Vaughany's MMA Picks...

**Vaughany** · 03-18-13, 04:34 PM

**Vaughany** · 03-18-13, 04:34 PM

**Vaughany** · 03-18-13, 04:35 PM

Belcher doing another blog on here (you have to give name and and email to access)...

http://immunitymma.com/

**Vaughany** · 03-18-13, 05:39 PM

**Hannibal** · 03-18-13, 05:45 PM

you think he takes brimage?
they seem pretty similar in style
i think the line opens with brimage as a slight fave...
brimage -130
mcgregor +105

reasonable? or you have a special read on mcgregor? or does conor just take the carlos condit semi to a full chubby?

**Vaughany** · 03-18-13, 05:52 PM

Originally posted by Hannibal

you think he takes brimage?
they seem pretty similar in style
i think the line opens with brimage as a slight fave...
brimage -130
mcgregor +105

reasonable? or you have a special read on mcgregor? or does conor just take the carlos condit semi to a full chubby?

haha

I think he's probably gonna smash Brimage. They've given him a fight where he doesnt have to worry about wrestling or BJJ so it's great stylistically for him. Only way he loses this is by decision if he gets carried away looking for the big punch KO and gets out-pointed with Brimage bouncing around on the outside! If anybody is getting a takedown it should be McGregor, if anybody is going for the sub it should be McGregor, and if anybody is going for the power shots its should be McGregor. Plus McGregor should be the bigger fighter

**Vaughany** · 03-18-13, 06:03 PM

Maxi-betting Picket @ -138 at all my localz. Expect him to be closer to -175 by fight time.

**Sacrelicious** · 03-18-13, 06:13 PM

I'm thinking McGregor opens as a fave here, -150 to -200 maybe? There would be value there.

**Sacrelicious** · 03-18-13, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Maxi-betting Picket @ -138 at all my localz. Expect him to be closer to -175 by fight time.

I got him at -145, this line is as good as it will get right now.

**Sacrelicious** · 03-18-13, 06:18 PM

Call me crazy... but if De Fries hits +300ish I think there may be some value there as well...

**GigaOuts** · 03-18-13, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by Hannibal

you should try it
then you wont have to be living in vietnam, spending your wife's income

No gambling is bad I was told! Spending my wife $$$ is much easy. Congrat on the SBR points.

Vietnam is just vacation, so is Thailand, China, etc. I have a home in Calgary Canada. Have you been out of your mom basement yet?

**Vaughany** · 03-18-13, 06:21 PM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

I'm thinking McGregor opens as a fave here, -150 to -200 maybe? There would be value there.

never know, looked at a couple of "prediction" sites and they seem to favour Brimage. Perhaps a lot of casual fans over the pond might just think McGregor is some average Irish fighter who they are just putting on an average card in Sweden because he's European! Plus Brimage is no bum...he's a solid fighter who's won 3 on the bounce in the UFC at the end of the day.

**Vaughany** · 03-18-13, 06:22 PM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

I got him at -145, this line is as good as it will get right now.

yeah I think so, never know with Sportbet/5dimes tho, all it takes is one or two max bets on the otherside and line could move to -125 or something! I'll take the chance tho that people realize after that Assuncao loss that Easton is a tad over-rated. His last three performances haven't exactly been very inspiring IMO...scraping a win against Papazian who has since demonstrated that he isnt quite UFC calibre even after dropping down a division, then cruised past Menjivar in a fight where barely anything happened, and then gets beat by a +250 underdog in Assuncao who stepped in on short notice. With Pickett on the other-hand, I dont think the split-decision loss to Wineland has had any significant negative affect on his status/reputation or whatever. Wineland is now fighting for the title and is clearly one of the best boxers in the division and has solid defensive wrestling. Pickett got better as the fight progressed and I thought he won the last round and he'd busted Wineland's face up a bit. Problem Pickett had was that he likes to move forward and push the pace and plant his feet, while Wineland was using constant movement and frustrating Picket in first half of fight. This should be an issue with Easton as he doesnt have the movement and footwork that Wineland has. Pickett also should have the edge in cardio and volume of striking - Easton can be very passive at times. Has to be a big favourite for FOTN as well as both are very durable and like to push forward and throw powerful hooks/uppercuts etc...

MD · 03-18-13, 06:32 PM

Value in McGreggor at -200? Seriously? This is a very difficult fight for a guy whose best opponent isn't in the top 100. Brimmage is a very, very good fighter.

