Some Suggested Prop Plays For Tonight

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  • koscheckbaby
    SBR MVP
    • 04-05-10
    • 1314

    #1
    Some Suggested Prop Plays For Tonight
    Stephens by TKO/KO +360(While I think Guillard is going to win this fight, the odds are too good on those. If it's a decision, I'm pretty positive Guillard will win)

    Serra inside distance +428
    . Serra's got heavier hands than Lytle. If this is gonna be a brawl and not Serra fighting like a scared pussy like the last time, Serra has a chance at being the first to finish Lytle with strikes. Lytle gets lit up pretty bad on the feet in many of his fights. He was rocked and almost finished by Kevin Burns. Safe to say, if Serra tags Lytle that hard, it's probably "Good Night Irene." Keep the inside distance prop over TKO though in case of maybe Serra catching a choke that Lytle doesn't tap to, but goes out

    Doerksen inside distance +398. Self explanatory. CB has been subbed. Dirte is a crafty vet. I'm ok with taking this over him by sub at +450 in case some some fluke ending like a DQ or KO

    Bader wins inside distance +300. Word is out that Nog had a bad camp. In his last fight, he got caught good by Brilz a few time. If Bader lands anything like Brilz did, Nog may be in trouble. The legendary Nog chin is gone for both brothers IMO

    Mir wins by decision +404. This is a reach, but in my head I can't see Cro Cop being finished or winning the fight. He's tough. He's taking a serious beating in fights and lasted awhile(Fedor, Overeem, Kongo, JDS fights) and been only finished by some serious blows(Randleman, Gonzaga). Mir's also notorious for fading and gassing in fights. If Mir can't put him away early, he may just end up winning on points via holding Mirko against the cage and working from on top.

    Thoughts?
  • illmatick
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-05-09
    • 5456

    #2
    solid plays at those prices imo...I might go with Stephens inside the distance at +242

    +1175 to win in the 3rd round is tempting as well.
    Comment
    • Eccocide
      SBR MVP
      • 01-12-09
      • 2126

      #3
      I like the value in most of them, especially the Bader and Doerksen plays. I think the Mir/CroCop fight ends in Round 2 no matter who wins. Just one of those feelings. And I don't see Lytle getting finished. He's taken the best shots from both Marcus Davis and Thiago Alves and didn't wilt. The guys chin is made of granite lol. Decent odds though for a flyer.
      Comment
      • koscheckbaby
        SBR MVP
        • 04-05-10
        • 1314

        #4
        Originally posted by Eccocide
        I like the value in most of them, especially the Bader and Doerksen plays. I think the Mir/CroCop fight ends in Round 2 no matter who wins. Just one of those feelings. And I don't see Lytle getting finished. He's taken the best shots from both Marcus Davis and Thiago Alves and didn't wilt. The guys chin is made of granite lol. Decent odds though for a flyer.
        Kevin Burns was close recently. That brawling style of his, plus as you noted all the big shots he's ate, don't hold up forever. Lytle's in his late 30s looking to brawl it out with the only person to finish GSP standing and who was the closest to finishing Karo Parisyan prior to Alves.
        Comment
        • Eccocide
          SBR MVP
          • 01-12-09
          • 2126

          #5
          Originally posted by koscheckbaby
          Kevin Burns was close recently. That brawling style of his, plus as you noted all the big shots he's ate, don't hold up forever. Lytle's in his late 30s looking to brawl it out with the only person to finish GSP standing and who was the closest to finishing Karo Parisyan prior to Alves.
          No doubt, agree with you there. I think he will have some extra adreneline from fighting in his hometown though!
          Comment
          • terpkeg
            SBR MVP
            • 10-26-09
            • 2364

            #6
            Bader wins inside distance +300. Word is out that Nog had a bad camp.[/quote]

            Can you point me to any information on Nog's camp/training, I am looking for a reason to pull trigger on Bader at -165, but I am hesitant.
            Comment
            • iQon
              SBR MVP
              • 04-08-10
              • 1483

              #7
              Originally posted by koscheckbaby
              Mir wins by decision +404. This is a reach, but in my head I can't see Cro Cop being finished or winning the fight. He's tough. He's taking a serious beating in fights and lasted awhile(Fedor, Overeem, Kongo, JDS fights) and been only finished by some serious blows(Randleman, Gonzaga). Mir's also notorious for fading and gassing in fights. If Mir can't put him away early, he may just end up winning on points via holding Mirko against the cage and working from on top.

              Thoughts?
              Good odds on this one, but I'm not sure it will hit. I have Mir by KO or TKO by the 2nd.
              Comment
              • Shane
                SBR Sharp
                • 02-28-10
                • 466

                #8
                This is the first I've heard about Nog having a bad camp.
                Comment
                • Fiasco01
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 325

                  #9
                  FOTN:

                  Bader/Nog +400
                  Serra/Lytle +300
                  Stephens/Guillard +350

                  I laid a unit on each, one of them should hit.
                  Comment
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