for the most part parlaying in mma-boxing has +$ opportunity.

as for following me, this has been an off year for me, started off strong and then struggled for 3 months, things lately have been more like it. best advice is read up on the thread discussions, watch a lot of fights and ask a lot of questions to the top guys in here who all have plenty of time for new guys.

[ddream1]

fight ytd: 71-65 +260.55

boxing tonight
j.c. chavez jr -365 1*/$100(I SEE NO REASON why he doesn't dominate this fight especially after the 8round mark should it get there)
r.munroe +175 0.25*/$25(great value on a savvy veteran who can easily take this the distance and maybe break the will of his young counter part)
3-fighter parlay
j.c. chavez-e.farias & adamek(over9.5)
$50 tw $35.75

[ddream1]

ufc fx4(jun 22)
adding
b.ebersole -220 0.25*/$25
r.nijem -340 0.35*/$35
s.siler -115 0.50*/$50
**will parlay story and nijem when released

[99Boxster]

Ace or the axe murderer? Pearson or Cub?

[Imsmarterthanu]

Im gonna go with my gut and go with

Wanderlei

seeing swanson at the weigh ins it looks like he's in pretty damn good shape

[ddream1]

adding:
nijem & story $25 tw $25.51

sat box
d.williamson -120 0.25*/$25
L.matthysse -240 0.75*/$75

[ddream1]

mma
ufc 147(jun23)
y.alcantara -230 0.20*/$20
c.ferreira -250 0.20*/$20
2-fighter parlay
arantes & bezerra $20 tw $19.37

[Vaughany]

Gd job last night Dream

Got risk free play on Matthysse tonight as well...he opened at +120 underdog on Boyle sports so maxed that and carried on maxing him all way up to -162.5. Arbed out with Soto at +175, +185 and +201 so gonna make about 20 units risk free profit if Matthysse wins

[Beelzebubzy]

Is Ortiz a parlay fodder for tonight?

[ddream1]

Is Ortiz a parlay fodder for tonight?

sry B i didn't see this till now.....i would've said its tough fight but ortiz is the right call, before the injury/stoppage i believe he was winning on all scorecards by 2 or more.

[ddream1]

Gd job last night Dream

Got risk free play on Matthysse tonight as well...he opened at +120 underdog on Boyle sports so maxed that and carried on maxing him all way up to -162.5. Arbed out with Soto at +175, +185 and +201 so gonna make about 20 units risk free profit if Matthysse wins

thx V.......nice hit sir, well done.

[ddream1]

fight ytd: 81-68 +5.91/+$591.81

ufc 148(jul 7)

a.silva inside the distance -182 0.25*/$25
ORTIZ/GRIFFIN goes 3rd distance -140 0.50*/$50

[ddream1]

ufc 148 adding
i.menjivar +110 0.25*/$25
j.alessio +185 0.25*/$25
g.tibau -170 0.50*/$50
c.phillipou -175 0.50*/$50
3-fighter parlay(ufc 148 and strikeforce aug 18)
c.mendes-m.guillard & r.rousey
$50 tw $41.34

[ddream1]

box-mma
5-FIGHTER ml/vig parlay

c.duer-j.fortuna-t.fury-k.pavlik & C.MENDES(UFC)
$50 tw $$36.16

[ddream1]

ufc fuel TV4
r.dos anjos -165 0.50*/$50
2-fighter parlay
r.dos anjos & tj dillashaw
$25 tw $23.33

[ddream1]

fri box and sat mma
g.johnson -145 0.25*/$25
L.LARKIN -115 0.25*/$25

[99Boxster]

Any more today?

[ddream1]

box-mma tonight and ufc sat
boxing
j.maciel-j.burgos-a.broner-d.green
$25 tw $14.95

mma
bellator
b.baker 0.25*/$25
ufc 149(jul 21)
2-fighter parlay
ebersole & pineda $50 tw $41.23

[ddream1]

looks like im done for the ufc tonight adding boxing:
box sat
vasquez(o)9.5 & perez $40 to $50.90

[ddream1]

fight ytd: 89-76 +5.52/+$552.50
2-fighter mma ufc fox4 parlay
l.machida and p.davis
$75 tw $43.62

[ddream1]

ufc 150
j.hamman -110 0.25*/$25
two 2-fighter parlays
y.okami & n.lentz $200 tw $91.66
d.cerrone & d.bermudez $50 tw $39.06

[ddream1]

mma
t.wiuff n r.martinez $25 tw $21.12