1. #1
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    UFC on ESPN+ 40 Santos vs Teixeira (November 07, 2020)



    ESPN+ 10:00 pm ET
    Thiago Santos vs. Glover Teixeira
    Andrei Arlovski vs. Tanner Boser
    Raoni Barcelos vs. Khalid Taha
    Brendan Allen vs. Ian Heinisch
    Claudia Gadelha vs. Yan Xiaonan

    ESPN+ 7:00 pm ET
    Vanessa Melo vs. Sarah Moras
    Trevin Giles vs. Bevon Lewis
    Marcos Rogerio vs. Alexandr Romanov
    Darren Elkins vs. Eduardo Garagorri
    Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Max Griffin
    Felipe Colares vs. Gustavo Lopez
    Giga Chikadze vs. Jamey Simmons



    Last edited by THE_LOCKSMITH; 11-03-20 at 02:27 PM.
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  2. #2
    Unkclan
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    Really like brendan allen. Been impressed everytime i see him

  3. #3
    PaperTrail07
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    Griffin -150 is a play- Hope he comes in motivated....back to the wall

  4. #4
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Had a full 1u on Romanov Submission (+595) the first time this bout was booked. Now it's down to (+180)

  5. #5
    PaperTrail07
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    Anyone else not sold on Tanner Boser? -Arlovski has stolen tougher fights and he's +220 here....There is also the payback Factor of Lins being a training partner of AA.....not saying there is bad blood-but he KO's Lins in round 1 and now I think AA wants a piece of him...

  6. #6
    hankcream
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    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    Anyone else not sold on Tanner Boser? -Arlovski has stolen tougher fights and he's +220 here....There is also the payback Factor of Lins being a training partner of AA.....not saying there is bad blood-but he KO's Lins in round 1 and now I think AA wants a piece of him...
    I'm not betting it, but you are correct I'm not sold on Boser either - good value on Arlovski

  7. #7
    magpie878
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    Other than wondering if Santos is fully healed and back to his normal self, I have a hard time seeing Glover win this one. Would have most likely lost to Smith if Smith didn't go for broke and gas himself.

    Anyone here betting Glover? Or maybe a Santos bet with a Glover by sub hedge or something?

  8. #8
    PaperTrail07
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    Love Glover-But I Agree---Then again-it could go down the same way-Glover may outheart Santos----Glover's Iron Chin allows him to go into deep fuckn water, that s for sure...
    Quote Originally Posted by magpie878 View Post
    Other than wondering if Santos is fully healed and back to his normal self, I have a hard time seeing Glover win this one. Would have most likely lost to Smith if Smith didn't go for broke and gas himself.

    Anyone here betting Glover? Or maybe a Santos bet with a Glover by sub hedge or something?

  9. #9
    Sanity Check
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    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    Anyone else not sold on Tanner Boser? -Arlovski has stolen tougher fights and he's +220 here....There is also the payback Factor of Lins being a training partner of AA.....not saying there is bad blood-but he KO's Lins in round 1 and now I think AA wants a piece of him...

    Judges hate Arlovski for some reason.

    2 of AA's recent losses could have been wins.

  10. #10
    Thor4140
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unkclan View Post
    Really like brendan allen. Been impressed everytime i see him
    Has the cocky fuk recovered from that beaten my philly brother gave him last fight?

  11. #11
    Unwritten Law
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    Yan Xiaonan is gonna put some dents on Claudia.

