Potential value in dog at tonite's MFC?

[Educ8d Degener8]

Ok, I'm swamped at work, and can't do formal review here (no time for video footage, etc), so if any of you lads want to chime in...

I must say I'm intrigued by Rodney Wallace +145 against David Heath.

Yes, Wallace is coming off of 3 straight losses in the UFC that led to his release, but he lost 3 decisions to a reasonably seasoned group (Brian Stann, Jared Hamman, and Phil Davis).

Meanwhile, David Heath is on a 3 fight win streak against inferior opponents (Kuchera and Freeman in particular).

I don't normally make a call just in records analysis, but on paper alone, this line seems OFF.

What say you fellas... Do we Sho Nuff have a live doggie here perhaps???

[Vaughany]

Wowza I'd jump on that straight away if it was available on pinnacle or any of my books. I'd expect that line to move sharpish and possible end up with Wallace as the favourite leading to a great arb opportunity...unless he hasnt had a training camp or their are some health issues! I havnt looked in to the fight or event at all as I've been too busy with WEC52 and UFC122 so dont know how long Wallace has known about the fight and whether he's had a full camp or anything.

[Vaughany]

Ahh just checked...Wallace is stepping in at last minute! Explains the odds but may still be worth a small play if he's kept himself in decent shape.

[Vaughany]

I'd expect that line to move sharpish and possible end up with Wallace as the favourite leading to a great arb opportunity...

Wallace has gone from +145 to -105 on bookmaker and Heath from -175 to -125 as I thought, anybody grab Wallace at +145? All about taking these arb opportunities...I need to sign up to bookmaker soon!