MMA: ufc 123/nemesis/ufc tuf12

[ddream1]

MMA: 62W-40L +$1100
BOX: 33W-17L +$1568.16

YTD Fight Record:
95W-57L 62% +$2,668.16

ufc 123(nov 20th)(posted a few cards ago)
bj.penn +105 0.50*/$50

nemesis fighting(nov 13th)
e.marshall -250 0.25*/$25
3-fighter parlay
e.marshall/k.jardine/p.buentello $25 to win $24.44

ufc tuf 12(dec 4th)
r.story +265 0.50*/$50

**nememis card** going flat square
marshall, strongly feel with his reach, clinch and grounds skills should controll this fight were ever it goes. davis has shown some solid power on his feet and some sub skills resulting mainly from his strength but marshall is is alot longer and pretty savvy i see him just out smarting davis with leg kicks and jabs and if on the ground davis has some sub skills but he doesn't have a bona fida ground game, i think marshall does.

jardine is jardine, bottomline here is his opponent is a ground fighter only. jardine should have no trouble keeping it a bay using his side to side in and out movement and leg kicks. jardine will have on threat of being hit and should be able to control this fight rather easily. jardine has decent takedown defence and clinch and should it get down his ground game is strong enough to hold on. i cannot see him losing this one, its a great match up for him.

buentello: his opponent is a stiff, both of these guys have some mileage but i have to believe buentello lives up to the headhunter status and drops this guy quick, he is a sitting target. buentello still has fast and powerful hands and he has decent leg kick to set it all up, he moves well enough to avoid the clinch and he is smart enough to know what to do. this should be an easy win if he keeps it up and i think he can.

[Vaughany]

I think Marshall should take this one comfortably as well dream. He is a legit fighter who was perhaps unfairly chopped from UFC even though he'd beaten Bruchez, Magalhaes and Brilz and only lost a split decision to the Janitor. Surely there is no way that Davis can submit Marshall, especially if Magalhaes couldnt do it who is one of the best BJJ guys in the game IMO. Davis has never really faced the level of opposition that Marshall has and when he has he was dominated (tapped out to Magalhaes in first round and choked out by Jeremy Horn). Will be very surprised if Davis takes this one.

With regard to Jardine, surely he cant lose a 6th in a row, especially against a guy as one dimensional as France. Jardine has never been submitted and is rarely taken down and held there. If he loses this he has to retire IMO! I may do a Jardine and Marshall double when the odds are out on PaddyPower.

[Vaughany]

***

[ApexCap]

Don't know about the Buentello bet, The headhunter shouldn't be -675 to anyone especially not when they are both going to be looking for the KO and swinging for the fences. Who knows who will catch whos chin. I took Schall at +450 and Hicks at +200. GL

[Vaughany]

Don't know about the Buentello bet, The headhunter shouldn't be -675 to anyone especially not when they are both going to be looking for the KO and swinging for the fences. Who knows who will catch whos chin. I took Schall at +450 and Hicks at +200. GL

I was thinking Hicks was undervalued at +200 as well but thn realised Martin is going to have a size advantage as I presume the fight is at 170?. WOnt count Hicks out though as he might have a speed advantage as a result.

[ddream1]

Don't know about the Buentello bet, The headhunter shouldn't be -675 to anyone especially not when they are both going to be looking for the KO and swinging for the fences. Who knows who will catch whos chin. I took Schall at +450 and Hicks at +200. GL

i hear AC but truthfully schual(spelling wrong) cannot throw a single punch, he is big, 265lbs big but no striking at this point in his career, -675 agree horrible but in a parlay i feel its worth a nibble.

[ddream1]

I was thinking Hicks was undervalued at +200 as well but thn realised Martin is going to have a size advantage as I presume the fight is at 170?. WOnt count Hicks out though as he might have a speed advantage as a result.

i agree, i looked this up and down and theres value in hicks. still sitting on this one sir.

[Vaughany]

i agree, i looked this up and down and theres value in hicks. still sitting on this one sir.

Martin lost 3 in a row thn beat 2 cans, whilst Hicks lost 3 in a row (to 3 decent fighters) and thn submitted Macias in first round who isnt as big a can as those Martin has recently beat!

Ive just put 0.46 units on a treble parlay of Curran, Marshall and Sotiropolous for now.

[ddream1]

adding WEC 52(nov 11th)

u.faber -325 0.25*/$25
will be adding 2 parlays when lines are fully posted
u.faber and d.page will be around $25 to win $13.57
j.benavidez and menedes will be around $25 to win $19.44

for the faber fight planned on staying away as i wanted to gauge his weight cut down to 135lbs but lets be honest here there's not going to be 3 fights before a title shot. he wins this he gets title shot if benavidez loses, if they both win then maybe he gets the loser of cruz-jorgenssen. i cannot see them(UFC) letting faber and torres fight before one makes a run or grabs a title. they are both well known over cruz-jorges and benv. now beyond what i think of match making i don't think faber will be in any danger on his feet. faber has enough movement and hand speed + health hands to circle this around keeping miz away. soooner or later miz will get a little more predictable as he cannot gauge offence and will flatten his feet where i see faber just bulling him over and doing this thing down and getting on top. miz has no striking power and no over the top strength, he is a grinder with subs and faber is a world class wrestler with explosive takedowns. i see miz on his back after about 3 minutes, if faber is comfortable in the stand up winning the exchanges then i suspect he keeps it there. miz has nothing to slow down or deflect faber's multiple plan attacks. i see this going much like jorgensen's fight with miz but i think faber g n p's a TKO in the late 2nd

[ddream1]

ok guys lines opened here are the correct parlay numbers BOL!!!
u.faber and d.page $25 to win $17.06
j.benavidez and menedes $25 to win $22.63