  12. #12
    PaperTrail07
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    This is a legit card w good names (that I like ) fuckn excited Even the prelims are bangers
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  13. #13
    JIBBBY
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    MMA MANIA prelim write ups -





    135 lbs.: Sarah Moras vs. Vanessa Melo

    Sarah Moras (6-6) battled her way to a semifinal finish on TUF 23, then emerged victorious in two of her first three Octagon appearances. “Cheesecake” is just 1-4 since, most recently falling to fellow TUF veteran Sijara Eubanks in May.
    Three of her five professional finishes have come by form of knockout.
    Vanessa Melo (10-8) put a 5-5 professional start behind her to win five straight, ultimately joining UFC after a decision over veteran Jan Finney. She’s yet to taste victory in the Octagon, going 0-3 against Irene Aldana, Tracy Cortez, and Karol Rosa.
    She gives up two inches of height and reach to Moras.
    Even in a weight class as talent-starved as Women’s Bantamweight, this looks like a loser-goes-home matchup. Moras’ inability to support her submission prowess with competent wrestling and Melo’s lack of power or striking output have left them near the division’s bottom rung.
    Moras will never have a number next to her name, but she should be too much for Melo. She’s got the stronger ground game of the two and even if Melo is potentially the better striker, she’s so lackadaisical in her approach that Moras can win on the feet through sheer activity. “Cheesecake” outworks “Miss Simpatia” to a comfortable decision.
    Prediction: Moras via unanimous decision
    Related
    Up Next! ‘Marreta’ Battles Teixeira In Vegas!

    265 lbs.: Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs. Alexander Romanov

    I wrote this fight up the first time these two were booked to fight and my opinion hasn’t changed, so I’ll be reusing that prediction with some slight adjustments.
    After missing the Light Heavyweight limit twice in a row, Marcos Rogerio de Lima (17-6-1) returned to Heavyweight for the first time since his UFC debut and made up for lost time with a decision over Adam Wieczorek. Though he failed to capitalize on a strong first round against Stefan Struve and ultimately tapped, he got back in track last February with a faceplant knockout of Ben Sosoli in Auckland.
    “Pezao” owns 12 professional wins by form of knockout and another three via submission.
    Moldova’s Alexander Romanov (11-0) started his professional career with nine consecutive first-round finishes before requiring three rounds to put away Sultan Murtazaliev in 2018. After scoring a slam knockout the next year, he joined UFC, ultimately debuting with a submission of Roque Martinez after fights with Raphael Pessoa, Marcin Tybura, and the aforementioned de Lima fell through.
    “King Kong” has finished six opponents in less than two minutes apiece.
    I haven’t gotten to use the phrase “two-true-outcome fight” in a while, so forgive me for busting it out here. de Lima, despite being an undisciplined Light Heavyweight cosplaying a Heavyweight, packs truly horrific power the likes of which Romanov has ever seen. On the other hand, “Pezao” is embarrassingly helpless off of his back and has appalling fight IQ. Recall how he dropped Struve, dominated the rest of the round, and then initiated the grappling in the second instead of just smashing the division’s easiest target. If Romanov gets on top, he’ll have little to no difficulty getting the finish.
    There’s your outcomes: either de Lima clips the former rikishi in the opening minutes or gets rag-dolled and demolished on the mat. Considering Romanov’s size advantage, I favor the latter. “King Kong” forces him to the fence, slams him down, and either pounds or chokes him out soon after.
    Prediction: Romanov via first-round submission
    Related
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    145 lbs.: Giga Chikadze vs. Jamey Simmons

    Giga Chikadze (11-2) has proven one of the busiest UFC fighters this year, racking up a 3-0 record after his 2019 debut. Though his March victory over Jamall Emmers came down to the wire, he was dominant in decisions over Irwin Rivera and Omar Morales, the latter of whom he defeated less than a month ago.
    He is seven inches taller than “The Afro Samurai.”
    Jamey Simmons (7-2) went 6-0 with five finishes as an amateur before making his professional debut in 2017. A five-fight 2019 campaign saw him go 4-1, three of those wins coming by knockout in under four combined minutes, and he scored a submission win just two weeks ago.
    Four of his five professional finishes have come by form of knockout.
    According to Chikadze, he attempted to step in for the injured Jeremy Stephens against Arnold Allen, resulting in this matchup when “Almighty” declined. That explains why they’re pitting the Georgian, who’s really found his groove in the Octagon, against an unproven debutant. Simmons has some wrestling skills, but raw standup and potential cardio issues make this an ostensible blowout in Chikadze’s favor.
    Simmons might have had a shot against the Contender Series incarnation of Chikadze, who had yet to develop any sort of counter-wrestling. Unfortunately for him, the current Chikadze is good enough to keep it standing and has a plethora of tools with which to punish Simmons’ overextension. Chikadze scores his first Octagon finish before long.
    Prediction: Chikadze via first-round technical knockout




