Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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  • Vitooch
    SBR MVP
    • 09-26-11
    • 3470

    #6441
    Not too worried about Poland...very likely they win or atleast draw after their solid showing against Russia...As for Russia, they beat CR 4-1, and CR beat Greece. If my math is correct, Russia should win! Hope I don't get ****** like today.
    Comment
    • Vaughany
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 03-07-10
      • 45563

      #6442
      yeah, but some of the Russia players looked very tired like Arshavin and Zyryanov. And Denisov was just pure wank. I agree tht I find it hard to imagine Poland losing...the Czech team really isnt tht good and Rosicky has injury issues
      Comment
      • Beelzebubzy
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-06-11
        • 6995

        #6443
        Big nog injured Jordan in versus Kongo
        Comment
        • PunisherIND
          SBR MVP
          • 02-24-11
          • 4983

          #6444
          Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
          Big nog injured Jordan in versus Kongo

          fockin injury bug. i was feeling a play on big nog in that fight.

          fyi 5dimes just released some new lines:

          shields (-140) / ed herman (got hammered from +170 to EV)
          travis browne (-245) / rothwell (+170)
          rory mac (-300) / penn (+220)
          Comment
          • Imsmarterthanu
            SBR MVP
            • 05-02-12
            • 1878

            #6445
            mma fighters should get fined for being injured like a yellow card in pride 10 percent off your purse so that way when a superstar is fighting and getting paid 500 k a fight they'll be more weary of losing 50 k over an injury

            that way they'll be a little more careful
            Comment
            • Beelzebubzy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-06-11
              • 6995

              #6446
              Loaded up on rory
              Comment
              • sirchadwick1
                SBR MVP
                • 06-02-10
                • 1375

                #6447
                Rory at -260.... pound.
                Comment
                • PunisherIND
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-24-11
                  • 4983

                  #6448
                  Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                  Loaded up on rory
                  im hoping the line improves. it briefly went to -260 but went right back to -300 while i was contemplating. i still think/hope it gets below -250. i think people will instinctually bet on penn, who has never been this big of a dog, even against GSP.
                  Comment
                  • PunisherIND
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-24-11
                    • 4983

                    #6449
                    Originally posted by sirchadwick1
                    Rory at -260.... pound.

                    -400 now... guess i was wrong.
                    Comment
                    • DeFactoCrippler
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-30-12
                      • 2603

                      #6450
                      I got some down at -300 when I saw the post.
                      Comment
                      • sirchadwick1
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-02-10
                        • 1375

                        #6451
                        Many of us were expecting Bones Jones-like lines on Rory here. I think -260 was more than fair. Moving quickly....
                        Comment
                        • DeFactoCrippler
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-30-12
                          • 2603

                          #6452
                          They move these openers if someone farts at them. Fight is a while away now still. I just hit it cause I can't pass up the value according to the steve nash system.

                          Looks like they brought BJ back so they can gass up Rory in Canada. It will bounce around, especially now, but I don't see how the line doesn't close at -500 or more.
                          Comment
                          • gabe
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-12-11
                            • 7405

                            #6453
                            Originally posted by Imsmarterthanu
                            mma fighters should get fined for being injured like a yellow card in pride 10 percent off your purse so that way when a superstar is fighting and getting paid 500 k a fight they'll be more weary of losing 50 k over an injury

                            that way they'll be a little more careful
                            well, when they get injured, they lose 100% of their purse, so i'm sure they already don't wanna get injured...
                            Comment
                            • Imsmarterthanu
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-02-12
                              • 1878

                              #6454
                              Originally posted by gabe
                              well, when they get injured, they lose 100% of their purse, so i'm sure they already don't wanna get injured...
                              good point but at the same time they should fine the actual purse after the fight not the hypothetical purse before the fight which means nothing until you actually fight
                              Comment
                              • Thor4140
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-09-08
                                • 22296

