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I have made a ton betting on Edgar over his last 8 fights. He is the only fighter I can remember who is an underdog on 2 straight title defenses.
Get it now Edgar +120 over Maynard. Edgar will win.
spargament
SBR MVP
12-22-09
1739
#2
Agreed.
Maynard isn't nearly good enough on the feet, nor is he disciplined enough (see fight with Diaz comma Nate) to beat a guy that just outpointed Penn twice.
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The HOFF
SBR MVP
07-02-08
4847
#3
I would wait. I could see it climbing to 150 range closer to the fight.
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Hammew
SBR MVP
10-27-09
2882
#4
Originally posted by The HOFF
I would wait. I could see it climbing to 150 range closer to the fight.
Yea you are right. The public is all over Maynard who was noticeably winded after 3 rounds with Florian and displayed very rudimentary striking skills. Edgar improves so much from fight to fight that I really believe that by the time Edgar faces Maynard he will have advanced his striking enough to knock Maynard out. Plus Edgar is not going to be beaten on the ground by Maynard either. Frankie is to fast and way too smart and he will have a gameplan that will exploit all of Maynard's weaknesses.
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Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#5
Il be taking Frankie by decision...once again I dont see any point in just betting on Franky to win wen u can get him at better odds by decision (which will 90% likely be the outcome if Frankie does win).
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sundin4prez
SBR MVP
03-09-10
1970
#6
without a doubt in my mind i will be taking maynard....
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snake11eyes
SBR Wise Guy
07-28-10
618
#7
Originally posted by Vaughany
Il be taking Frankie by decision...once again I dont see any point in just betting on Franky to win wen u can get him at better odds by decision (which will 90% likely be the outcome if Frankie does win).
Agreed. If you like Edgar in this fight go for the better value and take him by decision. He will not stop Maynard inside the distance.
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playa420
SBR Wise Guy
03-09-08
881
#8
Originally posted by spargament
Agreed.
Maynard isn't nearly good enough on the feet, nor is he disciplined enough (see fight with Diaz comma Nate) to beat a guy that just outpointed Penn twice.
Styles make fights, when maynard fought diaz he didnt want to go to the ground and **** with his bjj.Now this is a bad matchup for Edgar, Gray is a bigger stronger wrestler and has good standup to set up his takedowns. I See this fight going the same as the first one.
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Kaladarus
SBR MVP
11-11-09
1876
#9
Originally posted by playa420
Styles make fights, when maynard fought diaz he didnt want to go to the ground and **** with his bjj.Now this is a bad matchup for Edgar, Gray is a bigger stronger wrestler and has good standup to set up his takedowns. I See this fight going the same as the first one.
Maynard should have lost against Diaz for sure. Also Edgar's striking is many levels ahead of Maynards. If you watch the first fight Edgar dominated on the feet and his striking has improved significantly since then also. As far as Maynard having good striking to setup takedowns, he does, but I'm not sure this will come into play. Maynards best bet would be to just shoot every once in a while. Edgar doesn't go in and exchange punches, he never has. Edgar will be going in and out at a fast speed and should be pushing the pace to a point where Maynard will get tired. Every time Penn tried to strike with Edgar in there last fight, Edgar would just move back and stop the exchange immediately. If Maynard uses the same strategy as he did against Florian he will get dominated. If Maynard uses the same strategy as he did against Diaz he will also get dominated. With a good game plan Maynard can win this fight, but he's going to have to bring something completely different to the table this fight.
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Shane
SBR Sharp
02-28-10
466
#10
I think I'm going to wait and watch this line for a bit before I make any decisions.
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LearningTree
SBR High Roller
08-02-10
216
#11
Should be a great fight.
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Pratik
SBR Hustler
09-08-10
89
#12
Edgar is dog just because he lost first fight between them. They both have improved since them especially Edgar as we have seen. Grays size is also a factor the odds maker look into. From what ive seen I think Edgar could have this one if he has a good game-plan which lately hes has had.
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GoldRush7
SBR MVP
04-27-09
2014
#13
no reason to bet against edgar now
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vassman86
SBR MVP
03-11-08
1042
#14
Although I'm impressed with Edgar's performances against Penn, I think he'll have a difficult time winning a 5-round fight against Maynard. Maynard's size and wrestling will give Edgar some big problems. Lay and pray baby.
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Straight Cash
SBR MVP
11-20-09
2202
#15
I'm really looking forward to the rematch, I just think Edgar has improved more than Maynard has.
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cooldavid3169
SBR Hustler
06-19-10
92
#16
Originally posted by vassman86
Although I'm impressed with Edgar's performances against Penn, I think he'll have a difficult time winning a 5-round fight against Maynard. Maynard's size and wrestling will give Edgar some big problems. Lay and pray baby.
Frankie will win if Maynard doesn't frustrate him to much with clock control wrestling. Frankie will have 5 rounds to prove he is better rather than 3 rounds. Makes all the difference considering Maynard hasn't fought 5 rounds before to my knowledge.
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Collegepays
SBR High Roller
01-03-10
198
#17
Frankie by decision
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NOLA42
SBR High Roller
01-27-10
243
#18
gonna be a great fight, I just hope one of them can finish
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Pabinator
SBR MVP
10-04-09
1238
#19
When is this fight?
Shut your mouth when you talk to Me!
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vassman86
SBR MVP
03-11-08
1042
#20
To be honest, I can see Maynard winning this one in a decision. I do agree that Edgar will give him problems in the stand-up aspect with his speed. But, Maynard is a great wrestler and I honestly think that he'll dominate the fight on the ground using textbook wrestling where he can pin Edgar down as long as he wants.
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RollPlayer
SBR Wise Guy
07-26-10
779
#21
Too hard to call in my mind. I'll probably end up straddling Maynard by decision and Edgar by decision. Should both be + odds
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Vaughany
SBR Aristocracy
03-07-10
45563
#22
Originally posted by RollPlayer
Too hard to call in my mind. I'll probably end up straddling Maynard by decision and Edgar by decision. Should both be + odds
ha yee could definitely be a viable option if both are plus odds.
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lasker
SBR MVP
01-27-10
1683
#23
For me the question is, will Edgar be able to stop the takedowns? I don't think so. It's also unlikely that he'll submit Maynard from his back. Given Maynard's size and strength advantage, it's hard to figure out what Edgar can do to prevent a repeat of the first fight. I'm sure he'll be preparing a great game plan, and he is a crafty fighter, but he has a difficult task ahead. Most likely he's focusing on sweeps and submissions.
If Edgar wins this fight I think it will likely be by submission (from top position) after a sweep or takedown. He's going to have to try to be offensive with his wrestling. He can't just rely on his superior standup because he won't be able to keep the fight standing long enough. If it goes to decision I would have to think, after five rounds, that Maynard will be the one with his hand raised. I'm guessing Maynard wins this matchup at least 60% of the time, so I see some value in Pinnacle's line @-135.