    185 lbs.: Trevin Giles vs. Bevon Lewis

    Trevin Giles (12-2) handily dispatched James Bochnovic and Antonio Braga Neto in his first two Octagon appearances to establish himself as a top prospect, only to leave the cage for 17 months to pursue police officer training. He hasn’t been quite as successful since, tapping to Zak Cummings and Gerald Meerschaert before narrowly scraping past James Krause this past February.
    He has knocked out and submitted five professional foes apiece.
    It took two tries, but Bevon Lewis (7-2) finally secured a UFC contract on “Contender Series,” knocking out Alton Cunningham in 2018. Upset losses to Uriah Hall and Darren Stewart followed, though he returned to the win column last January with a decision over Dequan Townsend in Raleigh.
    He stands three inches taller than Giles and will have a five-inch reach advantage.
    It’s always interesting when two underachievers lock horns. Giles has looked utterly flat since returning from his hiatus, while Lewis has struggled to get his striking and wrestling to work against UFC-caliber opposition. I have to say, though, barely beating a natural Welterweight is more damning to me than getting caught by Hall or having issues with Stewart.
    Between Lewis’ considerable physical advantages and Giles’ tendency to play into his opponents’ strengths, I have to favor Lewis. Giles could very possibly regain the form that let him crush Bochnovic and Neto, but expect Lewis to cruise at range and in the clinch for a comfortable win.
    Prediction: Lewis via unanimous decision
    Related
    Up Next! ‘Marreta’ Battles Teixeira In Vegas!

    170 lbs.: Max Griffin vs. Ramiz Brahimaj

    Max Griffin (15-8) has struggled to find his footing in the Octagon, going 3-6 overall and 1-4 in his last five. He’s lost two straight since winning a grudge match against Zelim Imadaev, dropping competitive decisions to Alex Morono and Alex Oliveira.
    “Pain” will enjoy a three-inch reach advantage over Ramiz Brahimaj (8-2).
    Brahimaj — fighting out of Fortis MMA — cut his teeth in XKO and LFA, amassing eight submissions in eight pro victories. His most recent effort saw him choke out Carlos Martinez in a mere 55 seconds.
    This will be his first fight since March 2019, as his cornerman tested positive for COVID before a planned June debut opposite Takashi Sato.
    While there’s plenty of footage of Brahimaj’s lethal ground game, it’s hard to get a bead on his wrestling skills from the available data. That’s unfortunate, as those skills will be the difference here. Griffin boasts a notable striking edge and has thus far proven extremely difficult to finish; therefore, if Brahimaj can’t consistently take him down, he’s in for a rough night.
    Knowing Griffin, this will end up closer than it needs to be, but he ostensibly has the tools to sprawl-and-brawl his way to a much-needed victory. Superior stand up and reasonably stout wrestling carry the day.
    Prediction: Griffin via unanimous decision
    Related
    Watch UFC Live Stream On ESPN+