                                #6455
                                Boy i couldn't bet Rory at those odds. He does look like a killer but against guys not that seasoned or a bit overrated (Kyle). I bet Rory his last three fights. Is this a five rounder? If so then Rory looks easy. Penn will diffidently out box him and on the ground he is tricky enuf to stay out of the way of the big blows. I guess people have seen enuf of Penn to realize he fades big time especially when he say's he is in the best shape of his life. Even fight i would bet Rory but not at 3 to 1. Rory showed when he gets out boxed he goes right for that takedown. Penn is a little different with his TDD defence than Mills. Rory gets a lot of pop for that fight with Condit but the reality is that he won the first two rounds but it wasn't like he dominated them. First time i watched it i thought he did but watching it again he won the first round slightly and a little better the second. The third was a beatdown..
                                Comment
                                • PunisherIND
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-24-11
                                  • 4983

                                  #6456
                                  Originally posted by Thor4140
                                  Boy i couldn't bet Rory at those odds. He does look like a killer but against guys not that seasoned or a bit overrated (Kyle). I bet Rory his last three fights. Is this a five rounder? If so then Rory looks easy. Penn will diffidently out box him and on the ground he is tricky enuf to stay out of the way of the big blows. I guess people have seen enuf of Penn to realize he fades big time especially when he say's he is in the best shape of his life. Even fight i would bet Rory but not at 3 to 1. Rory showed when he gets out boxed he goes right for that takedown. Penn is a little different with his TDD defence than Mills. Rory gets a lot of pop for that fight with Condit but the reality is that he won the first two rounds but it wasn't like he dominated them. First time i watched it i thought he did but watching it again he won the first round slightly and a little better the second. The third was a beatdown..
                                  3 round fight.
                                  Comment
                                  • DeFactoCrippler
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-30-12
                                    • 2603

                                    #6457
                                    Originally posted by gabe

                                    well, when they get injured, they lose 100% of their purse, so i'm sure they already don't wanna get injured...
                                    Originally posted by Imsmarterthanu

                                    good point but at the same time they should fine the actual purse after the fight not the hypothetical purse before the fight which means nothing until you actually fight
                                    This rash of injuries began to happen when fighters started getting insurance for injuries they sustain during their "job", which includes fighting and training. Happened right around Maynard/Edgar 3 when both fighters pulled out just after the insurance thing was announced and the fight was delayed.

                                    All the fighters say no one goes in at 100%, so before guys were fighting with serious injuries cause they had to earn a living. Dana made a big speech about it and how it will benefit the sport ect. So any fighter can show the insurance company a LEGITIMATE injury, pull out of the fight, and still get paid.

                                    But the problem is every fighter has an "injury" at any given time. Maynard and Edgar were both injured at the same time but were hiding it because they both needed the fight to go on, as soon as the insurance came in they pulled out. I think half these guys pull out when they mess up their cell each cycle.
                                    Comment
                                    • DeFactoCrippler
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-30-12
                                      • 2603

                                      #6458
                                      Originally posted by Thor4140
                                      Boy i couldn't bet Rory at those odds. He does look like a killer but against guys not that seasoned or a bit overrated (Kyle). I bet Rory his last three fights. Is this a five rounder? If so then Rory looks easy. Penn will diffidently out box him and on the ground he is tricky enuf to stay out of the way of the big blows. I guess people have seen enuf of Penn to realize he fades big time especially when he say's he is in the best shape of his life. Even fight i would bet Rory but not at 3 to 1. Rory showed when he gets out boxed he goes right for that takedown. Penn is a little different with his TDD defence than Mills. Rory gets a lot of pop for that fight with Condit but the reality is that he won the first two rounds but it wasn't like he dominated them. First time i watched it i thought he did but watching it again he won the first round slightly and a little better the second. The third was a beatdown..
                                      I think the biggest problem Penn will have is the size and strength difference. he really has no business at 170 especially with someone with the "style" that Rory has. Nick Diaz was able to wear him out against the cage using his size, BJ was even complaining about the size difference and strategy Diaz used, called him a pussy. Now he wants to fight and even bigger guy who is better at it?

