Mizugaki +285

Vaughany · 11-11-10, 03:54 AM

It's possible, WEC are relying on Faber winning this so that they can set up a Cruz vs Faber re-match for the title and would really throw a spanner in to the works if he goes and loses! Faber is going to have to use his wrestling if he wants to win this, I dont foresee him finishing Mizugaki either but do expect him to take a decision.

jcadwell · 11-11-10, 08:24 AM

I have Faber all the way

rocky mattioli · 11-11-10, 08:59 AM

asian fighters usually fall short of expectations in the big organizations outside of asia....of course there are always a few exceptions...(okami/kim come to mind)....i don`t consider machida "asian"(i guess you could argue that issue)..

even gomi struggled when he was near the top of his game comiing west to fight nick diaz(then thought to be a good but not elite fighter)...he beat gomi at his own game(stand-up).....

aoki was drubbed by melendez...sexyama couldn`t be considered a raging success outside japan...

i expect faber(who i honestly think is a bit overrated...beating many middle of the road guys in the early limited talent pool of the wec on his way to a big rep) to do enough here........... i watched faber get absolutely owned by tyson griffin....

but i fully expect him to do enough here..anything remotely close goes faber`s way in sacramento....

omalley21 · 11-11-10, 01:56 PM

I dont see faber losing this one. Faber by decision.

sirchadwick1 · 11-11-10, 02:12 PM

I'm on Faber also... I think he grinds out a decision here.
Mizugaki is no joke, but he won't be able to handle Fabers top game.

THE_LOCKSMITH · 11-11-10, 03:01 PM

Yea it does look like they are lining up Faber for a title shot, it does not always work out the way the UFC wants but in this case i think it will

rocky mattioli · 11-11-10, 04:56 PM

nobody(including myself) mentioned the potential effects of the weight cut for faber....

Eccocide · 11-11-10, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by rocky mattioli

nobody(including myself) mentioned the potential effects of the weight cut for faber....

There is always a chance it affects him but he did a trial run to 140lb before hand so he knew what he was getting himself into. He was already up over 155 early this morning. And I can't imagine the cardio hurting him in a 3 round fight. This isn't a good stylistic matchup for Mizugaki IMO. I think its gunna be a rough night for him!

Boddhissatva · 11-11-10, 05:32 PM

Mizugaki's most impressive performance was his fight with MIguel Torres. He grinded that fight out and fought it like a true contender should. He has been rather mediocre since and it's a bad style match up for him as well.

Faber is well rounded and can do everything Mizugaki can, but a lot better.

The only way I see Mizu winning this one is if Faber runs into a wild over hand right.

Vaughany · 11-11-10, 05:40 PM

Weight-cut shouldnt be an issue, I'd be more concerned about his fragile hands tht tend to break as soon as he connects with anything!

Shane · 11-11-10, 05:53 PM

Good point to take into consideration.

BIGDAY · 11-11-10, 06:27 PM

The value might be Mizugaki as he is at +320 to +345 around my books. Yes Faber should win, but it's hard laying ton of juice here IMO.

sirchadwick1 · 11-11-10, 10:09 PM

+375 on Mizugaki now for those who are on him...
Faber is now at -575... wow. Glad I got him at -300.

GoldenYAK · 11-12-10, 12:47 AM

team alpha male parlay was $.