    145 lbs.: Darren Elkins vs. Eduardo Garagorri

    From 2015 to 2018, Darren Elkins (24-9) put together a six-fight win streak over several highly dangerous fighters. The momentum wasn’t to last, and he enters the cage this Saturday on the heels of four consecutive losses.
    “The Damage” will have an inch of height and reach on Eduardo Garagorri (13-1).
    Uruguay’s Garagorri entered the world’s largest fight promotion with six consecutive first-round finishes under his belt, and though he failed to make it seven against Humberto Bandenay, he nonetheless walked away with a clear decision. He couldn’t do the same to Ricardo Ramos, who knocked Garagorri from the ranks of the unbeaten with a first-round rear naked choke.
    His 10 stoppage wins include six by submission.
    This is a pretty forgiving matchup for Elkins on paper, probably his easiest assignment in years. Garagorri, though respectably dangerous on the feet, showed his vulnerability to grappling specialists against Ramos. “The Damage’s” customary gameplan, walking through fire until he can impose his wrestling, looks like a promising way to shut down the Uruguayan.
    That’s assuming, of course, that Elkins still has enough left in the tank to properly execute. He took massive, well, damage in six of his last seven fights, and he definitely looked slower than normal against Landwehr. Still, even a thoroughly diminished Elkins should be able to capitalize on such a favorable style matchup. He grinds Garagorri into the dirt for a wide decision win.
    Prediction: Elkins via unanimous decision
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  14. #14
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Wrong thread.
    Last edited by Hugo de Naranja; 11-06-20 at 09:10 PM.
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  15. #15
    Sanity Check
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Darren Till out with injury. Kevin Holland is stepping in to fight Jack Hermansson.

    5 fights in 2020 for Kevin Holland if he can show up.

    Is that an official record?

  16. #16
    Hugo de Naranja
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    It would tie the official record for UFC fights in one calendar year.
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  17. #17
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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  18. #18
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Wrong thread.
    I saw that earlier and was gonna say something but let it slide..

    I've been there and done that as you well know. ...


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  19. #19
    Thrilla
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  20. #20
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    It would tie the official record for UFC fights in one calendar year.
    Who holds the record?

    I would guess Cowboy?

  21. #21
    Bert102
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    I saw that earlier and was gonna say something but let it slide..

    I've been there and done that as you well know. ...


    Haha your boy lost 😂... guess we might not post today? Remember the s u were spouting??? Mexico paying for our wall lols 😆. U actually believed that one. He didnít do s in the end ..

  22. #22
    Sanity Check
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bert102 View Post
    Haha your boy lost ... guess we might not post today? Remember the s u were spouting??? Mexico paying for our wall lols . U actually believed that one. He didn’t do s in the end ..
    Trump haters making themselves look bad as usual.

    Poor losers, cry like babies when they lose.

    They show even less class and honor, if they win.

  23. #23
    frankieunits2685
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    we got fights, there's a bunch of other threads covering the election/politics
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  24. #24
    Thor4140
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanity Check View Post
    Trump haters making themselves look bad as usual.

    Poor losers, cry like babies when they lose.

    They show even less class and honor, if they win.

    Have you already forgotten all the stuff you posted in the political threads. The irony of this statement lol.

  25. #25
    Thor4140
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    Quote Originally Posted by frankieunits2685 View Post
    we got fights, there's a bunch of other threads covering the election/politics
    exacccctlllllyyyyy

  26. #26
    Thor4140
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    this fight goes two ways. Santos in my mind is a front runner. If that old man who has terrific fundamentals weathers the storm he wins. It is a heavy storm to stop tho. i think Teix can get this done but he really has to be discipline here.

  27. #27
    frankieunits2685
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thor4140 View Post
    this fight goes two ways. Santos in my mind is a front runner. If that old man who has terrific fundamentals weathers the storm he wins. It is a heavy storm to stop tho. i think Teix can get this done but he really has to be discipline here.
    I'm curious how Santos looks after his injury.

  28. #28
    Sanity Check
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    Thiago Santos and Edson Barboza.

    It would be a tough call to say which of those names has the best leg kicks in the game.