                                      I think he is getting paid nicely for this one.
                                      Comment
                                      • PunisherIND
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-24-11
                                        • 4983

                                        #6459
                                        Originally posted by DeFactoCrippler
                                        This rash of injuries began to happen when fighters started getting insurance for injuries they sustain during their "job", which includes fighting and training. Happened right around Maynard/Edgar 3 when both fighters pulled out just after the insurance thing was announced and the fight was delayed.

                                        All the fighters say no one goes in at 100%, so before guys were fighting with serious injuries cause they had to earn a living. Dana made a big speech about it and how it will benefit the sport ect. So any fighter can show the insurance company a LEGITIMATE injury, pull out of the fight, and still get paid.

                                        But the problem is every fighter has an "injury" at any given time. Maynard and Edgar were both injured at the same time but were hiding it because they both needed the fight to go on, as soon as the insurance came in they pulled out. I think half these guys pull out when they mess up their cell each cycle.
                                        You are absolutely right about the relationship between zuffa insurance covering training camp injuries and the increased number of fighters pulling out of scheduled fights. No question about it.
                                        Comment
                                        • Thor4140
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-09-08
                                          • 22296

                                          #6460
                                          Originally posted by DeFactoCrippler
                                          I think the biggest problem Penn will have is the size and strength difference. he really has no business at 170 especially with someone with the "style" that Rory has. Nick Diaz was able to wear him out against the cage using his size, BJ was even complaining about the size difference and strategy Diaz used, called him a pussy. Now he wants to fight and even bigger guy who is better at it?

                                          I think he is getting paid nicely for this one.
                                          yeah im with ya but Nick can swing a little better than Rory but u are right the days with Penn at 170 are over. Makes the case that he just doesn't want to train hard enuf to get to 155. I bet if he went to 155 he would have a great shot to beat Henderson. It is all that speed Frankie has that gives him problems. Im not that sold on Hendersons hands. By the way Defact a buddy of mine had a gym near my house. Frankie stopped in and train with a boxer he knows. My buddy said how surprised he was how this boxer was eating Frankie up. I guess the MMA boxing of Frankies looks great in the ring but if u get hit easily like him it is another world with a guy who can actually box.
                                          Comment
                                          • Vaughany
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 03-07-10
                                            • 45563

                                            #6461
                                            Originally posted by Thor4140
                                            yeah im with ya but Nick can swing a little better than Rory but u are right the days with Penn at 170 are over. Makes the case that he just doesn't want to train hard enuf to get to 155. I bet if he went to 155 he would have a great shot to beat Henderson. It is all that speed Frankie has that gives him problems. Im not that sold on Hendersons hands. By the way Defact a buddy of mine had a gym near my house. Frankie stopped in and train with a boxer he knows. My buddy said how surprised he was how this boxer was eating Frankie up. I guess the MMA boxing of Frankies looks great in the ring but if u get hit easily like him it is another world with a guy who can actually box.
                                            The level of boxing as in pure boxing is still very average in MMA, but as u say that may be in a lot of cases just due to MMA boxing being different. But still, things like footwork and head movement should be a key focus no matter what and the fact is IMO tht majority of MMA fighters are still miles behind decent boxers when it comes to things like tht and using the jab particularly. Frankie happens to be one of the better ones but still isnt at the level of elite boxers of course.
                                            Comment
                                            • Vaughany
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 03-07-10
                                              • 45563

                                              #6462
                                              I just like how Rory looks like such a dork yet is an absolute killer!

                                              Comment
                                              • fosho14
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-25-12
                                                • 554

                                                #6463
                                                Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                I just like how Rory looks like such a dork yet is an absolute killer!

