Two small plays for me today.
First.. under 9.5 rounds. Wladimir has an 84% KO rate. Peter KOs at 73%. I can't see Peter out-pointing Klitschko. If Peter is going to win, he's going to have to land big shots early and close the deal. He dropped klitschko 3 times in the early rounds the last time they fought, but it still went 12.
UND9.5 rounds -115, to win half a unit
Second... ML is too high. Peter is outclassed but he has a puncher's chance. I would take Peter at +900 or higher, risking 1/10th of a unit.
The fight is in Germany, and will be on ESPN3 at 4:50 EST (and who knows when it will actually start).
First.. under 9.5 rounds. Wladimir has an 84% KO rate. Peter KOs at 73%. I can't see Peter out-pointing Klitschko. If Peter is going to win, he's going to have to land big shots early and close the deal. He dropped klitschko 3 times in the early rounds the last time they fought, but it still went 12.
UND9.5 rounds -115, to win half a unit
Second... ML is too high. Peter is outclassed but he has a puncher's chance. I would take Peter at +900 or higher, risking 1/10th of a unit.
The fight is in Germany, and will be on ESPN3 at 4:50 EST (and who knows when it will actually start).