  29. #29
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Party time


    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post


    1.1u Gustavo Lopez -137



    0.28u Ramiz Brahimaj By Submission +368
    0.18u Ramiz Brahimaj wins in round 1 +545
    0.18u Ramiz Brahimaj wins in round 2 +813
    0.28u Max Griffin by Points +160
    0.18u Max Griffin wins in round 3 +1645


    0.8u Darren Elkins by Points +150
    0.3u Darren Elkins By Submission +351


    1.1u TOTAL u1Ĺ-230 - (Marcos Rogerio de Lima vrs Alexander Romanov)


    0.9u Giga Chikadze Wins Inside Distance -190
    0.2u Giga Chikadze by Submission +1200


    0.55u Bevon Lewis -115
    0.55u Bevon Lewis vs Trevin Giles - Goes the Distance -175


    1.1u Xiaonan Yan -170
    0.2u Xiaonan Yan Wins Inside Distance +500


    1.1u Brendan Allen -123
    0.18u Brendan Allen in Round 1 by Submission +700
    0.18u Brendan Allen in Round 2 by Submission +1400
    0.18u Ian Heinisch in Round 3 by KO/TKO or DQ +2000


    1.1u Raoni Barcelos Wins Inside Distance -115


    1.1u Tanner Boser by Decision +160
    1.1u Fight Starts Round 3 - Yes +110
    0.2u Glover Teixeira wins in round 2 +1200
    0.2u Glover Teixeira wins in round 3 +1400
    0.2u Glover Teixeira wins in round 4 +2000
    0.2u Glover Teixeira wins in round 5 +2800


    1.1u Parlay
    Darren Elkins -313
    Alexander Romanov -497
    Raoni Barcelos -392
    Tanner Boser -348
    (+156)

  30. #30
    Sanity Check
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thor4140 View Post
    Have you already forgotten all the stuff you posted in the political threads. The irony of this statement lol.
    Some are terrified to admit the truth and turn a blind eye to it.

    Those like yourself, whose hearts & minds are filled with lies, are offended by it.

    Those like me who recognize the only path to progress is paved by truth, embrace it.

  31. #31
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    That "fight starts 3rd rd" bet is for the main event, not for the Boser fight.

    Up above it looks like I made it fo the Boser fight.

    Also, I have a bet on Teixeira straight up that I forgot to include.

    Here is everything, corrected:

    1.1u Gustavo Lopez -137


    0.28u Ramiz Brahimaj By Submission +368
    0.18u Ramiz Brahimaj wins in round 1 +545
    0.18u Ramiz Brahimaj wins in round 2 +813
    0.28u Max Griffin by Points +160
    0.18u Max Griffin wins in round 3 +1645


    0.8u Darren Elkins by Points +150
    0.3u Darren Elkins By Submission +351


    1.1u TOTAL u1Ĺ-230 - (Marcos Rogerio de Lima vrs Alexander Romanov)


    0.9u Giga Chikadze Wins Inside Distance -190
    0.2u Giga Chikadze by Submission +1200


    0.55u Bevon Lewis -115
    0.55u Bevon Lewis vs Trevin Giles - Goes the Distance -175


    1.1u Xiaonan Yan -170
    0.2u Xiaonan Yan Wins Inside Distance +500


    1.1u Brendan Allen -123
    0.18u Brendan Allen in Round 1 by Submission +700
    0.18u Brendan Allen in Round 2 by Submission +1400
    0.18u Ian Heinisch in Round 3 by KO/TKO or DQ +2000


    1.1u Raoni Barcelos Wins Inside Distance -115


    1.1u Tanner Boser by Decision +160


    Glover Teixeira +185
    1.1u Fight Starts Round 3 - Yes +110
    0.2u Glover Teixeira wins in round 2 +1200
    0.2u Glover Teixeira wins in round 3 +1400
    0.2u Glover Teixeira wins in round 4 +2000
    0.2u Glover Teixeira wins in round 5 +2800


    1.1u Parlay
    Darren Elkins -313
    Alexander Romanov -497
    Raoni Barcelos -392
    Tanner Boser -348
    (+156)
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  32. #32
    frankieunits2685
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    Gigas fight got moved to the main card, prelims will now be starting 7:30pm EST.

  33. #33
    63M1N1
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    Ian tested positive. Fukk

  34. #34
    frankieunits2685
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    Allen/Heinisch cancelled

  35. #35
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by frankieunits2685 View Post
    Allen/Heinisch cancelled
    DAMN IT.. HAD a big sized bet pending with Allen ..

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