Brimmage will probably open as a favourite, and McGreggor will probably win, but it's a very tough fight for him.

**Sacrelicious** · 03-18-13, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by MD

Value in McGreggor at -200? Seriously? This is a very difficult fight for a guy whose best opponent isn't in the top 100. Brimmage is a very, very good fighter.

Brimmage will probably open as a favourite, and McGreggor will probably win, but it's a very tough fight for him.

I'll admit -200 is a stretch, but there is certainly value at -150. If he opens as a dog, I'll be all over that line.

**Hannibal** · 03-18-13, 06:49 PM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

I'm thinking McGregor opens as a fave here, -150 to -200 maybe? There would be value there.

2 guys with similar styles, but one of them has been winning in the best league in the world, the other guy has been smashing names i've never even heard of

to think that mcgregor would open as nearly -200 fav....
sorry not happening

**Hannibal** · 03-18-13, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by GigaOuts

No gambling is bad I was told! Spending my wife $$$ is much easy. Congrat on the SBR points.

Vietnam is just vacation, so is Thailand, China, etc. I have a home in Calgary Canada. Have you been out of your mom basement yet?

oh no! you got me real good!
you should chalk this exchange up as a victory in your book! after all, you finally got someone to talk to you

**NunyaBidness** · 03-18-13, 06:54 PM

Wow, it's getting so deep in here I can't even tell who's trolling anymore.

Kalikas might just open this one +150/+150.

**GigaOuts** · 03-18-13, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by Hannibal

oh no! you got me real good!
you should chalk this exchange up as a victory in your book! after all, you finally got someone to talk to you

It easy to get to you since a simple innocent Q, got you piss off like a little b!tch.

**Beelzebubzy** · 03-19-13, 08:44 AM

Didn't assuncao break his arm vs Easton?

also v swallows a notorious load every week same as I tbag urijahs butt chin

**Vaughany** · 03-19-13, 09:05 AM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Didn't assuncao break his arm vs Easton?

also v swallows a notorious load every week same as I tbag urijahs butt chin

ha yeah he did

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**Beelzebubzy** · 03-19-13, 11:53 AM

Maxing out Pickett then

**Vaughany** · 03-19-13, 12:27 PM

Wondering if Easton's camp has been disrupted by this Lloyd Irvin sex abuse scandal going on recently! Probably not as he spends most his camp at Alliance tho

**Vaughany** · 03-19-13, 12:32 PM

**Vaughany** · 03-19-13, 12:38 PM

**bjpenn85** · 03-19-13, 06:39 PM

Rofl

**Educ8d Degener8** · 03-20-13, 12:34 AM

McGregor was -155 at Unibet today per Sh*tdog, allegedly. Uni seems to be down at the moment... Were some other interesting lines reported as well.

**Moffegrev** · 03-20-13, 06:51 AM

All odds are out on unibet, and some of them def have some value:

Spang - Amagov, A 1,6 - 2,2 I cant see how Spang should be the favourite in this fight.
Corassani, A - Peralta, R - 2,2 - 1,6 I just don't see Akira "from the streets" Corassani winning this in any way.

I'm a swede and i will attend the event, but i really hate betting against my fellow countrymen.

**bjpenn85** · 03-20-13, 11:26 AM

Why do you think he will win? I would like to get him at even..i hate to bet on overpriced favourites prior to actually having a fight in the ufc.

**Beelzebubzy** · 03-20-13, 04:34 PM

Gsp -225

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**Vaughany** · 03-20-13, 04:36 PM

ha cant see him finishing as usual tho

**Vaughany** · 03-20-13, 04:37 PM

apparently GSP had a fever going in to tht Diaz fight which may explain his lethargic performance in last couple rounds

**Beelzebubzy** · 03-20-13, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

ha cant see him finishing as usual tho

What

**Sacrelicious** · 03-20-13, 05:10 PM

-225?! Wow......

**hobbesITD** · 03-20-13, 07:24 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

apparently GSP had a fever going in to tht Diaz fight which may explain his lethargic performance in last couple rounds

Hurt achilles, too. I think it's great that GSP makes excuses for a 50-45 fight

St-Pierre fought Diaz with injured achilles

http://www.mmafighting.com/2013/3/20/4129530/georges-st-pierre-fought-nick-diaz-with-an-injured-achilles-trainer

The welterweight champion was not 100 percent when he fought -- and eventually beat -- Nick Diaz at UFC 158, and his team wants him to take some time off.