                                                I would love to see him fight erick silva. As bold as this sounds my money would be on silva, but dam that would be a good scrap. Either this guy or erick silva are going to hold that belt a lot sooner than ppl may expect. Providing GSP steps aside and passes the torch that is.
                                                Comment
                                                • DeFactoCrippler
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-30-12
                                                  • 2603

                                                  #6464
                                                  Originally posted by Thor4140
                                                  yeah im with ya but Nick can swing a little better than Rory but u are right the days with Penn at 170 are over. Makes the case that he just doesn't want to train hard enuf to get to 155. I bet if he went to 155 he would have a great shot to beat Henderson. It is all that speed Frankie has that gives him problems. Im not that sold on Hendersons hands. By the way Defact a buddy of mine had a gym near my house. Frankie stopped in and train with a boxer he knows. My buddy said how surprised he was how this boxer was eating Frankie up. I guess the MMA boxing of Frankies looks great in the ring but if u get hit easily like him it is another world with a guy who can actually box.
                                                  Yeah, agree that the speed of edgar and his footwork are his big weapons. In MMA but few others have those skills in MMA but are common for boxers. I think it's because of all the wrestlers who trained all their lives to be flat footed and keep their balance like that, so having any kind of rythm and movement on their feet is new to them.

                                                  Here is a video of Cub Swanson training with Joel Diaz before before he fought George Roop. Swansons boxing is better than a lot of MMA guys but seeing him work the mits without knowing who he is I would ask "Is this guy really a pro?".

                                                  Last edited by DeFactoCrippler; 06-18-12, 11:11 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vaughany
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                    • 45563

                                                    #6465
                                                    Originally posted by DeFactoCrippler
                                                    Yeah, agree that the speed of edgar and his footwork are his big weapons. In MMA but few others have those skills in MMA but are common for boxers. I think it's because of all the wrestlers who trained all their lives to be flat footed and keep their balance like that, so having any kind of rythm and movement on their feet is new to them.

                                                    Here is a video of Cub Swanson training with Joel Diaz before before he fought George Roop. Swansons boxing is better than a lot of MMA guys but seeing him work the mits without knowing who he is I would ask "Is this guy really a pro?".

                                                    Swanson went to school with Bradley didnt he
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Beelzebubzy
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-06-11
                                                      • 6995

                                                      #6466
                                                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                      Swanson went to school with Bradley didnt he
                                                      Nice. Does cub know the judges too? I hope Bradley can teach him to fix the cards
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DeFactoCrippler
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-30-12
                                                        • 2603

                                                        #6467
                                                        Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                        Swanson went to school with Bradley didnt he
                                                        Good video here where he talks about growing up with him. A couple little tidbits about training and sparring with bradley.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • DeFactoCrippler
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-30-12
                                                          • 2603

                                                          #6468
                                                          Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                          Nice. Does cub know the judges too? I hope Bradley can teach him to fix the cards


                                                          This pic was circulating around the interwebs before the bradley fight. Beside the obvious pyramid in the background the image on the "visitor pass" looks just like the baphomet. The line dropped right before the bradley fight, the line on ross pearson dropped below the opener. Yeah they "moved it" alright.

                                                          Swanson + Bradley = Illuminati puppets.

                                                          Click image for larger version

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                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vaughany
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 03-07-10
                                                            • 45563

                                                            #6469
                                                            This dude's boxing is on another level...this is how u should hit the mits!

                                                            Comment
                                                            • PunisherIND
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-24-11
                                                              • 4983

                                                              #6470
                                                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                              This dude's boxing is on another level...this is how u should hit the mits!

                                                              impressive, but can he run under water while holding a giant rock?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vaughany
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 03-07-10
                                                                • 45563

                                                                #6471
                                                                ahaha or jump out of a swimming pool?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PunisherIND
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-24-11
                                                                  • 4983

                                                                  #6472
                                                                  Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                  ahaha or jump out of a swimming pool?
                                                                  lol, exactly. now we are on the same page.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vitooch
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-26-11
                                                                    • 3470

                                                                    #6473
                                                                    Or jump out of a plane
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Beelzebubzy
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 06-06-11
                                                                      • 6995

                                                                      #6474
                                                                      Bj jumped out of a plane?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Vitooch
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-26-11
                                                                        • 3470

                                                                        #6475
                                                                        BJ Penn jumped out of a plane owned by Mike the Situation
                                                                        Comment
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